Archive for Featured

Pitchers Who Underperformed Their Projected Value Within the Top-200 Picks

Mandatory Credit: David Banks-Imagn Images

We’re doing a follow-up article on pitchers who underperformed their projected value after looking at those who outperformed. Many of these pitchers were injured, including Brandon Woodruff, Cole Ragans, Daniel Palencia, Edward Cabrera, Garrett Crochet, Hunter Brown, and Spencer Strider. Meanwhile, several struggled relative to expectations, like Luis Castillo, Logan Webb, Bryan Woo, George Kirby, and others.

The table below shows pitchers who lost $10 in value compared to their projected dollars within the top 200 picks.

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Freddy Peralta: A Lost Season that Was Saved

Credit: Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images

Entering his contract year, Freddy Peralta was one of the biggest offseason moves, coming to the Mets from Milwaukee as a top-20 starting pitcher in fantasy ADP. For Peralta, the Mets, and anyone who drafted New York’s prospective ace this season, 2026 is a year that has not gone as planned. But following a fresh start in Florida, it seems as if Peralta is back on track, at least for now. We will look at this rollercoaster season for Freddy Peralta, what this means for his fantasy value in 2027, and what he can learn from both his time in New York and Tampa Bay.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – September 25th, 2026

Raymond Carlin III-Imagn Images
  • Daily SP Chart archive
  • SP Rankings (last update: 7/24)
  • No 2-Start podcast episode this wk because there is just SO much uncertainty that I didn’t think there’d be a ton of value to it.  I should be able to run Sat/Sun boards for y’all again this weekend to help w/those last second questions.

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

  • With such little time left, everything is heavily based on your particular situation so if you have any specific questions, drop a comment and I’ll help the best I can!
  • Several doubleheaders today and both CLE & SDP coming off a clinch night which could give Cameron & Pfaadt a little extra boost against potentially hungover lineups.

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Macro Trends in Reliever Value

Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images

Back again to the bailiwick which is perhaps my least compelling at cocktail parties (and trust me, this is saying something): relief pitcher fantasy performance.

A while ago, I looked at whether or not drafting relievers was worthwhile and found, ultimately, that yes, it is worth devoting targeted draft capital to relief pitchers. But one of the outstanding questions from that analysis was whether the composition of reliever performance is changing over time, so that’s what I decided to look into next.

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It Ain’t Over Til It’s Over

Atlanta Braves starting pitcher <a href=

Whether you think first of Lenny Kravitz or Yogi Berra, the simple truism used to title this article is a more than just a pithy saying. Sometimes we think a game is out of reach – and it turns out it isn’t. Sometimes we think a series is won – and it’s not. And sometimes you think it’s late September and my fantasy standings are locked in. But are they really?

There is still a lot that can happen even in the last four days of the season.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – September 24th, 2026

Troy Taormina-Imagn Images
  • Daily SP Chart archive
  • SP Rankings (last update: 7/24)
  • No 2-Start podcast episode this wk because there is just SO much uncertainty that I didn’t think there’d be a ton of value to it.  I should be able to run Sat/Sun boards for y’all again this weekend to help w/those last second questions.

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

  • With such little time left, everything is heavily based on your particular situation so if you have any specific questions, drop a comment and I’ll help the best I can!

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Pitchers Who Gain $10 or More of Value

Mandatory Credit: Jeff Le-Imagn Images

Last week, we covered hitters who outperformed and underperformed their projected value. We’re doing the same exercise for pitchers, focusing on starters. We won’t discuss all these pitchers below, but here is the list of pitchers who outperformed their expected value by a least $10 this season.

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Today’s Comps for Tomorrow’s Aces: Part 3

Credit: Paul Rutherford-Imagn Images

For many of us, our fantasy baseball seasons are effectively over. It wasn’t our year. But instead of sulking, something many of us do so well is to immediately turn to draft prep and the next season.

In doing that, part of the process is looking back at the season to see some of the emerging young players and ascertain whether or not their emergence was real and repeatable. One of the classic ways to do this is by looking for comparisons of these young players to established major leaguers to serve as proof of concepts. 

Scouts have done this forever and it has worked in the recent past. Hunter Brown’s association to Justin Verlander foreshadowed the former’s rise to ace status. Many in the industry connected Parker Messick’s arsenal and style of pitching with Hyun Jin Ryu, and Messick has had similar results so far. Chase Burns’ reliance on the fastball and slider was compared to a young Spencer Strider’s prior to the former’s debut, and Burns has been just as good as the vintage version of Strider. 

Over the course of the next few months, I’ll provide a handful of starting potentially instructive comps we can make to help illuminate this growing crop of young starting pitchers.

Part 1: Max Fried & Kade Anderson

Part 2: Sandy Alcantara & Walbert Ureña

Today, I’ll compare Garrett Crochet and Payton Tolle, a comparison I think captures the ceiling case for Tolle to be drafted as a top-15 starting pitcher in drafts in 2027. 

I believe that Tolle in 2026 is having a more polished version of Crochet’s 2024 season with the White Sox, reaching a similar innings level, experimenting with new pitches, and finding lots of success against major league hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


Crowdsourcing: Hitters Who Played Through an Injury


Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images

Before the fantasy baseball season finishes and all the managers disappear for a few months, it’s time to collect some information. Every season, I report on the batters who played through a known injury (2025 Edition). I have collected a few players throughout the season, but I am asking if anyone knows of any more hitters with a link to the source. No gut feels here. Once I get the complete list, I’ll create the full report.

Thanks again for your time.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – September 23rd, 2026

Benny Sieu-Imagn Images
  • Daily SP Chart archive
  • SP Rankings (last update: 7/24)
  • No 2-Start podcast episode this wk because there is just SO much uncertainty that I didn’t think there’d be a ton of value to it.  I should be able to run Sat/Sun boards for y’all again this weekend to help w/those last second questions.

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

  • With such little time left, everything is heavily based on your particular situation so if you have any specific questions, drop a comment and I’ll help the best I can!

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