Author Archive

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1072 – Surprise Hitters ROS Outlook: National League Edition

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July 1, 2022

7/1/22

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STANDOUT HITTERS & THEIR FUTURE – NL EDITION

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1071 – Surprise Hitters ROS Outlook: American League Edition

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June 30, 2022

6/30/22

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STANDOUT HITTERS & THEIR FUTURE – AL EDITION

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Paul Sporer’s Weekly Chat – June 29th, 2022

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June 29, 2022

Transcript is below!

1:03

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone! Let’s talk some baseball!!
1:03

Mac: Strider or Roansy long-term?
1:04

Paul Sporer: Strider for me! He looks every bit like a legit SP
1:05

Jake: think snell figures it out this year? under the hood doesn’t look that far off from career numbers but he’s been tough even in shallow leagues
1:05

Paul Sporer: The tough part is when command goes in and out, he can be great for 3-4 IP and then off for 1-2 and those 1-2 can be killer
1:06

Slurve: Hi Paul! Would you rather start Gonsolin vs SD or Javier vs LAA?

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1070 – Reviewing Justin’s SP Rankings

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June 28, 2022

6/28/22

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STANDOUT STARTERS & THEIR FUTURE

High End Differences

Justin Loves

Justin Hates

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Approximately 60 minutes of joyous analysis.

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Boxscore Bits: June 28th, 2022

by
June 28, 2022
Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

A few thoughts on the pitchers from Monday’s games:

FOR STARTERS

Monday’s Starters
# Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO TBF ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
1 Chad Kuhl COL 9 3 0 0 0 0 5 29 0.00 0.33 1 92.6 7%
2 Kevin Gausman TOR 7 4 0 0 0 2 10 27 0.00 0.86 1 94.9 15%
3 Adam Wainwright STL 7 7 0 0 0 1 9 27 0.00 1.14 1 89.2 13%
4 Sonny Gray MIN 7 3 0 0 0 1 3 23 0.00 0.57 1 92.5 92.1 5%
5 Miguel Yajure PIT 4 4 0 0 0 3 0 18 0.00 1.75 0 92.6 5%
6 Tyler Wells BAL 5 1 1 1 1 0 3 17 1.80 0.20 1 94.4 18%
7 Lucas Giolito CHW 6 6 2 2 0 1 6 24 3.00 1.17 0 93 16%
8 Erick Fedde WSN 5 3 2 2 1 2 4 20 3.60 1.00 0 92.9 4%
9 Noah Syndergaard LAA 7 6 3 3 0 1 7 27 3.86 1.00 1 94.7 94.3 22%
10 Paul Blackburn OAK 5 5 3 3 2 2 7 21 5.40 1.40 0 91.3 92 9%
11 Martín Pérez TEX 6 7 4 4 0 2 6 27 6.00 1.50 1 93.4 92.9 7%
12 Tyler Anderson LAD 6 10 4 4 1 1 2 27 6.00 1.83 0 91.1 90.3 9%
13 Jordan Montgomery NYY 6.2 6 5 5 0 1 6 29 6.75 1.05 0 92.3 92.7 13%
14 Pablo López MIA 5 6 5 5 2 1 5 22 9.00 1.40 0 92.2 91.8 12%
15 Kris Bubic KCR 4.2 9 7 5 1 3 2 25 9.64 2.57 0 90.8 7%
16 Triston McKenzie CLE 6 8 7 7 2 1 7 27 10.50 1.50 0 93.7 14%
17 Connor Seabold BOS 4.2 9 7 7 3 1 7 25 13.50 2.14 0 92 20%
18 George Kirby SEA 4 9 7 7 4 1 2 23 15.75 2.50 0 95.9 11%
Sorted by ERA

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Boxscore Bits: June 27th, 2022

by
June 27, 2022
Jessica Alcheh-USA TODAY Sports

A few thoughts on the pitchers from the weekend’s games:

