Archive for Rankings

Third Base 2026 Fantasy Rankings

Credit: Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

Changelog

  • 3/6/2026 – A little bit of reranking, updated ADPs
  • 2/25/2026 – More capsules, no reranking this time.
  • 2/17/2026 – Jordan Westburg’s UCL injury 🙁
  • 2/16/2026 – Just a little bit of reranking, more capsules. Updated ADP data from NFBC Draft Champions to NFBC Online Championships.
  • 2/9/2026 – Light reranking, a couple more capsules, some team changes
  • 2/2/2026 – Some reranking based on Suárez signing with the Reds, a few more capsules
  • 1/23/2026 – Moved Arenado to a tier now that we know where he’s playing, some team changes, updated ADPs
  • 1/13/2026 – Updated ADPs, more capsules, reranking with Alex Bregman signing (and some other minor FA deals)
  • 12/31/2025 – Updated ADPs, more capsules, and some reranking.
  • 12/24/2025 – Updated ADPs — rerank and more capsules coming between Christmas and New Year’s!
  • 12/16/2025 – First Release

Ranking Methodology

  • ADP is based on 30-day rolling NFBC Online Championship Leagues.
  • $ Values are based on standard 5×5 12-team league using the FanGraphs Depth Charts and these Auction Calculator settings. They default to a player’s most valuable position, so if the first base list includes a catcher, it will show that player’s value at catcher.
  • ADP and $ Values are updated as of the last update date on this post.
  • 5-game eligibility was used for these lists to cast the widest net.

Hello, and welcome to the 2026 3B rankings! Third base has been a weird position for a while, one that fits a bunch of different types of players; there’s no one archetype that works above all the others. That makes ranking them a little tough, but hey, at least Nos. 1 and 2 were layups (that’s a basketball term).

Hot Ones at the Hot Corner

The best of the best.
Hot Ones at the Hot Corner
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 José Ramírez CLE 3B 6 $31
2 Junior Caminero TBR 3B 17 $29
3 Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY 2B/3B 20 $16
4 Maikel Garcia KCR 2B/3B/SS/OF 68 $13

There’s little that Ramírez is yet to accomplish in MLB, though winning MVP might forever be his white whale. (He’d also love to go 40/40 at least once, I’m sure.) His counting stats at the plate took a little bit of a step back as he had even more wear and tear than usual in 2025, but he’s showing no long-term signs of slowing down and continues to command the zone while not striking out as well as anyone.

At the onset of the 2025 season it looked like Caminero would be missing some valuable plate appearances as he was frequently replaced for defense, but he improved enough at third to actually play full games with the Rays leading as the season went on. The massive homer power is Caminero’s calling card and considering his precocious youth combined with a lack of big swing-and-miss, the sky is the limit. He was weirdly average away from Steinbrenner Field but I don’t have much concern there since his BABIP was a ridiculously low .197 on the road.

Enjoy the 3B eligibility while you can! Jazz won’t be sniffing the hot corner any time soon after couping DJ LeMahieu out of a roster spot so he could move back to second base, and he responded with a career year despite missing time with an oblique strain. Coming off back-to-back almost-fully-healthy seasons in which he proved he’s got star output to go with his star-level skills, here’s hoping we can finally see what 150 games of Jazz looks like.

Are Garcia’s gains at the plate legit? The Royals sure think so, rewarding his breakout with a five-year, $57.5 million extension. He’s got almost three years of service time but is still just 25 years old, so it’s entirely possible we haven’t seen the best of him yet. He’s more of a “jack of all trades, master of none” than a guy who will give you insane production in a particular category, but there’s .300/20/40 potential in there.

Slightly Less Hot

Great players who just missed.
Slightly Less Hot
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
5 Manny Machado SDP 3B 39 $16
6 Austin Riley ATL 3B 65 $17
7 Eugenio Suárez CIN 3B 100 $13
8 Isaac Paredes HOU 3B 236 -$1
9 Max Muncy LAD 3B 250 -$5
10 Alex Bregman CHC 3B 119 $10

The very definition of borderline between the top tier and second tier, Machado continues to perform like a metronome. The only thing that concerns me is Father Time’s undefeated record, and Machado is entering his age-33 season. His bat speed is still excellent but it has been going down each year for the three years it’s been tracked by Statcast, so it’s not as if he’s completely ageless.

I want Riley to go back to being great, and I’ll concede that it’s entirely possible if not likely that injuries are part of the explanation for his wRC+ declining each year since his career-high in 2022. But we can’t just ignore that in 2025 he walked less and whiffed and struck out more. This is about as high as I’m comfortable putting him.

Suárez could not have signed with a better team. He’s familiar with the Reds, he’ll need fewer days off as a DH, and most importantly for fantasy, he’ll absolutely mash at GABP. He couldn’t figure out the Park Formerly Known As Safeco across his two stints in Seattle, and there was a worry in the back of my mind that he’d end up back there anyway. He’ll feature prominently in a Reds lineup that was starved for power all last year with Elly De La Cruz battling a quad injury throughout the second half.

Paredes would be higher on this list if I was fully confident that he’s (a) fully healthy after rushing back from a horrible hamstring strain and (b) definitely an Astro in 2026. So much of Paredes’ value comes from his elite ability to pull the ball in the air, and there’s nowhere better to do that than Daikin Park. But with the Astros probably needing to offload an infielder to open up DH for Yordan Alvarez and Paredes’ name being the most-often mentioned, I’m just wary enough to ding him a bit.

Muncy has been as good as ever on a rate basis in the last two seasons, but I’m conscious of his age (35) and the fact that he’s only played 173 games in the last two seasons. Plus, he had his worst showing ever against lefties, albeit in only 80 plate appearances, and he could continue to be shielded from them by Miguel Rojas and Alex Call.

I moved Bregman down just a tad because Wrigley isn’t an amazing ballpark fit for him. He’s not as dead-pull as Paredes (nobody is) but he still relies on pulling the ball in the air. Wrigley’s dimensions themselves aren’t a huge needle-mover for me; yes, left field is deep, but Bregman has the pop to hit homers there. The bigger concern is the wind, which will knock down would-be homers for even the most prolific of power hitters — something Bregman isn’t.

2025 Breakouts

If they continue in 2026, they’ll be fantasy stars.
2025 Breakouts
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
11 Addison Barger TOR 3B/OF 203 $2
12 Colson Montgomery CHW 3B/SS 230 $3

With Kazuma Okamoto in the fold, Barger’s going to be spending more time in right field than at third base, so enjoy that 3B eligibility while you can in 2026! The power has always been real, but getting to it in MLB games was a problem in 2024. No longer was that the case in 2025: Barger mashed 21 homers in 135 games followed by another three in 17 postseason games. With a fantastic hard-hit rate above 50%, I’m taking the over on 24 homers if he can get into 152 games this year. The biggest impediment to that will be solving lefties, against whom he had a wRC+ of 69 in 89 plate appearances.

Montgomery burst onto the scene in his rookie half-season last year, with 21 homers and 55 RBI in just 71 games. If you’re a fan of extrapolating stats out to 162 games and dreaming from there, that’s 48 homers and 125 RBI. No, I don’t think he’ll reach those heights in 2026, as his HR/FB was a ridiculous 26% and his hard-hit rate was a very good but not elite 44%. But he’ll be playing every single day at short (again, enjoy that 3B eligibility while it’s there!), and unimpeded playing time is important.

Steady Vets

You basically know what you’re getting here.
Steady Vets
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
13 Matt Chapman SFG 3B 167 $12
14 Alec Bohm PHI 1B/3B 259 $8
15 Carlos Correa HOU 3B/SS 274 $2

He’s streaky within seasons, but you ultimately know what you’re gonna get at the end of the year from Chapman: solidly above-average output and 20+ homers. His hand injury led to a career-low in games but he still got into 128 of them, and it didn’t seem to impact his hitting ability upon his return, unlike many hand injuries. In his age-33 season, we’ve got to be careful when considering the aging curve for Chapman, but he actually cut down the strikeouts in 2025 while continuing to walk a ton. I don’t see big concern here yet, the guy’s a grinder.

Well, Bohm is certainly a Steady Vet, just steady at a lower output than you’d like. But the ballpark he plays in and the lineup around him means he’ll rack up RBI in all likelihood, and his 2025 hard hit rate was his best since 2021. Does that portend better power output or just more frustration?

He’s in this tier because I wanted to rank him right about here, not because he’s actually particularly steady. Correa hasn’t been both healthy and very good at the plate since 2022. 2023 was healthy but below-average, 2024 was excellent over 86 games, and 2025 was 144 games of a 106 wRC+. Maybe a full season at third will keep him a little healthier, and Houston is certainly a better place to hit than Minnesota, but you just don’t know what you’re going to get from him. His mere presence on the roster also means Isaac Paredes may be playing elsewhere this year.

NPB “Rookies”

How they convert to MLB remains to be seen, but there’s plenty of upside here.
NPB “Rookies”
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
16 Munetaka Murakami CHW 1B/3B $10
17 Kazuma Okamoto TOR 1B/3B $6

Murakami could hit 40 homers; he could hit 15. He could strike out a manageable 30% of the time; he could strike out an untenable 40%. There’s no player in the league, at any position, with as much boom-or-bust potential, and I think I’ve ranked him accordingly. Whatever you get from him — good or bad — don’t be surprised.

Okamoto doesn’t posess the upside that Murakami has (almost nobody on the planet does!) but he’s a much safer bet to produce for the Jays than Murakami is for the White Sox. That’s why he signed for $60 million with a contender and Murakami got just $34 million from the White Sox. Okamoto may have to earn time against tough righties but is widely expected to mash lefties, and his versaility — he should get some time at first base and maybe left field, too — will keep him in the lineup along with the bat.

Big Bummer of an Injury

A medium-term injury knocks Westburg down quite a bit.
Big Bummer of an Injury
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
18 Jordan Westburg BAL 2B/3B 338 $1

I had Westburg pretty aggressively ranked for the first several iterations of the rankings, but I of course had to rerank after learning that his partial UCL tear would lead to a PRP injection and keep him out all of April, at minimum. If there’s more clarity on exactly how long he’ll miss I may move him down even further, but I can’t see him going up at this point.

You Should Be Better Than This!

A guy who hits the ball hard but haven’t put it all together yet.
You Should Be Better Than This!
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
19 Royce Lewis MIN 3B 179 $6

Lewis’ career has been perplexing, to say the least. Much like the recent vintage of Carlos Correa, Lewis has struggled to be simultaneously healthy and good. 2025 was by far his healthiest season as a big-leaguer, but also by far his worst. Despite being around seemingly forever, though, he’s still just in his age-27 season and he’s got all the talent in the world.

Multipositional Studs

Good performance, better multipositional flex.
Multipositional Studs
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
20 Caleb Durbin BOS 2B/3B 227 $4
21 Ernie Clement TOR 1B/2B/3B/SS 337 $6
22 Brett Baty NYM 2B/3B 310 -$6
23 Zach McKinstry DET 2B/3B/SS/OF 468 -$16
24 Colt Keith DET 1B/2B/3B 445 -$2
25 Tommy Edman LAD 2B/3B/OF 673 -$2
26 Josh Smith TEX 1B/3B/SS/OF 537 -$9
27 Gavin Lux TBR 2B/3B/OF -$13
28 José Caballero NYY 2B/3B/SS/OF 206 -$13
29 Miguel Andujar SDP 3B/OF 744 -$11

We don’t know where exactly Durbin will be playing with the Red Sox between second and third, but what we do know is that he’s playing every day, and he may well maintain eligibility at both positions. He’s great at nothing but good at everything and if you’re in an OBP league, you have to love how much he gets drilled by pitches.

I’ll admit it: I love Ernie Clement, and it’s not just because he went nuclear in the playoffs. A solidly average hitter with the potential for more who doesn’t really walk or strike out? That’s the good stuff. He’ll play mostly second base this year but I’d expect cameos at third and short, at least, to continue.

The Mets did a lot this offseason, but they did nothing to displace Baty’s status as a starter. He’s ostensibly the “starting DH,” but what that really means is that he’ll be playing every day against righties, whether it’s at DH or spelling the starters at third, second, first, left, right, and perhaps even shortstop. The gains he made on offense look legit, too.

McKinstry broke out with an All-Star campaign in 2025 as the Tigers’ Swiss Army Knife. Something like the lefty version of Clement, he got way more playing time than was expected and ran with it, hitting 11 triples and 12 homers while playing all over. I’ve got him below Clement because his path to playing time in 2026 is a little murkier with Kevin McGonigle fast approaching.

The same playing time concerns I have with McKinstry apply to Keith, except that Keith is coming off a worse season. He did improve as a sophomore from his down-and-then-up rookie year, and his extension keeping him under contract through at least 2029 and as late as 2032 makes the Tigers committed to him. Here’s hoping he can tap into that pop he showed in the minors.

I moved Edman down because it’s now set in stone that he’ll miss Opening Day. I don’t want to react too much to that because it’s a long season, but I also expect the Dodgers to do plenty of load management with him as they try to have him fully unleashed for a threepeat in the playoffs.

Smith is the odds-on favorite to replace Marcus Semien as the Rangers’ starting second baseman, so it’s unclear how much positional eligibility he’ll maintain beyond that if Josh Jung stays healthy (a massive if). Something of a McKinstry Lite, Smith was bang average with the bat while playing all over last year.

Lux’s one season in Cincinnati didn’t go well, and the Reds gave up Mike Sirota for him, to boot. A 102 wRC+ doesn’t cut it when you’re as rough defensively as he was, especially in left field at third base. Now with the Rays, he’ll be the starting second baseman (at least against righties) and I wouldn’t expect him to get much time anywhere else, though it’s still possible.

Caballero will begin the season filling in for Anthony Volpe while the latter recovers from offseason shoulder surgery and end it as a superutility sparkplug who can play all over. Caballero runs with reckless abandon and if you’re in need of steals, there are few better options across the league.

Andujar picked a good team for playing time. His lefty-mashing ways will guarantee his presence in the lineup against all southpaws, and the Padres haven’t done much of anything to take away playing time from him against righties, either. He could still maintain eligibility at third with Manny Machado likely to get plenty of DH days sprinkled in.

What Even Are You?

These guys have shown flashes, maybe even lots of them, in recent years, but they’re all so inconsistent.
What Even Are You?
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
30 Nolan Arenado ARI 3B 697 $3
31 Connor Norby MIA 3B 723 -$2
32 Josh Jung TEX 3B 581 $0
33 Nolan Gorman STL 1B/2B/3B 663 -$3
34 Mark Vientos NYM 3B 464 -$3
35 Luis Rengifo MIL 2B/3B/OF 614 -$11
36 Miguel Vargas CHW 1B/3B 296 $2
37 Yoán Moncada LAA 3B 738 -$10
38 Ryan McMahon NYY 3B 725 -$11
39 Noelvi Marte CIN 3B/OF 137 $4
40 Willi Castro COL 2B/3B/SS/OF 267 -$1
41 Ke’Bryan Hayes CIN 3B -$7
42 Javier Báez DET 2B/3B/SS/OF -$15
43 Jonathan India KCR 2B/3B/OF 636 -$10

Arenado’s downturn continued in 2025, as he had his worst full-season wRC+ since his rookie year of 2013 with the Rockies. He slugged under .400 for the second straight year, and while I could see an uptick in power assuming he’s fully healthy thanks to Chase Field and a less balky shoulder, I’m not going to count on it for the soon-to-be 35-year-old. This is about as highly as I could justify ranking him.

Norby only got into 88 games last year thanks to a couple IL stints, and while he wasn’t awful, he obviously didn’t take the leap forward the Marlins were expecting him to. That said, he’s still got the leg up for the 3B job and is getting reps at 1B as well, so he shouldn’t have a big problem staying in the lineup if his health allows.

We’ve reached the point in Jung’s career where it’s plausible to say that the idea of Jung is far better than the player. He was at least healthy last year after just 46 games in 2024, but his wRC+ dipped to below-average, and he’s pretty allergic to walks. The Rangers didn’t do much to buttress last year’s struggling offense so they’re hoping for internal gains from players like Jung; he’ll get plenty of runway once again.

The trade of Arenado (and Brendan Donovan) was good news for Gorman, who should get a chance to play every day even if the exact positioning is somewhat up in the air. He’ll make you want to pull your hair out for large chunks of the season but it’s hard to not dream on the raw power even if he continually struggled to get to it in games.

It’s easy to forget how good Vientos was in 2024, though many Mets fans would tell you that Vientos certainly “helped” expedite the memoryholing process by performing poorly outside of a really good August last year. He’s got an uphill battle for playing time but at minimum should play against every lefty.

Rengifo signing with the Brewers got him ranked higher than I expected he would be, as he’s got unimpeded playing time at third base. But it can’t be ignored just how bad he was last year, nor can we brush aside how badly he’s graded out at third base.

Vargas had a solid first full big-league season bouncing between third and first and will now return to his customary third base with Murakami set to take over at first. But he’s a slump away from losing time to Lenyn Sosa.

The thing that gives me pause with Moncada isn’t how he’s performed on the field, but his laundry list of injuries for basically his entire big-league career. He hasn’t gotten into 100+ games since 2022 or 125+ since 2021, and he’s limited to being a strong-side platoon bat who’s almost entirely hidden away from lefty pitching.

McMahon hit worse as a Yankee than as a Rockie but I actually hypothetically like the idea of him at Yankee Stadium more than at Coors. There’s no Coors Effect to make him worse on the road, anymore, and the short porch in YS3 is plenty inviting for a lefty pull hitter like McMahon. It’s just unfortunate that your league probably doesn’t care how great of a fielder he is.

Marte probably loses 3B eligibility this year, as he’s expected to continue to start in right field, a position he took to very well in his first action last year. He was essentially average at the plate and there’s certainly room for growth for Marte, who’s still just 24.

Castro nosedived after a trade to the Cubs, putting a sour pall over his free agency. Still, he was able to secure a multi-year deal with the Rockies and ought to continue to play all over just about every day. His value is in his versatility and availability.

If your league doesn’t care how well McMahon fields, it really doesn’t care how well Hayes fields. But, the elite glove will keep him in the lineup on a daily basis, and he went from 43% below-average as a Pirate last year to 18% below-average as a Red. Progress!

Báez making the All-Star team as the starting center fielder was a great story, to be sure, but it hid how mediocre his season turned out to be overall. The versatility will help him play pretty often but with Kevin McGonigle fast approaching, it’s unclear how long even semi-regular playing time will last.

