Last Monday, I discussed Fernando Tatis Jr.’s odd season and the possibility that his missing power output is related to a stance change that hasn’t had the intended effect. I noted the natural next question at the end: what other players have made stance changes and what are we seeing from them? We’ll dig into that today.
Here is today’s chat transcript:
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With more than a quarter of the season in the books, buy low and sell high time is in full swing. Between X posts, website articles, and podcasts, everyone is dropping names of players off to cold or hot starts that are candidates to be involved in a trade to extract maximum value. Unfortunately, it’s far easier said than done, particularly if you’re in a competitive league (like one filled with FanGraphs and RotoGraphs readers, of course!). So while it’s easy to tell your readers to buy Gunnar Henderson, Ketel Marte, Fernando Tatis Jr., and Shohei Ohtani, actually executing on such recommendations ain’t.
Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
Eovaldi’s season is a great example of why we can’t aggressively react to every single outing, particularly from well-established arms. He opened with 11 ER in just 8.7 IP but then 2 ER in his next 13 IP (so now a 5.40 ERA in 4 starts). Then a 3rd Dud of the year, this time 6 ER v. ATH saddles him w/a 5.79 ERA thru 6 and wellll, you start thinkin “he is 36 with a lengthy injury history and he’s lined up for NYY 2x in a row so maaaybe he needs to be cu–” NO! Dude has a 3.40 ERA/1.11 WHIP in 736 IP since 2021, he gets more than 6 starts before any reaction. I was only getting some start/sit stuff on Eovaldi, but you know he was getting cut in some 10s and 12s where he had no business hitting the wire off what we’d seen.
His 16% K-BB was fine and his 14% SwStr said the 22% K should rise. His velocity was even up a half tick, which isn’t significant enough to drive improvement, but assuages health fears from the oft-injured vet. There was just nothing in his profile that said this was anything more than a few bad starts. Fast forward 15 IP of 1-run ball later during which he fanned 15, walked 1, and allowed just a single homer in those two NYY starts and he’s down to a far more palatable 4.15 ERA/1.18 WHIP combo. Just because we’ve flipped the calendar to May doesn’t mean numbers won’t still move severely off 2-3 starts. Stay diggin’ in those gamelogs to get a true feel of a pitcher’s season and as always, use the skills profile to make hold/cut assessments, not just their surface ERA.
The rest of the board:
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: Welcome
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| 7:31 |
: Here are the winning bids in the two 15-team Tout Wars redraft leagues.
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| 7:32 |
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| 7:32 |
: Jeff. Who you like ROS? Straight points league: Randy Vasquez, McShane, Rob Ray, Yesavage. Thanks.
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| 7:32 |
: Shane Mc
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| 7:33 |
: Hi Jeff. Thank you for these sunday evening chats. Where would Ryne Nelson land on your FAAB list if he qualified?
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Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images
In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now, while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. I start players being added at CBS who started the week on less than 40% of rosters.
The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference, grouped by hitters, starters, and relievers. Read the rest of this entry »
Hey, look, Fernando Tatis Jr. finally created a HR!
Pablo Robles-Imagn Images
Angels
• Vaughn Grissom (.264/.349/.396, 1 HR, 0 SB) started in four of the last five games at second base. Accumulator. Read the rest of this entry »
About three weeks ago, I was picking up my youngest kid from school and as she was telling me about her day, she mentioned she fell from the playground and landed on her wrist. This was not an uncommon occurrence as she has her mother’s balance and father’s spatial awareness. For example, a few days before, she had twisted her ankle chasing her friend around that same playground and was hobbling around for a couple of days before she was back to normal. When we got home, I took a look at her wrist and it was a tiny bit swollen, but she was able to rotate her hand, make a fist, and adding pressure to it didn’t cause any pain, so I was pretty confident it was just a minor sprain. Read the rest of this entry »
