The 2019 season is here. Let’s get right to it.
1 – Dan Vogelbach will finish with a wOBA higher than Vladimir Guerrero, Jr.
You could say that to date neither Dan Vogelbach nor Vladimir Guererro, Jr. have accomplished anything in the major leagues. While true, that’s where the comparison ends. Vogelbach is 26 years old and has less than 150 major league plate appearances on his resume (career 78 wRC+). Vlad, Jr. just turned 20 years old, is the consensus #1 prospect in baseball, and is the son of a beloved Hall of Fame player.
I have absolutely nothing against Vlad, Jr. and am as excited as anyone else to watch him carve out what is likely to be a stunning career with the bat. However, as I tried to express recently, the expectations are so high here that we may all be setting ourselves up for a little bit of disappointment. As we are often reminded with even elite prospects, baseball is hard, and the game has a funny way of humbling even the most talented athletes in the world, at least for a time. Patience will be prudent with Vlad, Jr., but most of us will have none of it.
Vogelbach has posted a minor league slash of .282/.391/.472/.864 over eight seasons, including a .907 OPS in 342 AAA games. He’s a professional hitter, but up until this point he’s had Nelson Cruz blocking his path to SEA. That roadblock is now removed, and as of this writing it’s all but certain Vogelbach will get a shot to stick on the Mariners’ roster to begin the season. From the write up for the 2019 Seattle top prospects:
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