India was awful in 2025. He took horribly to both third base and left field, and he’ll be back at his customary second base and DH this season. That he was tendered a contract at all qualified as a surprise to me, but the strong strikeout and walk ratios are at least very Royals-y.

Unproven Youngsters

This collection has shown a little bit in relatively limited MLB time.
Unproven Youngsters
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
44 Marcelo Mayer BOS 2B/3B 622 -$12
45 Blaze Alexander BAL 2B/3B/OF -$21
46 Gabriel Arias CLE 2B/3B/SS -$10
47 Casey Schmitt SFG 1B/2B/3B -$24
48 Matt Shaw CHC 3B 318 -$16
49 Jordan Lawlar ARI 2B/3B 331 -$8

Mayer looks likely to get significant playing time, at least against righties, even with Durbin, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, and Andruw Monasterio in the fold. The pop is legit, the question is how much the hit tool will be able to keep up.

Alexander was set to be a super-utilityman for the Orioles until Westburg and Jackson Holliday’s injuries, and now should get significant regular time on the infield while still getting some run in the outfield, too. He’s got a good power/speed combo at an affordable price.

Arias swings way, way too often; his hit tool might be the worst of any non-catching regular in the sport. But he’s still a regular at least until Travis Bazzana is ready, and will run into some homers.

Schmitt has been quietly solid when he’s gotten into games the last couple years, and although the signing of Luis Arraez complicates his playing time, he’s just an injury away from significant plate appearance totals.

Shaw had an extremely streaky rookie year that ultimately mathed out to being slightly below-average at the plate. With Bregman in the fold, he’ll take on a superutility role and seems likeliest to gain eligibility in the outfield

Lawlar’s star has faded dramatically, but perhaps a position change to the outfield will do him some good. He lines up to be the Snakes’ starting CF and has been hitting well thus far in Spring Training.

Good Bench Guys

They won’t play too much, but production will be good when they do.
Good Bench Guys
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
50 Mauricio Dubón ATL 2B/3B/SS/OF -$13
51 Edmundo Sosa PHI 2B/3B/SS -$21
52 Amed Rosario NYY 2B/3B/OF -$23
53 Otto Kemp PHI 1B/3B/OF -$20
54 Miguel Rojas LAD 2B/3B/SS -$27
55 Oswaldo Cabrera NYY 3B -$28
56 Javier Sanoja MIA 2B/3B/SS/OF -$24
57 Isiah Kiner-Falefa BOS 2B/3B/SS -$27

Will They Even Be on the Roster?

There’s potential here, but also potential to start in Triple-A.
Will They Even Be on the Roster?
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
58 Alex Freeland LAD 2B/3B -$33
59 Ben Williamson TBR 3B -$23
60 Kyle Karros COL 3B -$22
61 Nacho Alvarez Jr. ATL 3B -$34
62 Brooks Lee MIN 2B/3B/SS 541 -$3
63 Ronny Mauricio NYM 2B/3B/SS -$27
64 Brady House WSN 3B 724 -$4

Less Interesting Bench Guys

Versatility here, but not a whole lot else.
Less Interesting Bench Guys
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
65 Jared Triolo PIT 1B/2B/3B/SS 737 -$7
66 Daniel Schneemann CLE 2B/3B/SS/OF -$28
67 Max Muncy ATH 3B 743 -$17
68 Graham Pauley MIA 1B/2B/3B -$21
69 Ramón Urías STL 2B/3B -$18
70 Curtis Mead CHW 1B/2B/3B -$33
71 Andy Ibáñez ATH 2B/3B -$23
72 Enrique Hernández LAD 1B/2B/3B/OF -$27

How Deep Is Your League?

How Deep Is Your League?
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
73 Oswald Peraza LAA 1B/2B/3B/SS -$28
74 Jace Jung DET 3B -$33
75 José Tena WSN 2B/3B -$23
76 Josh Rojas KCR 2B/3B/OF -$36
77 Darell Hernaiz ATH 2B/3B/SS -$27
78 Paul DeJong NYY 2B/3B/SS -$35

Free Agent Limbo

Free Agent Limbo
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
79 Jon Berti FA 2B/3B -$27

Full Rankings Without Tiers

No tiers. Just the rankings.
Full Rankings Without Tiers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 José Ramírez CLE 3B 6 $31
2 Junior Caminero TBR 3B 17 $29
3 Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY 2B/3B 20 $16
4 Maikel Garcia KCR 2B/3B/SS/OF 68 $13
5 Manny Machado SDP 3B 39 $16
6 Austin Riley ATL 3B 65 $17
7 Eugenio Suárez CIN 3B 100 $13
8 Isaac Paredes HOU 3B 236 -$1
9 Max Muncy LAD 3B 250 -$5
10 Alex Bregman CHC 3B 119 $10
11 Addison Barger TOR 3B/OF 203 $2
12 Colson Montgomery CHW 3B/SS 230 $3
13 Matt Chapman SFG 3B 167 $12
14 Alec Bohm PHI 1B/3B 259 $8
15 Carlos Correa HOU 3B/SS 274 $2
16 Munetaka Murakami CHW 1B/3B $10
17 Kazuma Okamoto TOR 1B/3B $6
18 Jordan Westburg BAL 2B/3B 338 $1
19 Royce Lewis MIN 3B 179 $6
20 Caleb Durbin BOS 2B/3B 227 $4
21 Ernie Clement TOR 1B/2B/3B/SS 337 $6
22 Brett Baty NYM 2B/3B 310 -$6
23 Zach McKinstry DET 2B/3B/SS/OF 468 -$16
24 Colt Keith DET 1B/2B/3B 445 -$2
25 Tommy Edman LAD 2B/3B/OF 673 -$2
26 Josh Smith TEX 1B/3B/SS/OF 537 -$9
27 Gavin Lux TBR 2B/3B/OF -$13
28 José Caballero NYY 2B/3B/SS/OF 206 -$13
29 Miguel Andujar SDP 3B/OF 744 -$11
30 Nolan Arenado ARI 3B 697 $3
31 Connor Norby MIA 3B 723 -$2
32 Josh Jung TEX 3B 581 $0
33 Nolan Gorman STL 1B/2B/3B 663 -$3
34 Mark Vientos NYM 3B 464 -$3
35 Luis Rengifo MIL 2B/3B/OF 614 -$11
36 Miguel Vargas CHW 1B/3B 296 $2
37 Yoán Moncada LAA 3B 738 -$10
38 Ryan McMahon NYY 3B 725 -$11
39 Noelvi Marte CIN 3B/OF 137 $4
40 Willi Castro COL 2B/3B/SS/OF 267 -$1
41 Ke’Bryan Hayes CIN 3B -$7
42 Javier Báez DET 2B/3B/SS/OF -$15
43 Jonathan India KCR 2B/3B/OF 636 -$10
44 Marcelo Mayer BOS 2B/3B 622 -$12
45 Blaze Alexander BAL 2B/3B/OF -$21
46 Gabriel Arias CLE 2B/3B/SS -$10
47 Casey Schmitt SFG 1B/2B/3B -$24
48 Matt Shaw CHC 3B 318 -$16
49 Jordan Lawlar ARI 2B/3B 331 -$8
50 Mauricio Dubón ATL 2B/3B/SS/OF -$13
51 Edmundo Sosa PHI 2B/3B/SS -$21
52 Amed Rosario NYY 2B/3B/OF -$23
53 Otto Kemp PHI 1B/3B/OF -$20
54 Miguel Rojas LAD 2B/3B/SS -$27
55 Oswaldo Cabrera NYY 3B -$28
56 Javier Sanoja MIA 2B/3B/SS/OF -$24
57 Isiah Kiner-Falefa BOS 2B/3B/SS -$27
58 Alex Freeland LAD 2B/3B -$33
59 Ben Williamson TBR 3B -$23
60 Kyle Karros COL 3B -$22
61 Nacho Alvarez Jr. ATL 3B -$34
62 Brooks Lee MIN 2B/3B/SS 541 -$3
63 Ronny Mauricio NYM 2B/3B/SS -$27
64 Brady House WSN 3B 724 -$4
65 Jared Triolo PIT 1B/2B/3B/SS 737 -$7
66 Daniel Schneemann CLE 2B/3B/SS/OF -$28
67 Max Muncy ATH 3B 743 -$17
68 Graham Pauley MIA 1B/2B/3B -$21
69 Ramón Urías STL 2B/3B -$18
70 Curtis Mead CHW 1B/2B/3B -$33
71 Andy Ibáñez ATH 2B/3B -$23
72 Enrique Hernández LAD 1B/2B/3B/OF -$27
73 Oswald Peraza LAA 1B/2B/3B/SS -$28
74 Jace Jung DET 3B -$33
75 José Tena WSN 2B/3B -$23
76 Josh Rojas KCR 2B/3B/OF -$36
77 Darell Hernaiz ATH 2B/3B/SS -$27
78 Paul DeJong NYY 2B/3B/SS -$35
79 Jon Berti FA 2B/3B -$27

Second Base 2026 Fantasy Rankings

Changelog

  • 1/2/2026 – First Release
  • 2/11/2026 – Write-ups added for all players, many rankings changes within Tiers 6 and 7; Injury updates on Jackson Holliday, Jordan Westburg, Tommy Edman; Updated ADP data from NFBC Draft Champions to NFBC Online Championships
  • 2/20/2026 – Some shuffling in the mid-tiers. Westburg significantly dropped, Polanco, Semien get small bumps
  • 2/26/2026 – Donovan, McNeil, Castro move up slightly, Clement, Sosa, Westburg, and Clemens move down
  • 3/6/2026 – Polanco jumps into Top 10, Semien and Torres also jump up a few spots. Westburg, Holliday, Otto Lopez trend downward

Ranking Methodology

  • $ Values are based on standard 5×5 12-team league using the FanGraphs Depth Charts and these Auction Calculator settings. They default to a player’s most valuable position, so if the first base list includes a catcher, it will show that player’s value at catcher.
  • ADP and $ Values are updated as of the last update date on this post.
  • 5-game eligibility was used for these lists to cast the widest net.

The Elite Tier

Clearly above the rest.
The Elite Tier
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Ketel Marte ARI 2B 33 $18
2 Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY 2B/3B 20 $16

Ketel Marte has been the best second baseman over the past two seasons, and it hasn’t been particularly close either. Since the start of 2024, his 149 wRC+ is 29 points higher than the next second baseman. He leads all qualified players at the position in HRs, runs, RBI, and batting average in that time as well. 2025 also saw him post the best barrel rate (13.5%) and maxEV (119.6) of his career. He gets drafted after Jazz in nearly every room which doesn’t make a ton of sense to me

Jazz Chisholm Jr. had the most complete fantasy season of his career in 2025, reaching the 30-30 plateau for the first time in his career despite missing 32 games. Durability has been a bit of a question in his career, but he has played in 77% of possible games since the start of 2024. His strikeout rate will likely keep the batting average in the .240/.250 range, but you can live with that considering the categorical output and the positional versatility you get.

Not Quite Elite, But Still Foundational Assets

Fantastic options that should be targets for most managers
Not Quite Elite, But Still Foundational Assets
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
3 Brice Turang MIL 2B 52 $11
4 Nico Hoerner CHC 2B/SS 105 $12
5 Jose Altuve HOU 2B/OF 116 $11

Brice Turang made some excellent strides with his power output in 2025. He raised his barrel rate from 2.4% to 7.9%, and his hard hit rate went from 29.7% to 47.4%. Those are massive gains to make over the course of a single season, especially since Turang didn’t sacrifice any of his bat-to-ball skills and still achieved a .288 batting average. He represents a bit of a no-mans land after the first two names and before the next batch by ADP, and it’s justified in my eyes. He is very easily the #3 second baseman heading into 2026.

Nico Hoerner quietly had a fantastic 2025 season, something that didn’t seem guaranteed last offseason after he underwent shoulder surgery. At this point, we have an established baseline expectation of the production Hoerner brings: single-digit HRs with ~ 90 runs, 30 SBs, and a batting average that will be close to .300. He’s a great draft pick as long as you compensate for the lack of power you’ll be getting.

Jose Altuve has his doubters every year, and he always ends up producing anyway. Even at 35 years of age, he managed to hit 26 HRs while providing solid coverage across the other categories. He may not be the super elite target that he once was, but I’m not willing to count him out until we see the bottom really fall out from under, and we didn’t really get any string indications that he will be hitting that cliff in the immediate future. Now, we also get the added benefit of outfield eligibility.

Excellent Fall Back Options

If you miss out on the top two tiers, you should feel more than comfortable with these players starting for your squad
Excellent Fall Back Options
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
6 Maikel Garcia KCR 2B/3B/SS/OF 68 $13
7 Ozzie Albies ATL 2B 158 $6

Maikel Garcia had the breakout season in 2025 that many were expecting a year earlier. He was a true five category asset and also cut down on his strikeout rate while improving his launch angle and barrel rate. Those playing on Yahoo or sites with lighter eligibility thresholds will get a goldmine utility player that they can stick just about anywhere in their lineup

Is this ranking of Ozzie Albies an indication that I believe he will bounce back, or is the position simply so bad that even a guy who was arguably droppable last year is entering the year as a Top 10 option? Well, yes on both fronts. We have seen several elite fantasy seasons from Ozzie Albies and I find it very hard to believe that all of the magic is just gone before he even turns 30. The Braves are positioned to be one of the better lineups in baseball (stop me if you’ve heard that one before) and Albies will be afforded the opportunity to play every single day. I’d personally be very surprised if we don’t see him turn things around in a big way in 2026.

The Question Marks

The players who have big questions surrounding their value entering the season, but all are very capable of returning Top 100 value if thinhs break right
The Question Marks
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
8 Brandon Lowe PIT 2B 182 $1
9 Jorge Polanco NYM 2B/3B 213 $5
10 Ceddanne Rafaela BOS 2B/OF 136 $11
11 Luke Keaschall MIN 2B 130 $5
12 Matt McLain CIN 2B/SS 183 $4
13 Marcus Semien NYM 2B 254 $5
14 Jackson Holliday BAL 2B ▼5 190 -$6
16 Xavier Edwards MIA 2B/SS 186 $5

What will Brandon Lowe look like in Pittsburgh? Well, I think fairly similar to what we’ve seen in Tampa. The initial instinct will be to think that Lowe is getting a park upgrade considering that the Rays are going back to Tropicana Field, but PNC park isn’t all that great for left-handed power hitters either. Over the past three years, PNC park ranks 25th in HR factor for LHH, and it was actually dead last in 2025, coming in more than 30% worse than league average. At the end of the day, Lowe is powerful enough to mostly compensate for that, but he may end up losing a few dingers. We also have to worry about his durability, as he’s never played 150 games in a season and the closest he came was 149 way back in 2021.

Jorge Polanco was terrific in 2025, especially considering he was hitting in one of the worst parks in the league. Across 138 games, he hit 26 HRs with a .265 average and a 132 wRC+. Now he’ll be in New York hitting right behind Juan Soto and should thrive in a better ballpark and RBI spot. He is one of the more mis-priced players on the board in early drafts, he should be going at least 75 picks earlier on average. He is my most drafted player of the year to this point and it’s more than fair to say that my flag has been planted.

Ceddanne Rafaela fits more into the “accumulator” category as opposed to someone who will give you elite per-game production. He is arguably the best defensive center fielder in all of baseball so playing time will never be in jeopardy. However, he has an exceptionally high chase rate and SwStr%, which have been big reasons why his OBP has never exceeded .295. He’ll probably provide something close to a 20-20 season, just be prepared for it to come with a .240 batting average and potentially underwhelming counting stats.

Many are exciting at the prospect of drafting Luke Keaschall, but I think he may be a bit overpriced in early draft rooms. While I think he can hit for a strong batting average and likely provide ~25 SBs, I worry about the power potential and what his counting stats will look like in a rebuilding Twins’ lineup. He had just a 5.2% barrel rate and 31.2% hard hit rate as a rookie. Combined with his 46% ground ball rate, that translated to just four homers in 49 games. He’s a better target for OBP and point league players than he is for standard categories and roto formats.

2025 was a horrific season for Matt McLain that saw him lose time as the Reds’ everyday second baseman. He still managed 15 HRs and 18 SBs, but it came with just 50 RBI and a .220 batting average over nearly 600 plate appearances. His hard hit metrics plummeted throughout the course of the season and he finished with a 77 wRC+. I still mostly believe in his talent, especially while hitting in that park, but we may have to adjust our expectations down a bit from what we thought he could achieve following his incredible rookie year in 2023. He may be able to reach those heights again, but it would be wiser to expect something in the 20-20 neighborhood and he pleasantly surprised if he is able to surpass that.

I’m very intrugued by Marcus Semien as a New York Met. It’s very likely that he will be sandwiched between Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto in that lineup, which would provide Semien with a massive opportunity to provide runs and RBI. While he did miss some time in 2025, Semien has built his career around being a guy who plays 162. Even if he can’t quite play every game in 2026, I can easily see a world where he suits up 150 times, and even with a degrading skillset, ~150 games in that lineup spot could mean he comes close to 100 runs and RBI. He’s priced as a bench piece who could very easily become a cornerstone of your lineup.

I am expecting Jackson Holliday to take a big step forward in 2026 now that he’s had close to 900 plate appearances to get acclimated to big league pitching. He’s been mostly disappointing to this point but hasn’t really been overmatched by big league pitching either. He’s has an 8.3 BB% and 24.4 K% with relatively solid plate discipline metrics, especially considering he just turned 22 in early December. He’s expected to lead off for the Orioles, at least against RHPs, and we could see a monster season from Holiday if he is able to lift the ball just a bit more than what we’ve seen to this point. 2/11 Update: Holliday will miss opening day with a broken hamate bone and that does concern me with regards to his power for the rest of the season. This feels like a situation that the Orioles will approach carefully as opposed to rushing him back, so we cold end up looiking at a mised month (or more) with potentially diminished skills in the immediate aftermath.

Xavier Edwards did just about exactly what we thought he would in 2025. A very marginal power output that was accompanied by 27 steals and a .283 batting average, and that is about what we should expect again. He’s a phenomenal contact hitter and could compete for the batting title in a given year. In a lot of ways, he’s a poor man’s Nico Hoerner. You can expect relatively similar production from Edwards with a lower floor in most categories, but if you miss out on Hoerner and want to shore up your speed/BA categories, Edwards is a solid option in what has become a very interesting offence in Miami.

