Archive for Beat the Shift

Beat the Shift Podcast – Player Pool & Catcher Episode w/ Todd Zola

The Player Pool & Catcher Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Todd Zola

Todd’s Mastersball Projections

  • What’s new?
  • Assuming a DH in the National League
  • Adjusting for the Camden Yards’ new dimensions
  • Adjusting for the Blue Jays irregular home park in 2021

Strategy Section

  • Player Pool
    • Starting Pitchers
      • Is there more risk at the very top?
      • Is this the year to wait and grab pitchers in the early middle rounds?
    • Closers
      • Where is the value?
      • How many saves do you really need to be competitive?
    • Corner infielders
      • Bargains in the first base position
        • Pass on top talent?
      • The drop in talent at third base
        • How to attack/address the 3B position
    • Middle infielders
      • Do you need to obtain steals from the middle infield position?
      • Setting hotspot values and budgeting for the middle infield
    • Outfielders
      • At what price points should one purchase outfielders?
        • Early, middle, late, or spread them out?
        • The $1 outfielder conundrum
        • The effect of multiple position eligilibity on the OF pool

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Beat the Shift Podcast – NFBC Episode w/ Jenny Butler

The NFBC Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Jenny Butler

First Pitch Arizona mishaps

Strategy Section

  • Playing in the NFBC
    • What is the NFBC?
    • How Jenny got into the NFBC and how you can get your start
      • Tools that a first time player should use
    • Differences between home leagues and the NFBC
    • Differences between standalone leagues and leagues with an overall prize
    • The value of multi-positional players in the NFBC
    • KDS selection preferences
  • Should we pay the market premium for saves and for speed?
  • Roster Construction
    • General principles
    • Should you create a “Do Not Draft” list?
  • Draft preparation tips
  • Incorporating risk into drafting decisions
  • Jacob deGrom – What to make of the current Steamer IP projection?
  • Power Drafters
    • Should you incorporate a “deGrom share” into your fantasy portfolio?
    • Should you diversify your player selections on your fantasy teams?
  • How to find fantasy baseball sleepers

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Format Episode w/ Frank Stampfl

The Format Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Frank Stampfl

Tout Wars Congratulations

Strategy Section

  • Drafting Strategy based on fantasy format
    • Rotisserie leagues vs. Head-to-Head Points leagues vs. Head-to-Head Category leagues
      • One win vs. full category score
    • Waiver wire leagues vs. Draft Champion/Draft & Hold Leagues
    • Roto leagues vs. Best ball leagues
    • Trading leagues vs. non-trading leagues
    • Deeper leagues vs. shallow leagues
    • 1-Catcher leagues vs. 2-Catcher leagues
    • Large vs. small bench size
      • Having IL slots vs. no IL slots
    • Daily lineups vs. weekly lineups
    • Overall competition vs. standalone leagues

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Streaming Episode w/ Michael Simione

The Streaming Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Michael Simione

Joes vs. Pros Congratulations

Strategy Section

  • Streaming Players
    • Definition of streaming
    • Long-term holding of players streamed
    • Streaming hitters
    • Should you stream players in-season from the very beggining?
      • Should you set aside roster spots in your draft for streaming?
  • Streaming Starting Pitchers
    • Advice for first-time players
    • How to determine which starting pitchers to stream
      • What stats to consider?
      • Can you avoid getting “Gombered?”
    • Budgeting FAAB for Streaming
      • How much should you pay per week in FAAB on starting pitcher streamers?
    • How to manage your bench in-season for streamers?
      • How many slots should you allocate?

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Healing Episode w/ Ron Shandler

The Healing Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Ron Shandler

LABR Congratulations

Strategy Section

  • Dealing with the current injury frequency level in baseball
    • Roster construction
    • Risk management
      • Broad Assesment Balance Sheet (BABS)
    • Reasons for injury frequency by team
    • Risk-adjusted pricing vs. managing to a risk budget
    • First round picks
  • How to think about Binary Risk
  • Playing fantay against “Power Drafters” who take on more risk
  • Is the market still right to draft risky elite starting pitching?
  • Is the market overpricing stable closers in early drafts?
  • How to value prospects in drafts?

