Archive for First Base

Justin Mason’s 2022 First Base Rank: 2/28/22

by
March 1, 2022

As we head into primetime drafting season, I will be rereleasing my positional ranks. Here are my current ranks for the first base position for 2022, my third of the offseason. I will post updates as things change with signings, injuries, or news in Major League Baseball. On the Sleeper and the Bust Patreon, you can see the rankings updated live.

You can review my ranks for other positions here: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/category/rankings/
Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1019 – 2022 First Base Preview

by
February 25, 2022

2/24/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

FIRST BASE PREVIEW

The Studs (2:25)

The Stars (16:45)

Read the rest of this entry »

Podcast: Play in new window | Download

Subscribe: RSS


ADP Battle Royale: First Base

by
February 21, 2022

Over the last few years the industry has begun to focus on NFBC leagues more and more. It is not because it is the most popular format in spite of its growth. It is because, on average, it has more competitive leagues due to the cost involved. This allows for a better average draft position. While ADP is not the end all be all, it can give us some insight into the market and if you have competing markets, it is good to compare them and see what information can be exploited. In this series of articles, I will look at the places where NFBC ADP is higher than the four other major platforms in an attempt to point out potential deals for those of you not playing on NFBC. Welcome to the ADP Battle Royale!

 

Read the rest of this entry »


