Archive for Relief Pitchers

Beat the Shift Podcast – Relief Pitcher Episode w/ Greg Jewett & Eric Samulski

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March 11, 2022

The Relief Pitcher Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guests: Greg Jewett & Eric Samulski

Strategy Section

  • General 2022 closer landscape & draft strategy
  • FAAB capital vs. Draft captial for closers – which is more efficient?
  • Holds / Saves+Holds leagues
  • Closer Handcuffs for 2022
    • Giants
    • Padres
  • Reuven’s Closer Questions
    • Should you choose closers that are on good teams?
    • Pick closers based on skill?
    • Avoid closers who could be traded?
    • Avoid closer by committee situations?
    • Avoid certain teams all together with lousy players?

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Justin Mason Relief Pitcher Ranks: 3/11/22

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March 11, 2022

As we head into primetime drafting season, I will be rereleasing my positional ranks. Here are my current ranks for relief pitchers for 2022, my third of the offseason. I will post updates as things change with signings, injuries, or news in Major League Baseball. On the Sleeper and the Bust Patreon, you can see the rankings updated live.

You can review my ranks for other positions here: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/category/rankings/

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Resurrecting The Quadrinity–The Pitchers

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March 9, 2022

Buoyed by the welcomes we received upon our return to Fangraphs this season and the compliments extended to us last week, we now fearlessly resurrect what was, from 2015 to 2019, an annual Birchwood Brothers feature: a consultation of the Holy Quadrinity. For newcomers, and for that matter oldcomers: years ago, Bret Sayre, then of Baseball Prospectus, posited that “the three skills that are most important to the art of pitching [are] getting strikeouts, reducing walks, and keeping the ball on the ground,” and that pitchers who can do those three things, as betokened by their above-average numbers in those categories, are worth the attention of those who ponder such matters. He called this approach The Holy Trinity.

Then we came along and, like John Calvin standing on the shoulders of Martin Luther, suggested a variant of Sayre’s approach. We call it the Holy Quadrinity, which admits only pitchers who are in the upper half of two categories (strikeout percentage and soft-hit percentage) and the lower half—in other words, the better half—of two others (walk percentage and hard-hit percentage). We figured this approach wouldn’t turn up much interesting stuff—that the guys who qualified would be the guys who had good seasons by any metric you cared to use. And there were a lot of those guys. But we were surprised to find how many not-great-season (and, occasionally, not-good-season) pitchers this approach identified. Moreover, and more importantly, although the Quadrinity isn’t infallible, it points you more often than you’d expect in the direction of moderately-priced or even cheap pitchers who go on to have better seasons than the market expects.

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Relief Pitchers ADP Market Report: 2/12/2022

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February 18, 2022

With draft season upon us, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can find all the pieces in this series here.

Top 100 Players Rising

Will Smith (+10.98)- As will be repeated over and over again in this article, closer prices have been on the rise all draft season and it is no different for Smith. Smith is coming off of a great season in which he saved 37 games with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. He is one of the few closers that seems to be entrenched in the role, so with all the uncertainty at the position, he deserves to be going high. 

Jordan Romano (+10.32)- Like Smith, Romano is rising after coming off of a great season in which he saved 23 games for the Blue Jays. There is no real competition for the role on the team, but the Blue Jays could be a team that shops for bullpen help in free agency or via trade once the CBA is finalized, so I would be careful about over investing in him.

Top 100 Players Falling

None

Top 200 Players Rising

Blake Treinen (+12.97)- Treinen is rising as he appears to be the de facto closer in Los Angeles with Jansen now a free agent. However, the Dodgers could re-sign Jansen, trade for Kimbrel, or pick up a different free agent closer. I like Treinen a lot if he is the guy, but there is a lot we don’t know about the situation. 

Taylor Rogers (+25.49)- Rogers is rising like a lot of closers, but this one is really risky. I like Rogers a lot, but he finished the year on the IL and the Twins had been looking to trade him at the deadline last season. Chances are that Minnesota moves him prior to the start of the season or in season which would likely make him a set up guy in a different location. 

Top 200 Players Falling

None

Top 300 Players Rising

Lucas Sims (+17.19)- Sims’ rise is indicative of the general rise at the position. Sims is the assumed bullpen leader in Cincy in spite of the fact he saved his last game on June 16th. The Reds spread the save opportunities around last year with 10 pitchers registering at least one save and no pitcher getting more than eight. I don’t expect thi to change much, so if I am investing in the Reds bullpen, it will be on the cheaper options like Art Warren or Amir Garrett. 

Jake McGee (+23.23)- The last time I checked in on the relief pitching ADPs, McGee was falling in response to Doval rising. Now Doval is dropping and McGee is rising. I think that there is not a ton of clarity to the Giants bullpen, but good news is that Gabe Kapler is pretty honest about his bullpen usage, so once spring training gets going, we should have a good idea of who is closing. 

Top 300 Players Falling

Dylan Floro (-11.17)- It is a bit surprising to see Floro drop considering all the other closing options are rising. I think it likely has to do with the thought that the Marlins may try and bring in a free agent closer like Jansen or Colome. I don’t know if I should buy that to be honest. The Marlins are furthering their rebuild and a high-priced closer doesn’t make a ton of sense right now. I think they could roll with Floro who was great in the role last season. 

Ken Giles (-14.68)- Giles is dropping because of the plethora of options in the Seattle bullpen. Giles hasn’t pitched since tearing his UCL after 3.2 innings pitched in 2020. While there is a ton of upside, chances are that even if he is healthy and ready to go, it will be a committee in Seattle. 

