Archive for Starting Pitchers

Roto Riteup: August 28, 2026

Rumbling, bumbling, stumbling…Zac Veen tumbling

On the Agenda: 

  1. Quick Hits
  2. Various News and Notes
  3. Streaming Pitchers

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Roto Riteup: August 27, 2026

Well done, Mr. Schwarber

That’s 40 or more home runs in four of his last five seasons. Schwarber and Aaron Judge are tied with the most homers (227) since 2022.

On the Agenda: 

  1. Quick Hits
  2. Various News and Notes
  3. Streaming Pitchers

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Outlier Offenses in Mid-Term Windows, The Finale

This is the fourth and final installment of the Outliers series. In mid-April, I introduced the process of reviewing matchups and schedules in three-week windows to identify team offense outliers. The basic premise is that rest-of-season (ROS) analysis has high margins of error and that it is better to compartmentalize fantasy decision-making into shorter timeframes. At that time, the Chicago White Sox and New York Mets were highlighted as positive offensive outliers. Over the next 3.5 weeks, the White Sox scored the fourth-most runs and ranked top three in ISO and wRC+, while the Mets were a huge letdown. In mid-May, the featured offenses, based on matchups, were the Texas Rangers and the San Francisco Giants. The Rangers’ schedule helped them to score the 12th most runs over those weeks. The Giants, who were the worst offense in the Majors at that time, took advantage of their incredible schedule and turned into the best offense in baseball over the next month: third in runs and first in ISO, SLG, and wRC+. In mid-June, I recommended targeting hitters from the Athletics and Colorado Rockies due to their advantageous “on-paper” schedule. From June 11 through July 5, the Rockies were the most productive offense in baseball, averaging a league-best 6.43 runs per game, with the highest ISO (.233), and the only offense with a .500+ slugging percentage. The Athletics were seventh in total runs (118) at a rate of 5.36 per game, despite being without Brent Rooker.

This final review of a 3.5-week window will take us through Sunday, September 20. Technically, we could extend this through the final week of the season, but it’s better not to, as teams will be shutting down players and playoff teams will be resting some of their players. First, let’s review how pitching staffs have performed over the last six weeks and highlight the potentially fruitful matchups which should lead us to our offensive outliers.

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FAAB Frenzy and Waivers Wild: Week 23

Every Monday, this column will break down the most popular waiver wire and free agent acquisitions from the weekend. I dig into the top adds on the ever-popular Fantrax and in the NFBC Online Championship (OC), a national mid-stakes contest with 240 total leagues of 12 and a six-figure grand prize. Reviewing player adds between the two should provide us with a well-rounded perspective and barometer of the fantasy baseball marketplace.

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5 Starting Pitchers on New Teams Making Pitch Mix Changes

Mandatory Credit: David Banks-Imagn Images

It’s been around two weeks since the MLB Trade Deadline. That’s a sample of 2-3 starts for these starting pitchers with their new teams. Though we’re dealing with a small sample, it’s enough to look and see if these players could be making pitch mix adjustments with their new teams.

We’ll examine pitch mix changes and whether it’s helpful to their arsenal moving forward. As with anything fantasy baseball-related, we want to rely more heavily on the larger sample than recent changes. However, the pitch mix adjustments with their new teams could be a signal of future changes in their arsenal. Let’s cover five starting pitchers who have been changing their pitch mix with their new teams.

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Ottoneu Starting Pitching Planner: August 24–30

Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images

Welcome back to the Ottoneu Starting Pitching Planner. Based on the Roster Resource Probables Grid, I’ve organized every starter slated to start next week into four categories: start, maybe, risky, and sit for Ottoneu points leagues. The first and last category are pretty self-explanatory. Starters who fall into the “maybe” category are guys you could start if you need to keep up with the innings pitched pace in points leagues or need to hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues; they’re good bets to turn in a decent start, but you shouldn’t automatically insert them into your lineup. If you’ve fallen behind on the innings pitched pace or you’re really starving for starts in a head-to-head matchup, you could turn to a “risky” starter or two.

I’ve also calculated a “Matchup Score” for each series using a straight combination of opponent’s home/away wOBA, opponent wOBA over the last 14 days, and the park factor for the ballpark the teams are playing in. It’s indexed so that 100 is average and anything above that is a favorable matchup and anything below is unfavorable. That matchup rating informs some of the sit/start recommendations I’m making, though the quality of the pitcher definitely takes precedence.

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Roto Riteup: August 21, 2026

He has arrived!

On the Agenda: 

  1. Quick Hits
  2. Various News and Notes
  3. Streaming Pitchers

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Roto Riteup: August 20, 2026

  • No words, just vibes:

On the Agenda: 

  1. Closer Chaos
  2. Quick Hits
  3. Various News and Notes
  4. Streaming Pitchers

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FAAB Frenzy and Waivers Wild: Week 22

Aug 15, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; St. Louis Cardinals left fielder Joshua Baez (22) hits a two-run home run against the Chicago Cubs during the first inning at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY

Every Monday, this column will break down the most popular waiver wire and free agent acquisitions from the weekend. I dig into the top adds on the ever-popular Fantrax and in the NFBC Online Championship (OC), a national mid-stakes contest with 240 total leagues of 12 and a six-figure grand prize. Reviewing player adds between the two should provide us with a well-rounded perspective and barometer of the fantasy baseball marketplace.

