Archive for Featured

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1145 – 2023 Starting Pitcher Preview Pt. 5: One More SP Episode

3/3/22

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PATREON

SP Preview Pt. 5

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00:59:19

Top 150 ADP for TGFBI 2023

TGFBI drafts are in full effect for 2022. For those that don’t know, TGFBI the largest fantasy baseball industry contest with 29 fifteen person leagues. Five days in and all leagues are already through the first 100 picks with the fastest league already at pick 282! For a look at the complete ADP which I am updating throughout the drafts and all the draft boards, click here.

If you want to win your way in, you can compete in a satellite league which are available here, but they will be ending next week!

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Mining the News (3/2/23)

American League

Blue Jays

• Cavan Biggio will play half his games in the outfield.

Biggio knows right field well. He started 13 games there in 2021 and six last season, but John Schneider is expecting more of a 50-50 split for Biggio between the infield and outfield this season, adding that he’ll play “a ton” of outfield. That should tell you all you need to know about the Blue Jays’ plans for their fourth outfield spot, and this assignment is something he plans to grab with both hands.

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Who’s Been (Un)lucky–The Starting Pitchers

Time now for our annual spin through players whose luck in 2022 was worse (or better) than their fortune deserved. Our premise is that their bad (or good) fortune disguises the true valence of their performance, and that their luck, being luck, will regress to the mean, and their outcomes will regress along with the luck.

Our method is absurdly simple yet strangely effective. (Although, we hasten to note, not infallible. Last year we warned you away from Kevin Gausman.) To find unlucky pitchers, we look for guys who had high BABIPs and HR/FB% but low Hard-Hit percentages. To find lucky ones, we look for the the opposite. (For lucky/unlucky hitters, whom we’ll get around to in a week or two, we do the opposites of the opposites, if you see what we mean.) We assume our reasoning is self-evident. If not, ask about it in the Comments section below, and we’ll do our best to answer. Starting Pitchers this week, Relievers next: Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1149 – Team-by-Team Prospect Review: NL ft. Eric Longenhagen

3/1/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

  • Join our Patreon for live video feeds of each show

Top 100s that Missed the Fantasy Dynasty List

Team-by-Team NL

Players Mentioned

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02:01:53

Mining the News (3/1/23)

• Anyone with an Athletic subscription, read this entire article. Great stuff from the beat writers on fantasy-relevant topics for each team. I included a couple of them below.

American League

Angels

• Patrick Sandoval plans on throwing his change more.

Sandoval said he plans to use the changeup more this season, as he still believes it’s his best offering when he has a feel for it.

“It’s huge,” Sandoval said. “It’s my best pitch, and I need it every outing. It’s something that really works with the fastball and the slider.”

His change is one of the best in the game with a career 25% SwStr% and 48% GB%. Read the rest of this entry »


Beat the Shift Podcast – Starting Pitcher Episode Part 2 w/ Eno Sarris

The Starting Pitcher episode (Part 2) of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Eno Sarris

Pitching+, Stuff+, Command+

Strategy Section

  • Effects of new MLB rule changes on pitchers
  • Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week
  • Risk
  • Shohei Othani
    • Is there extra risk asscociated with rostering the two-way player?
  • Starting pitcher strategy
    • General landscape
    • Do you need to draft an ace pitcher in fantasy?
    • Should we avoid the waiver wire for starting pitchers?
      • Should we avoid streaming SPs?
    • Should we tilt the Hitter/Pitcher % split more towards pitching?
    • Should we use more bench slots for starting pitchers this year?
    • Should we be chasing any of the following?
      • Wins
      • Innings
      • High IP / GS
      • Pitchers on good teams

ATC Undervalued Players

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01:04:12

Mining the News (2/27/23)

MLB

• Infielders aren’t able to play on the grass because of the new shift rules.

Crawford won’t be able to leverage that arm by playing on the cut of the outfield grass when slower runners are at the plate. The new rules limiting defensive shifts require that infielders have both feet on the dirt when the pitch is released. Crawford drew one warning from an umpire Saturday for having his heel on the edge of the grass. Because violations are reviewable, even the most minor infractions could nullify an out or an inning-ending play in the regular season.

Several infielders with cannon arms were able to play on the outfield grass against slow righties and still throw them out at first. Since the infielders have to play in, a few of those righties might see a few more balls get through this year. Read the rest of this entry »


Justin Mason’s Baseball Chat – February 27th, 2023

Here is today’s chat transcript:

10:02

Justin Mason: Need a few more questions…

10:03

Justin Mason: In the meantime, please follow me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, facebook, youtube, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I am doing regular podcasts on the FWFB podcast as well as three episodes a week for the Sleeper and the Bust so definitely make sure you are subscribed there as well!

10:04

Justin Mason: Happy TGFBI Day to all those who celebrate!

10:05

Justin Mason: Still time to get into TGFBI satellite leagues if you want to try and win your way into the big contest next year! http://tgfbi.com/satellite-leagues/

10:05

BB: What sort of prospect would you want in exchange for the rights to the top Japanese/KBO players (murakami, yamamoto, sasaki, etc), assuming a deep dynasty league w/ dedicated prospect slots

10:06

Justin Mason: To be quite honest, I do not know enough about NPB/KBO to give a good answer. Hit up Tim McLeod

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Nicklaus Gaut’s 2023 SP Rankings – The Next 50

Must. Reach. Finish line…So. Close. We’re almost done with our positional previews, having now covered catchers, first base, second base, third base, shortstop, outfielders, and relievers. We got started on the starters last week, checking it on the Top 50 options. But as we leave those tiers behind, the waters necessarily get choppier, with more categorical warts appearing as player quality (and reliability) begins to drop off. So, before we get to this latest Rankening*, let’s have a quick chat about how these ranks come to be and the wiggle room inherent. Read the rest of this entry »