Pitchers ADP Market Report: 2/12/2022
1/8/22-2/12/22 Player Team POS 10/1/21-11/14/21 11/15/21-1/7/22 Change
5.75 Gerrit Cole NYY P 9.11 7.22 1.47
8.09 Corbin Burnes MLW P 9.44 8.7 0.61
10.93 Shohei Ohtani LAA P, UT 7.28 9.96 -0.97
14.87 Walker Buehler LAD P 13.28 13.63 -1.24
15.67 Max Scherzer NYM P 18.94 13.59 -2.08
17.35 Brandon Woodruff MLW P 18.33 16.22 -1.13
21.04 Zack Wheeler PHI P 22.83 21.11 0.07
23.87 Jacob deGrom NYM P 22.56 23.44 -0.43
25.64 Liam Hendriks CWS P 34.44 32.59 6.95
27.4 Josh Hader MLW P 36.89 32.89 5.49
31.71 Shane Bieber CLE P 28.67 28.7 -3.01
32.15 Julio Urias LAD P 29.94 32.48 0.33
33.38 Aaron Nola PHI P 42.44 33.96 0.58
37.27 Sandy Alcantara MIA P 42.67 32.63 -4.64
37.29 Lucas Giolito CWS P 38.44 34.52 -2.77
39.22 Raisel Iglesias LAA P 67.33 47.74 8.52
46.15 Emmanuel Clase CLE P 73 49.41 3.26
46.8 Robbie Ray SEA P 42.33 41.04 -5.76
47.33 Freddy Peralta MLW P 54.22 50.59 3.26
48.11 Edwin Diaz NYM P 71.17 55.52 7.41
50.16 Ryan Pressly HOU P 75.33 57.3 7.14
50.31 Chris Sale BOS P 44.11 47.19 -3.12
60.07 Logan Webb SF P 57.5 54.96 -5.11
60.8 Aroldis Chapman NYY P 87.94 67 6.2
64.07 Lance Lynn CWS P 59.28 63.11 -0.96
65.53 Max Fried ATL P 68.39 66.19 0.66
67.16 Kevin Gausman TOR P 53 56.7 -10.46
68.49 Kenley Jansen LAD P 87.61 74.74 6.25
70.02 Joe Musgrove SD P 80.83 75.56 5.54
70.8 Dylan Cease CWS P 84.89 82.22 11.42
71.02 Will Smith ATL P 95.44 82 10.98
73.13 Jose Berrios TOR P 70.17 71.56 -1.57
74.84 Jack Flaherty STL P 59 67.48 -7.36
78.2 Jordan Romano TOR P 101.72 88.52 10.32
81.09 Giovanny Gallegos STL P 100.72 86.15 5.06
82.2 Trevor Rogers MIA P 93.83 86.67 4.47
83.53 Frankie Montas OAK P 76 80.11 -3.42
87.29 Luis Castillo CIN P 68.72 78.22 -9.07
92.89 Charlie Morton ATL P 88.33 93.56 0.67
93.42 Yu Darvish SD P 87.11 98.26 4.84
97.89 Alek Manoah TOR P 83.06 84.74 -13.15
102.87 Shane McClanahan TB P 101.72 105.26 2.39
105.02 Justin Verlander HOU P 155.39 104.41 -0.61
106.24 Blake Snell SD P 125.56 113.74 7.5
108.98 Mark Melancon ARZ P 139.39 108.56 -0.42
112.87 Craig Kimbrel CWS P 139.61 114.78 1.91
118.64 Nathan Eovaldi BOS P 128 123.07 4.43
121.89 Shane Baz TB P 130 124.19 2.3
125.89 Tyler Mahle CIN P 117 117.19 -8.7
126.95 Pablo Lopez MIA P 116.28 116.33 -10.62
127.47 Corey Knebel PHI P 471.17 136.37 8.9
130.35 Zac Gallen ARZ P 147.61 137.85 7.5
134.6 Sean Manaea OAK P 140.33 145.78 11.18
136.42 Chris Bassitt OAK P 126.72 138.67 2.25
136.98 Carlos Rodon CWS P 115.22 137.81 0.83
138.8 Camilo Doval SF P 166.67 129.93 -8.87
139.56 Luis Garcia HOU P 155.94 142.07 2.51
142.05 Logan Gilbert SEA P 135.22 133.22 -8.83
142.58 Framber Valdez HOU P 136.44 137.59 -4.99
148.07 Eduardo Rodriguez DET P 169.28 145.11 -2.96
149.25 Blake Treinen LAD P 205.22 162.22 12.97
150.18 Scott Barlow KC P 183.89 158.48 8.3
151.13 Ian Anderson ATL P 133.78 147.59 -3.54
162.45 Gregory Soto DET P 192.89 164.37 1.92
164.82 Michael Kopech CWS P 170.33 169.22 4.4
167.11 Ranger Suarez PHI P 152.72 164.81 -2.3
167.73 Taylor Rogers MIN P 234 193.22 25.49
168.67 David Bednar PIT P 210.28 171.7 3.03
171.4 Sonny Gray CIN P 165 166.11 -5.29
175.44 Luis Severino NYY P 146.17 182.07 6.63
179.05 Tarik Skubal DET P 182.61 180.04 0.99
180.8 Lance McCullers Jr. HOU P 121.67 174.85 -5.95
183.27 Clayton Kershaw LAD P 167.5 197.48 14.21
186.67 Marcus Stroman CHC P 162.94 167.93 -18.74
192.35 Tanner Houck BOS P 192.22 192.48 0.13
194.38 Patrick Sandoval LAA P 221.94 206.52 12.14
196.89 Jordan Montgomery NYY P 220.67 211.67 14.78
197.8 Joe Barlow TEX P 215.83 197.22 -0.58
202.38 Hyun Jin Ryu TOR P 196.33 195.67 -6.71
202.55 Lucas Sims CIN P 319.28 219.74 17.19
203.87 Mike Clevinger SD P 182.39 208.78 4.91
208.98 Joe Ryan MIN P 192.83 188.85 -20.13
209.36 Adam Wainwright STL P 169.11 205.52 -3.84
212.65 Dylan Floro MIA P 238.83 201.48 -11.17
215.16 Jose Urquidy HOU P 171.44 202.81 -12.35