Mediocre/Middle Infield targets

The guys who you won’t be terribly excited to draft, but will likely return a small profit by the end of the year
Mediocre/Middle Infield targets
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
15 Gleyber Torres DET 2B 247 $6
17 Brendan Donovan SEA 1B/2B/3B/OF ▲5 275 -$1
18 Bryson Stott PHI 2B 185 $7
19 Jordan Westburg BAL 2B/3B ▼12 338 $1
20 Luis García Jr. WAS 2B 248 $2
21 Brett Baty NYM 2B/3B 310 -$6
24 Lenyn Sosa CWS 1B/2B 510 -$11

Gleyber Torres is back in Detroit following a very solid first year with the team in 2025. However, it was a tale of two season for Gleyber. He slashed .281/.387/.425 in the first half with a 131 wRC+. In the second half, he slashed .223/.320/.339 with an 88 wRC+. This will probably keep people away and is likely why his ADP has been around 250 all draft season, but I’m not overly concerned about the splits. Torres is still only 29 and he represents a very high floor at a terrible position. He’s a solid fall back option as a starter in deeper leagues, a very good MI candidate, and could function as a bench asset in shallower leagues

While his 2026 home is still undetermined with trade rumors flying all around, Brendan Donovan should be counted on as a solid asset wherever he lands. Across four seasons and nearly 500 major league games, Donovan has a 119 wRC+ with a .282/.361/.411 slash line. For fantasy purposes, he’s a great option to throw in when you know he’ll be facing a lot of RHPs, but he is a bit limited overall considering the lack of power and speed. He’s a great batting average asset and you could get away with starting him in your MI spot, but I’d prefer if he wasn’t in the starting 2B spot if possible due to the lack of categorical juice. 2/11 Update: A trade to the Mariners should actually help his value despite a ballparl downgrade. We were never relying on donovan for power to begin wth and now he is projected to lead off for a very, very good mariners lineup. He’s a very strong target in all formats.

While there has been some fluctuation in his year-to-year output, we have a pretty solid baseline when it comes to Bryson Stott. He plays nearly every day in a solid lineup and is a great speed threat if you went power-heavy early in your draft. He goes around pick 200 in most drafts, which is more than reasonable considering what he’s done to this point in his career. It’s also about the lowest he’s gone since he became a household fantasy name in 2023.

Talent has never been the question when it comes to Jordan Westburg, it’s just been a matter of staying on the field. The positive news is that he did finish the season healthy and the Orioles’ lineup looks as good as it ever has in this era of Baltimore baseball. We are projecting him to hit 2nd in the O’s lineup and should that stick, he’ll find himself in a very opportune spot for run production. 2/11 Update: Westburg is already dealing with a sore oblique and given his track record of health (or lack theirof), he has to move down a touch until we have a clearer picture from the Orioles

Luis Garcia Jr. wasn’t quite what we were hoping for in 2025, but it was necessarily a bad campaign either. He went 16-14 while providing decent counting stats and a .252 batting average, but it does look like he is capable of more than that. He showcased a career high 9% barrel rate and 46% hard hit rate and also cut down on the ground balls for the third consecutive season. He’s a nice option for those looking to punt the position in deeper formats and go bargain bin hunting, as I’d still feel comfortable with him as my starting 2B in a 15 team league.

Brett Baty was surprisingly really good in 2025, but it mostly flew under the radar. He hit 18 HRs with a .254 average and a 111 wRC+, and really thrived in the second half with an .829 OPS and 135 wRC+. He’ll likely enter 2026 as the Mets’ everyday third baseman and will be given the opportunity to play everyday. With an ADP in the 260s and qualifying at two of the worst positions in fantasy, he’s looking like a great late pick

2025 was Lenyn Sosa’s first full major league season, and he delivered with 22 HRs, 75 RBIs, and a .264 batting average. He displayed an impressive 10.4% barrel rate with very strong contact rates as well. After some offseason moves, he is now projected to serve in a branch role for the White Sox but I don’t see that as being very likely. This isn’t a team that is good enough to leave Sosa on the bench with any regularity, even given his defensive shortcomings. I expect him to see time at first, second, and third base throughout the season with DH reps mixed in as well. He is being drafted beyond the Top 300 picks in NFBC drafts, and I think he has become a value.

The Boring Tier

These players all have their uses but aren’t particularly exciting and likely won’t be mainstays in your starting lineup all season.
The Boring Tier
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
22 José Caballero NYY 2B/3B/SS 206 -$13
23 Colt Keith DET 2B ▲4 445 -$2
25 Jeff McNeil ATH 2B/OF ▲16 530 $2
26 Luis Arraez SF 1B/2B ▲2 280 $7
27 Willi Castro COL 2B/3B/SS/OF ▲9 267 -$1
28 Otto Lopez MIA 2B/3B/SS 226 $3
29 Ernie Clement TOR 1B/2B/3B/SS 337 $6

While he is not the most exciting player to draft, Jose Caballero will fit a lot of builds in 2026 due to his elite speed. Since the start of 2024, his 93 stolen bases trail only Elly De La Cruz and he led the majors in 2025 with 49. Caballero was initially projected to serve in more of a utility role for the Yankees, but Anthony Volpe’s injury means that more playing time has opened up for him at shortstop to begin the season. He is a traditional fantasy “rabbit” that will likely only assist you in one category, but there is value in that for speed deficient teams given his mid-200s ADP

Colt Keith has some fairly strong underlying skills, and is a target in particular when it comes to OBP formats. Over 137 games last year, he slashed .256/.333/.413 with 13 HRs and a 9.2% barrel rate. He also is a very good contact hitter who doesn’t chase a lot of pitches. RosterResource is also projecting him to lead off for the Tigers which should add to his fairly pedestrian run total from a year ago. An added bonus is that he has eligibility all over the field and will be easy to squeeze into your lineups.

Jeff McNeil feels like a very good fit in the Athletics’ lineup. On a team full of young players, McNeil is the only bat besides Brent Rooker in the lineup who is over 30 years old and should provide a stable veteran presence. We could see a few more home runs than usual given the very favourable home park that the A’s will be playing in again, and we’ve seen the batting average upside throughout his entire career. McNeil will likely be in the middle of the order somewhere but don’t be surprised to see him get some top-of-the-order reps as well. He’s a great but right now.

I believe we have reached the point where Luis Arraez has become undervalued. While he doesn’t possess a well rounded fantasy skillset, he has the ability to win a batting title and even in a poor 2025, he still hit .292. He has at least 600 plate appearances in every season going back to 2022 and his batting average with that volume is incredibly valuable. As the leadoff hitter for the Giants we can expect a solid run total to go along with his usual chip in homers and steals. His ADP is usually around the 280 range, and it feels like the market has soured on him a bit too much this year.

After a poor 2025, Willi Castro seems like a strong bounceback candidate in 2026 as he heads to Colorado. We’ve seen solid fantasy seasons from him in the past and in a very hitter friendly environment where he should play everyday, Castro could return something like 15 HRs and 30 SBs as long as he stays healthy. Initially not someone I had a ton of interest in, I now see Castro as a pretty viable sleeper at a very dark position. As a bonus, you can also use him at third and in the outfield, two other very scarce positions in 2026

Otto Lopez had a very serviceable fantasy season in 2025, putting up a 15/15 season with 77 runs and a .246 batting average. The issue is that it took him nearly 600 plate appearances to do so and he doesn’t have a strong offensive skillset when you look beneath the hood. While he is a strong contact hitter, most projections see him as a ~.260 bat with very limited power. He’s also projected to be the #6 hitter in the Marlins lineup which is far from ideal for fantasy counting stats. He’s not necessarily a fade, but not really a target unless I am desperate for a middle infielder.

Ernie Clement had a strong 2025 season and went on a legendary run in the postseason, but he doesn’t have a very strong fantasy skillset. In 157 games and 588 plate appearances, he managed just nine homers and six steals while driving in 50. His .277 batting average and 83 runs scored were nice, but the main appeal here is his multi position eligibility and being able to plug him in when one of your starters is injured or sitting. If he is in your starting lineup with regularity, you will inevitably start to fall behind with power and speed.

We’re Throwing Darts, Folks

The point of a draft where you are simply throwing darts and hoping for the best
We’re Throwing Darts, Folks
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
30 Chase Meidroth CWS 2B/SS 593 -$6
31 Kody Clemens MIN 1B/2B/OF 690 -$22
32 Brooks Lee MIN 2B/3B/SS 541 -$3
33 Tommy Edman LAD 2B/3B/OF ▼13 673 -$2
34 Kristian Campbell BOS 2B/OF 738 -$31
35 Jonathan India KCR 2B 636 -$10
36 Jake Cronenworth SDP 1B/2B/SS 737 -$4
37 Christian Moore LAA 2B -$12
38 Andrés Giménez TOR 2B 391 $3
39 Gavin Lux TB 2B -$13
40 Hyeseong Kim LAD 2B/SS/OF

Chase Meidroth had a very impressive rookie debut in 2025. He played a very strong second base and shortstop while also showing a lot of promise at the dish. His contact ability is already some of the best in baseball, evidenced by his 21.9% O-Swing, 91.6% Z-Contact, and 4.3 SwStr%. His power will likely be non-existent given his 1.6% barrel rate and 53.3% groundball rate, but he will likely give you ~15 SB with a strong batting average as an everyday player. There is some value here but he really is best suited deeper league players.

Kody Clemens has a similar story to Lenyn Sosa. They both played their first full season in 2025, had success for a re-building team, and are now projected as bench pieces. As with Sosa, I think this will not end up being the case with Clemens. He hit 19 HR in just 386 plate appearances, anchored by a 12% barrel rate and 48.3% hard hit rate. His power is also combined with solid contact and low chase rates. He’s a strong defender at first and second base, and I can see him functioning in a utility role that sees him playing ~5 times per week. He’s an afterthought in drafts with his 392 ADP. I’d be buying the dip where possible, especially in NFBC Draft Champions formats.

Brooks Lee has a fairly average profile overall. His power and contact rates are fairly average and he’s not a standout defender anywhere on the field. However, as the Twins continue to rebuild, Lee should stand to see 500+ plate appearances again in 2026. After 189 games played and more than 700 major league plate appearances with a 75 wRC+, it’s fair to question what Lee will turn into, but he’s being drafted outside of the Top 300 picks and brings 2B/3B/SS eligibility to the table. He’s a decent dart throw but keep expectations in check.

Playing for the Dodgers can be a huge boon to your fantasy value, and that’s why Tommy Edman comes in as high as he does on this list. In just 97 games, he managed 49 runs and 49 RBI, even with a career worst 81 wRC+. Edman is still just 30 and I’d expect him to start stealing again now that the ankle issues are in the rearview mirror. The upside here is a Top 7-10 option at the position if he is able to stay healthy. That’s a big if with Edman, but he’s priced to buy with an ADP beyond 300. 2/11 Update: Edman will miss the start of the season as he continues to recover from anle surgery. I’d still be willing to draft him if he falls quite dramatically in drafts, but it would have to be a substabtual discount given his track record over the past couple of years.

Kristian Campbell was a bit of a disaster in 2025. He looked great in April before faltering and being sent down to AAA where he spent the remainder of the year. The Red Sox have said that he’ll be primarily in the outfield this season and he’ll have a chance to earn a job out of spring training. We should be encouraged by the fact that Boston has already paid him, as it shows their confidence in the 23-year-old and also incentivizes them to play him. He’s not a specific target outside of deep formats, but there is a world where he breaks camp with the team and hits his way into the lineup on a regular basis.

Jonathan India was a total disaster last season. He failed to reach double digit homers and did not successfully steal one base. I’m encouraged by the fact that much of his profile remained the same from his time in Cincinnati and he will still have a regular role for the Royals in 2026. With an ADP of 370 and eligibility at 2B/3B/OF, India is a solid bounceback candidate on what should be an improved team.

At this stage of his career, we know exactly who Jake Cronenworth is. He’s going to hit 10-15 HRs, steal a handful of bases,and hit somewhere in the .230/.240 range. Considering he does after pick 400 in most drafts, that production is fine, but he doesn’t stand out in any category and will likely be hitting in the bottom third of the Padres’ order which will limit his counting stats.

Christian Moore struggled during his first cup of major league coffee in 2025, slashing .198/.284/.370 in 53 games. However, I find it encouraging that even with his struggles, he hit seven home runs in just 184 plate appearances. He has a very long way to go as a hitter but the Angels should give him a lot of rope as an everyday player considering the state of their team. Another player who is best suited for deep mixed/AL Only leagues.

Andres Gimenez has been steadily declining offensively ever since his breakout 2022 season. He hasn’t even been a league average bat in any year since and in 2026, he will be transitioning from second base to shortstop. I can see him stealing ~20 bases but that’s about it when it comes to his fantasy value. No power from a bottom of the order bat who can’t hit for avagere either is a recipe for fantasy disaster without drastic changes to his hitting profile.

An offseason trade has landed Gavin Lux with the Rays, where we are currently projecting him as the leadoff hitter on the strong side of the second base platoon. He was a serviceable bat in 2025, hitting .269 with a 102 wRC+ as a member of the Reds. While he’s not a massive target for me, getting a leadoff hitter (even a part-time one) behind pick 450 feels like a very safe investment to make

Hyeseong Kim didn’t really have the role many were expecting he would entering the 2025 season. He ended up with just 171 plate appearances and while he did hit three home runs and steal 13 bases while hitting .280, there wasn’t much fantasy managers could do besides hope he would get in the lineup more. The Tommy Edman injury has opened an opportunity for Kim to start the season as the everyday second baseman and potentially earn himself a full time role. His recent ADP is 486 and even with concerns about his plate skills and playing time, that’s more than a fair price to pay for a player who could wind up as a regular contributor to the best lineup in baseball.


Full Rankings Without Tiers

No tiers. Just the rankings.
Full Rankings Without Tiers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Ketel Marte ARI 2B 33 $18
2 Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY 2B/3B 20 $16
3 Brice Turang MIL 2B 52 $11
4 Nico Hoerner CHC 2B/SS 105 $12
5 Jose Altuve HOU 2B/OF 116 $11
6 Maikel Garcia KCR 2B/3B/SS/OF 68 $13
7 Ozzie Albies ATL 2B 158 $6
8 Brandon Lowe PIT 2B 182 $1
9 Jorge Polanco NYM 2B/3B 213 $5
10 Ceddanne Rafaela BOS 2B/OF 136 $11
11 Luke Keaschall MIN 2B 130 $5
12 Matt McLain CIN 2B/SS 183 $4
13 Marcus Semien NYM 2B 254 $5
14 Jackson Holliday BAL 2B ▼5 190 -$6
15 Gleyber Torres DET 2B 247 $6
16 Xavier Edwards MIA 2B/SS 186 $5
17 Brendan Donovan SEA 1B/2B/3B/OF ▲5 275 -$1
18 Bryson Stott PHI 2B 185 $7
19 Jordan Westburg BAL 2B/3B ▼12 338 $1
20 Luis García Jr. WAS 2B 248 $2
21 Brett Baty NYM 2B/3B 310 -$6
22 José Caballero NYY 2B/3B/SS 206 -$13
23 Colt Keith DET 2B ▲4 445 -$2
24 Lenyn Sosa CWS 1B/2B 510 -$11
25 Jeff McNeil ATH 2B/OF ▲16 530 $2
26 Luis Arraez SF 1B/2B ▲2 280 $7
27 Willi Castro COL 2B/3B/SS/OF ▲9 267 -$1
28 Otto Lopez MIA 2B/3B/SS 226 $3
29 Ernie Clement TOR 1B/2B/3B/SS 337 $6
30 Chase Meidroth CWS 2B/SS 593 -$6
31 Kody Clemens MIN 1B/2B/OF 690 -$22
32 Brooks Lee MIN 2B/3B/SS 541 -$3
33 Tommy Edman LAD 2B/3B/OF ▼13 673 -$2
34 Kristian Campbell BOS 2B/OF 738 -$31
35 Jonathan India KCR 2B 636 -$10
36 Jake Cronenworth SDP 1B/2B/SS 737 -$4
37 Christian Moore LAA 2B -$12
38 Andrés Giménez TOR 2B 391 $3
39 Gavin Lux TB 2B -$13
40 Hyeseong Kim LAD 2B/SS/OF

Catcher 2026 Fantasy Rankings

Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images

Changelog

  • 12/15/2025 – First Release
  • 1/8/2026 – Dalton Rushing and Sean Murphy updates
  • 1/26/2026 – J.T Realmuto and Victor Caratini signings.
  • 2/2/2026 – Projections and ADP update.
  • 2/10/2026 – ADP Update.
  • 2/18/2026 – ADP Update
  • 2/25/2026 – ADP and Projections Update
  • 3/3/2026 – ADP and Projections Update

Ranking Methodology

  • Updated ADP data from NFBC Draft Champions to NFBC Online Championships.
  • $ Values are based on standard 5×5 12-team league using the FanGraphs Depth Charts and these Auction Calculator settings. They default to a player’s most valuable position, so if the first base list includes a catcher, it will show that player’s value at catcher.
  • ADP and $ Values are updated as of the last update date on this post.
  • 5-game eligibility was used for these lists to cast the widest net.

Catcher Overview

The catcher position is about as deep as it’s been after an influx of young talent to the position over the last few seasons. The additions of young studs to the crop of older, aging veterans give the position some beef, but also add to it’s volatility as we have seen with a number of the players who entered the Majors over previous seasons have shown us.

The biggest issue with the position is dependent on the format you are drafting for. In shallower one catcher leagues, it’s often best to wait as long as possible unless a player you covet drops. In deeper two catcher formats, the back end the pool offers negative value giving you more reasons to draft one or both of your catchers early. Knowing how your format and league values the position is crucial to your draft strategy.

Today’s Discussion

Ivan Herrera moves up the ranks after being convinced to do a deeper dive from our commenters!

The Franchise

The top guy at the position stands alone
The Franchise
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Cal Raleigh SEA C/DH 18 $29

Cal Raleigh is coming off of an historic season where he hit the most home runs ever by a catcher and was the #2 player on the player rater. There is no where to go but down but even with regression, he should be the first catcher off the board. He is a great bet for power and counting categories, but the contact skills gives him an average floor is much lower than what we saw in 2025.

Cornerstone Backstops

A ton of high upside talent and Sal Perez!
Cornerstone Backstops
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
2 William Contreras MIL C/DH 55 $21
3 Shea Langeliers OAK C 55 $20
4 Ben Rice NYY C/1B/DH 53 $18
5 Agustin Ramirez MIA C 82 $11
6 Drake Baldwin ATL C 86 $15
7 Hunter Goodman COL C/DH 64 $23
8 Salvador Perez KC C/1B/DH 93 $18

A year after his breakout season, William Contreras took a step back, hitting just .260/.355/.399 with 17 home runs and six stolen bases. Some of that regression was likely injury related as he played through a finger fracture that is now been fixed through surgery. He should rebound now that he is healthy and return to being an elite option.