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Understanding Statistics Episode w/ Mike Podhorzer

The Understanding Statistics Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Mike Podhorzer

Bar Mitzvah Talk

  • Coke & Pepsi

Projections

  • Pod Projections
  • Manual vs. automated projections
  • Where do automated projections fail / blind spots?

In-Season

  • At what point in the season should you rely on in-season statistics vs. pre-season projections?

Understandings Statistics Section

  • Hitting Statistics
    • BA
    • OBP
    • SLG
    • OPS
    • BB%
    • K%
    • HR/FB%
    • Barrel%
  • How can you tell if a YOY increase in a statistic is real skill, or if it was a fluke?
  • BABIP
  • Using Statcast to identify pockets of value / undervalued players
  • What in-season statistics should you use when setting waiver wire pickups for hitters?
  • Pitching Statistics
    • ERA
    • WHIP
    • Swing Strike %
  • How to adjust for a potential universal DH in 2022?
  • Strand Rate (LOB%)
  • ERA Estimators
    • FIP vs. xFIP vs. SIERA
      • Descriptive vs. Predictive
  • What in-season statistics should you use when setting waiver wire pickups for pitchers?
    • K% is superior to K/9
    • K-BB% or K% – Which is more valuable to track in-season?
  • What statistics should one track to tout relievers for saves in 2022?
  • Scouting for saves in 2022
  • Other important statistics to track
    • Plate discipline metrics
      • O-Swing%, Z-Swing%, O-Contact%, Z-Contact%, etc.

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Episode w/ Jeremy Hefner (New York Mets)

The latest episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Jeremy Hefner, New York Mets

Interview

  • Highlight of career
  • Game preparation
    • Preparing players for the mental & physical aspects of the game
    • Is game planning more about having players pitch to their strengths, or about exploiting weaknesses of your opponents ?
    • In-game management
      • 3rd time through the order
    • Use of an “opener”
    • How “first-in” and “next-in” pitchers coming out of the bullpen are decided

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Episode w/ Trevor May (New York Mets)

The latest episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Trevor May, New York Mets

Interview

  • Highlight of Career
  • Game planning
    • Is about pitching to your strengths, or exploiting your opponents weaknesses?
    • Game planning team by team
    • Helping other teammates with game planning
    • Having a “default” game plan
    • Using MLB the Show
    • Learning from other teammates
  • Health
    • Recovering from TJS
    • Switching from starter to reliever
    • Keeping healthy all season long
    • Extended rest between outings – good or bad?
  • Injury Guru Trivia of the Week
  • Analytics
    • Trevor’s own stat – Command Quality Ratio (CQR)
    • Trevor’s CQR and Ariel’s wPDI
    • Horizontal movement vs. vertical movement on pitches
    • Pitch velocity, spin rate, spin efficiency
    • Hanging out with the analytics staff
  • Mailbag
    • Who do you NOT want to face with the bases loaded?
    • Why #65?
    • Day games vs. night games
    • Favorite inning to pitch in
    • Love of cats
    • Favorite podcast

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Beat the Shift Podcast – End of Season Recap Episode

The End of Season Recap Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

The focus of this podcast is on fantasy baseball strategy.

Today, we look back at the topics and highlights of our season-long coverage, and give thanks to all those that made our show extraodinary this year.

 

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Live Episode from First Pitch Arizona 2021

The Live Episode from First Pitch Arizona 2021 of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Derek Carty

What’s new in THE BAT X for 2022?

Strategy Section

  • Risk
    • How to deal with injury risk
    • How to discount for binary risk
    • Low risk players / consistent players
      • Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week
    • Categorical Risk
    • Replacement Level Risk
    • Ace Pitcher Risk – Should you draft pitchers in the first few rounds?
    • Stacking Risk – Doubling up in one league vs. spreading out in two different leagues
  • Auction
    • Spread the Risk vs. Stars & Scrubs
      • League depth matters
      • Grab value in every price tier
    • The value at the corner infield position
    • The Joey Votto nomination strategy

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