Read the rest of this entry »


Pitcher Playing Time Changes: August 14, 2026

Credit: Albert Cesare/USA TODAY Network via Imagn Images

We’ve reached the home stretch of the season after the trade deadline, and there’ve been plenty of shifts in projected playing time with players switching teams. For today’s roundup, I’ll focus only on starting pitchers, since their changes were much more notable.

Notable Playing Time Changes, SP, 7/31 to 8/14
Name Team Old % of Team’s Remaining GS New % of Team’s Remaining GS PT Change Old Remaining GS New Remaining GS Change Reason
Jackson Kent WSN 2% 15% 13% 1 6 5 Welcome to the bigs!
Blade Tidwell SFG 2% 13% 11% 1 5 4 Filling the post-Ray rotation spot
Keider Montero DET 6% 16% 10% 2 6 4 Hold on rotation spot is ironclad now
Andrew Alvarez WSN 7% 17% 10% 3 7 4 Should hold onto his spot after Foster Griffin trade
George Klassen LAA 3% 13% 10% 1 5 4 Will get a good long look the rest of the year
Jackson Jobe DET 2% 12% 10% 1 5 4 Back from Tommy John and the stuff looks great
Cody Bradford TEX 3% 12% 9% 1 5 4 Back from the IL
Adrian Houser SP 8% 17% 9% 3 7 4 Moved back to rotation post-deadline
Rhett Lowder CIN 7% 16% 9% 3 6 3 Will keep rotation spot with Greene out
Hunter Dobbins STL 7% 15% 8% 3 6 3 Took Dustin May’s rotation spot
Ryan Gusto MIA 5% 13% 8% 2 5 3 Has done enough to stick in rotation
Carmen Mlodzinski PIT 5% 12% 7% 2 5 3 Back in rotation with Keller out
Luis Castillo CHW 13% 19% 6% 5 8 3 From six-man rotation with Seattle to five-man in Chicago
Troy Melton DET 12% 17% 5% 5 7 2 Continues to pitch brilliantly
Clay Holmes CHC 11% 16% 5% 4 6 2 Back from the IL and in a Cubs uniform
Jake Irvin WSN 13% 18% 5% 5 7 2 Back from the IL
Emerson Hancock SEA 13% 18% 5% 5 7 2 Five-man rotation benefits him
Reynaldo López SEA 15% 10% -5% 6 4 -2 Knee inflammation
Tatsuya Imai HOU 14% 9% -5% 6 4 -2 Moved to bullpen
Erick Fedde 페디 CHW 12% 7% -5% 5 3 -2 Moved to bullpen
Javier Assad CHC 7% 2% -5% 3 1 -2 Moved to bullpen
Jeffrey Springs ATH 16% 9% -7% 6 4 -2 Hip discomfort
Ben Brown CHC 7% 1% -6% 3 0 -3 Running out of time to come back as a starter
Braxton Garrett CHC 7% 1% -6% 3 0 -3 Will be up-and-down depth arm the rest of the year
Max Meyer MIA 14% 7% -7% 6 3 -3 Timetable for return remains uncertain
Noah Schultz CHW 13% 6% -7% 5 2 -3 Hold on rotation spot is shakier
Griffin Jax TBR 14% 7% -7% 6 3 -3 Posterior elbow inflammation
Joe Ryan MIN 18% 10% -8% 7 4 -3 Glute strain
Brandon Sproat MIL 16% 7% -9% 6 3 -3 Optioned to minors
David Peterson CHC 17% 8% -9% 7 3 -4 Holds rotation spot for now, may not have it when Edward Cabrera returns
Kris Bubic LAD 9% 0% -9% 4 0 -4 If he’s back this year, will be as a reliever
Griffin Canning SDP 12% 2% -10% 5 1 -4 Moved to bullpen
Colin Rea CHC 12% 2% -10% 5 1 -4 Moved to bullpen
Nathan Eovaldi TEX 18% 8% -10% 7 3 -4 Elbow inflammation
JP Sears SDP 13% 2% -11% 5 1 -4 Optioned to minors
Emmet Sheehan LAD 14% 2% -12% 6 1 -5 Optioned to minors
Slade Cecconi CLE 17% 5% -12% 7 2 -5 Moved to bullpen, then IL’d with arm fatigue
Trey Yesavage TOR 17% 4% -13% 7 2 -5 Meniscus surgery; return this year in doubt
Miles Mikolas WSN 13% 0% -13% 5 0 -5 DFA’d
Luinder Avila KCR 13% 0% -13% 5 0 -5 Tommy John surgery
Zack Littell ARI 17% 3% -14% 7 1 -6 From Nats rotation to Dbacks bullpen
Hunter Greene CIN 18% 0% -18% 7 0 -7 Tommy John surgery will keep him out all of 2027, too
Mitch Keller PIT 19% 0% -19% 8 0 -8 Season-ending teres major strain