Shea Langeliers has made massive gains in each of the last two seasons in contact skills going from 78% to 83% to 85% while not sacrificing power or his approach. Hitting in Sacramento is a dream location for him and the A’s should continue to improve.

You can make the argument that Ben Rice should be the #2 catcher in fantasy since he isn’t actually catching this season. While the Yankees have brought back Paul Goldschmidt, I don’t see that hurting Rice long term this season as the Yankees are full of guys that get hurt. His combination of power and contact skills along with the home park could make for a massive season.

Agustin Ramirez showed a better hit tool than expected and the power was as advertised. We can’t sleep on the speed, either, as he went a very solid 16-for-19 on the basepaths. He is not a very good catcher defensively and likely will lose eligibility there at some point, but that is a problem for future seasons. He will get extra PAs at DH which will allow him to rack up plate appearances, but the Marlins supporting cast is meager which will hurt the runs and RBIs.

Drake Baldwin is coming off of winning Rookie of the Year in the National League and there is more upside in the bat. He showcased his great approach and contact skills, but with a launch angle tweak, he could have a massive breakout. His bat speed, average exit velocity, and hard hit percentage were all in the top 85 percentile so if he could elevate some, he could push his homers in the mid twenties which would be some nice upside for a high floor catcher.

Hunter Goodman has elite power but the approach and swing and miss can be a problem for him. Hitting in Colorado will help because of the BABIP inflation and the lack of competition for the role, but the batting average downside is real and he will regress there in 2026.

Being the old man of the group isn’t a bad thing. Salvador Perez is about as consistent as can be. He has back-to-back healthy season with at least 27 home runs and 100 RBIs. The ceiling may not be as high as the rest of the tier, but you don’t get much safer than Sal.

Last Year’s Favorites

Last year’s draft favorites that could jump up a tier!
Last Year’s Favorites
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
9 Yainer Diaz HOU C/1B/DH 112 $13
10 Ivan Herrera STL C/DH ▲2 159 $21
11 Adley Rutschman BAL C/DH ▼1 152 $12
12 Will Smith LAD C ▼1 104 $12

When Yainer Diaz hit 23 home runs in just 377 plate appearances in 2023, people thought a full season breakout was coming, but in the last two seasons he has shown that power output was likely an outlier. He still has a high floor because of his fantastic contact ability, but the ceiling dropping a bit is why he is no longer in higher tiers.

Ivan Herrera won’t even be catcher eligible in most formats because he missed so much time with an elbow injury. He is expected to catch some, but will likely reside mostly at DH. After a further deep dive, I am becoming more convinced on his upside. He has great contact skills and the power metrics are way above average. We need to see him show some health, but there is reason to be optimistic that he can take a massive step forward if he is healthy.

Adley Rutschman lost a lot of time last year to injury and really struggled when he was on the field. If healthy, then he is likely to rebound to the levels we saw in 2023 and 2024 at least. There is still upside in the bat from his prospect pedigree and initial call up, but we can no longer project he will automatically get there.

Will Smith is about as safe as they come. You can can bank on high teens/low 20s home runs with a good average and great counting stats hitting in the top half of the Dodgers lineup. He actually had the second best barrel rate and hard hit percentages of his career, but it didn’t translate into more power. The downside is that he will never accumulate like other catchers because Ohtani blocks off the designated hitter spot.

Safe Backstops

Guys that do not have a ton of upside, but arent going to hurt you
Safe Backstops
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
13 Alejandro Kirk TOR C 155 $9
14 Gabriel Moreno ARI C 178 $8

Alejandro Kirk makes a lot of contact and there is some power in the bat, but that makes it a high floor profile rather than one that is super enticing for shallower one catcher formats.

When Gabriel Moreno hit four home runs in the 2023 postseason people got really excited that a massive breakout was coming. That was a mistake, but he is a great defensive catcher with a very good hit tool. He did show a bit more pop with a career-high .433 SLG and 9 HRs, but his .281 AVG points to his high floor as even his career-low .266 from 2023 was tied for 5th-highest at Catcher (min. 350 PA).

Why Is This Position Like This?

Talent with red flags
Why Is This Position Like This?
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
15 Samuel Basallo BAL C/DH 175 $7
16 Francisco Alvarez NYM C 175 $8
17 Austin Wells NYY C 251 $5
18 J.T. Realmuto PHI C 214 $8
19 Ryan Jeffers MIN C/DH 311 $7

Samuel Basallo is a top tier prospect that made his debut in 2025. There is a ton of power in the bat and the question is whether he will make enough contact to unlock at the Major League level. the minor league numbers say he should, but there may be some growing pains, but the upside is tremendous. With the addition of Pete Alonso, he will need to hit to keep his spot, but I believe he will.

Francisco Alvarez has been great when he is on the field, but he has struggled with that since 2023. If he can stay healthy, there is 25-30 homer power. There are few catchers that have his power profile at the position, but he is best served for shallower formats where there is replacement value on the wire.

Austin Wells is built for Yankees Stadium where he can pull the ball in the air to the short porch. He makes better in-zone contact than his average suggests, so there is a chance that he could begin to make gains there, but I wouldn’t project that.

I love J.T. Realmuto, but the skills have been degrading for a while. That being said, ending back in Philly was the best case scenario for him. There is still a safe floor up the ceiling is lowering quickly.

Deep League Intrigue

Most useful for 2-Catcher leagues but have the talent to jump up a tier or two
Deep League Intrigue
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
20 Tyler Stephenson CIN C/DH 278 $1
21 Carter Jensen KC C ▲1 $1
22 Logan O’Hoppe LAA C ▼1 257 $2
23 Dillion Dingler DET C 259 $2
24 Kyle Teel CHW C 184 $4
25 Carson Kelly CHC C 615 -$3
26 Harry Ford WAS C 677 -$10
27 Carlos Narvaez BOS C 497 -$2

If Tyler Stephenson had not missed so much time with injury, his line would have looked a lot more similar to his good 2024 season as opposed to his paltry 2023 one. However, his contact skills took a hit with his swinging strike rate rising and his Z-Contact dropping to its lowest mark of his career. He should bounceback some if healthy, but there are red flags here.

Carter Jensen is a top 50 prospect that debuted in 2025 and looked the part in a very small sample. The problem is playing time. With Sal Perez locked in behind the plate and a number of players that will be rotating at DH in Kansas City, it’s hard to find 400 plate appearance for the rookie. If he can find those plate appearances, then there is some upside for a guy that went 20/10 with a .290/.377/.501 line at AAA last season.

Kyle Teel is a former top prospect, but he is more of a real life asset that a fantasy one. His power profile projects him to be more of a teens homer guy and there isn’t a great hit tool in the profile either. He will accumulate some, but he will also be sharing the position.

Harry Ford is a top 50 prospect who debuted in 2025, but was only given eight plate appearances in a small cup of coffee in the Majors. The 22-year-old was fantastic in AAA in 2025, hitting .283/.408/.460 with 16 home runs and seven stolen bases in 458 plate appearances. He was moved this offseason to Washington where he could find himself on the opening day roster, sharing duties with Ruiz. There is some decent upside, but his power is still developing some.

Passed Balls

Probably best served for the deepest of leagues.
Passed Balls
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
28 Freddy Fermin SD C/DH 718 $0
29 Keibert Ruiz WAS C/DH -$7
30 Edgar Quero CHW C 594 $0
31 Bo Naylor CLE C 642 $2
32 Victor Caratini MIN C/1B 701 -$2
33 Sean Murphy ATL C 719 -$4
34 Patrick Bailey SF C 743 $0

There isn’t a lot of upside in Freddy Fermin’s bat, but he has shown he can be a high floor accumulator when given playing time and now that he has escaped Sal Perez’s shadow and moved onto sunny San Diego, he should just get that.

Injuries derailed Keibert Ruiz’s season in 2025 and now there is competition for the role with Ford being acquired via trade this offseason. There wasn’t a ton of upside before and now there is a lower floor if he cannot accumulate as easily.

Edgar Quero is a former top 100 prospect, but he shares the role with Teel and is not as good of a defender. There isn’t much of a carrying tool for fantasy in the profile so he needs to get a lot of plate appearances in order to accumulate.

I understand why some people love Bo Naylor. While a good pop-good approach-no hit tool profile is not usually a problem in fantasy, but when you are on a team that loves Austin Hedges for his defense so much that you get stuck under 415 plate appearances, then the low ceiling/low floor combo isn’t as enticing.

Victor Caratini signed a deal to be the backup catcher in Minnesota. He will pick up added plate appearances at DH as well making him an interesting deep league third catcher or even a low end C2.

Sean Murphy has fallen off since coming to Atlanta and he likely isn’t regaining his pre-Braves form, but maybe if he gets a change of scenery via trade, he could become closer to the guy we saw in Oakland. There is a chance he misses time at the beginning of the season due to offseason hip surgery which is the reason for the drop. If we get a better timeline, he could move further down or back up.

Patrick Bailey is a premium defender behind the plate, but the offensive skills have never caught up to the defense. However, he will accumulate because he does not miss any games.

Emergency Catchers

Useful in draft and hold formats
Emergency Catchers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
35 Nick Fortes TBR C -$8
36 Jonah Heim FA C/DH -$21
37 Miguel Amaya CHC C 727 -$7
38 Joey Bart PIT C/DH -$8
39 Danny Jansen TEX C -$4
40 Dalton Rushing LAD C -$13

Jonah Heim’s value will be dependent on where he signs.

Danny Jansen has never lived up to the early career hype, but he will play and can accumulate for deeper formats as long as he’s healthy.

Dalton Rushing has talent, but he needs a trade more than anyone in baseball and recent rumors are that the Dodgers could move him. If he does get moved, he would shoot up the ranks further.

Bullpen Catchers

The Rest
Bullpen Catchers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
41 Pedro Pages STL C -$7
42 Rafael Marchan PHI C -$18
43 Liam Hicks MIA C/1B -$10
44 Connor Wong BOS C/1B/DH -$12
45 Joe Mack MIA C -$9
46 Mitch Garver SEA C/DH -$21
47 Kyle Higashioka TEX C -$8
48 Henry Davis PIT C 742 -$9
49 Jeferson Quero MIL C -$23
50 Korey Lee CHW C -$18

Joe Mack is a top 50 prospect that has power and is fantastic behind the plate. However, he really struggles with contact. His defense should prevent him from becoming a AAAA player, but there is a chance he spends the entire season in AAA trying to improve his hit tool.

Jeferson Quero is one of the Brewers top prospects and will be ready for the Majors at some point this season, but with Contreras in tow, I don’t know if there will be enough plate appearances to matter in 2026.


Full Rankings Without Tiers

No tiers. Just the rankings.
Full Rankings Without Tiers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Cal Raleigh SEA C/DH 18 $29
2 William Contreras MIL C/DH 55 $21
3 Shea Langeliers OAK C 55 $20
4 Ben Rice NYY C/1B/DH 53 $18
5 Agustin Ramirez MIA C 82 $11
6 Drake Baldwin ATL C 86 $15
7 Hunter Goodman COL C/DH 64 $23
8 Salvador Perez KC C/1B/DH 93 $18
9 Yainer Diaz HOU C/1B/DH 112 $13
10 Ivan Herrera STL C/DH ▲2 159 $21
11 Adley Rutschman BAL C/DH ▼1 152 $12
12 Will Smith LAD C ▼1 104 $12
13 Alejandro Kirk TOR C 155 $9
14 Gabriel Moreno ARI C 178 $8
15 Samuel Basallo BAL C/DH 175 $7
16 Francisco Alvarez NYM C 175 $8
17 Austin Wells NYY C 251 $5
18 J.T. Realmuto PHI C 214 $8
19 Ryan Jeffers MIN C/DH 311 $7
20 Tyler Stephenson CIN C/DH 278 $1
21 Carter Jensen KC C ▲1 $1
22 Logan O’Hoppe LAA C ▼1 257 $2
23 Dillion Dingler DET C 259 $2
24 Kyle Teel CHW C 184 $4
25 Carson Kelly CHC C 615 -$3
26 Harry Ford WAS C 677 -$10
27 Carlos Narvaez BOS C 497 -$2
28 Freddy Fermin SD C/DH 718 $0
29 Keibert Ruiz WAS C/DH -$7
30 Edgar Quero CHW C 594 $0
31 Bo Naylor CLE C 642 $2
32 Victor Caratini MIN C/1B 701 -$2
33 Sean Murphy ATL C 719 -$4
34 Patrick Bailey SF C 743 $0
35 Nick Fortes TBR C -$8
36 Jonah Heim FA C/DH -$21
37 Miguel Amaya CHC C 727 -$7
38 Joey Bart PIT C/DH -$8
39 Danny Jansen TEX C -$4
40 Dalton Rushing LAD C -$13
41 Pedro Pages STL C -$7
42 Rafael Marchan PHI C -$18
43 Liam Hicks MIA C/1B -$10
44 Connor Wong BOS C/1B/DH -$12
45 Joe Mack MIA C -$9
46 Mitch Garver SEA C/DH -$21
47 Kyle Higashioka TEX C -$8
48 Henry Davis PIT C 742 -$9
49 Jeferson Quero MIL C -$23
50 Korey Lee CHW C -$18

Chad Young’s SP Tiered Rankings for 4×4 Ottoneu

Ranking starting pitchers is probably harder than any other position. There are so many names to rank and there is so much to rank them on. Do you trust projections? Was that second half surge because of that new pitch? Or should we remember that correlation does not imply causation? And so I always struggle with this list. This year, I found the top of the list relatively straightforward, but really struggled with a huge swath of names from about 20-70.

Read the rest of this entry »


Shortstop 2026 Fantasy Rankings

Sep 24, 2025; West Sacramento, California, USA; Athletics shortstop Jacob Wilson (5) jogs towards the dugout before the start of the game against the Houston Astros at Sutter Health Park. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images

Changelog

  • 12/22/2025 – First Release
  • 1/12/2026 – Projections update
  • 1/26/2026 – Bo Bichette signing
  • 2/1/2026 – Ha-Seong Kim injury, Projections update
  • 2/18/2026 – Willi Castro signing, Injuries to Lindor and Holliday
  • 2/27/2026 – Projections and ADP Update

Ranking Methodology

  • Updated ADP data from NFBC Draft Champions to NFBC Online Championships.
  • $ Values are based on standard 5×5 12-team league using the FanGraphs Depth Charts and these Auction Calculator settings. They default to a player’s most valuable position, so if the first base list includes a catcher, it will show that player’s value at catcher.
  • ADP and $ Values are updated as of the last update date on this post.
  • 5-game eligibility was used for these lists to cast the widest net.

Shortstop Overview

The shortstop position is once again the deepest position in fantasy from top to bottom. There is a great mix of talent from old, reliable vets to young up and comers. However, a lot of the position has eligibility at other spots and there are big drop offs through out.

Today’s Discussion

Am I overreacting to Konnor Griffin hitting two home runs in spring training? Maybe a little, but he and JJ Wetherholt move up a little bit here on the chance that they make the Opening Day rosters.

 

Short(stop) King

The top guy at the position stands alone
Short(stop) King
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Bobby Witt Jr. KC SS 3 $34

Bobby Witt Jr. was fantastic, but just didn’t hit for quite the power he did in 2024 and 2023. However, some of that can be chalked up to the injuries he played through. In spite of that, he still got to 687 plate appearances and stole 38 bases. If he is back to being full healthy, there is no reason to think that he cannot only be the top SS but challenge for the top player in fantasy not named Shohei.

Five Category Wizards

Top tier talent worth reaching for at shortstop.
Five Category Wizards
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
2 Elly De La Cruz CIN SS 8 $27
3 Gunnar Henderson BAL SS 13 $26
4 Zach Neto LAA SS 27 $21

There is an argument that Elly De La Cruz should be in the first tier with Witt, but there is just a bit more risk to his profile. He is making small improvements in the contact skills which is encouraging, but he definitely struggled in the second half, only hitting four home runs and stealing 12 bases. Manager Terry Francona stated that he would likely be giving him more days off after the break next year which could help but would lower his plate appearance upside a little. There upside is immense and at some point he could easily be the top player in fantasy, but the floor keeps him from challenging Witt for now.

Gunnar Henderson started the year on the IL and never really had the hot streak from a power perspective that one would have expected after his 2024 breakout. The more concerning part is the struggles versus lefties that plagued him in his rookie season returned. I do believe the power returns and he is better in 2025, but it may not be back to the 2024 levels and may look more like his 2023 season.

In spite of starting the year on the IL due to offseason injury, Zach Neto still posted a 26/26 season and has made improvements on the underlying contact skills and power metrics. If not for starting the year on the IL and then ending it on the IL with a hand strain, he would have likely had a 30/30 season. The only issue for Neto is the lineup around him as the Angels have traded away Ward and it doesn’t seem like they will add much to support Neto and Trout.

Speed Demons With A Bit Of Power

These guys can change the makeup of your team in multiple categories without making you sacrifice the other ones. Francisco Lindor will miss Opening Day after breaking his hamate bone. He will likely miss most of the first month of the season.
Speed Demons With A Bit Of Power
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
5 Trea Turner PHI SS 28 $20
6 Francisco Lindor NYM SS 24 $18
7 Maikel Garcia KCR 2B/3B/SS/OF 70 $13
10 CJ Abrams WAS SS 61 $14

Trea Turner still is a premium talent, but the power decline has been noticeable as he has had a dip in two straight seasons in homers and fly balls. He has also missed more time than he used to over his last two seasons, but still offers quality production in runs, stolen bases, and average.

Francisco Lindor has gone 31/31 in two of the last three seasons and the one time he didn’t, he missed it by just two stolen bases in 2024. His profile is about as consistent as they come and the only thing that could change his rank is the talk that he could be traded this offseason. Lindor broke hit hamate bone and had surgery. He is expected to be ready by or soon after Opening Day, but his power could be lower early in the season.

Maikel Garcia has elite contact skills, but the addition of some power was the nice surprise. he improved his is barrel rate, his hard hit percentage and his exit velocities. Now, he is never going to be a massive homer or RBI threat, but to go from someone who hurt you in two categories to a contributor in five is massive. If the young offense behind him can continue to grow, Garcia could find himself pushing up into the next tier.