Michael Simione’s First Base Rankings

by
February 14, 2022
Michael Simione’s First Base Rankings
Rank Player Team Position(s) ADP Notes
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR 1B 6.61 Produced the season we all knew he could. Can’t help but be curious as to what his numbers will look like outside of Buffalo.
2 Freddie Freeman ATL 1B 22.66 Mr. Consistency will produce in every category except for steals. The high average and high power output make him the clear #2.
3 Paul Goldschmidt STL 1B 58.84 Goldschmidt provides value because of the stolen bases. There is virtually no speed at this position and Goldy gives you an advantage there.
4 Matt Olson OAK 1B 51.2 Olson finally seems to be reaching his potential hitting for a high average with a ton of power. If the Athletics trade him and he moves on to a competitive team he could easily put up over 100 RBIs once again.
5 Pete Alonso NYM 1B 66.45 Last season Alonso improved his O-Contact%, Z-Contact%, SwStr%, and K%. Alonso hit .262 and it could rise even higher next season.
6 Jose Abreu CWS 1B 89.41 Sits in a great lineup with a ton of RBI opportunity. If his average continues to dip he might not be worth his draft price.
7 DJ LeMahieu NYY 1B, 2B, 3B 117.23 After the season we found out that LeMahieu played the entire season injured. A bounceback is likely.
8 Ryan Mountcastle BAL 1B, OF 113.41 The fence being moved out will hurt his power production but he still gives you a decent average as well as a little bit of speed.
9 Joey Votto CIN 1B 150.86 Votto had a massive second half hitting 25 home runs with a 1.057 OPS and 165 wRC+.
10 C.J. Cron COL 1B 130.23 Provides you with a solid average and plenty of power. Playing in Coors will continue to help Cron making him a lock for power.
11 Josh Bell WAS 1B 132.14 Josh Bell, like Votto, had a big second half. He had a 136 wRC+, .229 ISO, and .379 wOBA.
12 Rhys Hoskins PHI 1B 145.73 Hoskins season was cut short due to an injury but he continues to show his power upside finishing the season with a 17.0 Barrel%.
13 Ty France SEA 1B, 2B 148.25 France took some impressive strides last season. His MaxEV and EV/FB both increased by several points. He also had a 147 wRC+ in the second half while also cutting his strikeout rate by three points.
14 Jake Cronenworth SD 1B, 2B, SS 125.41 His multi-eligibility makes him an attractive option for your UT, CI, or MI position. While he doesn’t provide a ton of counting stats in one specific category he does help contribute in all five of them.
15 Jared Walsh LAA 1B 125.14 Walsh is another cheap power option for first base, there are so many late-round options it’s no wonder everyone is suggesting you wait on the position in drafts.
16 Anthony Rizzo NYY 1B 180.91 Rizzo is the boring old guy who provides you with a solid base floor.
17 Tyler Stephenson CIN C, 1B 156.02 Stephenson shouldn’t be drafted at this position but the first base option does help in draft and hold leagues.
18 Brandon Belt SF 1B 220.82 Belt has a ton of power and now that they changed the park it is finally starting to come through. Health is the issue with Belt but having him as your CI or UT makes the risk worth the reward.
19 Trey Mancini BAL 1B 193.32 The fall off on the power towards the second half of the season seemed like fatigue to me. I think we see some more power but moving back the fence isn’t going to help.
20 Jonathan Schoop DET 1B, 2B 205.86 Schoop provides plenty of value since he is an accumulater who will see plenty of plate apperances on a Detroit Tigers team.
21 Max Muncy LAD 1B, 2B 173.05 Still a big injury mystery and without an update, we have to leave him here.
22 Yuli Gurriel HOU 1B 205.8 Another boring old guy that helped out a ton of teams last season. If you need average he is your guy.
23 Frank Schwindel CHC 1B 229.93 Schwindel impressed big time last season but with it being a small sample it’s hard to tell who he really is. Should get a ton of playing time though.
24 Miguel Sano MIN 1B 263.66 There is a ton of power here, it’s just a matter of Sano improving his contact skills. I think he can hit .230 next season which makes him a viable option for fantasy teams.
25 Jesus Aguilar MIA 1B 279.84 Aguilar has some serious power and he attributed 93 RBI’s in 510 PAs. He is kind of being overlooked this season.
26 Rowdy Tellez MLW 1B 299.18 Tellez should see a lot more playing time this year and he could easily end up with over 20 home runs and a .250 average.
27 LaMonte Wade Jr. SF 1B, OF 307.32 The Giants love to platoon making Wade a tough buy. He should give you 15 home runs and at least five steals, the upside makes him appealing.
28 Alex Kirilloff MIN 1B, OF 186.05 Projections like Kiriloff and if he can put up 18 home runs, four steals, and a 2.70 average like they are calling for, that makes him a really solid bench piece.
29 Bobby Dalbec BOS 1B 226.45 Dalbec’s poor plate discipline and high strikeout rate could continue to hold him back.
30 Nathaniel Lowe TEX 1B 229.82 Yes, he stole a ton of bases but it all came in a short stretch and is an extreme outlier compared to the rest of his career and minor league track record.
31 Luke Voit NYY 1B 269.91 The injuries continue to pile up making him a very risky pick.
32 Spencer Torkelson DET 1B 259.3 The biggest named prospect coming into this season (who has yet to see MLB pitching). He will likely be called up early but we don’t know what kind of early struggles he can see.
33 Yoshi Tsutsugo PIT 1B, OF 308.59 Yoshi should see a lot of PA’s in Pittsburgh and maybe we start to see some of his power in 2022.
34 Eric Hosmer SD 1B 325.27 Hosmer’s low launch angle continues to hinder him and unless you are in a draft and hold he really isn’t rosterable.
35 Yandy Diaz TB 1B, 3B 346.73 Diaz will continue to do what he does, hit the ball hard without giving you home runs.
36 Keston Hiura MLW 1B 407.89 Hiura has had fantasy baseball managers moaning in agony for years now. He apparently is working on limiting his leg kick, so there is that at least.
37 Carlos Santana KC 1B 421.14 Carlos Santana had a miserable 2021 campaign. He does get a ton of PA’s and walks though making him a cheap option that could potentially help you.
38 Miguel Cabrera DET 1B 456.07 Miggy will continue to see at-bats and should provide a little power with a decent average.
39 Pavin Smith ARZ 1B, OF 357.14 A boring player who won’t give you anything but plate apperances.
40 Wilmer Flores SF 1B, 2B, 3B 369.45 The Giants like to platoon him but he should still see a bunch of plate apperances.
41 Darin Ruf 러프 SF 1B, OF 423.39 Ruf is one of the best platoon bats in the bigs. A terrific matchup play in daily leagues.
42 Christian Walker ARZ 1B 388.36 Walker was once a hot commodity for fantasy baseball but he has proven that the bouncy ball in 2019 padded his stats.
43 Bobby Bradley CLE 1B 412.75 Think Joey Gallo but a lot less power.
44 Jurickson Profar SD 1B, OF 455.91 As of right now, Profar will be a starter for the Padres but they will likely add a bat or two after the lockout.
45 Juan Yepez STL 1B 465.48 Yepez could certainly get the call this season it’s just a matter of when. He provides good power and could help you late in the season.

