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ADP Battle Royale: Shortstop

Over the last few years the industry has begun to focus on NFBC leagues more and more. It is not because it is the most popular format in spite of its growth. It is because, on average, it has more competitive leagues due to the cost involved. This allows for a better average draft position. While ADP is not the end all be all, it can give us some insight into the market and if you have competing markets, it is good to compare them and see what information can be exploited. In this series of articles, I will look at the places where NFBC ADP is higher than the four other major platforms in an attempt to point out potential deals for those of you not playing on NFBC. 

 

NFBC Versus ESPN

Trea Turner (NFBC ADP: 1.4, ESPN ADP: 13.2)- See the piece in this series on second basemen. 

Tim Anderson (35.12, 120.9)- This is another amazing deal over on ESPN when Anderson is going in the second or third round of leagues in the industry and on NFBC. 

Trevor Story (36.02, 112.4)- I understand with Story’s lack of home and disappointing end to 2021 him falling, but this is a bit extreme. There really isn’t a spot he could land where I would think this price wouldn’t still be a steal. 

Bobby Witt Jr. (89.83, 212.8)- I think Witt’s price in NFBC is extreme, but this is on the complete other end of the spectrum. The truth is likely in the middle somewhere. 

Javy Baez (63.52, 167.5)- See the piece in this series on second basemen. 

Jazz Chisholm (72.62, 229.5)- See the piece in this series on second basemen.  

Amed Rosario (148.2, 236)- Rosario is one of the guys that gets pushed down on other sites because so much of the ADP is catering to points leagues where he speed is less valuable. This presents a buying opportunity for getting really cheap speed when you wouldn’t have the chance in more competitive leagues. 

Luis Urias (153.54, 206.8)- See the piece in this series on second basemen. 

Willy Adames (166.49, 239.2)- This is another one I don’t really understand. Once he was traded to Milwaukee, Adames was fantastic and offers power and speed with enough average to not hurt you. He shouldn’t be outside the top 200 picks. 

Brendan Rodgers (172.02, 234.1)- See the piece in this series on second basemen. 

Dansby Swanson (123.56, 174.6)- I have been the anti-Swanson guy in the industry for a long time, but I am actually ok with his NFBC price this season which means I love his price on ESPN. 

Chris Taylor (139.15, 193.8)- See the piece in this series on second basemen.  

O’Neil Cruz (205.86, 259.1)- I love Cruz, but considering we don’t know when he will be up and he is on the Pirates, I am not surprised by the disrespect. I would be stoked to get him at this price though as he is one of my most drafted players already this year on NFBC. 

 

NFBC Versus Yahoo

Bobby Witt Jr. (NFBC ADP: 89.83, Yahoo ADP: 212.8)- See Above.

Amed Rosario (148.2, 244.8)- See Above. 

Luis Urias (153.54, 249.8)-  See the piece in this series on second basemen. 

 

NFBC Versus CBS 

Amed Rosario (NFBC ADP: 148.2, CBS ADP: 265)- See Above. 

Nicky Lopez (236.96, 298.25)- I think that Lopez is penalized from the points league formats on CBS because while I think many people expect him to regress in 2022, an almost 300 ADP is way too low for a guy with his speed and contact skills. 

Andres Gimenez (236.38, 317)- See the piece in this series on second basemen. 

Josh Rojas (225.73, 286)- See the piece in this series on second basemen. 

 

NFBC Versus Fantrax

Andres Gimienez (NFBC ADP: 236.38, Fantrax ADP: 331.08)- See the piece in this series on second basemen. 

Jonathan Villar- (266.71, 326.31)- I would expect Villar’s price to rise quite a bit on both site once we know where he is landing and the role he will have. 

Amed Rosario (148.2, 202.17)- See Above. 

Gio Urshela (278.93, 319.09)- Urshela is a good price on NFBC, so that means I like him a lot on Fantrax and even more on a place like Yahoo, where he is being undrafted this season. 