In spite of a terrible approach and questionable defense, CJ Abrams has turned into a pretty good fantasy option as a player who makes enough contact and then uses his speed to rack base hits and stolen bases. He likely won’t take another step forward until he improves his approach, but there isn’t a reason to believe he will until we see or hear something different.

Up The Middle Menaces

Great shortstop options or elite MIs
Up The Middle Menaces
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
8 Mookie Betts LAD SS/OF 56 $19
9 Nico Hoerner CHC 2B/SS 106 $11
12 Jeremy Pena HOU SS 92 $13
13 Geraldo Perdomo ARI SS ▼2 79 $14

Remember when Mookie Betts got sick during the Tokyo Series and lost 20 lbs because he vomited up every time he ate? We have to wonder if that was responsible for a lot of his struggles in the first half of the season. Obviously, it may just be natural regression as he ages into his 30s, but there are reasons to be concerned at this point. This will be the cheapest you will have been able to draft him ever and there isn’t much risk of him completely falling off, but the upside certainly seems limited. I agonized over where to rank him because this does feel low, so he could find himself moving up as the offseason rolls on.

Nico Hoerner was an afterthought in drafts last season due to concerns he could start the year on the IL since he was recovering from offseason surgery. However, he ended up being ready for the start of the actual season (missing the Tokyo Series) and being the guy he has been his entire career which is be a good asset in runs, stolen bases and batting average. He can actively hurt you in home runs and RBI which holds him back from moving up with Turner and Garcia, but he is a safe bet for a 30+ stolen bases and a good average and there is a range of outcomes where he competes for a batting title.

Death, taxes, and Justin Mason giving up on a player a year before his breakout are the most guaranteed things in this world. Geraldo Perdomo was unreal in 2025, hitting .290/.389/.462 with 20 home runs and 27 stolen bases. The power is likely to regress with his 6.2% barrel rate and a 32% hard hit percentage. However, the stolen bases can definitely stick around and he is a very good in-zone hitter which I always love. The most important thing is the health. This was Perdomo’s first season in which he was able to stay on the field and get over the 500 plate appearance mark. If he can stay on the field, he can accumulate and be very valuable.

Set It and Forget It(ish)

There’s talent here, but it comes with some risk.
Set It and Forget It(ish)
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
11 Corey Seager TEX SS/DH ▲2 99 $10
14 Willy Adames SF SS ▲1 133 $11
15 Trevor Story BOS SS ▼1 107 $14
16 Dansby Swanson CHC SS 153 $9
17 Xavier Edwards MIA SS 187 $5
18 Jacob Wilson OAK SS 184 $11
19 Bryson Stott PHI 2B/SS 185 $7
20 Bo Bichette NYM SS 100 $16
23 Jackson Holliday BAL 2B/SS 172 -$6

Corey Seager is a stud on a per plate appearance basis, but he struggles to stay on the field. In shallow leagues, that’s fine because of the replacement value at the position, but it becomes harder to roster him the deeper the league gets. The skills are immaculate and there is talk he could be moved this offseason which would likely be a park upgrade, but that is a discussion for a different day.

Willy Adames really struggled in the his first few months with the Giants, but once July hit, he was a different player, hitting .242/.341/.512 with 21 home runs and eight stolen bases in 328 plate appearances. The park and team do not do him many favors and while it’s hard to know for sure how new manager Tony Vitello will approach things, Vitello did not push things on the basepaths in Tennessee in 2025 so a bump in stolen bases may not be on the horizon. He did become the first Giant to hit 30 homers since Barry Bonds left so you should get power and good counting stats at worst.

Prior to 2025, Trevor Story had not been able to stay on the field since arriving in Boston. It all came together in 2025 when he put together his best season since 2019. He is 33 and has a long injury history at this point, so there is a ton of risk that he doesn’t get back to 600 plate appearances, but especially in shallower formats where there is plenty of replacement value, he is well worth the risk.

Jacob Wilson was on pace for a Rookie of the Year caliber season before he broke his forearm and missed a month of the season. Wilson has one of the best hit tools in all of baseball, but there isn’t a lot else in the profile. He did hit 13 home runs which was surprising especially because half of those happened on the road. The problem with one category guys is if they get hurt or slump, they can really make it hard to replace their value on the wire, but the price is fair and if you need average, he will definitely give you plenty.

Bo Bichette has signed a multi-year deal with the Mets to play third base. He is moving to a worse park for his power and will be seeing pitchers he is much less familar with. He could get a boost in stolen bases as the Mets did run much more than the Blue Jays, but this isn’t the best overall fit for him. Picking up third base will be nice, but he does drop a little bit in the ranks.

Jackson Holliday was decent in his first full season in the Majors and while there wasn’t a ton to do backflips over, he just turned 22 and the underlying skills are pretty well set for the future. We know there is good underlying power in Jackson’s bat and when it finally shows, he could be a stud, but it’s hard to know when that will happen. For now, he is a high floor guy that should continue to get better as he matures, but if people start paying for the breakout, that might be premature for 2026. Holliday will now miss Opening Day after getting surgery on his broken hamate bone. Expect him to return soon after Opening Day.

Shortstops With Red Flags

These guys have the talent to jump up and be more but also have a red flag or two or three that add on risk
Shortstops With Red Flags
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
21 Ezequiel Tovar COL SS 205 $10
22 Matt McLain CIN 2B/SS 182 $4
24 Brendon Donovan SEA 2B/SS/OF 278 -$1
25 Xander Bogaerts SD 2B/SS 244 $4
26 Colson Montgomery CHW SS 227 $3
27 Ernie Clement TOR 1B/2B/3B/SS 333 $6
28 Masyn Winn STL SS 279 $5
29 Otto Lopez MIA 2B/SS 230 $3
30 Joey Ortiz MIL 3B/SS 741 $1
31 Andrew Gimenez TOR 2B/SS 432 $3
32 Carlos Correa HOU SS 279 $2
33 Chase Meidroth CHW 2B/SS 580 -$6
34 Nasim Nunez WAS 2B/SS 719 -$16
35 Willi Castro COL 2B/3B/SS/OF 279 -$1
36 Brooks Lee MIN 2B/3B/SS 575 -$3
39 Anthony Volpe NYY SS ▼2 666 -$7

Ezequiel Tovar lost over 60 games in 2025 to injuries and when he returned in the second half, he struggled to get going completely. He still has terrible plate discipline and is not a great in-zone hitter and while there is pop and Coors helps, the underlying skills are a problem.

It’s hard to know what to make of Matt McLain at this point. He broke out of nowhere in 2023, missed all of 2024, and then was extremely uneven in his return to the field in 2025. A lot of the skills we saw in 2023 were still intact in 2025, but he was unable to maintain the high BABIP rate and he lifted the ball too much which caused his line drive rate to drop from 24% (9th best in baseball) to 17% (14th worst in baseball.) The question is whether his 2026 will look more like his 2025 season than his 2023 debut which I tend to believe it will unless we get more of a reason to think otherwise before drafts are in full force.

Brendan Donovan is a high floor, low ceiling glue guy that could be a runs/average play in a lot of leagues if he can stay healthy. Unfortunately, he has struggled with that in all, but one of his seasons in the Majors. He is was traded to the Mariners and moving there hurts his offensive upside some, but he should lead off for a good offense which offsets it some.

Colson Montgomery has power and a pretty good approach, but he struggles with consistent contact. That won’t be a problem on a rebuilding team in Chicago, but he could hurt your batting average in a ton of formats. If he can make just a bit more contact, he could jump up a few tiers and at 24 years old, there is still room for skills growth.

Ernie Clement had an unreal postseason run, hitting .411/.416/.562. Add that into his fantastic positional eligibility and there is going to be some hype on him heading into drafts. He makes a ton of in-zone contact, which I love but he also struggled with swinging too much outside the zone and his lack of punch paints a mediocre picture. Right now, he has a full time role, but he will need to hit consistently to keep it.

Nasim Nuñez has speed and is good defensively, but not a ton else in the profile. He does walk some, so if he can make league average contact, there could be some upside here on a guy that is penciled into a regular role right now in Washington.

Willi Castro signed a deal to be the everyday third baseman in Colorado. Castro will benefit from the new home park and playing time and has been a 30 stolen base threat in the past and if the Rockies let him run, he could be a nice value on draft day.

Anthony Volpe has all the talent in the world, but has struggled over the course of his first few seasons. A lot of people in and out of New York seem ready to give up on him, but he still has power and speed along with a better hit tool than he gets credit for. He is low on these ranks because he is likely to begin the season on the IL and there is a chance the Yankees move on from him, but I am not ready to completely disregard him at 25 years old.

Deep League MIs

Shallow leagues are not drafting these guys, but still should keep them on your radar
Deep League MIs
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
40 Jose Caballero NYY 2B/3B/SS ▼2 206 -$13
41 Jared Triolo PIT 1B/2B/3B/SS ▼2 740 -$6
42 Brayan Rocchio CLE SS ▼2 -$6
43 Jake Cronenworth SD 1B/2B/SS ▼2 739 -$4
44 J.P. Crawford SEA SS ▼2 741 -$6
45 Nick Gonzales PIT 2B/SS -$12
46 Mauricio Dubon ATL 2B/3B/SS/OF -$18

Jose Caballero has a ton of speed and he puts it to good use when he gets playing time. Unless the Yankees bring in someone else, he will get that shot to begin the year with Volpe being on the IL. Even if you get nothing else from him in 2026, he could steal 50-60 bases this year.

With Kim out for the first half of the season, Mauricio Dubon is expected to get most of plate appearances at shortstop for the Braves. There isnt a ton of upside here but he will get plate appearances.

The Rest

Really deep league guys at best
The Rest
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
47 Brooks Baldwin CHW 2B/3B/SS/OF -$9
48 Josh Smith TEX 3B/SS/DH 590 -$8
49 Gabriel Arias CLE 2B/3B/SS -$13
50 Max Muncy OAK 2B/3B/SS -$17
51 Zach McKinstry DET 2B/3B/SS/OF 531 -$9
52 Hyeseong Kim LAD 2B/SS/OF 720 -$26
53 Ryan Ritter COL 2B/SS ▲1 -$23
54 Isiah Kiner-Falefa PIT 2B/3B/SS ▲1 -$27
55 Taylor Walls TB 2B/SS ▲1 -$21
56 Ezequiel Duran TEX 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF ▲1 -$19
57 Javier Baéz DET 2B/3B/SS/OF ▲1 -$14
59 Oswald Peraza LAA 1B/2B/3B/SS -$28
60 David Hamilton MIL 2B/SS 731 -$22
61 Thomas Saggese STL 2B/3B/SS -$25
62 Ha-Seong Kim ATL SS 730 -$10
63 Ronny Mauricio NYM 2B/3B/SS/DH -$28

Find someone who loves you as much as the Rays love Taylor Walls. Just don’t draft them or Walls for your fantasy team.

The trade to Milwaukee is a nice change of scenary for David Hamilton, but it doesn’t really improve his chance to be a starter unless Jett Williams struggles.

Thomas Saggese moves up a bit with the trade of Donovan, but it looks like Wetherholt will get the shot before him at second base.

Ha-Seong Kim is going to be missing 4-5 months with another injury. He is not draftable in most formats.

Prospects That Could Debut This Year

The future may be here sooner rather than later for some of these guys.
Prospects That Could Debut This Year
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
37 JJ Wetherholt STL SS ▲6 -$2
38 Konnor Griffin PIT SS ▲6 $2
58 Jett Williams MIL SS ▼5 -$27
64 Kevin McGonigle DET SS -$12
65 Carson Williams TB SS -$11
66 Colt Emerson SEA SS -$20
67 Aidan Miller PHI SS -$33

With the trade of Brendan Donovan, JJ Wetherholt has a real shot to win a roster spot in St. Louis. The Cardinals top prospect has a great hit tool and approach but he doesn’t have immense power or speed so for him to be a vaulable fantasy player, he needs that playing time to accumulate. He has that chance now and St. Louis is not going to block him off from doing so.

Konnor Griffin is the top prospect in baseball for a reason. Recent reports say the Pirates will give him a shot to break camp camp with the team. I am still dubious that they actually start his clock, but there is amazing upside if they do. He could shoot up this list into the top 20 if it seems like he will be on the Opening Day roster.

With the trade of Caleb Durbin to Boston, Jett Williams will be given a chance to make the team as either the starting shortstop or third baseman in Milwaukee. Williams is a former first round pick that has power and speed, but struggles with consistent contact. The Brewer mold is a heavy contact and glove first type which Williams is not, but if he wins a role, he has a lot of upside in the bat. The addition of Luis Rengifo makes it harder for Williams to make the roster which is the reason for his fall.

Kevin McGonigle doesn’t have a ton of power or speed, but what he does do is rake. His highest strikeout rate at any level was 12.6% and does a bit of everything. He won’t have to stay in the minors for long once the Tigers realize he is better than Baez and McKinstry already.

Carson Williams struggled in his debut in 2025 and while he has a shot to make the team as the everyday shortstop, the lack of hit tool is a huge problem. With the Rays shedding salary, he probably will get a good amount of PAs, so chances are that he is further up this list next update.


Full Rankings Without Tiers

No tiers. Just the rankings.
Full Rankings Without Tiers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 Bobby Witt Jr. KC SS 3 $34
2 Elly De La Cruz CIN SS 8 $27
3 Gunnar Henderson BAL SS 13 $26
4 Zach Neto LAA SS 27 $21
5 Trea Turner PHI SS 28 $20
6 Francisco Lindor NYM SS 24 $18
7 Maikel Garcia KCR 2B/3B/SS/OF 70 $13
8 Mookie Betts LAD SS/OF 56 $19
9 Nico Hoerner CHC 2B/SS 106 $11
10 CJ Abrams WAS SS 61 $14
11 Corey Seager TEX SS/DH ▲2 99 $10
12 Jeremy Pena HOU SS 92 $13
13 Geraldo Perdomo ARI SS ▼2 79 $14
14 Willy Adames SF SS ▲1 133 $11
15 Trevor Story BOS SS ▼1 107 $14
16 Dansby Swanson CHC SS 153 $9
17 Xavier Edwards MIA SS 187 $5
18 Jacob Wilson OAK SS 184 $11
19 Bryson Stott PHI 2B/SS 185 $7
20 Bo Bichette NYM SS 100 $16
21 Ezequiel Tovar COL SS 205 $10
22 Matt McLain CIN 2B/SS 182 $4
23 Jackson Holliday BAL 2B/SS 172 -$6
24 Brendon Donovan SEA 2B/SS/OF 278 -$1
25 Xander Bogaerts SD 2B/SS 244 $4
26 Colson Montgomery CHW SS 227 $3
27 Ernie Clement TOR 1B/2B/3B/SS 333 $6
28 Masyn Winn STL SS 279 $5
29 Otto Lopez MIA 2B/SS 230 $3
30 Joey Ortiz MIL 3B/SS 741 $1
31 Andrew Gimenez TOR 2B/SS 432 $3
32 Carlos Correa HOU SS 279 $2
33 Chase Meidroth CHW 2B/SS 580 -$6
34 Nasim Nunez WAS 2B/SS 719 -$16
35 Willi Castro COL 2B/3B/SS/OF 279 -$1
36 Brooks Lee MIN 2B/3B/SS 575 -$3
37 JJ Wetherholt STL SS ▲6 -$2
38 Konnor Griffin PIT SS ▲6 $2
39 Anthony Volpe NYY SS ▼2 666 -$7
40 Jose Caballero NYY 2B/3B/SS ▼2 206 -$13
41 Jared Triolo PIT 1B/2B/3B/SS ▼2 740 -$6
42 Brayan Rocchio CLE SS ▼2 -$6
43 Jake Cronenworth SD 1B/2B/SS ▼2 739 -$4
44 J.P. Crawford SEA SS ▼2 741 -$6
45 Nick Gonzales PIT 2B/SS -$12
46 Mauricio Dubon ATL 2B/3B/SS/OF -$18
47 Brooks Baldwin CHW 2B/3B/SS/OF -$9
48 Josh Smith TEX 3B/SS/DH 590 -$8
49 Gabriel Arias CLE 2B/3B/SS -$13
50 Max Muncy OAK 2B/3B/SS -$17
51 Zach McKinstry DET 2B/3B/SS/OF 531 -$9
52 Hyeseong Kim LAD 2B/SS/OF 720 -$26
53 Ryan Ritter COL 2B/SS ▲1 -$23
54 Isiah Kiner-Falefa PIT 2B/3B/SS ▲1 -$27
55 Taylor Walls TB 2B/SS ▲1 -$21
56 Ezequiel Duran TEX 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF ▲1 -$19
57 Javier Baéz DET 2B/3B/SS/OF ▲1 -$14
58 Jett Williams MIL SS ▼5 -$27
59 Oswald Peraza LAA 1B/2B/3B/SS -$28
60 David Hamilton MIL 2B/SS 731 -$22
61 Thomas Saggese STL 2B/3B/SS -$25
62 Ha-Seong Kim ATL SS 730 -$10
63 Ronny Mauricio NYM 2B/3B/SS/DH -$28
64 Kevin McGonigle DET SS -$12
65 Carson Williams TB SS -$11
66 Colt Emerson SEA SS -$20
67 Aidan Miller PHI SS -$33

Jake Mailhot’s 2026 Tiered Rankings for Ottoneu Points: Starting Pitchers

Atlanta Braves pitcher Chris Sale (51) pitches the ball against the Pittsburgh Pirates during the third inning at Truist Park.
Credit: Jordan Godfree-Imagn Images

The Ottoneu rankings push shifts to the mound with a look at starting pitchers. You can find all the information about the format and methodology for these rankings in Chad’s introduction.

Changelog

  • 2/24/2026: Updated projections w/ ZiPS and OOPSY. Added player notes for all players in tier $3-$5 and above. Updated tier placement for 23 players (green = moved up, red = moved down).

 


Jake Mailhot’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B |OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for 4×4: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP


Here are few more notes about my process:

  • Projected points. I’ve been building my own homebrewed projections for the past decade plus, ever since I started playing Ottoneu, and they form the basis for the rankings below. They’re nothing overly complicated; essentially just a MARCEL-esque projection using three years of historical data filtered through a rough aging curve and adjusted for the current run environment. I also include a collection of up to five public projection systems (ZiPS, Steamer, OOPSY, THE BAT, and PECOTA) to provide some additional context. That gives each player a wealth of data sources to form their projection. Currently, the projections below only include Steamer and THE BAT projections. I will update the rankings in February once ZiPS, OOPSY, and PECOTA are released.
  • P/IP. Points per innings pitched is the gold standard by which you should be evaluating pitchers in Ottoneu but there are plenty of factors that will affect a player’s ranking outside of their raw projection. Injury risk, projected playing time and role, age, and future value are all things that need to be taken into account when evaluating pitchers.

