Archive for Featured

Third Time’s a Charm?

Credit: David Banks-Imagn Images

Feels like a starting pitcher is hitting the IL every day. Or is that just on my fantasy team? As I scoured the waiver wire for options to just get me some innings, I wanted to try to at least maintain some kind of floor.

When looking at pitchers outside of your top rostered starters, it can be a minefield; these are pitchers not picked up for a reason. The problem that can be prevalent is that these pitchers are susceptible to blow-up innings that quickly crater decent starts into nightmare starts. Often this takes place on the third time through the lineup.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – September 4th, 2026

Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

I have to take Charlotte to the vet for a big dental procedure (my little ol’ lady is going to be fully toothless!) and then record the 2-start pod with Justin this morning. I can drop some notes and answer any comments after that but holy moly this is one of the worst full slates I’ve seen all year! Only 11 full recos and then 6 sketchy recos in the 1-2x range.

DET-CLE does have a doubleheader, but neither of the second starts (Logan Allen로건 for CLE, Andrew Sears for DET in what is likely a bullpen game) merit any attention.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1535 – 2027 Meatball Draft Review Pt. 2

9/3/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

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YOUTUBE

2027 DRAFT REVIEW PT. 2

Top 40 Fallers

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1:37:30

Dynasty Due Diligence: September 2026

Credit: Joe Puetz-Imagn Images

Series Overview

This series aims to help readers conduct routine due diligence in their dynasty leagues. It makes use of up-to-date OOPSY Peak projections and my own arbitrary whims to discuss a handful of players, both prospects and major leaguers, who may have seen their perceived value shift recently. Any reference to how a player projects using the FanGraphs auction calculator uses these settings (15-team 5×5 SV 2 C) with OOPSY DC (ROS).

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Seven Notable Barrel Rate Fallers Since July

Mandatory Credit: Jim Cowsert-Imagn Images

Since July, several fantasy-relevant hitters have been barreling the ball less often. Some have been recovering and returning from injuries. With others, the power seems to have just disappeared recently.

The table below shows the hitters with a three-percentage point drop in their barrels per plate appearance since July, minimum 50 PA.

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Big Kid Adds (Week 23)


Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even larger entry fees ($2.5K to $15K). They are named Elite leagues (previously called High Stakes Leagues), and there are nine of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers try to gain every advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in four or more leagues.

Batters

Walker Jenkins (8): In 19 PA, I haven’t seen anything that would change my value of him. While his Contact% is down from 85% in AAA to 72%, his strikeout rate dropped from 15% to 5%. He only has a .188 AVG (.143 BABIP), but his .250 ISO will play.

A small, faded red flag is that teams are not throwing him any fastballs (26% vs league average of 48%). It seems there is a book out on how to attack him.

Turner Hill (5): The 27-outfielder had a stretch of six straight starts for the Giants, but has only started in one of the last three games. Right now, Hill, Drew Gilbert, and Jonah Cox share two outfield spots.

I can see his appeal. He makes a lot of contact (88% Contact%, .342 AVG) with some power (9 HR in AAA). Additionally, he stole 24 bases in the minors this year with one so far in the majors. Kind of a Nico Hoerner-lite profile.

Will Smith (4): With Smith coming off the IL, he was an easy add for teams wanting to improve their catching.

Blaze Alexander (4): Before BLAZE went on the IL, he was starting every game, playing all over the field (2B, 3B, SS, and possibly OF qualified), and batting .312/.368/.439 with 4 HR and 9 SB.

Since returning, he’s struggled (.368 OPS) and only started in four of six games, at three different positions.

Héctor Rodríguez (4): After starting slow (.306 OPS in 34 PA), he has taken off with a 1.137 OPS in his last 39 PA. As I write this, he has hit another home run for a total of five.

Just looking at his overall stats, he doesn’t seem to have a weakness. The only complaint might be that he hasn’t stolen a base yet.

Jonah Cox (4): After appearing locked as a bench warmer, Cox started in six of the last seven games, including starts against both lefties and righties. In 75 PA, the 25-year-old outfielder has been balanced with a .294 AVG, 4 HR, and 8 SB. His batting average is at risk because it is propped up by a .516 BABIP, and his swing-and-miss will bring it down (44% K%, 64% Contact%).

Hao-Yu Lee (4): Starting (13 straight starts), hitting (.742 OPS, 8 HR, 2 SB), and qualified at two positions (2B and 3B). Some team in every league could use that help.

Starters

Elmer Rodríguez (5): I know there weren’t many starting pitcher waiver wire options,* but Rodríguez should not have been considered. Coming into the week, he had a 4.70 ERA (5.43 xFIP), 1.52 WHIP (5.1 BB/9), and 6.3 K/9. Still, managers in half of these leagues added him for a two-start week and were rewarded with 5 ER, 5 K, and 3 BB (2 HBP) in 3 IP.

He has never shown any control at any level, but for some reason, giving up just two walks in his previous start made people think he has turned things around?

His struggles stem from the fact that he can’t get any non-fastball over the plate. If he falls behind in the count, he is forced to throw a fastball across the plate or walk the batter. Besides complete desperation, I have no idea why he was rostered.

* Note: I think the wire is extremely picked over as managers are looking at each upcoming matchup and focusing more on pitcher matchup than pitcher talent.

Mike Burrows (5): Burrows was making progress from an elbow injury and had 15 K with just 5 BB in 13 IP during his rehab. But just before coming off the IL, his shoulder started acting up, and his rehab was stopped. He’s not rosterable anymore with so little of the season left for him to get healthy.