Shortstops ADP by Platform
NFBC Player Team Position(s) ESPN Yahoo CBS Fantrax
1.4 Trea Turner LAD 2B, SS 13.2 2.5 5.17 3.37
2.48 Fernando Tatis Jr. SD SS, OF 5.8 1.2 1.5 2.24
5.13 Bo Bichette TOR SS 27.4 6.9 10.17 7.65
35.12 Tim Anderson CWS SS 120.9 32.1 40.67 55.71
36.02 Trevor Story COL SS 112.4 41.6 40.5 49.79
42.43 Marcus Semien TEX 2B, SS 38.8 33.5 54.67 32.63
47.87 Xander Bogaerts BOS SS 42.5 28.4 36.83 44.49
50.29 Francisco Lindor NYM SS 60.2 43 41.5 59.21
56.48 Wander Franco TB SS 28.4 44.4 61.33 43.54
63.52 Javier Baez DET 2B, SS 167.5 63.3 80.67 83.35
72.62 Jazz Chisholm Jr. MIA 2B, SS 229.5 87.3 103.17 97.96
83.35 Jorge Polanco MIN 2B, SS 84.3 100.4 102.67 90.91
87.89 Corey Seager TEX SS 46.7 65.9 41.5 68.81
89.83 Bobby Witt Jr. KC SS 212.8 221.5 80.4 109.38
108.02 Carlos Correa HOU SS 70.3 74.9 78.5 85.09
123.56 Dansby Swanson ATL SS 174.6 132.1 116.67 130.65
123.93 Jake Cronenworth SD 1B, 2B, SS 83.9 126.1 145.33 123.63
129.36 Willy Adames MLW SS 236 171.4 140.67 136.94
139.15 Chris Taylor LAD 2B, SS, OF 193.8 132.1 178.17 151.08
143.01 Gleyber Torres NYY SS 157.2 177.4 138.17 157.68
148.2 Amed Rosario CLE SS 255.1 244.8 265 202.17
153.54 Luis Urias MLW 2B, 3B, SS 206.8 249.8 197.17 182.96
172.02 Brendan Rodgers COL 2B, SS 234.1 217.9 185.83 168.28
205.86 Oneil Cruz PIT SS 259.1 244 206.83 219.65
211.69 Eugenio Suarez CIN 3B, SS 244 163.6 197.83 193.08
212.02 Brandon Crawford SF SS 227.8 217.3 224.5 210.65
225.73 Josh Rojas ARZ 2B, SS, OF 215.6 251.5 286 245.72
229.83 Gavin Lux LAD 2B, SS 258.3 251 222.8 216.36
236.38 Andres Gimenez CLE 2B, SS 259.8 244.8 317 311.08
236.96 Nicky Lopez KC SS 259.2 240.4 298.25 274.27
266.71 Jonathan Villar NYM 3B, SS 260 245.7 312.5 326.31
278.93 Gio Urshela NYY 3B, SS 249.6 — 223.67 319.09
309.83 J.P. Crawford SEA SS 245 234.3 324.67 293.94
320.82 Miguel Rojas MIA SS — — 343 344.5
326.93 David Fletcher LAA 2B, SS 217.5 251 315 319.66
349.35 Joey Wendle MIA 3B, SS 259.9 243.7 — 354.81
352.26 Isiah Kiner-Falefa TEX SS 259.7 — 343.33 302.77
352.48 Ha-Seong Kim SD 2B, 3B, SS 259.6 — 378.33 378.9
367.29 Jose Barrero CIN SS 259.9 246 362.5 —
400.98 Edmundo Sosa STL 2B, SS 259.8 — — 440.65
416.32 Ramon Urias BAL 2B, SS — — — 407.51
417.07 Didi Gregorius PHI SS 258.7 177.4 256.67 371.92
418.08 Paul DeJong STL SS 259.7 240.6 364.67 401.39
422.83 Bryson Stott PHI SS 260 130.3 331 452.89
425.01 Tyler Wade LAA 3B, SS, OF 259.6 — — 516.75
443.39 Jeremy Pena HOU SS — — 431 462.84
475.24 Kyle Farmer CIN SS — — — 430.68
503.19 Nick Ahmed ARZ SS — — — 489.26
504.17 Willi Castro DET 2B, SS 260 — 404.5 493.19
507.1 Elvis Andrus OAK SS — — — 493.7
549.99 Taylor Walls TB SS 259.9 — — 852.37
566.55 Niko Goodrum DET SS — — — 552.81
575.32 Jose Iglesias BOS SS — — — 556.37
577.12 Cole Tucker PIT SS 259.9 240.1 — 68.81
579.94 Alcides Escobar WAS SS — 248.9 — 563.61
600.73 Kevin Newman PIT SS 259.8 — — 609.09
614.12 CJ Abrams SD SS 259.9 238.2 99 478.4
631.45 Mauricio Dubon SF 2B, SS, OF 259.8 — — 615.06
646.95 Andrelton Simmons MIN SS 260 245.4 — 625.12
662.42 Geraldo Perdomo ARZ SS 260 — — 598.05
695.19 Thairo Estrada SF SS 259.9 — — 573.98
709.83 Royce Lewis MIN SS 259.9 — 331.5 551.78
714.27 Jeter Downs BOS SS 260 — — 646.01
721.93 Luis Rengifo LAA SS 260 235.9 452 789.2
727.36 Harold Castro DET 2B, SS 259.9 — — 706.45
731.23 Oswald Peraza NYY SS 259.9 — 352 696.04
733.77 Jordan Groshans TOR SS 259.9 — — 565.96
740.07 Sergio Alcantara CHC 2B, SS 260 — — —
746.15 Gabriel Arias CLE SS 260 — — 799.13
748.61 Anthony Volpe FA SS 259.9 6.9 139.5 587.73
748.89 Ronald Torreyes PHI 3B, SS 260 — — 963.34
749.77 Ryan Kreidler FA SS 260 — — 1027.6
749.89 Nick Maton PHI 2B, SS 260 — — 973.2
750.12 Andrew Velazquez LAA SS 260 238.4 — 1251.5
750.64 Dee Strange-Gordon MLW SS 259.9 246 — —
750.65 Danny Mendick CWS 2B, SS 260 1.2 — 1062.15
750.89 Jonathan Arauz BOS SS 260 — — 1194.7
NFBC ADP and positional eligibility are based on Draft Champions leagues since 1/1/2022/