Just to reiterate a point that Chad makes in his introduction: yes, these rankings are presented ordinally, but the tier a player appears in is much more important than if they’re ranked 16th or 28th. Within tiers, players are generally ranked by their projected P/IP but that doesn’t necessarily mean I think one player is significantly more valuable than another in the same tier.

Ottoneu Points SP Tiered Rankings
Tier Rank Player Projected Pts Pts/IP Notes
$45-$54 1 Tarik Skubal 1190.9 6.17 Arguably the best pitcher in baseball right now. Dominant fastball and three swing-and-miss secondary pitches.
$45-$54 2 Paul Skenes 1106.5 6.05 Arguably better than Skubal and definitely younger. Strikeout rate took a tiny step backwards in 2025 and his fastball isn’t as dominant.
$36-$44 3 Garrett Crochet 1089.9 5.74 Proved health concerns were a thing of the past in 2025. Best slider in baseball but can be a little home run prone.
$28-$35 4 Chris Sale 877.6 5.81 Projected to be #3 pitcher by P/IP but there are injury and workload concerns.
$28-$35 5 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 862.7 5.53 Fantastic underlying skills, despite small bump in walk rate. Overall value hampered by volume concerns.
$28-$35 6 Shohei Ohtani 538.8 5.43 If Ohtani was only a pitcher, this is where he’d rank based on his P/IP ceiling. Of course, the question is how many innings he’ll actually pitch in 2026.
$28-$35 7 Cristopher Sánchez 1020.8 5.32 Followed up breakout 2024 with an ever better season in ’25. Pretty ideal profile for Ottoneu: high strikeouts, low walks, high groundball rate.
$28-$35 8 Hunter Greene 810.1 5.30 A groin injury derailed what was looking like a breakout season. Figured out how to locate his slider and his strikeout-to-walk ratio improved significantly.
$28-$35 9 Tyler Glasnow 641.9 5.27 Another Dodgers starter with workload concerns, but more importantly, his walk rate spiked and strikeout rate fell in 2025. His slider took a significant step backwards.
$28-$35 10 Logan Gilbert 880.9 5.24 Big spike in strikeout rate came with a bunch more home runs. His splitter is an incredible pitch, but the slider and fastball can get hit hard at times.
$28-$35 11 Logan Webb 1066.6 5.22 A metronome who got even better in 2025. Improved his strikeout rate while keeping his walk rate low and groundball rate high.
$21-$27 12 Cole Ragans 827.8 5.50 Might have been the hardest pitcher to rank. Major shoulder injury last year throws his health into question. Big improvements in his underlying skills — career-high strikeout-to-walk ratio — but BABIP ballooned over .350.
$21-$27 13 Blake Snell 684.7 5.40 Strikeout rate dipped below 30% for the first time since 2017 but was still excellent in limited innings. Like every Dodgers starter, the question is volume.
$21-$27 14 Chase Burns 574.7 5.16 Massive ceiling we got a glimpse of in 2025. Is the repertoire deep enough to be successful as a frontline starter?
$21-$27 15 Kyle Bradish 663.3 5.15 Returned from Tommy John surgery to make 6 promising starts in 2025. All his skills looked intact.
$21-$27 16 Jacob deGrom 855.3 5.14 Finally healthy for an entire season but skills deteriorated a bit. Still very good, but not elite anymore.
$21-$27 17 Max Fried 940.5 5.14 Had an excellent debut season in New York. Almost as metronomic as Webb.
$21-$27 18 Hunter Brown 915.1 5.14 Followed up breakout 2024 with an ever better season in ’25. Strikeout rate increase wasn’t supported by enough additional whiffs.
$21-$27 19 Bryan Woo 903.7 5.11 Two fantastic fastballs and a developing repertoire of secondary weapons. Consistently good every week.
$21-$27 20 Nathan Eovaldi 772.4 5.02 Health is a big question but he put together his best season of his career in 2025 before getting sidelined.
$21-$27 21 Dylan Cease 893.0 5.00 Can be extremely inconsistent from start to start, but the strikeouts give him a solid foundation.
$21-$27 22 Framber Valdez 929.3 4.99 Elite groundball rate means fewer home runs — good in Ottoneu — but his strikeout-to-walk ratio slipped a bit in 2025.
$21-$27 23 George Kirby 820.8 4.96 Returned from shoulder injury with skills mostly intact. Signature command slipped a little bit but he might have found a breaking ball that works for him.
$21-$27 24 Jesús Luzardo 840.7 4.94 Healthy in 2025 and put up a season very similar to his breakout in 2023.
$15-$20 25 Zack Wheeler 854.4 5.58 Thoracic outlet surgery throws his entire future up in the air — and he was already entering his age-36 season. Monitor his health reports in the spring.
$15-$20 26 Spencer Schwellenbach 701.6 5.03 Should be healthy to start 2026 after elbow fracture. Showed fantastic skills across two half seasons in ’24 and ’25.
$15-$20 27 Joe Ryan 795.3 4.87 Really struggled with a home run problem during the final two months of 2025 (12 HRs in 10 starts, 5.01 FIP). Fastball and secondaries all looked good, so it could have been just bad luck.
$15-$20 28 Sonny Gray 849.4 4.87 Veteran who has been able to stay effective as he ages. Fastball dipped below 92 mph in 2025 and new home park in Boston won’t do him any favors.
$15-$20 29 Brandon Woodruff 622.0 4.86 Returned from shoulder injury with skills mostly intact. Strikeout-to-walk ratio was fantastic despite a dip in overall Stuff+.
$15-$20 30 Kris Bubic 624.4 4.86 Breakout season interrupted by a shoulder injury in July. If he’s healthy, his underlying skills look solid.
$15-$20 31 Freddy Peralta 823.1 4.85 Solid skills across the board but high fly ball rate leads to a few too many home runs.
$15-$20 32 Jacob Misiorowski 605.8 4.85 The raw stuff is undeniable but the lack of command is holding him back. Strikeout rate is high enough to offset the free passes but there are volume concerns too.
$15-$20 33 Eury Pérez 612.2 4.80 Up-and-down ceiling after returning from Tommy John surgery. Huge Stuff+ darling with a massive ceiling.
$15-$20 34 Drew Rasmussen 723.9 4.80 Despite workload limits, still pitched 150 innings in 2025 with solid underlying skills. Wore down towards the end of the season.
$15-$20 35 Nolan McLean 640.3 4.78 Brilliant debut at the end of the season in 2025. Managed to improve command in the big leagues to go along with high strikeout and groundball rates.
$15-$20 36 Nick Pivetta 817.9 4.75 Enjoyed a career-best season in 2025 thanks to a big drop in home runs allowed. Fly ball heavy batted ball profile is always dangerous.
$15-$20 37 Gerrit Cole 621.2 4.73 Coming off Tommy John surgery and will probably miss the first few months of the season. Track record speaks for itself but still questions about his skills returning after injury.
$15-$20 38 Michael King 699.0 4.70 Shoulder injury derailed his season in 2025 but stikeout-to-walk ratio wasn’t too affected. Health still a question.
$15-$20 39 Ranger Suárez 744.0 4.66 Command improved in 2025 to go along with decent strikeout rate and good groundball rate.
$15-$20 40 Kevin Gausman 853.0 4.66 Bounced back a bit in 2025 with improved strikeout-to-walk ratio. BABIP allowed dropped to .262 which is likely to regress upwards.
$10-$14 41 Emmet Sheehan 612.3 5.03 Like every other Dodgers starter, he has workload concerns. Took a huge step forward in 2025 with a pair of fantastic secondary pitches.
$10-$14 42 Justin Steele 541.2 4.80 Coming off Tommy John surgery and will probably miss the first few months of the season. He was great for three years with his weird fastball but needs to prove he’s healthy.
$10-$14 43 Trey Yesavage 648.5 4.74 Incredible debut in September and through the playoffs. Super weird release point didn’t help his fastball but his splitter was a monster. Will the Blue Jays manage his workload in ’26?
$10-$14 44 Spencer Strider 686.2 4.63 Didn’t regain his fastball after Tommy John surgery and his whole arsenal suffered. If the velocity is back, he could be a steal. If not, he might not even rise to this level of value.
$10-$14 45 Edward Cabrera 602.3 4.60 Finally figured out his command issues, dropped his walk rate by 4 points. Health is still a big question.
$10-$14 46 Nick Lodolo 659.8 4.57 Just had the best season of his career in 2025. Improved command and solid strikeout rate but needs to stay healthy.
$10-$14 47 MacKenzie Gore 734.3 4.57 Huge strikeout ceiling thanks to elite secondary pitches but wore down during the second half of 2025 (2.96 FIP in 1H, 5.49 in 2H).
$10-$14 48 Jack Flaherty 726.2 4.56 Strikeout-to-walk ratio slipped a bit in 2025 after resurgent season in ’24. Great breaking balls but can be a bit erratic.
$6-$9 49 Corbin Burnes 683.5 4.90 Will be returning from Tommy John surgery sometime midseason. Was struggling with his command in 2025 before the injury.
$6-$9 50 Shane McClanahan 626.6 4.72 Hasn’t pitched since August 2023 thanks to Tommy John surgery and a triceps injury. I have no idea what to expect from him if he’s healthy (which isn’t a guarantee).
$6-$9 51 Jonah Tong 417.2 4.71 Top prospect who had a bit of a rough debut in September. Currently buried on the Mets depth chart and needs a third pitch to raise his ceiling.
$6-$9 52 Connelly Early 373.3 4.65 Top prospect who had a very exciting debut in September. Currently buried on the Red Sox depth chart but should force his way into an opportunity sooner rather than later.
$6-$9 53 Braxton Ashcraft 561.0 4.65 Top prospect who finally got a shot to start in August. His fastball is merely okay but his secondaries look great. Will he get a chance in the rotation out of spring training?
$6-$9 54 Grayson Rodriguez 552.5 4.64 Missed the entire 2025 season with multiple arm issues. Had shown some promising skills a few years ago but health throws it all into question. New home in Angels Stadium won’t help either.
$6-$9 55 José Soriano 730.5 4.59 Four swing-and-miss secondary pitches but can’t generate strikeouts because his pitch mix is too sinker heavy. Elite groundball rate provides a solid floor.
$6-$9 56 Carlos Rodón 767.9 4.58 Coming off offseason elbow surgery and will probably miss the first few months of the season. Decent skills across the board when healthy.
$6-$9 57 Cam Schlittler 522.8 4.52 Excellent debut in 2025. Solid three pitch mix but lack of command hurts his ceiling a bit.
$6-$9 58 Jared Jones 457.8 4.49 Will be returning from Tommy John surgery sometime midseason. Had an encouraging debut in 2024 before the injury but his spot in the rotation isn’t guaranteed until he’s healthy.
$6-$9 59 Joey Cantillo 543.9 4.49 Looked great once he earned a chance to start in July. Command is a little shaky but has a legit weapon in his changeup.
$6-$9 60 Sean Manaea 584.4 4.49 Cut his pitch mix to just his fastball and slider. A career-high strikeout-to-walk ratio was great to see but he also suffered from a massive home run spike.
$6-$9 61 Matthew Boyd 722.4 4.48 Finally healthy for the first time since 2019. Strikeout-to-walk ratio was excellent despite a lower strikeout rate.
$6-$9 62 Joe Musgrove 594.1 4.48 Will be returning from Tommy John surgery but should be healthy for spring training. Solid skills across the board when healthy.
$6-$9 63 Bubba Chandler 629.8 4.45 Top prospect who had a very exciting debut in September. His fastball looks elite, he’s got excellent command, but his secondaries need to develop a bit more. Will he get a chance in the rotation out of spring training?
$6-$9 64 Cade Horton 562.6 4.43 Excellent debut in 2025 but a lot of his success seemed to be BABIP driven. Solid command, deep repertoire, great secondaries give him a decent floor and potential for high ceiling.
$6-$9 65 David Peterson 696.9 4.43 Decent skills across the board. High groundball rate keeps the ball in the park, but command isn’t good enough to raise his ceiling too high.
$6-$9 66 Luis Castillo 786.8 4.42 Velocity dropped in 2025 and strikeout rate dropped 3 points for the second season in a row. Decent skills otherwise, but probably won’t reach his ceiling again.
$6-$9 67 Kodai Senga 552.5 4.41 Hamstring injury derailed his season and couldn’t get his mechanics right after returning. We’ve seen the ceiling, but I’m not sure he’ll bounce back.
$6-$9 68 Gavin Williams 696.5 4.40 Second half success was largely BABIP driven. Command is still lacking but his deep repertoire gives him something to build on.
$6-$9 69 Ryan Pepiot 702.1 4.40 Went through some big ups and downs in 2025 and was hurt by Steinbrenner Field. Decent skills across the board and should be better back in Tropicana Field.
$6-$9 70 DJ Herz 308.8 4.38 Will be returning from Tommy John surgery sometime midseason. Had an encouraging debut in 2024 before the injury but his spot in the rotation isn’t guaranteed until he’s healthy.
$6-$9 71 Tanner Bibee 770.7 4.38 Despite strong Stuff+ grades, he never seemed to be able to put it all together in 2025. Strikeout rate dropped 5 points and he allowed a bunch more home runs.
$6-$9 72 Trevor Rogers 636.8 4.37 Had an absolutely incredible run to finish 2025. Health will always be a question but showed off the same skills from his 2021 breakout.
$6-$9 73 Ian Seymour 441.9 4.33 Looked great once he earned a chance to start in August. Has an excellent changeup but might get squeezed out of the rotation to start the season.
$6-$9 74 Robbie Ray 734.2 4.33 Finally healthy after Tommy John surgery in 2023. Didn’t have the same strikeout ceiling we’ve been used to and his command was a little shaky.
$6-$9 75 Clay Holmes 640.2 4.32 The transition to the rotation worked out but he wore down as the season went on. High groundball rate keeps the ball in the park, but strikeout-to-walk ratio is merely okay.
$6-$9 76 Zac Gallen 787.2 4.25 Suffered through the worst season of his career in 2025. Strikeout rate dropped 4 points, but still could bounce back if he can figure out the whiff rate issues.
$6-$9 77 Sandy Alcantara 749.3 4.22 Got stronger as the season wore on. Strikeout rate ticked up and walk rate ticked down. We know what his ceiling looks like.
$3-$5 78 Reynaldo López 608.3 4.81 Looked great in his return to the starting rotation in 2024 but shoulder injuries are no joke. How effective will he be and what will his workload look like?
$3-$5 79 Reid Detmers 553.8 4.53 Returning to the starting rotation after a successful stint in the bullpen in 2025. Fastball-slider combo is dominant, but needs a third or fourth pitch to be successful.
$3-$5 80 Braxton Garrett 541.4 4.43 Will be returning from Tommy John surgery but should be healthy for spring training. Enjoyed big breakout in 2023 before the injury but needs to prove he’s healthy after missing so much time.
$3-$5 81 Logan Henderson 540.1 4.39 Big strikeout potential, but questions about workload and the need for a third pitch. Penciled in as the Brewers fifth starter but faces a ton of competition from other top prospects.
$3-$5 82 Shane Bieber 526.3 4.36 Returned from Tommy John surgery to make 7 promising starts in 2025. All his skills looked intact but suffered from a home run problem.
$3-$5 83 Merrill Kelly 켈리 736.9 4.31 Sturdy veteran who shouldn’t hurt in any one category but doesn’t standout in any either.
$3-$5 84 Robert Gasser 393.8 4.30 Fighting for a spot in Milwaukee’s starting rotation. Health should be monitored after returning from Tommy John surgery late in 2025.
$3-$5 85 Cody Ponce 폰세 635.3 4.30 Returning to the US after winning the KBO MVP in 2025. Added velocity and a new changeup in Asia.
$3-$5 86 Michael Soroka 499.9 4.30 Had a nice run as a starter with the Nationals before getting traded to Chicago. Should have a spot in Arizona’s rotation, but there’s some risk he could be shifted to the bullpen.
$3-$5 87 Brandon Sproat 405.6 4.29 Fighting for a spot in Milwaukee’s starting rotation. Has a higher ceiling than Henderson or Gasser but maybe needs more development time to reach it.
$3-$5 88 Grant Holmes 396.6 4.28 He couldn’t replicate his surprise success from 2024 in ’25, but you might chalk that up to an elbow issue that cost him half the season. Needs to get the walks back under control.
$3-$5 89 Mike Burrows 529.7 4.28 Improved as the year went on in 2025 (5.09 FIP in 1H, 3.19 in 2H) and now in Houston with their player development group.
$3-$5 90 Tyler Mahle 515.0 4.27 Was finally healthy for half a season, and looked pretty good, but then got injured again in mid-June. San Francisco is a nice landing spot but health will always be a question.
$3-$5 91 Landen Roupp 477.9 4.26 Had a solid first full season in the rotation in 2025 somewhat derailed by a knee injury. Curveball is a legit weapon but needs a third or fourth pitch to thrive.
$3-$5 92 Shane Smith 667.3 4.26 A rare rule 5 success story in Chicago’s rotation. Decent peripherals all around though the ceiling might not be very high.
$3-$5 93 Ryne Nelson 658.4 4.24 His four-seam fastball is one of the best in baseball at mitigating hard contact. Needs to work on his secondary pitches to really take a step forward.
$3-$5 94 Chad Patrick 564.3 4.20 Great debut in 2025 before getting squeeze out of Milwaukee’s rotation. Deep arsenal with one of the best cutters in baseball as a foundation.
$3-$5 95 Shane Baz 649.5 4.19 Finally healthy for a full season in 2025 but results were up and down. Focused his arsenal on his legit curveball. Landing in Baltimore should help too.
$3-$5 96 Mitch Keller 738.5 4.19 Decent skills across the board and durable. Hasn’t been able to replicate the 25% K% from 2023 which limits his ceiling.
$3-$5 97 Bryce Miller 577.6 4.19 We know what his ceiling looks like from his breakout season in 2024, but an elbow injury derailed his season in ’25. Might have the highest ceiling of anyone in this tier.
$3-$5 98 Aaron Nola 689.5 4.18 Veteran slowly succumbing to Father Time. He’s been incredibly durable, which is valuable, but it doesn’t seem like he’ll ever get back to the ace he was a few years ago.
$3-$5 99 Luis Gil 446.2 4.18 A lat strain cost him more than half the season in 2025. Somehow manages to walk the tight rope of a double digit walk rate by limiting hard contact.
$3-$5 100 Janson Junk 446.7 4.17 Took a big step forward in 2025 by cutting his walk rate to just 2.9%. His strikeout rate isn’t great and he gives up a little too much hard contact, but the elite command gives him a nice floor.
$3-$5 101 Michael Wacha 683.0 4.13 Decent skills across the board and durable. Strikeout rate dropped to a career low in 2025. Pitch mix leaned away from his signature changeup for some reason.
$3-$5 102 Tatsuya Imai 595.1 4.12 Coming over from NBP after a dominant season in 2025. Phenomenal slider earns plenty of whiffs, but command might be an issue.
$3-$5 103 Yusei Kikuchi 707.4 4.10 Couldn’t replicate his mini-breakout from 2024 in Los Angeles. Strikeout rate dropped 5.5 points and the walk rate shot up again.
$3-$5 104 Will Warren 585.3 4.09 Ran out of steam during towards the end of 2025. Secondary pitches looked great during his excellent start to the season, hopefully has more endurance in ’26.
$3-$5 105 Noah Cameron 584.0 4.07 Great debut in 2025. Solid command and deep arsenal give him a high floor, but the strikeout rate is a little too low to give him a high ceiling.
$3-$5 106 Casey Mize 590.1 4.05 Followed up a healthy 2024 with a better season across the board in ’25. Fastball/splitter combo works well but needs a better third or fourth pitch to take a step forward.
$3-$5 107 Shota Imanaga 613.4 4.04 Big step backwards in his second season in Chicago. Strikeout rate dropped nearly 5 points and he allowed way too many home runs.
$3-$5 108 Andrew Abbott 650.0 4.04 Enjoyed a big breakout season in 2025. Suppresses hard contact with his fastball and changeup and slider get just enough whiffs.
$3-$5 109 Roki Sasaki 428.4 4.03 Suffered through a disaster of a season in his first year in Los Angeles. Big questions about his durability, lack of a third pitch, and command, but the underlying talent is still present.
$1-$2 110 Payton Tolle 345.0 4.52
$1-$2 111 Sean Newcomb 429.9 4.48
$1-$2 112 Kyle Leahy 458.2 4.41
$1-$2 113 Joe Boyle 399.6 4.40
$1-$2 114 Kai-Wei Teng 238.1 4.28
$1-$2 115 Ricky Tiedemann 177.0 4.25
$1-$2 116 David Festa 275.3 4.24
$1-$2 117 Hurston Waldrep 537.8 4.23
$1-$2 118 Thomas White 344.2 4.22
$1-$2 119 Foster Griffin 566.8 4.20
$1-$2 120 Stephen Kolek 423.7 4.19
$1-$2 121 Brady Singer 718.4 4.18
$1-$2 122 Steven Matz 436.5 4.18
$1-$2 123 Parker Messick 479.8 4.17
$1-$2 124 Jacob Lopez 495.2 4.17
$1-$2 125 Jack Leiter 606.4 4.16
$1-$2 126 Johan Oviedo 446.6 4.14
$1-$2 127 Ryan Weiss 와이스 463.7 4.14
$1-$2 128 Taj Bradley 568.3 4.12
$1-$2 129 Ryan Weathers 421.0 4.12
$1-$2 130 Brayan Bello 665.3 4.11
$1-$2 131 Chris Bassitt 685.1 4.10
$1-$2 132 Troy Melton 449.3 4.10
$1-$2 133 Robby Snelling 501.9 4.10
$1-$2 134 Jacob Latz 380.4 4.10
$1-$2 135 Kutter Crawford 520.5 4.09
$1-$2 136 Quinn Priester 622.0 4.08
$1-$2 137 Zebby Matthews 443.5 4.08
$1-$2 138 Cade Cavalli 513.7 4.05
$1-$2 139 Brandon Pfaadt 692.4 4.03
$1-$2 140 Nick Martinez 605.6 4.01
$1-$2 141 Michael McGreevy 528.3 3.98
$1-$2 142 Dustin May 544.6 3.96
$1-$2 143 Seth Lugo 638.1 3.95
$1-$2 144 Kumar Rocker 383.4 3.92
$1-$2 145 Bailey Ober 587.4 3.90
$1-$2 146 Matthew Liberatore 550.3 3.90
$1-$2 147 Spencer Arrighetti 388.2 3.89
$1-$2 148 Zach Eflin 497.2 3.69
$1-$2 149 Lucas Giolito 568.5 3.65
$1-$2 150 Andrew Painter 452.4 3.61
$0-$1 151 Seth Hernandez #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 152 Kade Anderson #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 153 Liam Doyle #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 154 Jamie Arnold #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 155 Gage Jump #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 156 Jarlin Susana #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 157 Tyler Bremner #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 158 Pablo López 751.5 4.77 Elbow injury in 2025 turned out to be minor, returned to make 3 starts in September. (Update: the elbow injury was actually more serious.)
$0-$1 159 Reese Olson 551.0 4.70 Will be returning from a shoulder injury but should be healthy for spring training. (Update: he was not healthy for spring training.)
$0-$1 160 Tylor Megill 394.8 4.64
$0-$1 161 Jakob Junis 312.5 4.58
$0-$1 162 Clarke Schmidt 385.0 4.57
$0-$1 163 Ben Brown 377.8 4.48
$0-$1 164 AJ Smith-Shawver 235.5 4.29
$0-$1 165 Christian Scott 205.9 4.17
$0-$1 166 Tanner Houck 515.3 4.15
$0-$1 167 Keaton Winn 202.0 4.14
$0-$1 168 Patrick Sandoval 370.9 4.13
$0-$1 169 Cody Bradford 262.9 4.13
$0-$1 170 Didier Fuentes 308.4 4.13
$0-$1 171 Kyle Harrison 354.4 4.11
$0-$1 172 Tobias Myers 381.8 4.06
$0-$1 173 Chris Murphy 207.5 4.05
$0-$1 174 Eric Lauer 라우어 359.6 4.01
$0-$1 175 Trevor McDonald 380.3 3.94
$0-$1 176 AJ Blubaugh 297.1 3.93
$0-$1 177 Dean Kremer 608.9 3.91
$0-$1 178 Adrian Houser 504.2 3.91
$0-$1 179 Simeon Woods Richardson 485.5 3.90
$0-$1 180 Hayden Birdsong 295.9 3.90
$0-$1 181 Luis Severino 654.0 3.90
$0-$1 182 Quinn Mathews 290.7 3.88
$0-$1 183 Javier Assad 376.9 3.88
$0-$1 184 Ryan Bergert 311.3 3.87
$0-$1 185 Blade Tidwell 298.5 3.87
$0-$1 186 Sawyer Gipson-Long 215.1 3.82
$0-$1 187 Max Meyer 431.3 3.81
$0-$1 188 Luis Morales 408.0 3.81
$0-$1 189 Colin Rea 520.1 3.79
$0-$1 190 Jameson Taillon 568.6 3.78
$0-$1 191 Cade Povich 369.9 3.78
$0-$1 192 Brad Lord 527.1 3.76
$0-$1 193 Aaron Civale 489.9 3.76
$0-$1 194 Hunter Dobbins 315.1 3.75
$0-$1 195 Rhett Lowder 337.5 3.75
$0-$1 196 Tyler Wells 342.6 3.75
$0-$1 197 Max Scherzer 419.6 3.75
$0-$1 198 Andre Pallante 541.6 3.74
$0-$1 199 Mick Abel 368.0 3.74
$0-$1 200 Noah Schultz 251.7 3.72
$0-$1 201 Yilber Díaz 211.5 3.72
$0-$1 202 José Berríos 588.4 3.71
$0-$1 203 Cristian Javier 457.9 3.63
$0-$1 204 Slade Cecconi 485.7 3.61
$0-$1 205 Jeffrey Springs 585.6 3.61
$0-$1 206 Eduardo Rodriguez 500.7 3.59
$0-$1 207 Chase Dollander 363.2 3.09
$0-$1 208 Jackson Jobe 190.5 3.05
$0 209 Hagen Smith #N/A #N/A
$0 210 Brandon Walter 262.8 4.38
$0 211 DL Hall 215.5 4.29
$0 212 Ronel Blanco 473.0 4.28
$0 213 Alex Cobb 367.8 4.11
$0 214 Yu Darvish 352.2 4.07
$0 215 Cooper Criswell 309.0 4.02
$0 216 J.T. Ginn 361.0 3.99
$0 217 John Means 111.8 3.94
$0 218 Gavin Stone 386.3 3.94
$0 219 Jon Gray 390.1 3.92
$0 220 Justin Verlander 547.1 3.91
$0 221 Hayden Wesneski 224.7 3.87
$0 222 Jordan Wicks 232.3 3.87
$0 223 Jhony Brito 215.1 3.86
$0 224 Ryan Yarbrough 278.7 3.78
$0 225 Charlie Morton 491.0 3.74
$0 226 Ty Madden 210.2 3.71
$0 227 Matt Waldron 385.0 3.68
$0 228 Joey Wentz 301.3 3.68
$0 229 Joe Ross 211.3 3.68
$0 230 Bryce Elder 478.7 3.68
$0 231 Yoendrys Gómez 299.2 3.67
$0 232 Jordan Montgomery 408.8 3.65
$0 233 Paul Blackburn 254.8 3.63
$0 234 Luis Medina 355.2 3.63
$0 235 Davis Martin 506.8 3.62
$0 236 Nestor Cortes 442.7 3.59
$0 237 Spencer Turnbull 233.7 3.58
$0 238 Kyle Wright 305.7 3.58
$0 239 Griffin Canning 469.3 3.58
$0 240 Kyle Hart 하트 270.1 3.57
$0 241 Zack Littell 606.2 3.56
$0 242 Lance McCullers Jr. 357.8 3.56
$0 243 Richard Fitts 328.5 3.56
$0 244 Chayce McDermott 213.4 3.56
$0 245 Anthony Kay 471.2 3.55
$0 246 Jose Quintana 501.0 3.54
$0 247 Ben Lively 라이블리 365.3 3.52
$0 248 Ryan Gusto 318.2 3.52
$0 249 Mason Barnett 299.0 3.51
$0 250 Mitch Spence 369.3 3.51
$0 251 Logan Evans 296.9 3.50
$0 252 Sean Burke 483.4 3.46
$0 253 Logan Allen로건 464.8 3.46
$0 254 Osvaldo Bido 252.4 3.46
$0 255 J.P. France 242.8 3.46
$0 256 Carson Seymour 237.3 3.46
$0 257 Erick Fedde 페디 509.0 3.45
$0 258 Alek Manoah 333.1 3.44
$0 259 Mitch Farris 273.0 3.44
$0 260 Bailey Falter 387.5 3.42
$0 261 Martín Pérez 395.4 3.41
$0 262 Emerson Hancock 294.9 3.40
$0 263 Carson Whisenhunt 249.1 3.40
$0 264 Mitchell Parker 476.9 3.39
$0 265 Ryan Feltner 399.3 3.39
$0 266 Keider Montero 333.4 3.39
$0 267 Patrick Corbin 513.0 3.38
$0 268 Michael Lorenzen 473.1 3.38
$0 269 Marcus Stroman 408.2 3.35
$0 270 JP Sears 491.7 3.35
$0 271 Bobby Miller 253.9 3.35
$0 272 Bowden Francis 236.4 3.34
$0 273 Landon Knack 256.3 3.29
$0 274 Randy Vasquez 428.2 3.26
$0 275 Jason Alexander 259.5 3.24
$0 276 Josiah Gray 395.7 3.24
$0 277 Colton Gordon 283.0 3.21
$0 278 Chris Paddack 412.3 3.20
$0 279 José Urquidy 337.4 3.20
$0 280 Miles Mikolas 488.3 3.19
$0 281 Jonathan Cannon 367.2 3.18
$0 282 Brandon Young 190.3 3.17
$0 283 Drew Thorpe 219.5 3.16
$0 284 Frankie Montas 334.5 3.15
$0 285 Mason Black 229.0 3.14
$0 286 Caden Dana 287.0 3.14
$0 287 Jake Irvin 521.4 3.11
$0 288 Kyle Freeland 501.2 3.09
$0 289 Tyler Anderson 444.8 3.04
$0 290 Cal Quantrill 346.3 3.02
$0 291 McCade Brown 212.8 2.91
$0 292 Walker Buehler 340.9 2.86
$0 293 Tomoyuki Sugano 417.9 2.86
$0 294 Taijuan Walker 329.3 2.74
$0 295 Germán Márquez 336.4 2.60
$0 296 Gunnar Hoglund 140.8 2.59
$0 297 Austin Gomber 274.1 2.58
$0 298 Tanner Gordon 281.8 2.51
$0 299 Antonio Senzatela 208.3 2.01