215.49 Anthony DeSclafani SF P 233.33 212.15 -3.34
216.13 Alex Wood SF P 242 212.85 -3.28
221.36 John Means BAL P 204.06 224.63 3.27
226.09 Triston McKenzie CLE P 228.11 225.67 -0.42
235.35 Noah Syndergaard LAA P 197 226.44 -8.91
237.73 Alex Cobb SF P 352.17 261.37 23.64
241.42 Lou Trivino OAK P 292.17 252.37 10.95
243.45 Garrett Whitlock BOS P 255.17 254.22 10.77
246.95 Jon Gray TEX P 291.72 255.56 8.61
246.98 Huascar Ynoa ATL P 217.28 244 -2.98
251.93 Steven Matz STL P 324.44 262.74 10.81
253.29 Bailey Ober MIN P 301 257.93 4.64
256.6 Matt Barnes BOS P 263.17 235.78 -20.82
257.38 Ken Giles SEA P 237.06 242.7 -14.68
257.95 Andrew Kittredge TB P 323.89 261.26 3.31
264.78 Aaron Ashby MLW P 263.44 254.19 -10.59
266.44 Jake McGee SF P 269.83 289.67 23.23
267.4 Drew Rasmussen TB P 260.89 278.33 10.93
268.33 German Marquez COL P 232.39 254.19 -14.14
271.95 Cal Quantrill CLE P 208 258.41 -13.54
273.22 Aaron Civale CLE P 236.11 263.74 -9.48
275.09 Josiah Gray WAS P 264.94 287.33 12.24
280.05 Casey Mize DET P 235.06 253.44 -26.61
282.44 Andrew Heaney LAD P 360.28 306.11 23.67
285.8 Rowan Wick CHC P 403.39 292.78 6.98
287.55 Kyle Hendricks CHC P 268.06 291.04 3.49
290.24 Jesus Luzardo MIA P 292.5 304.78 14.54
294.29 Jameson Taillon NYY P 296.94 307.56 13.27
294.71 Luis Patino TB P 296.67 302.8 8.09
295.25 Tylor Megill NYM P 329.17 308.96 13.71
299.62 Carlos Carrasco NYM P 293.78 316.89 17.27
301.82 Paul Sewald SEA P 326.06 327.3 25.48
303 Devin Williams MLW P 317.83 320.15 17.15
311.71 Ian Kennedy PHI P 357.5 324.85 13.14
315.2 Tony Gonsolin LAD P 322.89 350.78 35.58
315.38 Eric Lauer MLW P 295.56 318.19 2.81
315.65 Michael Fulmer DET P 320.56 322.81 7.16
320.44 Cristian Javier HOU P 274.83 327.26 6.82
322.45 Marco Gonzales SEA P 271.39 318.78 -3.67
326.67 Stephen Strasburg WAS P 399.22 332.89 6.22
329.2 Trevor Bauer LAD P 306.06 314.7 -14.5
332.95 Elieser Hernandez MIA P 338.83 335.41 2.46
333.38 Zach Plesac CLE P 314.28 312.56 -20.82
337.13 Yusei Kikuchi SEA P 304.11 337.67 0.54
343.45 Adbert Alzolay CHC P 331.17 328.26 -15.19
343.75 Nick Pivetta BOS P 365.06 375.15 31.4
345.6 James Kaprielian OAK P 306.33 335.52 -10.08
347.25 Tanner Rainey WAS P 365.39 339.85 -7.4
349.69 Alex Reyes STL P 270.33 328.78 -20.91
349.87 Nestor Cortes Jr. NYY P 345.61 360.81 10.94
352.69 Taijuan Walker NYM P 334.72 362.41 9.72
354.51 Zack Greinke HOU P 307.78 336.48 -18.03
359.2 Corey Kluber TB P 430.89 372.11 12.91
361.82 Kyle Gibson PHI P 367.33 367.26 5.44
362.33 Sixto Sanchez MIA P 312.06 354.67 -7.66
365.87 Tyler Wells BAL P 443.61 387.93 22.06
365.98 Kyle Finnegan WAS P 415.17 378.41 12.43
371.36 Chris Paddack SD P 370.67 379.11 7.75
375.02 Jonathan Loaisiga NYY P 378.56 389.22 14.2
376.96 Dane Dunning TEX P 396.39 398.22 21.26
380.33 Diego Castillo SEA P 355.33 392.67 12.34
380.53 Chad Green NYY P 400.33 390.37 9.84
381.33 Chris Flexen SEA P 351.89 385.37 4.04
384.49 Anthony Bender MIA P 375.94 374.33 -10.16
387.4 Drew Steckenrider SEA P 334.28 371.7 -15.7
389.49 Brady Singer KC P 368.5 404.7 15.21
396.09 Pierce Johnson SD P 569.39 439.22 43.13
396.42 Carlos Hernandez KC P 390.33 415.11 18.69
397.49 Dinelson Lamet SD P 345.94 415.89 18.4
399.22 Domingo German NYY P 382.67 398.63 -0.59
402.35 Patrick Corbin WAS P 388.94 420.85 18.5
403.35 Jorge Alcala MIN P 527.83 410.19 6.84
404.16 Michael Pineda MIN P 361.28 399.52 -4.64
406.89 Carlos Estevez COL P 464.78 430.37 23.48
407.45 Dakota Hudson STL P 449.17 430.44 22.99
410.18 Josh Staumont KC P 402.67 423.74 13.56
417.6 Reid Detmers LAA P 452.06 432.85 15.25
418.64 James Karinchak CLE P 344.56 416.63 -2.01
419.36 Luke Weaver ARZ P 458.06 426.04 6.68
419.65 Adrian Houser MLW P 401.94 412.7 -6.95
420 Hunter Greene CIN P 396.5 401.63 -18.37
425.24 Robert Suarez SD P 744.56 420.74 -4.5
426.15 Rich Hill BOS P 469.11 420.96 -5.19