FOR STARTERS

The Weekend’s SPs
# Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO TBF ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
1 Germán Márquez COL 7.2 3 0 0 0 5 2 29 0.00 1.04 1 96.2 95.1 3%
2 Kyle Hendricks CHC 7.1 5 0 0 0 1 6 27 0.00 0.82 1 86.5 86.4 10%
3 Cristian Javier HOU 7 0 0 0 0 1 13 23 0.00 0.14 1 94.3 17%
4 Spencer Strider ATL 6 5 0 0 0 0 7 23 0.00 0.83 0 98.1 15%
5 Logan Webb SFG 6 2 1 0 0 2 6 23 0.00 0.67 1 92.7 92.6 10%
6 Chris Archer MIN 5 1 0 0 0 1 5 17 0.00 0.40 1 93.6 10%
7 Spenser Watkins BAL 5 5 1 0 0 1 4 21 0.00 1.20 1 90.5 15%
8 MacKenzie Gore SDP 5 3 0 0 0 4 4 22 0.00 1.40 0 93.1 8%
9 Jack Flaherty STL 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 11 0.00 1.50 0 92 90.7 10%
10 Andrew Wantz LAA 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 0.00 0.00 0 93.1 23%
11 Brett Martin TEX 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 5 0.00 3.00 0 94.4 6%
12 Dylan Cease CHW 7 4 1 1 1 1 13 26 1.29 0.71 1 97.9 20%
13 Shane McClanahan TBR 7 4 1 1 0 0 10 25 1.29 0.57 1 96.3 19%
14 Aaron Nola PHI 7 7 1 1 0 2 10 28 1.29 1.29 0 93.2 93.3 16%
15 Gerrit Cole NYY 7 4 1 1 1 2 8 26 1.29 0.86 0 98.5 13%
16 Justin Verlander HOU 7 4 1 1 1 1 3 27 1.29 0.71 1 95.5 11%
17 José Urquidy HOU 7 1 1 1 1 3 3 24 1.29 0.57 0 93.8 8%
18 Julio Urías LAD 6 3 1 1 0 2 9 23 1.50 0.83 1 93.2 19%
19 Miles Mikolas STL 6 4 1 1 0 1 9 23 1.50 0.83 0 93.9 93 8%
20 Rich Hill BOS 6 5 1 1 0 4 5 24 1.50 1.50 1 89.6 7%
21 Dane Dunning TEX 6 7 1 1 0 1 4 25 1.50 1.33 0 89.3 10%
22 Zack Greinke KCR 6 3 1 1 0 0 4 21 1.50 0.50 1 90.2 90.4 8%
23 Jackson Tetreault WSN 6 4 1 1 0 2 4 23 1.50 1.00 1 95.1 7%
24 Dylan Bundy MIN 6 4 1 1 0 2 2 23 1.50 1.00 0 89.1 89.8 8%
25 Tony Gonsolin LAD 5.2 5 1 1 0 2 5 23 1.59 1.24 0 92.7 7%
26 Paolo Espino WSN 5.1 6 1 1 1 1 3 23 1.69 1.31 0 88.5 9%
27 Rony García DET 5.1 3 1 1 0 2 3 21 1.69 0.94 1 92 92 6%
28 Patrick Sandoval LAA 5 8 1 1 1 2 6 25 1.80 2.00 0 93.3 93.7 12%
29 Roansy Contreras PIT 5 4 1 1 0 5 4 23 1.80 1.80 0 95.8 9%
30 Graham Ashcraft CIN 8 6 2 2 1 0 8 30 2.25 0.75 1 97.5 96.4 9%
31 Josiah Gray WSN 7 4 2 2 1 1 9 26 2.57 0.71 0 94.5 18%
32 David Peterson NYM 7 4 2 2 1 0 8 25 2.57 0.57 0 92.7 92.9 12%
33 Daniel Castano MIA 7 5 2 2 1 2 4 28 2.57 1.00 0 90.9 88.5 8%
34 Nick Pivetta BOS 7 9 2 2 1 0 4 29 2.57 1.29 1 94 4%
35 Max Fried ATL 6.2 6 2 2 0 1 9 26 2.70 1.05 0 94.5 93.9 15%
36 Alek Manoah TOR 6.2 5 2 2 1 3 6 27 2.70 1.20 1 94.5 93.7 7%
37 Marco Gonzales SEA 6 5 2 2 1 4 5 27 3.00 1.50 0 88.5 87.6 12%
38 Austin Voth BAL 3 1 1 1 0 2 3 12 3.00 1.00 0 94.1 19%
39 Corey Kluber TBR 5.1 5 2 2 1 0 6 21 3.38 0.94 0 87.2 88.5 16%
40 Josh Winckowski BOS 5.1 6 2 2 0 1 4 22 3.38 1.31 1 94.4 94 7%
41 Corbin Burnes MIL 7.2 5 3 3 2 2 9 30 3.52 0.91 1 96.5 96.8 15%
42 Adrian Sampson 샘슨 CHC 5 4 2 2 0 2 5 21 3.60 1.20 0 93 92.9 13%
43 Cal Quantrill CLE 5 5 2 2 1 2 4 21 3.60 1.40 0 93.3 93.6 7%