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1018 – 2022 Catcher Preview

2/22/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

CATCHER PREVIEW

The Studs (4:46)

The Potential Game-Changer (10:18)

The Steady Vets (19:19)

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1:34:03

Deep League Starting Pitchers (Irvin, Beede, Keller, & Lorenzen)


Beat the Shift Podcast – Episode w/ Brian Bannister (Director of Pitching, SF Giants)

The latest episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Brian Bannister – Director of Pitching, San Francisco Giants (& former major league player with NYM/KCR)

Interview

  • Highlight of career
    • Coaching highlight
    • Major league pitching highlight
    • Mets highlight
  • Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week
  • Impact on college team
  • Analytics
    • Some of the current analytics being used
    • Having a hunch and then researching it when the analytics tools are available
    • Impact on current team
    • Using all of the tools at your disposal
    • Studying the outliers & great players to find success for current players
    • Organizations differ in analytics use
    • What are some analytics used by teams that aren’t available publically?
    • VAA, Seam Shifted Wake, etc.
    • Learning from the uniqueness of players
    • Using analytics to play to a player’s strengths vs. exploiting an opponent’s weaknesses

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00:25:54

ADP Battle Royale: Second Base

Over the last few years the industry has begun to focus on NFBC leagues more and more. It is not because it is the most popular format in spite of its growth. It is because, on average, it has more competitive leagues due to the cost involved. This allows for a better average draft position. While ADP is not the end all be all, it can give us some insight into the market and if you have competing markets, it is good to compare them and see what information can be exploited. In this series of articles, I will look at the places where NFBC ADP is higher than the four other major platforms in an attempt to point out potential deals for those of you not playing on NFBC. 

Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1017 – Getting SMART with Glenn Colton

2/21/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

  • Join our Patreon for live video feeds of each show

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01:11:02

Nicklaus Gaut’s 2022 Catcher Rankings

More than any other position, how I approach drafting catchers will depend on my current roster construction as much as the actual player. Sometimes the “best” player available (according to my values) just won’t be a viable option given the state of my team stats prior.

With that in mind, here are my top-40 catchers for 2022. If you’re just joining us, you can find the first base ranks here and third base here. Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (2/21/22)

• Niko Goodrum expects to have a major league contract.

Niko Goodrum is one of the many free agents still waiting to land his next contract, though the utilityman told The Detroit News’ Chris McCosky that he had plenty of interest prior to the lockout. The Tigers outrighted Goodrum off their 40-man roster in mid-November and he chose to test the open market, saying “we had been in contact with 10 teams….Seven of them were looking to offer big-league deals.”

For those fantasy managers in draft-and-hold leagues, he might be worth a late flier.

American League

Guardians

• There is a chance that Amed Rosario could pick up second base eligibility this season.

Andrés Giménez and Gabriel Arias are expected to vie for Opening Day infield consideration, and both are regarded as superior defensive shortstops. Could Rosario quickly learn second base?

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ADP Battle Royale: First Base

Over the last few years the industry has begun to focus on NFBC leagues more and more. It is not because it is the most popular format in spite of its growth. It is because, on average, it has more competitive leagues due to the cost involved. This allows for a better average draft position. While ADP is not the end all be all, it can give us some insight into the market and if you have competing markets, it is good to compare them and see what information can be exploited. In this series of articles, I will look at the places where NFBC ADP is higher than the four other major platforms in an attempt to point out potential deals for those of you not playing on NFBC. Welcome to the ADP Battle Royale!

 

Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1016 – Draft Strategies ft. Lauren Auerbach

2/20/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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Watch the Replay!

Join a TGFBI Satellite League!

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01:19:52