426.93 Wade Miley CHC P 400.83 422.96 -3.97
429.42 Roansy Contreras PIT P 544.44 419.11 -10.31
433.36 Mike Minor KC P 435.89 457.41 24.05
439.13 Dylan Bundy MIN P 491.11 436.48 -2.65
440.24 Miles Mikolas STL P 437.67 463.63 23.39
441.6 Alex Colome MIN P 444.11 449.67 8.07
441.8 Michael Wacha BOS P 533.89 476.63 34.83
445.25 Madison Bumgarner ARZ P 447.78 436.07 -9.18
448.09 Nate Pearson TOR P 393 445.37 -2.72
452.42 Zach Eflin PHI P 386.89 458.63 6.21
453.36 Jake Odorizzi HOU P 401.06 453.26 -0.1
453.69 Merrill Kelly ARZ P 430.44 451.59 -2.1
455 Cole Sulser BAL P 481.56 465.93 10.93
456.45 JT Brubaker PIT P 482.28 477.19 20.74
465.2 Edward Cabrera MIA P 439.17 463.89 -1.31
468.6 Kris Bubic KC P 426.06 464.41 -4.19
472.38 Grayson Rodriguez BAL P 459 485.44 13.06
473.4 Jose Suarez LAA P 420.39 466.41 -6.99
474.36 Nick Martinez FA P 733.83 501.89 27.53
476.07 Luis Gil NYY P 396.17 595.15 119.08
479.04 Trevor Rosenthal OAK P 444.67 457.44 -21.6
479.55 Zach Thompson PIT P 570.11 465.74 -13.81
481.29 Chris Stratton PIT P 505.72 509.11 27.82
482.16 Codi Heuer CHC P 534.33 496.19 14.03
482.93 Art Warren CIN P 626.5 499.67 16.74
483.33 Matt Manning DET P 487.44 502.37 19.04
486.05 Reiver Sanmartin CIN P 569.44 498.93 12.88
487.75 Pete Fairbanks TB P 495.56 485.48 -2.27
489.73 Max Meyer MIA P 446 484.44 -5.29
490.05 Hector Neris HOU P 461.39 482.44 -7.61
490.47 Ryan Yarbrough TB P 487.33 480.11 -10.36
492.69 Daniel Lynch KC P 418.06 472.11 -20.58
494.95 Brad Hand NYM P 458.94 500.59 5.64
496.49 Brad Boxberger MLW P 693.17 488.07 -8.42
500.04 Nick Lodolo CIN P 495.72 489.33 -10.71
503.69 Austin Gomber COL P 460.11 494.74 -8.95
506.11 Cole Irvin OAK P 519 511.93 5.82
508.65 Tyler Beede SF P 669.78 587.04 78.39
509.55 Kendall Graveman CWS P 372.17 467.44 -42.11
516.24 Collin McHugh TB P 504.94 504.3 -11.94
519.25 Richard Rodriguez ATL P 504.44 470.89 -48.36
520.22 Reynaldo Lopez CWS P 495.83 531.41 11.19
521.58 Jordan Hicks STL P 517.39 528.26 6.68
523.55 Tyler Anderson SEA P 518.33 520.3 -3.25
525.07 Kyle Muller ATL P 538.56 525.7 0.63
533.4 Michael Lorenzen LAA P 655.22 551.81 18.41
535.24 Mike Soroka ATL P 560.61 584.22 48.98
535.44 Garrett Crochet CWS P 515.83 520.48 -14.96
536.78 Tyler Rogers SF P 500.33 541.3 4.52
537.27 Spencer Howard TEX P 622.78 561.52 24.25
537.89 Tyler Matzek ATL P 534.72 515.37 -22.52
541.2 Mitch Keller PIT P 607.5 580.67 39.47
542.25 Ross Stripling TOR P 521.22 538.93 -3.32
543.31 Glenn Otto TEX P 610.33 569.81 26.5
543.45 David Peterson NYM P 549.72 553.85 10.4
547.33 Vladimir Gutierrez CIN P 520.61 522.96 -24.37
550.11 Cade Cavalli WAS P 545.06 540.59 -9.52
550.47 Tucker Davidson ATL P 606.28 547.26 -3.21
551.22 Kyle Freeland COL P 552.72 581 29.78
552.96 Taylor Hearn TEX P 562.11 561.33 8.37
555.62 Trevor May NYM P 587.39 568.3 12.68
555.65 Erick Fedde WAS P 585.61 562.44 6.79
558.18 Daniel Hudson LAD P 569.83 536.3 -21.88
558.22 Drew Smyly ATL P 497.11 546.11 -12.11
558.69 A.J. Puk OAK P 506.28 572.93 14.24
559.27 Dallas Keuchel CWS P 566.78 569.41 10.14
560.53 Jose Quintana PIT P 713.72 574.41 13.88
569.45 Tyler Alexander DET P 531.28 583.15 13.7
571.75 Jordan Lyles BAL P 653.28 590.22 18.47
572.25 Andres Munoz SEA P 598.22 563.11 -9.14
573 Ryan Tepera CWS P 630.94 616.44 43.44
574.67 Brad Keller KC P 576.11 579.67 5
575.62 Justin Dunn SEA P 597.94 588.56 12.94
578.64 Sammy Long SF P 559.56 571.44 -7.2
578.93 Cody Morris CLE P 685.67 570.26 -8.67
582 Kwang Hyun Kim STL P 474.61 571.3 -10.7
591.95 Daniel Bard COL P 636.44 567.11 -24.84
595.69 Tyler Duffey MIN P 615.44 566.52 -29.17
596.82 Mitch White LAD P 648.56 617.41 20.59
597 Antonio Senzatela COL P 548.11 578.67 -18.33
598.71 George Kirby SEA P 595.33 604.15 5.44
599.35 David Price LAD P 645.5 573.52 -25.83
599.47 Kyle Wright ATL P 645.28 607.74 8.27
600.98 Matt Brash SEA P 683.22 593.26 -7.72