44 Zach Eflin PHI 5 4 2 2 0 2 3 22 3.60 1.20 1 93.1 92.4 8%
45 Zach Davies ARI 5 5 3 2 0 1 2 22 3.60 1.20 0 88.7 8%
46 Chris Bassitt NYM 7 6 3 3 2 0 5 26 3.86 0.86 1 94.3 93.6 7%
47 Shane Bieber CLE 7 6 3 3 1 2 4 27 3.86 1.14 0 91.2 8%
48 Tyler Mahle CIN 6.2 4 3 3 1 1 7 25 4.05 0.75 1 92.7 11%
49 Alex Cobb SFG 4.1 5 3 2 0 1 4 20 4.15 1.38 0 94.8 13%
50 Jeffrey Springs TBR 6 7 3 3 3 0 9 25 4.50 1.17 0 91.2 17%
51 Yu Darvish SDP 6 7 3 3 0 1 9 25 4.50 1.33 0 95.8 95.1 10%
52 Luis Severino NYY 6 5 3 3 1 2 7 25 4.50 1.17 0 95.6 16%
53 JT Brubaker PIT 6 9 3 3 0 0 6 27 4.50 1.50 0 93.4 15%
54 Taijuan Walker NYM 6 8 3 3 0 2 5 26 4.50 1.67 1 94.5 93 13%
55 Andre Pallante STL 6 7 3 3 1 3 2 27 4.50 1.67 0 95.4 94.7 6%
56 Michael Kopech CHW 6 3 3 3 0 4 2 25 4.50 1.17 0 94.5 6%
57 Logan Gilbert SEA 5.2 9 3 3 2 2 7 27 4.76 1.94 1 96.6 10%
58 Cole Irvin OAK 5.1 7 3 3 2 2 4 24 5.06 1.69 0 89.1 88 6%
59 James Kaprielian OAK 5.1 2 3 3 0 4 2 21 5.06 1.13 0 93.9 7%
60 Jordan Lyles BAL 7 6 4 4 1 1 4 28 5.14 1.00 0 91.9 91.3 12%
61 Sandy Alcantara MIA 7 6 5 4 2 0 4 27 5.14 0.86 0 97.8 98 5%
62 Brady Singer KCR 8.1 7 5 5 1 1 5 33 5.40 0.96 0 93.7 5%
63 Nestor Cortes NYY 5 5 3 3 1 2 7 22 5.40 1.40 0 92.1 19%
64 Mitch Keller PIT 5 5 3 3 0 1 5 21 5.40 1.20 0 95.9 94.7 8%
65 Chris Flexen 플렉센 SEA 5 5 3 3 1 2 3 20 5.40 1.40 1 93 7%
66 Joe Ryan MIN 5 8 3 3 1 1 1 25 5.40 1.80 1 90.4 5%
67 Jared Koenig OAK 4.2 5 3 3 1 3 4 23 5.79 1.71 0 88.9 7%
68 Merrill Kelly 켈리 ARI 6 7 4 4 1 1 5 26 6.00 1.33 0 92 91.9 8%
69 Michael Lorenzen LAA 3 4 2 2 0 4 5 18 6.00 2.67 0 94.2 93.2 12%
70 Trevor Rogers MIA 4.1 7 3 3 1 1 5 21 6.23 1.85 0 94.2 9%
71 Blake Snell SDP 5.2 6 4 4 1 2 4 25 6.35 1.41 0 95.4 18%
72 Lance Lynn CHW 6.2 6 6 5 1 1 8 29 6.75 1.05 0 93.3 91.2 21%
73 Alex Faedo DET 4 3 3 3 1 3 4 18 6.75 1.50 0 94.2 9%
74 Mitch White LAD 4 5 3 3 1 2 3 20 6.75 1.75 0 93.6 93.5 11%
75 Chi Chi González MIL 4 4 3 3 1 2 3 17 6.75 1.50 0 92.1 2%
76 Aaron Civale CLE 4 8 3 3 0 3 2 22 6.75 2.75 0 90.7 7%
77 Antonio Senzatela COL 5 8 4 4 0 2 6 25 7.20 2.00 0 94.7 15%
78 Adrian Houser MIL 6 9 5 5 0 1 3 26 7.50 1.67 0 94.6 94.1 3%
79 Dallas Keuchel ARI 4.1 6 4 4 0 3 7 22 8.31 2.08 0 86.9 86.8 15%
80 Ian Anderson ATL 4 6 4 4 1 4 6 22 9.00 2.50 0 93.7 17%
81 Yusei Kikuchi TOR 2 6 5 2 2 1 5 15 9.00 3.50 0 93.7 10%
82 Brad Keller KCR 3.2 8 5 4 0 2 4 21 9.82 2.73 0 94.6 94.3 10%
83 Mike Minor CIN 5 8 6 6 3 2 4 24 10.80 2.00 0 90.4 6%
84 Ryan Feltner COL 4 8 5 5 0 1 2 21 11.25 2.25 0 93.6 92.8 8%
85 Beau Brieske DET 3.2 5 5 5 1 3 2 19 12.27 2.18 0 94.5 94 7%
86 Kyle Gibson PHI 2.2 4 5 5 0 3 2 17 16.88 2.63 0 92.5 92.5 13%
87 Alec Mills CHC 2.2 6 5 5 3 1 1 15 16.88 2.63 0 89.3 89.7 0%
88 Anthony DeSclafani SFG 2.2 7 7 7 0 1 1 16 23.63 3.00 0 93.2 92.4 9%
89 José Berríos TOR 2.2 8 8 8 2 2 1 18 27.00 3.75 0 94.3 93.9 5%
90 Glenn Otto TEX 2 6 6 6 0 3 1 13 27.00 4.50 0 92.4 92.4 8%
Sorted by ERA

