We’ve all heard about Sisyphus, the wicked trickster, and tyrant who first angered the Greek gods with his general bad deeds but then really got on their naughty list by cheating his punishment of death, not once but twice. These misdeeds earned the former king not just a place in the bad part of town underground but an extra special sort of eternal torture forever tasked to roll a boulder up a mountain. But upon nearing the summit, the boulder would roll right back down from whence it came and Sisyphus would have to start all over.
This seems like a pretty terrible way to spend eternity but that’s what always comes to mind whenever I think about the fantasy power of pitchers with low strikeout rates. Sure, you can make your way up the value mountain while pushing a low K%, but the lower that rate, the steeper things get.
Returning good fantasy value with a low strikeout rate isn’t impossible but it’s certainly a hard knock life. Maybe “hard” is the wrong word. How about less predictable? When you roll with a low-K% pitcher, you simply need a lot of other things to go right in categories that are less in a pitcher’s control. Read the rest of this entry »