601.04 Danny Duffy LAD P 565.78 572.56 -28.48
607.58 Dan Straily FA P NA 709.44 101.86
610.73 Eli Morgan CLE P 607.56 585.15 -25.58
611.95 Luis Garcia SD P 741.83 750.07 138.12
611.98 Yimi Garcia TOR P 655.67 604.11 -7.87
613.04 Caleb Smith ARZ P 600.11 640.37 27.33
613.16 Daulton Jefferies OAK P 658.72 623.59 10.43
613.8 Brent Suter MLW P 553.72 622.67 8.87
614.93 Julian Merryweather TOR P 591 608.52 -6.41
616.87 Jose Alvarado PHI P 547.44 597.3 -19.57
618.2 Mike Mayers LAA P 522.39 588.7 -29.5
622.65 Matt Liberatore STL P 644.44 642.19 19.54
626 Griffin Canning LAA P 638.72 661.37 35.37
628.33 Drew Pomeranz SD P 673.33 620.48 -7.85
629.04 Brusdar Graterol LAD P 600.94 629.7 0.66
629.15 MacKenzie Gore SD P 642.33 637.37 8.22
630.18 Emilio Pagan SD P 622.83 626.67 -3.51
639.6 Dustin May LAD P 582 602.44 -37.16
640.73 Jackson Kowar KC P 684.22 664.07 23.34
641.4 Bailey Falter PHI P 682.67 621.19 -20.21
641.84 Aaron Bummer CWS P 637.5 615.37 -26.47
646.36 Luke Jackson ATL P 681.89 644.89 -1.47
648.93 Paolo Espino WAS P 665.33 664.63 15.7
649.25 A.J. Alexy TEX P 713.5 676.33 27.08
649.29 Justin Steele CHC P 665.44 668.3 19.01
652.53 Johnny Cueto SF P 594.78 647.59 -4.94
653.13 Ryan Weathers SD P 623.94 633.41 -19.72
654.73 Kirby Yates ATL P 673.17 651.37 -3.36
657.62 Robert Stephenson COL P 732.72 670.89 13.27
658.51 Cole Winn TEX P 722.56 658.96 0.45
659.07 James Paxton BOS P 716.72 644.33 -14.74
659.35 Seth Lugo NYM P 699.11 667.48 8.13
661.07 Aaron Loup LAA P 664.61 648.33 -12.74
662.36 Tony Santillan CIN P 682.61 626.44 -35.92
662.45 Alec Mills CHC P 624.56 648.93 -13.52
667.56 Bryse Wilson PIT P 705.67 673.89 6.33
668.65 Alex Vesia LAD P 642.78 659 -9.65
671.11 Mychal Givens CIN P 661 665.15 -5.96
671.13 Dylan Coleman KC P 698.72 692.52 21.39
673.93 Luis Cessa CIN P 724.56 689.04 15.11
674.8 Brent Honeywell Jr. OAK P 699.83 708.07 33.27
675.85 Touki Toussaint ATL P 675.61 669.07 -6.78
676.82 Wil Crowe PIT P 718.89 719.07 42.25
682.09 Zach Davies CHC P 619.28 664.44 -17.65
684.36 Tommy Romero TB P 736.61 680.41 -3.95
686.25 Andrew Chafin OAK P 644.33 677.96 -8.29
686.53 Randy Dobnak MIN P 749.28 725.96 39.43
688.27 Matthew Boyd DET P 697.06 665.22 -23.05
692.82 Jake Cousins MLW P 713.89 691.33 -1.49
694.45 J.P. Feyereisen TB P 648.61 696.22 1.77
695.89 Clarke Schmidt NYY P 707.61 720.52 24.63
696.11 Bruce Zimmermann BAL P 741.72 744.26 48.15
697.67 Trevor Richards TOR P 739.22 709.11 11.44
699.44 Ryne Stanek HOU P 686.11 694.15 -5.29
701.07 Joan Adon WAS P 736.83 723.33 22.26
703.25 Deivi Garcia NYY P 725.61 712.44 9.19
703.4 Tyler Gilbert ARZ P 705.67 678.33 -25.07
704.75 Jake Diekman OAK P 636 652.52 -52.23
705.36 Dillon Peters PIT P 700.56 713.37 8.01
706.29 Joe Ross WAS P 664.78 701.74 -4.55
706.85 Michael King NYY P 679.78 728.3 21.45
708.38 Josh Fleming TB P 658.61 685.26 -23.12
710.69 Amir Garrett CIN P 694.72 707.74 -2.95
713.49 Brooks Raley TB P 720.67 689.85 -23.64
713.65 Spencer Strider ATL P 717.11 703.85 -9.8
714.02 Corbin Martin ARZ P 719.5 737.07 23.05
714.84 Kolby Allard TEX P 703.06 720.78 5.94
718.71 Craig Stammen SD P 672.11 680.41 -38.3
719 Zac Lowther BAL P 745.28 742.93 23.93
719.16 Garrett Richards BOS P 696.28 696.15 -23.01
719.49 Yonny Chirinos TB P 683.83 717.7 -1.79
719.6 Adam Ottavino BOS P 672.17 694.89 -24.71
720.69 J.A. Happ STL P 708.67 710.33 -10.36
721.84 Keegan Akin BAL P 735.56 731.22 9.38
722.11 Miguel Yajure PIT P 742.33 741.7 19.59
723.04 Jose Leclerc TEX P NA 745.89 22.85
723.76 Matt Wisler TB P 706.67 703.11 -20.65
724.11 Spencer Patton TEX P 740.22 723.67 -0.44
724.15 Hansel Robles BOS P 667.72 692.85 -31.3
725.96 Clay Holmes NYY P 700.28 721.81 -4.15
726.38 Tim Mayza TOR P 742 709.67 -16.71
727.89 Justus Sheffield SEA P 692.11 725 -2.89
728.24 Genesis Cabrera STL P 691.11 710.26 -17.98
729.73 Jordan Balazovic MIN P 726.28 737.04 7.31