Nicklaus Gaut’s 2022 1B Rankings

by
January 31, 2022

Draft season is getting in full swing so let’s start going around the field. Below are the first run of my first base rankings, split into tiers and including my projections for the classic categories. But also, let’s be real; we barely know each other and I doubt you’ll be blindly trusting my numbers. However, they form the basis of the dollar values that I base my ranks on, so I might as well include them.

Given a (proper) level of projection hesitancy, I’ll also be comparing my numbers to some of the reputable projection systems that you know and love, in spots where our gaps of disagreement are larger.  Not as a critique of them, mind you, but just to add context. But really, I think this is just the most efficient way to give everyone plenty of ammunition to roast me with later. Read the rest of this entry »


First Base ADP Market Report: 1/31/22

by
January 31, 2022
Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

With drafts beginning to ramp up, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can find all the pieces in this series here.

Read the rest of this entry »


Beat the Shift Podcast – Projections & Corner Infield Episode w/ Dan Szymborski

by
January 28, 2022

The Projections & Corner Infield Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Dan Szymborski

Strategy Section

  • Projections
    • What goes into creating a projection system?
    • ZiPS
      • How does ZiPS set itself apart from other projections?
      • How does ZiPS handle multi-year projections?
      • How does ZiPS deal with free agents?
      • How does ZiPS handle rookies?
      • How does ZiPS handle the possible NL Designated Hitter for 2022?
      • How does ZiPS handle uncertain items (nature of the ball, run environment, sticky substances, etc.)?
      • How does ZiPS take into account positions [Question asked in mailbag]?
      • What is new for 2022?
    • Projecting playing time – Should projection systems attempt to do this?
      • ZiPS DC
      • FanGraphs Depth Charts

Read the rest of this entry »

Podcast (beat-the-shift): Play in new window | Download

Subscribe: RSS


Justin Mason’s 2022 First Base Ranks: 1/18/22

by
January 18, 2022

2021 is over and we turn the page to 2022. Here are my current ranks for the first base position for 2022, my second of the offseason. I will post updates as things change with signings, injuries, or news in Major League Baseball. On the Sleeper and the Bust Patreon, you can see the rankings updated live and notes for each player will be added this week.

You can review my ranks for other positions here: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/category/rankings/

Read the rest of this entry »


Chad Young’s Ottoneu 1B Rankings

by
January 11, 2022

Our next stop on the tour of Ottoneu position rankings is 1B. As a reminder, I am only ranking players where they are likely to be used/most valuable, so players like Josh Bell (OF-eligible), Max Muncy (2B-eligible) and Yasmani Grandal (C-eligible) are not on this list. This is basically a list of anyone who is eligible at 1B, only.

Read the rest of this entry »


First Base Facts For The 2022 Season

by
January 3, 2022

My recent catcher facts article brought in some positive feedback so I am going to do the same format for each position. Moving on to the first base position I want to discuss a bit of strategy first. First base seems to be rather deep and it also holds a lot of late power options with the likes of Josh Bell and Joey Votto. If you decide to get someone early Paul Goldschmidt seems to be the only one who provides early speed and might be the best option. Whether you decide to grab one earl or late here are some fun facts and opinions I gathered while preparing for drafts.

Read the rest of this entry »


« Previous Page — « Previous entries
Next entries » — Next Page »