ADP Battle Royale: Second Base

Over the last few years the industry has begun to focus on NFBC leagues more and more. It is not because it is the most popular format in spite of its growth. It is because, on average, it has more competitive leagues due to the cost involved. This allows for a better average draft position. While ADP is not the end all be all, it can give us some insight into the market and if you have competing markets, it is good to compare them and see what information can be exploited. In this series of articles, I will look at the places where NFBC ADP is higher than the four other major platforms in an attempt to point out potential deals for those of you not playing on NFBC. 

NFBC Versus ESPN

Trea Turner (NFBC ADP: 1.4, ESPN ADP: 13.2)- Wait, what? Turner is the consensus top pick in fantasy this year on NFBC, but in ESPN, he isn’t a first rounder in a 12-team league. In NFBC, I have hated picking in the back of the draft, but this would make it my preferred spot in an ESPN league. 

 

Whit Merrifield (32.11, 73.9)- Merrifield gets pushed up in NFBC because of his ability to steal bases, but in ESPN, he goes way too low. He is a huge asset in the two most scarce offensive categories and multi-positional eligible. 

Javy Baez (63.52, 167.5)- This is shocking. I am not the biggest Baez fan, but going 100 picks later on a site is just absurd value. Anytime I can get a potential 30/20 player this late, I am going to jump all over it. 

Jazz Chisholm (72.62, 229.5)- To be honest, I don’t understand the shortstop prices (more of these tomorrow), but Jazz is coming off of an 18/23 season in just 124 games and could be a monster. Maybe this is a reflection of the size of most ESPN leagues, but it is shocking to look at nonetheless. 

Tommy Edman (81.35, 138.8)- Edman is another player that gets pushed up in NFBC because of his speed potential, so with other speedy options getting pushed down on ESPN, it is not so surprising to see a 50+ pick discount on him. That being said, he again offers a ton of help in the scarcest category while offering multi positional flexibility.

Luis Urias (153.54, 206.8)- I am going to show some bias here, but I love Urias. He is triple eligible with growing power and a good hit tool. I don’t understand why those at ESPN are fading him, but I would guess because he doesn’t have a carrying tool necessarily, but his flexibility is so important. 

Ryan McMahon (166.49, 239.2)- McMahon is another multi-positional player with nice power that is being underrated on ESPN. I don;t know if we ever see another level, but I think it is a pretty safe profile in Coors. 

Brendan Rodgers (172.02, 234.1)- I am not a fan of Rodgers at his NFBC price because I don’t think he has a special profile or the ability to stay on the field. I would fade him on both platforms to be honest in spite of the discount. 

Chris Taylor (139.15, 193.8)- Taylor is always disrespected in fantasy, but NFBC has started to respect him a ton for his all around contributions with multi-positional flexibility. Not surprising that ESPn is overlooking this, but I think the true value is probably somewhere in the middle of the two. 

NFBC Versus Yahoo

Luis Urias (NFBC ADP: 153.54, 249.8)- See Above.

Kolten Wong (175.13, 249.6)- I think Wong is underrated a little on NFBC considering he had a 14/12 season with a plus average in just 112 games, so give me an almost 75 pick discount and I would be jumping for joy. If he can stay healthy this season, we could be looking at a cheap 15/20 season. 

Brendan Rodgers (172.02, 217.3)-  See Above.

Tommy Edman (81.35, 122.9)- See Above. 

NFBC Versus CBS 

Abraham Toro (NFBC ADP: 251.05, CBS ADP: 390)- I like Toro a lot but he is becoming overpriced on NFBC after the retirement of Seager, but on CBS he is extremely cheap. There is a nice plate approach with power and what should be a full time role. This is one of the better buys at the position. 

Enrique Hernandez (221.58, 239.2)- I don’t think that Hernandez is that special, especially at his NFBC ADP, but with how late he is going in CBS, he offers a nice cheap runs source without being a drain on your power. 

Andres Gimenez (236.38, 317)- Gimenez has been forgotten about on CBS after struggling in his first go in Cleveland. I am skeptical of a complete bounceback, but at CBS he is definitely worth the gamble. 