734.6 Tanner Scott BAL P 749 719.78 -14.82
734.96 J.B. Wendelken ARZ P 571.89 706 -28.96
735.02 Joe Kelly LAD P 741.61 725.93 -9.09
735.05 Austin Adams SD P 724.17 703.3 -31.75
735.49 Ethan Small MLW P 739.17 744.74 9.25
735.78 Deolis Guerra OAK P NA 746.52 10.74
736.45 Logan T. Allen FA P NA 741.81 5.36
736.62 Taylor Widener ARZ P 736.72 746.37 9.75
737.33 Domingo Acevedo OAK P NA 734.67 -2.66
737.53 Hans Crouse PHI P 746.39 748.3 10.77
738.09 D.L. Hall BAL P NA 746.26 8.17
738.16 Carlos Martinez STL P 715.39 736.52 -1.64
738.24 Brandon Williamson SEA P 744.61 735.37 -2.87
738.31 Casey Sadler SEA P 748.39 735.44 -2.87
738.4 Trevor Williams NYM P 723.11 734.11 -4.29
738.4 Wily Peralta DET P 689 737.59 -0.81
738.47 Griffin Jax MIN P 731.72 727.63 -10.84
739.02 Phil Bickford LAD P 745.33 734 -5.02
739.11 Jake Brentz KC P 748.28 741.93 2.82
740.71 Josh Sborz TEX P 743.78 728.33 -12.38
740.87 A.J. Minter ATL P 703.89 732.15 -8.72
740.89 Erik Swanson SEA P NA 734.33 -6.56
740.91 Seranthony Dominguez PHI P 741.61 733.96 -6.95
741.15 Phil Maton HOU P 702.67 746.89 5.74
741.73 Roberto Osuna FA P 745.72 741.04 -0.69
741.87 JT Chargois TB P 728 730.78 -11.09
742.04 Jharel Cotton MIN P 750.06 750.04 8
742.22 Chris Archer TB P 706.72 720.3 -21.92
742.45 Caleb Kilian FA P NA NA NA
742.51 Demarcus Evans TEX P NA NA NA
742.62 Nick Anderson TB P 697.89 743.11 0.49
742.76 Daniel Ponce de Leon STL P NA NA NA
742.8 Connor Brogdon PHI P 702.11 713.85 -28.95
743.31 Anthony Bass MIA P 729.89 731.41 -11.9
743.51 Logan Allen CLE P 740.06 739.78 -3.73
744.09 Jeurys Familia NYM P 747.83 735.15 -8.94
744.18 Brett Anderson MLW P 722.44 740.3 -3.88
744.18 Josh Rogers WAS P 742.22 741.67 -2.51
744.44 Martin Perez BOS P 723 745.44 1
744.45 Ian Seymour FA P NA NA NA
744.62 David Robertson TB P 729.78 735.11 -9.51
744.78 Bobby Miller LAD P 747.39 738.96 -5.82
745.07 Johan Oviedo STL P 747.72 745.22 0.15
745.36 Andre Jackson LAD P NA 742.41 -2.95
745.44 Connor Seabold BOS P 728.28 730.59 -14.85
745.44 Sean Hjelle SF P 739.56 746.04 0.6
745.45 Scott Effross CHC P 723.28 736.41 -9.04
745.71 J.B. Bukauskas ARZ P 668.28 750.63 4.92
745.98 Colin Poche TB P 746.11 743.52 -2.46
746.11 Tommy Kahnle LAD P NA 749.74 3.63
746.16 Josh James HOU P 743.44 741.15 -5.01
746.56 Anthony Gose CLE P 748.44 745.04 -1.52
746.73 Chad Kuhl PIT P 723 745.37 -1.36
746.75 Josh Winder MIN P 733.22 745.48 -1.27
747.15 Trevor Megill MIN P NA 750.19 3.04
747.25 Peyton Battenfield FA P 749.83 744.11 -3.14
747.4 Emerson Hancock SEA P 735.94 742.37 -5.03
747.4 Peter Solomon HOU P NA 748.33 0.93
747.49 Kervin Castro SF P NA NA NA
747.55 Yusmeiro Petit OAK P 718.06 727.96 -19.59
747.69 Mike Foltynewicz TEX P 733.22 749.85 2.16
747.82 Jovani Moran MIN P NA NA NA
747.89 Lucas Gilbreath COL P 739.06 746.52 -1.37
748.02 Zack Thompson STL P NA NA NA
748.05 Brailyn Marquez CHC P 748.67 749.22 1.17
748.38 Brandon Bielak HOU P NA NA NA
748.4 Alex Lange DET P NA 739.22 -9.18
748.4 Jose Urena DET P NA NA NA
748.49 Heath Hembree NYM P 741.61 NA NA
748.58 Jake Woodford STL P 746.39 742.15 -6.43
748.64 Jack Leiter FA P 740.33 740.7 -7.94
748.71 Braxton Garrett MIA P NA NA NA
748.71 Caleb Thielbar MIN P NA 747.44 -1.27
748.89 Angel Zerpa KC P 745.78 745.15 -3.74
748.89 Colin Peluse FA P NA 746.78 -2.11
748.91 Adrian Morejon SD P NA 745.67 -3.24
748.91 Jarlin Garcia SF P 712.83 741.67 -7.24
748.93 Jhon Romero WAS P NA NA NA
748.96 Dillon Tate BAL P 732.72 746.59 -2.37
749.04 Dominic Leone SF P 735.06 738 -11.04
749.04 Jose Cisnero DET P 737.83 740.93 -8.11
749.09 Jorge Lopez BAL P NA NA NA
749.09 Ryan Pepiot LAD P NA 735.67 -13.42
749.11 Austin Voth WAS P NA NA NA
749.16 Josh Lindblom MLW P 729.5 749.78 0.62
749.16 Noe Ramirez ARZ P NA NA NA
749.2 Aaron Brooks FA P NA NA NA
749.24 Sam Coonrod PHI P NA 734.26 -14.98