Chad Young’s 1B/Util Tiered Rankings for 4×4 Ottoneu

Los Angeles Dodgers Shohei Ohtani tosses his bat after hitting a three run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the ninth inning at Chase Field in Phoenix on May 9, 2025.
Credit: Rob Schumacher-Arizona Republic

This one always leads to a bunch of questions, since I typically drop util-only players into the 1B/Util list and those guys fall into three camps. There are the true util-only types. There are guys who we expect to earn eligibility elsewhere sometime soon. And then there is the camp of one: Shohei Ohtani.

Read the rest of this entry »


Jake Mailhot’s 2026 Tiered Rankings for Ottoneu Points: Outfield

Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

After starting with the second largest position group last week, the Ottoneu rankings push continues with the largest position group this week. You can find all the information about the format and methodology for these rankings in Chad’s introduction.

Changelog

  • 2/20/2026: Updated projections w/ ZiPS and OOPSY. Added player notes for all players in tier $1-$2 and above. Updated tier placement for 21 players (green = moved up, red = moved down).

 


Jake Mailhot’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B |OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for 4×4: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP


Here are few more notes about my process:

  • Projected points. I’ve been building my own homebrewed projections for the past decade plus, ever since I started playing Ottoneu, and they form the basis for the rankings below. They’re nothing overly complicated; essentially just a MARCEL-esque projection using three years of historical data filtered through a rough aging curve and adjusted for the current run environment. I also include a collection of up to five public projection systems (ZiPS, Steamer, OOPSY, THE BAT, and PECOTA) to provide some additional context. That gives each player a wealth of data sources to form their projection. Currently, the projections below only include Steamer and THE BAT projections. I will update the rankings in February once ZiPS, OOPSY, and PECOTA are released.
  • P/G vs P/PA. Points per game played is the gold standard by which you should be evaluating players in Ottoneu. I won’t argue with that. That measure does have some drawbacks, particularly for players who pinch hit, pinch run, or are used as defensive substitutions often. Those limited appearances can skew a player’s P/G lower than what they’re producing when they’re getting three or four plate appearances when they start a game. To provide a little more context for these kinds of players, I’m projecting players using points per plate appearance. That measure should give us a better idea of how a player produces no matter how he’s used by his team.

Just to reiterate a point that Chad makes in his introduction: yes, these rankings are presented ordinally, but the tier a player appears in is much more important than if they’re ranked 16th or 28th. Within tiers, players are generally ranked by their projected Pts/PA but that doesn’t necessarily mean I think one player is significantly more valuable than another in the same tier. I’ve got notes on the top 75-ish players below and I’ll add more notes when I update the rankings next month. Let’s get into it.