Luis Arraez (297.8, 363.33)- Arraez is likely overlooked because in the shallower formats at ESPN, powerless guys don’t have as much value, but he is a nice average booster that could be in line for a regular role in Minnesota. 

Josh Rojas (225.73, 286)- I still believe that Rojas has another level in him, but apparently at CBS, I would be on an island. I do think we are paying for that upside too much at NFBC, but at CBS he is a much more palatable price. 

Ryan McMahon (166.49, 223.25)- See Above.

Ty France (146.2, 201.83)- See the piece in this series on First Basemen. 

NFBC Versus Fantrax

Andres Gimienez (NFBC ADP: 236.38, Fantrax ADP: 331.08)- See Above. 

Jonathan Schoop– (205.7, 247.91)- See the piece in this series on First Basemen. 

 

Second Basemen ADP by Platform
NFBC Player Team Position(s) ESPN Yahoo CBS Fantrax
1.4 Trea Turner LAD 2B, SS 13.2 2.5 5.17 3.37
18.64 Ozzie Albies ATL 2B 31 23.5 21.5 21.71
32.11 Whit Merrifield KC 2B, OF 73.9 38 45.5 42.99
42.43 Marcus Semien TEX 2B, SS 38.8 33.5 54.67 32.63
63.52 Javier Baez DET 2B, SS 167.5 63.3 80.67 83.35
72.62 Jazz Chisholm Jr. MIA 2B, SS 229.5 87.3 103.17 97.96
80 Jose Altuve HOU 2B 38.1 59.9 56.83 62.69
80.96 Brandon Lowe TB 2B 116.6 78.6 60.67 63.49
81.35 Tommy Edman STL 2B, OF 138.8 122.9 128.67 106.33
83.35 Jorge Polanco MIN 2B, SS 84.3 100.4 102.67 90.91
88.2 Ketel Marte ARZ 2B, OF 56.7 91.8 67.5 86.21
90.25 Jonathan India CIN 2B 118.9 84.7 131.33 88.53
117.7 DJ LeMahieu NYY 1B, 2B, 3B 76 93.2 137.5 125.81
123.93 Jake Cronenworth SD 1B, 2B, SS 83.9 126.1 145.33 123.63
139.15 Chris Taylor LAD 2B, SS, OF 193.8 130.3 178.17 151.08
147.83 Ty France SEA 1B, 2B 146.2 171.3 201.83 172.18
153.54 Luis Urias MLW 2B, 3B, SS 206.8 249.8 197.17 182.96
166.49 Ryan McMahon COL 2B, 3B 239.2 163.3 223.25 183.76
172.02 Brendan Rodgers COL 2B, SS 234.1 217.3 185.83 168.28
174.87 Max Muncy LAD 1B, 2B 58.3 109.4 102.33 111.19
175.13 Kolten Wong MLW 2B 184 249.6 197.33 208.73
191.24 Jean Segura PHI 2B 175.2 204.9 221.75 231.89
199.11 Eduardo Escobar NYM 2B, 3B 231.2 209.5 238 227.48
205.7 Jonathan Schoop DET 1B, 2B 200.9 234.3 253.5 247.91
221.58 Enrique Hernandez BOS 2B, OF 156 239.2 307.75 221.75
225.73 Josh Rojas ARZ 2B, SS, OF 215.6 251.5 286 245.72
229.83 Gavin Lux LAD 2B, SS 258.3 251 222.8 216.36
236.38 Andres Gimenez CLE 2B, SS 259.8 238.4 317 311.08
251.05 Abraham Toro SEA 2B, 3B 259.2 243.1 390 261.99
264.62 Garrett Hampson COL 2B, OF 259.8 251.9 314.25 303.43
290.99 Nick Madrigal CHC 2B 230.1 236.7 256.17 268.27
297.8 Luis Arraez MIN 2B, 3B, OF 176.4 235.5 363.33 333.21
322.69 Adam Frazier SEA 2B 240 238.6 351.67 312.58
325.42 Cesar Hernandez WAS 2B 259.5 243.8 370.33 314.74