749.29 Ryan Brasier BOS P NA NA NA
749.33 Hunter Harvey SF P 733.61 746.15 -3.18
749.37 Will Harris WAS P 746.78 750.19 0.82
749.47 Thomas Hatch TOR P 746.56 740.59 -8.88
749.51 Gregory Santos SF P NA NA NA
749.53 Ryan Rolison COL P NA NA NA
749.62 Asa Lacy KC P 720.06 748.78 -0.84
749.64 Archie Bradley PHI P 725.83 743.41 -6.23
749.73 Kenta Maeda MIN P 722.83 739.04 -10.69
749.78 Ryne Nelson FA P 739.83 745.89 -3.89
749.8 Lucas Luetge NYY P 745.67 747.74 -2.06
749.84 Cesar Valdez BAL P NA NA NA
749.84 Daniel Espino CLE P 748.56 750.7 0.86
749.84 Mark Leiter Jr. DET P 746.17 747.56 -2.28
749.89 Richard Bleier MIA P NA NA NA
750.05 Jaime Barria LAA P NA 740.96 -9.09
750.07 Adam Cimber TOR P NA 750.67 0.6
750.09 Dietrich Enns TB P 734.39 750.74 0.65
750.16 Wyatt Mills SEA P NA 742 -8.16
750.22 Jonathan Bermudez HOU P NA 733 -17.22
750.22 Keegan Thompson CHC P 742.39 749.15 -1.07
750.24 Matt Shoemaker MIN P 747.83 746.15 -4.09
750.29 Aaron Sanchez SF P 736 744.04 -6.25
750.31 Cory Abbott CHC P NA NA NA
750.36 Jon Heasley KC P NA NA NA
750.44 Drey Jameson FA P NA NA NA
750.44 Mason Thompson WAS P NA NA NA
750.47 Nick Sandlin CLE P 738.11 749 -1.47
750.51 Matt Harvey BAL P NA NA NA
750.56 Tomoyuki Sugano FA P NA NA NA
750.6 Lewis Thorpe MIN P NA 749.04 -1.56
750.65 Steven Brault PIT P 737.17 744.89 -5.76
750.67 Dean Kremer BAL P NA NA NA
750.69 Humberto Castellanos ARZ P NA NA NA
750.71 Joely Rodriguez NYY P NA NA NA
750.71 Zack Littell SF P 735.56 738.44 -12.27
750.73 Brad Wieck CHC P NA NA NA
750.73 Chris Ellis BAL P NA NA NA
750.73 Simeon Woods-Richardson TOR P 737.67 749.37 -1.36
750.75 Graham Ashcraft FA P NA NA NA
750.75 John Gant MIN P 708.17 750.89 0.14
750.75 Trevor Stephan CLE P 748.33 750.81 0.06
750.76 Bryce Elder FA P NA 748.56 -2.2
750.78 Wandy Peralta NYY P NA 749.59 -1.19
750.8 Cole Henry FA P NA NA NA
750.8 Jonathan Hernandez TEX P 745.17 746.3 -4.5
750.8 Yohan Ramirez SEA P NA NA NA
750.82 Ken Waldichuk FA P NA NA NA
750.87 Brendan McKay TB P NA NA NA
750.89 Greg Holland KC P 727.28 747.15 -3.74
750.91 Jhoan Duran MIN P 747.11 749.89 -1.02
750.91 Kodi Whitley STL P NA 749.26 -1.65
750.93 Alex Faedo DET P NA NA NA
750.95 Jalen Beeks TB P NA NA NA
750.96 Colby White FA P NA 749.52 -1.44
750.96 Kyle Crick PIT P NA NA NA
NA Adam Liberatore LAD P NA 737.19 NA
NA Austin Warren LAA P 748.28 750.22 NA
NA Ben Leeper FA P NA 747.22 NA
NA Blake Taylor HOU P NA 750.15 NA
NA Caleb Ferguson LAD P 740.28 748.56 NA
NA Chris Martin ATL P 730.78 NA NA
NA Cody Poteet MIA P 750.72 746.7 NA
NA Cole Hamels LAD P 749.06 750.44 NA
NA Darwinzon Hernandez BOS P 745 748.37 NA
NA Dellin Betances NYM P NA 747.19 NA
NA Forrest Whitley HOU P 742.44 NA NA
NA Grant Holmes OAK P NA 745.67 NA
NA Hirokazu Sawamura BOS P 731.94 NA NA
NA Hunter Strickland MLW P 750.5 746.15 NA
NA Jakob Junis KC P 741.83 750.3 NA
NA Janson Junk LAA P 745.33 749.63 NA
NA Jay Groome BOS P NA 745.19 NA
NA Jeff Hoffman CIN P NA 744.04 NA
NA Josh Taylor BOS P 741.44 745.93 NA
NA Kohei Arihara TEX P NA 750.59 NA
NA Kutter Crawford BOS P NA 750.15 NA
NA Kyle Bradish BAL P NA 750.56 NA
NA Kyle Funkhouser DET P NA 748.52 NA
NA Louis Head MIA P 736.06 743.19 NA
NA Luis Medina NYY P NA 461.11 NA
NA Luis Perdomo MLW P 750.22 303.59 NA
NA Manuel Rodriguez CHC P NA 749.33 NA
NA Max Kranick PIT P 750.33 750.3 NA
NA Nabil Crismatt SD P 750.56 750.04 NA
NA Nick Wittgren CLE P 743.39 750.67 NA
NA Peter Lambert COL P NA 750.7 NA
NA Shawn Dubin HOU P 750.83 750.04 NA
NA Spencer Turnbull DET P NA NA NA
NA Tejay Antone CIN P 713.89 746.22 NA
NA Thyago Vieira FA P 744.67 750.89 NA
NA Tim Hill SD P 744.17 747.74 NA
NA Tony Watson SF P NA 748.37 NA
NA Tyler Clippard ARZ P 715.44 748.67 NA
NA Vince Velasquez SD P 744.39 744.26 NA
NA Zac Ryan LAA P NA 747.89 NA
NA Zach Logue TOR P NA 750.63 NA
SOURCE: https://nfc.shgn.com/adp/baseball