Davis Martin (4), Andre Pallante (4), and Nick Pivetta (4): As I note above, these deep-league managers are scrapping for any available starting pitchers.

  • Martin: Martin came off the IL and is facing the Astros this week. He wasn’t on bid lists for the Astros. Martin now lines up for two starts against the Pirates and Cardinals next week.
  • Pallante: Again, he’s still on the IL and might come off to face the Dodgers or at Colorado this week. Those aren’t the matchups managers are adding him for; it’s for potential starts against the Giants (x2) and the Pirates.
  • Pivetta: It’s not known when Pivetta will return, but he’s the best pitcher of the three and the Padres have some weak (and strong – LAD, at COL) matchups coming up.

Yusei Kikuchi (4) and Randy Dobnak (4): The desperation continues, as managers will add any pitcher with a pulse. While Dobnak’s results were great in his first nine appearances (1.58 ERA, despite a 1.40 WHIP), he turned back into a pumpkin over his last two starts (6.75 ERA, 1.33 WHIP).

Kikuchi starts against the Pirates this week, and his managers are hoping goes okay. He continues to get hit around (.331 BABIP and 1.5 HR/9) and has a 5.65 ERA and 1.49 WHIP.

Getting ahead with Martin, Pallante, and Pivetta keeps managers from starting Kikuchi, Dobnak, and Rodriguez.

Relievers

Bryan Hudson (8) and Elvis Alvarado (8): Both pitchers got their team’s last two Saves, so it’s reasonable that they’ll get some more this season.

Most Added Players in NFBC “Elite” Leagues
Name Leagues Max Winning Bid Min Winning Bid
Bryan Hudson 8 12 1
Elvis Alvarado 8 11 1
Walker Jenkins 8 44 5
Elmer Rodriguez 5 11 1
Mike Burrows 5 15 2
Turner Hill 5 4 1
Davis Martin 4 5 1
Will Smith 4 32 2
Blaze Alexander 4 13 4
Hector Rodriguez 4 8 5
Jonah Cox 4 7 1
Andre Pallante 4 4 1
Randy Dobnak 4 3 1
Nick Pivetta 4 11 2
Yusei Kikuchi 4 4 1
Hao-Yu Lee 4 3 1

Starting Pitcher Chart – September 3rd, 2026

Lon Horwedel-Imagn Images

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

Outside of Skubal and Sandy, every other 3-x carries some concern:

  • McClanahan gets a TEX team that hits lefties really well and hasn’t reached 6 IP in any of his L6
  • Henderson gets the blazing hot Cubs; Gausman gets the hot-hitting Brewers — I’m sure this’ll be 2-1 now, lol
  • Bennett was uninspiring for 6 straight (5.29 ERA/1.38 WHIP) until his recent gem at NYY
  • Soriano gets a nice matchup, but has just a 1.38 WHIP with TOR
  • Brown was great last time out (6.7 IP/1 ER/10 Ks) but it was only his 2nd start of 0-1 BB all yr (13% BB)

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Mining the News (9/2/26)


Paul Rutherford-Imagn Images

Note: Any noted rostership rates come from the NFBC RotoWire Online Championship, the same rates we use on the FanGraphs Player Rater. For reference, these leagues are 12-team Roto leagues with 30-man rosters (2 C, 1B, 2B, SS, 3B, MI, CI, 5 OF, UT, 9 P) and weekly add/drops. This rate can be compared to other rostership rates found in this article.

American League

Guardians

• Slade Cecconi seems to be building up as a reliever during his rehab assignment.

RHP Slade Cecconi
Injury: Right arm fatigue
IL date: Aug. 7 (15-day IL)
Expected return: September
Status: Set for second rehab appearance with Triple-A Columbus on Aug. 30. Threw 26 pitches over one scoreless inning in first outing on Aug. 25, followed by 10 pitches in bullpen.

Both of his appearances are out of the bullpen, but he has thrown 3.2 IP. Multi-inning reliever in the making. Read the rest of this entry »


Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – September 2nd, 2026

Thanks for coming out! If you missed it, please feel free to drop a comment with your question and I’ll get to it when I can. You can also leave questions in my daily SP charts in you have an inquiry on a non-chat day.

1:01

Paul Sporer: Good afternoon, y’all, thanks for coming out!!

1:03

yochuckie: Two possibly three weeks remaining in the fantasy season/playoffs. Does Julio Rodriguez get an opportunity to make up some ground in his supposed second half extravaganza or is he just who he is? A healthy version of LuBob?

1:06

Paul Sporer: Yeah we didn’t get our normal elite JRod in the second half. After a huge May, it looked like maybe he was gonna finally get a monster season top to bottom, but that turned out to be his only good one. A .250 2H BABIP is really holding him back. He’s one of those stars who isn’t meeting expectations but is still too good to take outta the lineup in most situations

1:07

MD: Looks like Fried/Warren piggybacking this week after a short outing last week. Weekly league, you rolling with him next week (NYM), or would you take Bennet (LAA) or even Painter (HOU, @ATL)?

1:07

Paul Sporer: Over your Fried you’re saying?

1:07

Paul Sporer: I’d probably lean Bennett straight up for this week, especially since Fried will likely get the frontend and not be eligible for the W

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Starting Pitcher Chart – September 2nd, 2026

Brad Penner-Imagn Images

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

I’ll answer questions about guys in the comments, plus I have my chat later this afternoon.

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