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1069 – Surprising Standout Starters

by
June 24, 2022

6/24/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

STANDOUT STARTERS & THEIR FUTURE

BEN CLEMENS INVESTIGATES

—

As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment below with fantasy questions.

You can show your support to Fangraphs by becoming a member! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.

You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes or via the feed. Please rate & review the show in iTunes letting us know what you think!

Approximately 68 minutes of joyous analysis.

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Boxscore Bits: June 24th, 2022

by
June 24, 2022
Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

A few thoughts on the pitchers from Tuesday’s games:

FOR STARTERS

Thursday’s SPs
# Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO TBF ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
1 Frankie Montas OAK 8 2 0 0 0 2 8 28 0.00 0.50 0 97.2 96.7 11%
2 Devin Smeltzer MIN 6 3 0 0 0 0 3 21 0.00 0.50 1 89.2 8%
3 Dean Kremer BAL 5.2 7 0 0 0 1 4 24 0.00 1.41 1 94.1 12%
4 Clayton Kershaw LAD 6 7 1 1 0 1 7 25 1.50 1.33 1 91 13%
5 Robbie Ray SEA 6 4 1 1 0 2 6 24 1.50 1.00 0 92.8 92.9 14%
6 Zach Plesac CLE 6 3 1 1 1 2 6 23 1.50 0.83 0 92.8 13%
7 Braxton Garrett MIA 4.2 9 2 1 0 1 7 24 1.93 2.14 0 92 91.2 16%
8 Ranger Suárez PHI 7.1 7 2 2 1 2 3 30 2.45 1.23 1 93.2 92.7 5%
9 Kyle Freeland COL 7 7 2 2 0 0 5 29 2.57 1.00 0 90 89.3 11%
10 Jose Quintana PIT 6 6 2 2 0 1 6 23 3.00 1.17 0 91.7 92.4 18%
11 Framber Valdez HOU 6 2 3 3 1 3 7 23 4.50 0.83 0 92.2 93.9 6%
12 Johnny Cueto CHW 5.1 7 3 3 1 1 7 23 5.06 1.50 0 91.7 91.1 14%
13 Jason Alexander MIL 5.2 6 4 4 1 2 5 24 6.35 1.41 1 93.3 92.3 6%
14 Kyle Wright ATL 5.1 10 4 4 1 1 4 25 6.75 2.06 1 94.9 94.1 8%
15 Justin Steele CHC 5.2 7 6 5 2 0 8 26 7.94 1.24 0 92.8 92.2 10%
16 Joe Musgrove SDP 6 7 6 6 2 1 1 25 9.00 1.33 0 92.7 92.1 8%
17 Jameson Taillon NYY 5.2 10 6 6 2 0 3 28 9.53 1.76 0 93.5 93.5 6%
18 Dakota Hudson STL 4.1 7 5 5 2 3 2 21 10.38 2.31 0 91.7 91.6 8%
19 Hunter Greene CIN 5 9 6 6 3 2 3 23 10.80 2.20 0 98.5 8%
20 Alex Wood SFG 1 4 6 6 1 2 1 11 54.00 6.00 0 91 10%
Sorted by ERA