Chad Young’s Ottoneu RP Ranks

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February 14, 2022

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Closer Thoughts for 2022 Drafts

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February 1, 2022

The Closer Thoughts for 2022 Drafts Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Strategy Section

  • Closer thoughts for 2022 drafts
    • Don’t play the waiver wire for 2 closers
    • ‘Safe’ closers
    • Economics of closers in drafts
    • Paying up for closers
    • Relative market pricing vs. absolute market pricing
    • The exaggerated case of zigging and zagging
    • Spreading your closer picks throughout the draft
    • Market premium

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Paul Sporer’s 2022 Reliever Rankings and Closer Chart

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January 24, 2022

The lockout makes this position the most uncertain on the fantasy diamond. With the lack of December and January moves, there is still so much unsettled in the closer market. To give you an idea of just how wild things are, my #14 RP is in the same bullpen as my #1, but I firmly believe Craig Kimbrel will be traded before the season starts so I’m treating him as a pretty impactful closer right now. I’ll start with a standard 1-70 ranking of relievers and then give 1-2-3 outlook of each team based on how things set up right now.

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Estimating Pitch Results from a Small Sample

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January 18, 2022

A few days ago, I wrote an article examining Reid Detmers. For Detmers, I posted the following table on comparable curveballs and the lack of results.

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Nicklaus Gaut’s 2022 Reliever Ranks

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January 18, 2022

There are a myriad of differences between valuing players and general drafting strategy for a 15-team (or deeper) league versus a 12-team (or shallower) league but I believe the starkest ones lie at reliever. Since this makes doing ‘one-size fits all” rankings particularly difficult, here are a few notes about how I approached them. Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1001 – Reliever Recon ft. Greg Jewett

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January 16, 2022

1/16/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

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