Archive for Featured

Background Talent, Part 1

True story, or at least a story that was presented to us as true: A movie is shooting on location near where one of us lives, and a call goes out for extras to be in the crowd scenes. Except they’re not called extras nowadays; they’re “background talent.” And a guy we know, an aspiring actor, signs up. And the time comes to shoot a scene with a crowd in the background and the stars in the foreground, and our guy is there in costume, jostling with the other aspiring actors to be in the front of the crowd. The crew is setting up the cameras and lighting for the scene, using stand-ins to calibrate things, when there’s some sort of contretemps, and one of the stand-ins stops standing and walks away. The director, or whoever’s running the shoot, looks around, sees our guy, and notices he’s of about the same size and shape, and wearing about the same costume, as the stand-in. So he beckons to our guy, who winds up standing in for the stand-in, and whose reward is to be front and center in the crowd scene, in which position the camera dwells on him for, oh, half a second. And now, our guy’s forever enshrined in whatever the digital equivalent of celluloid is.

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Starting Pitchers ADP Market Report: 2/12/2022

With drafts beginning to ramp up, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can find all the pieces in this series here. Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1014 – Gold Diggin’: Gems After Pick-400

2/15/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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01:19:43

Beat the Shift Podcast – Closer Rebuttal for 2022 Drafts

The Closer Rebuttal for 2022 Drafts Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Strategy Section

  • Closer rebuttal for 2022 drafts
    • Historical earnings for top closers
    • Early closers may bake in a certain value loss
    • Low historical hit rates for closers
    • Drafting top closers means passing up on valuable players
    • Drafting a starting pitcher instead of a top closer – one less starter to find on the waiver wire
    • Too much uncertainty in bullpens
    • Too much draft capital invested in a one-category player
    • Use a combination of absolute value and relative value

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00:09:04

The Case For Alex Bregman

Alex Sonty wrote the against case for Alex Bregman that you can find here.

Now I want to be clear that I’m not directly disputing everything Sonty said and making the case that Bregman is definitely going to hit another 40+ HR. I do, however, think he is more than a 25 HR hitter and someone worth targeting this year at a discounted price after his underwhelming 2020-21. One major point of contention that Sonty and others bring up is that Bregman’s 2019 was a luck-fueled home run barrage based on the otherwise mediocre underlying power metrics.

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Outfield ADP Market Report: 2/8/22

With drafts beginning to ramp up, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can find all the pieces in this series here.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1012 – Players Who Benefit from the NL DH

2/11/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

NL DH CANDIDATES

  • Atlanta (3:20)
  • New York (10:22)
  • Philadelphia (25:30)
  • Washington (28:35)
  • Miami (32:08)
  • St. Louis (39:01)
  • Milwaukee (46:05)

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01:44:41

Deep League Starting Pitchers (Bubic, Manning, Gomber, Lodolo, & Sanmartin)

After a couple of articles with several decent deep sleepers, this list is just full of disappointments besides Lodolo’s potential.

Dual role pitcher profiled at RotoWire.

Deep League Starting Pitchers

Kris Bubic (458 ADP)

In 180 innings over the past two seasons, Bubic doesn’t seem to have what it takes to be anything close to an average major league caliber pitcher. While he has been graded out as a top-100 prospect by some prospect services, he’s not met those expectations.

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The Argument for Justin Verlander

Briefly taking the baton from Alex Sonty, the question of whether to draft Justin Verlander certainly isn’t a binary one, as his fantasy life in 2022 will be driven by both the quality and health of his arm. And those are some pretty big questions to answer considering he’s only pitched six innings over the past two seasons. Read the rest of this entry »


Beat the Shift Podcast – Auction Strategy Episode w/ Glenn Colton

The Auction Strategy Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Glenn Colton

Strategy Section

  • Auction Strategy
    • Online auctions vs. live auctions
    • Having a partner in an auction
    • Auction preparation vs. snake draft preparation
    • Scouting prior to an auction
    • Constructing auction values
    • How strict should you be to your values?
      • When should you bid over your values?
    • Hitter vs. Pitcher % split in auctions
    • Closer market premiums in 2022
    • Auction values for unsigned free agents in mono leagues
      • Playing in multiple leagues – hedging bets
    • Constructing market value dollars
      • Converting ADP to dollars
    • Constructing an auction plan
      • Finding the hotspots
  • Nomination Strategy
    • Nominating players you want vs. players you don’t want
      • Pacing yourself through the auction
    • Plan A / Plan B nomination
    • Economic Box nomination
    • Blocking a position nomination
  • Bidding Tactics
    • Freeze bidding
    • Starting bids for players
    • Incremental bidding vs. jump bidding
    • Bidding on the 9’s, bidding on the 0’s
    • Price enforcing

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01:39:43