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Boxscore Bits: June 23rd, 2022

by
June 23, 2022
Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

A few thoughts on the pitchers from Tuesday’s games:

FOR STARTERS

Wednesday’s Starters
# Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO TBF ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
1 Shohei Ohtani LAA 8 2 0 0 0 1 13 26 0.00 0.38 1 97 11%
2 Pablo López MIA 7 4 1 0 0 3 6 27 0.00 1.00 1 92.2 92.1 9%
3 George Kirby SEA 6 5 0 0 0 1 6 23 0.00 1.00 1 95.2 8%
4 Tyler Wells BAL 5 3 0 0 0 4 4 22 0.00 1.40 1 93.7 6%
5 Carlos Rodón SFG 7 3 1 1 0 1 10 25 1.29 0.57 0 95.1 24%
6 Keegan Thompson CHC 6 4 1 1 1 1 7 24 1.50 0.83 1 94.6 93.8 7%
7 Ross Stripling TOR 6 5 1 1 0 1 5 22 1.50 1.00 1 91.4 88.6 10%
8 Shane Baz TBR 4.2 4 1 1 1 2 6 20 1.93 1.29 0 96.2 13%
9 Daniel Lynch KCR 4.2 3 1 1 0 5 5 22 1.93 1.71 0 94.4 93.4 8%
10 Mike Clevinger SDP 4 4 1 1 1 2 3 19 2.25 1.50 0 94.2 4%
11 Charlie Morton ATL 7 3 2 2 2 0 11 26 2.57 0.43 0 94.8 94.2 12%
12 Michael Wacha BOS 6 5 2 2 1 2 7 25 3.00 1.17 1 93 92.9 6%
13 Jon Gray TEX 5.2 4 2 2 1 1 5 23 3.18 0.88 1 96.5 15%
14 Zack Wheeler PHI 4.1 7 4 2 0 3 8 23 4.15 2.31 0 96 95.8 12%
15 Luis Garcia HOU 5 6 3 3 0 1 5 21 5.40 1.40 1 93.3 22%
16 Tyler Anderson LAD 5 5 4 3 1 1 2 21 5.40 1.20 0 90.8 90.3 5%
17 Jordan Montgomery NYY 6 9 4 4 2 2 2 26 6.00 1.83 0 92.9 92.9 9%
18 Patrick Corbin WSN 4 7 3 3 2 1 6 20 6.75 2.00 0 93 93.5 13%
19 Sonny Gray MIN 4 8 4 3 1 0 4 20 6.75 2.00 0 92.9 93 12%
20 Luis Castillo CIN 5 5 4 4 0 3 6 25 7.20 1.60 0 96.3 96.5 11%
21 Chad Kuhl COL 5 6 4 4 1 2 3 22 7.20 1.60 0 88.8 91.9 9%
22 Eric Lauer MIL 6 6 5 5 2 1 5 24 7.50 1.17 0 93.8 11%
23 Adam Wainwright STL 4.2 7 4 4 2 1 7 22 7.71 1.71 0 87.8 89 3%
24 Madison Bumgarner ARI 4 9 6 4 0 0 5 22 9.00 2.25 0 91.9 13%
25 Tarik Skubal DET 4.2 6 6 6 1 3 5 23 11.57 1.93 0 93.7 94.6 12%
26 Triston McKenzie CLE 4.1 9 6 6 3 1 5 22 12.46 2.31 0 92.9 14%
27 Lucas Giolito CHW 5 11 7 7 2 1 3 26 12.60 2.40 0 92 8%
28 Paul Blackburn OAK 4 10 7 7 2 2 4 24 15.75 3.00 0 91.9 91.8 12%
29 Carlos Carrasco NYM 2.1 4 5 5 3 2 2 14 19.29 2.57 0 92.4 91.6 8%
30 Jerad Eickhoff PIT 4.1 10 10 10 2 1 4 27 20.77 2.54 0 89.6 88.9 11%
Sorted by ERA

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Paul Sporer’s Weekly Chat – June 22nd, 2022

by
June 22, 2022

Transcript is below!

1:04

Paul Sporer: Hey everyone!
1:04

Zeff Jimmerman: So why isn’t Nestor Cortez on your Main Event team
1:04

Paul Sporer: RUDE!
1:04

Honkus Wagner: starting Morton & Blackburn tonight?
1:04

Paul Sporer: Yes for both
1:04

Faz: Who are a few 3b options likely available in 10 team points leagues that I should be targeting?

Read the rest of this entry »


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