326.26 Jeff McNeil NYM 2B, OF 240.1 243.5 256.2 293.2
326.93 David Fletcher LAA 2B, SS 217.5 238.2 315 319.66
352.48 Ha-Seong Kim SD 2B, 3B, SS 259.6 378.33 378.9
367.18 Nick Solak TEX 2B 259.7 364.67 349.32
373.3 Wilmer Flores SF 1B, 2B, 3B 258.2 248.4 384.5 386.13
374.18 Nico Hoerner CHC 2B 236.3 419.67 351.76
375.87 Josh Harrison OAK 2B, 3B, OF 237.8 434.55
378.21 Tony Kemp OAK 2B, OF 260 395.29
400.98 Edmundo Sosa STL 2B, SS 259.8 440.65
416.32 Ramon Urias BAL 2B, SS 1227.7
430.04 Rougned Odor BAL 2B, 3B 259.5 438.55
431.89 Dylan Moore SEA 2B, OF 259.4 225.6 260.5 382.59
444.65 Luis Garcia WAS 2B 413.07
463.76 Nolan Gorman STL 2B 259.8 258.67 401.86
467.3 Tommy La Stella SF 2B 499 461.38
474.42 Leury Garcia CWS 2B, OF 259.7 235.3 471.42
479.08 Robinson Cano NYM 2B 259.8 489.67 436.87
504.17 Willi Castro DET 2B, SS 260 404.5 493.19
525.07 Andy Ibanez TEX 2B 260 497.22
525.46 Jace Peterson MLW 1B, 2B, OF 259.8 552.04
532.38 Michael Chavis PIT 2B 259.9 523.22
576.43 Matt Duffy CHC 2B, 3B 618.88
576.62 Jon Berti MIA 2B, 3B 260 564.2
595.12 Zach McKinstry LAD 2B, OF 260 617.63
620.89 Mike Brosseau MLW 2B, 3B 260 633.66
631.45 Mauricio Dubon SF 2B, SS, OF 259.8 615.06
648.71 Josh VanMeter ARZ 2B, 3B 482 719.91
649.33 Christian Arroyo BOS 2B 260 565.36
692.18 David Bote CHC 2B, 3B 259.9 589.2
694.74 Jed Lowrie OAK 2B 585.62
699.2 Donovan Solano SF 2B 259.9 705.97
726.04 Isaac Paredes DET 2B 259.9 546.96
727.36 Harold Castro DET 2B, SS 259.9 706.45
727.73 Hoy Park PIT 2B 259.9
730.71 Diego Castillo PIT 2B 604.29
732.29 Hanser Alberto KC 2B, 3B 260 955.77
736.49 Richie Palacios CLE 2B 407.51
739.77 Tucupita Marcano PIT 2B
740.07 Sergio Alcantara CHC 2B, SS 260 852.37
742.38 Michael Busch LAD 2B 260 315.5 774.72
745.32 Rodolfo Castro PIT 2B 260 878.82
746.05 Jahmai Jones BAL 2B 260 926.38
746.42 Michael Stefanic FA 2B 982.1
747.46 Nick Gonzales PIT 2B 259.9 158
747.75 Owen Miller CLE 2B 259.9 989.1
748.06 Isan Diaz MIA 2B, 3B 259.9 801.16
748.35 Jose Peraza NYM 2B 259.9 927.58
748.36 Andrew Young ARZ 2B 260 906.83
748.92 Marwin Gonzalez HOU 2B 259.9 936.1
749.11 Xavier Edwards TB 2B 259.9
749.89 Nick Maton PHI 2B, SS 260 973.2
750.23 Pat Valaika BAL 2B 260 21.71
750.65 Danny Mendick CWS 2B, SS 260 1062.15
750.74 Otto Lopez TOR 2B 260 1027.9
750.86 Yairo Munoz BOS 2B
NFBC ADP and positional eligibility are based on Draft Champions leagues since 1/1/2022/





Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.

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hittfamily
9 months ago

Really weird to not see Brujan on the list. He’s almost certain to be dealt, and is likely a league average hitter with 40 SB potential.