Ottoneu Points OF Tiered Rankings
Tier Rank Player Position Projected Pts Pts/PA Notes
$66-$77 1 Aaron Judge OF 1325.5 2.03 The best hitter in baseball and showing no signs of slowing down.
$55-$65 2 Juan Soto OF 1160.9 1.70 Despite the slow start in his first season in New York, still finished the season as the third most valuable player in Ottoneu.
$45-$54 3 Yordan Alvarez OF 857.2 1.68 Unquestionably productive when healthy, but has never played in more than 150 games in a single season and has averaged just 118 games per season over the last five years.
$45-$54 4 Ronald Acuña Jr. OF 915.8 1.64 Skills all looked intact after he returned from his second major knee injury in late May. Lack of SB shouldn’t be an issue in FGpts.
$36-$44 5 Kyle Tucker OF 868.7 1.51 Should be healthy in 2026 after a finger injury derailed his 2H in ’25. Only question is where he’ll sign — he’ll produce wherever he lands.
$36-$44 6 Kyle Schwarber OF 1011.6 1.48 Even though he re-signed with the Phillies, it’s hard to imagine him repeating his career year from 2025.
$36-$44 7 Corbin Carroll OF 935.2 1.45 Contact quality dramatically improved last year. Could he take another step forward?
$28-$35 8 Brent Rooker OF 911.8 1.42 Plate discipline continued to improve in 2025, and contact quality was still excellent, but wOBA still fell by nearly 50 points. I’m looking for a bounce back in ’26.
$28-$35 9 Fernando Tatis Jr. OF 886.1 1.41 Probably won’t return to the .400 wOBAs he posted early in his career, still very productive with .350 wOBAs.
$28-$35 10 James Wood OF 817.6 1.35 Despite second half slump (150 wRC+ in 1H, 93 in 2H), ceiling is extremely high.
$28-$35 11 Julio Rodríguez OF 885.6 1.33 Still hits too many groundballs, but improved his strikeout rate in 2025. Batted ball quality is still there, just needs to elevate more.
$21-$27 12 Byron Buxton OF 714.2 1.45 Produces like a top 10 OF by Pts/PA but the question is always how many games will he play. 2025 was the first time he had more than 500 PAs since 2017.
$21-$27 13 George Springer OF 791.0 1.34 How much do you trust his rebound? Significant skill changes drove improvements, but he’s entering his age-36 season.
$21-$27 14 Riley Greene OF 813.7 1.33 Broke out wiht 36 HR in 2025, but strikeout rate climbed over 30%. Still starts against LHP, but very unproductive.
$21-$27 15 Seiya Suzuki OF 805.1 1.32 Contact quality still excellent despite second half slump. Plus he stayed healthy all season long.
$21-$27 16 Roman Anthony OF 684.3 1.32 Extremely impressive big league debut cut short by injury. Could have highest ceiling of any player in this tier.
$21-$27 17 Mike Trout OF 641.5 1.31 How the mighty have fallen. Power output significantly dropped but managed to play more than 130 games for the first time since 2019.
$21-$27 18 Wyatt Langford OF 748.3 1.28 Prospect hype placed too high expectations on him. Slower to develop but still very good player and getting better.
$21-$27 19 Jackson Chourio OF 763.2 1.27 One of the youngest players in baseball with two good seasons to start his career. Still waiting for a big step forward.
$15-$20 20 Kyle Stowers OF 632.1 1.32 Breakout season in 2025 cut short by injury. All the underlying metrics look solid, needs to prove it in ’26.
$15-$20 21 Jarren Duran OF 829.5 1.29 Issues against LHP keep his ceiling lower than you’d think. Hard to pay more than $20 for what is essentially a part-time player.
$15-$20 22 Tyler Soderstrom 1B/OF 686.2 1.27 Big breakout wasn’t a Sacramento mirage (-9 point wOBA home/road split). Adding OF eligibility definitely helps his value.
$15-$20 23 Christian Yelich OF 716.5 1.26 Good all around player. Completely healthy season after serious back injury cut 2024 short.
$15-$20 24 Cody Bellinger OF 765.6 1.26 Could be ranked a tier lower depending on where he signs. Big beneficiary of Yankee Stadium’s short porch (76 point wOBA home/away split)
$15-$20 25 Jackson Merrill OF 701.1 1.26 Five point increase in strikeout rate led to 20 point drop in wOBA. Contact quality remained solid.
$15-$20 26 Teoscar Hernández OF 727.3 1.25 Barrell rate down. Walk rate down. Feels like 2024 was the outlier between two disappointing seasons.
$10-$14 27 Matt Wallner OF 539.8 1.29 No platoon issues last year despite reputation. BABIP dropped 161 points last year, should be better in ’26.
$10-$14 28 Kerry Carpenter OF 569.7 1.29 Crushes RHP. Nearly unplayable against LHP. Probably won’t repeat the highs of 2024.
$10-$14 29 Wilyer Abreu OF 552.9 1.24 Big gains in contact rate while improving barrel rate. Top line results didn’t follow underlying metrics, but could take step forward in ’26.
$10-$14 30 Pete Crow-Armstrong OF 712.7 1.24 131 wRC+ in 1H, 72 in 2H. Which is the real Pete? Underlying skills stayed stable throughout the year — maybe 2H slump was just bad luck?
$10-$14 31 Taylor Ward OF 760.1 1.22 Traded away from home run friendly Angels Stadium to unfriendly Camden Yards. Solid hitter but a little worried about new outlook.
$10-$14 32 Jo Adell OF 641.5 1.21 Big breakout fueled by big contact quality gains. Plate approach still poor which limits his ceiling.
$10-$14 33 Oneil Cruz OF 657.3 1.21 Still having trouble turing raw skills into a complete package. Strikeout issues a huge red flag. Ceiling is still high if he can figure out plate approach.
$10-$14 34 Jurickson Profar OF 672.3 1.21 Carried skills over from 2024 breakout after returning from his PED suspension.
$10-$14 35 Ian Happ OF 783.9 1.21 A useful accumulator with decent skills across the board.
$10-$14 36 Ryan O’Hearn 1B/OF 606.5 1.21 Eliminated platoon splits in 2025, though he struggled in San Diego after trade.
$10-$14 37 Brandon Marsh OF 541.4 1.21 Much more aggressive at the plate in 2025 led to improved contact rate, lower walk rate.
$10-$14 38 Alec Burleson 1B/OF 665.0 1.20 Small improvements in plate discipline and contact quality led to big improvements in results.
$10-$14 39 Trent Grisham OF 624.5 1.20 Resurrected his career in New York, set career high in HR in 2025. Real change in plate approach from patient to selectively aggressive.
$10-$14 40 Andy Pages OF 671.7 1.19 Crushed the ball at home but couldn’t produce away from Dodger Stadium.
$10-$14 41 Randy Arozarena OF 780.6 1.18 A useful accumulator with decent skills across the board. Contact quality improved in ’25.
$10-$14 42 Brandon Nimmo OF 749.4 1.18 A useful accumulator with decent skills across the board. Will plate discipline rebound?
$6-$9 43 Giancarlo Stanton OF 499.0 1.28 Can still crush the ball when healthy. Enjoyed his best offensive season in 2025 since ’17, but only played in 77 games.
$6-$9 44 Tyler O’Neill OF 449.5 1.26 Is he healthy? Can he still hit for power in Camden Yards? Contact quality fell in ’25 but plate discipline bounced back.
$6-$9 45 Ramón Laureano OF 566.9 1.23 Resurrected his career in Baltimore, continued pounding the ball in San Diego. Biggest difference was 4 point improvement in contact rate.
$6-$9 47 Lawrence Butler OF 644.9 1.16 2024 showed us his ceiling if everything goes right. 2025 showed us his floor if his plate discipline continues to slide.
$6-$9 48 Daylen Lile OF 552.5 1.16 Huge finish to the season looks like it was BABIP fueled (.380 BABIP in 2H). Excellent contact skills, little power, no walks — reminds me of Steven Kwan.
$6-$9 49 Jorge Soler OF 536.1 1.16 Bat speed and power output fell significantly in 2025. Doesn’t have the plate approach to rebound if power is gone.
$6-$9 50 Bryan Reynolds OF 733.5 1.14 Strikeouts up even though chase rate fell. Contact quality stayed steady. Could bounce back if he can get the K’s back in line.
$6-$9 51 Heliot Ramos OF 705.6 1.14 Barrel rate way down but contact rate way up. Feels like he tried to trade power for contact but the result was a big step backwards.
$6-$9 52 Michael Harris II OF 644.2 1.14 2H surge salvaged his season (47 wRC+ in 1H, 130 in 2H). Projections still really like him, but I’m weary after ’24 and 1H ’25.
$6-$9 53 Jasson Domínguez OF 417.8 1.14 Might have path to full-time at-bats without Bellinger in the picture. Projections see a step forward for him in 2026, and he’s still only 23 years old.
$6-$9 54 Spencer Steer 1B/OF 663.6 1.13 Slowly worked his way back from shoulder injury (113 wRC+ in Aug/Sept). Still feels like 2023 was his high water mark.
$6-$9 55 Jesús Sánchez OF 531.3 1.13 Contact quality took a steep dive after being traded to Houston. If it rebounds, could have a much higher ceiling than this ranking assumes.
$6-$9 56 Luis Robert Jr. OF 533.4 1.11 Improved his plate discipline significantly in 2025. Power still hasn’t returned and healthy will always be a question.
$6-$9 57 Daulton Varsho OF 530.5 1.11 Big power spike after returning from shoulder injury. Too many strikeouts put a cap on his ceiling.
$3-$5 58 Mickey Moniak OF 540.5 1.25 Made real strides forward in Colorado. Strikeouts down, contact quality up, home park is a nice bonus.
$3-$5 59 Masataka Yoshida OF 394.1 1.17 Does he have a regular spot in Boston’s lineup? Injuries derailed his 2025 season but underlying metrics looked normal-ish.
$3-$5 60 Colton Cowser OF 541.3 1.15 Strikeout rate jumped through the roof in 2025. Untenable at 35%, could make it work at 30%, but the margin is razor thin.
$3-$5 61 Isaac Collins OF 469.9 1.14 Excellent contact skills, little power, can take walks. I actually like his move to KC with it’s huge BABIP boosting park effects.
$3-$5 62 Austin Hays OF 494.2 1.14 Nearly a 4 point jump in barrel rate in 2025 was really nice to see, but too many strikeouts caps his ceiling.
$3-$5 63 Jac Caglianone 1B/OF 500.0 1.14 Rough debut in 2025 but the massive power is enticing. Should get a chance to prove he can stick in the big leagues with a full-time role in ’26.
$3-$5 64 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. OF 551.4 1.12 ACL injury means he’ll miss first few months of 2026 season.
$3-$5 65 Evan Carter OF 392.5 1.11 Injuries have stunted his development and lowered his ceiling. Made real plate discipline changes last year but still isn’t hitting the ball with authority.
$3-$5 66 Mike Yastrzemski OF 527.7 1.11 Dropped his strikeout rate below 20% in 2025 and still has pretty good contact quality metrics.
$3-$5 67 Steven Kwan OF 710.1 1.11 Even if his BABIP rebounds, it seems like his 2024 power spike was a one-year blip.
$3-$5 68 TJ Friedl OF 644.4 1.11 Solid plate approach gives him a nice floor. Tries to make the most of his pulled contact with weak contact quality.
$3-$5 69 Trevor Larnach OF 520.5 1.11 Barrel rate dipped in 2025 but maintained plate discipline improvements from ’24. Might be just a platoon player.
$3-$5 70 Jakob Marsee OF 578.6 1.11 Exciting debut might have been BABIP fueled. Even if he doesn’t return to those heights, the skills are decent enough to return some value.
$3-$5 71 JJ Bleday OF 496.3 1.11 Big step backwards in 2025. Cincinnati should be a nice place to hit but he’s probably a platoon player in that lineup.
$3-$5 72 Josh Lowe OF 484.9 1.10 Got his strikeout rate under control in 2025 but contact quality cratered. Can he put it all together in ’26? Might be just a platoon player anyway.
$3-$5 73 Jung Hoo Lee 이정후 OF 603.6 1.10 Up-and-down season wound up being just average by the end. Projections see room for growth but I’m not sure from where.
$3-$5 74 Lars Nootbaar OF 573.1 1.10 Contact quality remained excellent but wasn’t pulling the ball as much in 2025. Solid floor thanks to good plate approach.
$3-$5 75 Jordan Beck OF 569.1 1.09 Had a solid first full season in the big leagues in 2025. Decent power but BABIP was a bit high and relied on Coors Field for a lot of his success (71 point wOBA home/away split).
$3-$5 76 Brenton Doyle OF 569.1 1.06 Really struggled in 2025 but underlying skills looked intact. Be prepared to sit him on the road.
$3-$5 77 Dylan Crews OF 475.0 1.04 Still waiting for him to acclimate to the big leagues. Ceiling might not be as high as his prospect reports thought.
$1-$2 78 Jahmai Jones OF 311.7 1.30 Contact quality and plate approach improved significantly in 2025 but still only a lefty masher on the short side of a platoon.
$1-$2 79 Rob Refsnyder OF 293.3 1.19 Contact quality improved significantly in 2025 but still only a lefty masher on the short side of a platoon.
$1-$2 80 Dylan Beavers OF 473.0 1.16 Top prospect who should have a path to everyday at-bats in Baltimore. Extremely patient with decent power.
$1-$2 81 Troy Johnston 1B/OF 385.2 1.16 Decent debut in Miami in 2025 and now gets to call Coors Field home.
$1-$2 82 Luke Raley 1B/OF 360.2 1.13 Injuries took a toll on him in 2025 and might be squeezed out of a roster spot in Seattle. Only a platoon hitter if he gets an opportunity somewhere.
$1-$2 83 Jake McCarthy OF 421.7 1.13 Speedster showed a little more pop in 2025 but his BABIP dropped by nearly 100 points. Now gets to call Coors Field home.
$1-$2 84 Dominic Canzone OF 406.5 1.13 Had the quietest 141 wRC+ season in 2025. Fantastic contact quality, decent plate approach, might not be able to hit lefties.
$1-$2 85 Garrett Mitchell OF 324.8 1.12 Injuries have prevented him from establishing himself in the big leagues. Still has plenty of tools but contact issues could be a problem.
$1-$2 86 Colby Thomas OF 388.8 1.11 Huge power, huge strikeouts. If he can figure out his contact rate, watch out.
$1-$2 87 CJ Kayfus 1B/OF 418.9 1.10 Decent power but contact issues could prevent him from hitting his ceiling.
$1-$2 88 Chase DeLauter OF 493.4 1.10 Top prospect who should have a path to everyday at-bats in Cleveland. Decent tools across the board without a standout skill.
$1-$2 89 Owen Caissie OF 470.4 1.09 Top prospect who should have a path to everyday at-bats in Miami. Power should play if he can get his strikeout rate under control.
$1-$2 90 Justin Crawford OF 472.0 1.09 Top prospect who should have a path to everyday at-bats in Philadelphia. Speedster like his dad and needs high BABIP to maintain production.
$1-$2 91 Sal Frelick OF 573.4 1.09 Improved his contact quality from poor to below average in 2025. Also improved contact rate and pull rate.
$1-$2 92 Emmanuel Rodriguez OF 287.2 1.08 Top prospect who could make his debut sometime in 2026. Injuries have really stunted his development, but could have an enticing power/patience profile if he’s healthy.
$1-$2 93 Heriberto Hernández OF 383.9 1.08 Decent debut in Miami in 2025. Got his strikeout rate sorted out in the big leagues but might only be the short side of a platoon.
$1-$2 94 Harrison Bader OF 501.5 1.08 Contact quality improved in 2025 but strikeout rate shot up too. Won’t have as nice a home ballpark in San Francisco.
$1-$2 95 Adolis García OF 606.8 1.08 Contact quality still looks good and his contact rate improved by 4 points in 2025. Power has slowly dried up anyway.
$1-$2 96 Nathan Lukes OF 382.9 1.08 Solid contact hitter with a bit of power. Might be squeezed out of a platoon role in a crowded Toronto outfield.
$1-$2 97 Carson Benge OF 452.3 1.07 Top prospect who should have a path to everyday at-bats in New York. Solid skills across the board, but doesn’t have an elite carrying tool
$1-$2 98 Nick Castellanos OF 575.2 1.07 Cast out of Philadelphia and landed in San Diego. He’s probably a part time player at this point, but still has some pop left in his bat.
$1-$2 99 Victor Robles OF 310.4 1.07 Up-and-down rookie season in 2025. He might have been pushed too quickly but had some spurts of success early in the year.
$1-$2 100 Andrew Benintendi OF 517.8 1.05 Started pulling the ball in the air a bunch and barrel rate improved by nearly 5 points in 2025.
$1-$2 101 Cedric Mullins OF 489.5 1.05 Contact quality and plate discipline have been slowly eroding over the last few years. Breakout year in 2021 was a long time ago.
$1-$2 102 Gavin Sheets 1B/OF 519.2 1.03 Improved contact quality with full-time at-bats in San Diego but is probably on the strong side of a platoon now.
$1-$2 103 Parker Meadows OF 415.7 1.03 After promising season in 2024, injuries cost him most of ’25. Probably on the strong side of a platoon.
$1-$2 104 Walker Jenkins OF 291.1 0.99 Top prospect who could make his debut sometime in 2026. Injuries have really stunted his development, but good approach and contact rate give him a high floor.
$1-$2 105 Cam Smith OF 444.9 0.99 Up-and-down rookie season in 2025 and now it doesn’t look like he has a spot in the starting lineup with Bregman in town.
$0-$1 106 Max Clark OF #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 107 Josue De Paula OF #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 108 Zyhir Hope OF #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 109 Lazaro Montes OF #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 110 Mike Sirota OF #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 111 Eduardo Quintero OF #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 112 Anthony Santander OF 635.0 1.18 Shoulder injury cost him nearly all of 2025. (Update: and now most of ’26 too.)
$0-$1 113 Justyn-Henry Malloy 1B/OF 344.7 1.11
$0-$1 114 Jake Bauers 1B/OF 319.6 1.10
$0-$1 115 Alex Call OF 320.7 1.10
$0-$1 116 Randal Grichuk OF 328.3 1.09
$0-$1 117 Will Benson OF 343.5 1.08
$0-$1 118 Jack Suwinski OF 346.7 1.08
$0-$1 119 Starling Marte OF 342.9 1.07
$0-$1 120 Lane Thomas OF 468.5 1.07
$0-$1 121 Mike Tauchman OF 391.9 1.06
$0-$1 122 James Outman OF 357.1 1.06
$0-$1 123 Jake Fraley OF 355.7 1.05
$0-$1 124 Matt Vierling OF 422.1 1.05
$0-$1 125 Carlos Cortes OF 270.4 1.05
$0-$1 126 Zac Veen OF 335.0 1.05
$0-$1 127 Wenceel Pérez OF 454.4 1.04
$0-$1 128 Jerar Encarnacion OF 228.0 1.04
$0-$1 129 Zach Cole OF 382.5 1.04
$0-$1 130 Michael Conforto OF 436.5 1.02
$0-$1 131 Jake Mangum OF 399.7 1.02
$0-$1 132 Alan Roden OF 285.9 1.02
$0-$1 133 Austin Martin OF 285.6 1.01
$0-$1 134 Jake Meyers OF 431.5 1.01
$0-$1 135 George Valera OF 357.1 1.01
$0-$1 136 Luis Matos OF 277.8 1.00
$0-$1 137 Chandler Simpson OF 447.7 1.00
$0-$1 138 Tommy Pham OF 412.2 0.99
$0-$1 139 Christopher Morel OF 414.7 0.99
$0-$1 140 Ryan Waldschmidt OF 423.9 0.97
$0-$1 141 Jordan Walker OF 432.7 0.96
$0-$1 142 Jhostynxon Garcia OF 381.8 0.94
$0 143 Max Kepler OF 423.5 1.06
$0 143 Andrew McCutchen OF 483.5 1.03
$0 144 Zach Dezenzo OF 179.2 1.03
$0 145 Joey Loperfido OF 332.8 1.03
$0 146 LaMonte Wade Jr. 1B/OF 336.9 1.02
$0 147 Denzel Clarke OF 320.4 1.01
$0 148 Tyler Black 1B/OF 381.6 1.01
$0 149 Mark Canha OF 321.6 1.00
$0 150 Sam Haggerty OF 229.9 1.00
$0 151 Griffin Conine OF 328.0 1.00
$0 152 Eli White OF 244.3 0.99
$0 153 Chas McCormick OF 245.6 0.99
$0 154 Eric Wagaman 1B/OF 415.3 0.98
$0 155 Heston Kjerstad OF 254.9 0.98
$0 156 Nolan Jones OF 344.6 0.97
$0 157 Jarred Kelenic OF 341.8 0.96
$0 158 MJ Melendez OF 392.8 0.96
$0 159 Will Brennan OF 352.5 0.96
$0 160 Connor Joe OF 338.2 0.95
$0 161 John Rave OF 292.3 0.95
$0 162 Hunter Renfroe OF 350.5 0.94
$0 163 Jonny DeLuca OF 270.6 0.94
$0 164 Drew Gilbert OF 299.5 0.94
$0 165 Jhonkensy Noel 1B/OF 296.9 0.94
$0 166 Dane Myers OF 271.6 0.93
$0 167 Kevin Alcántara OF 375.8 0.93
$0 168 Tirso Ornelas OF 324.5 0.93
$0 169 Alex Verdugo OF 390.3 0.93
$0 170 Alejandro Osuna OF 259.8 0.93
$0 171 Alek Thomas OF 377.9 0.92
$0 172 Blake Perkins OF 267.7 0.92
$0 173 Kameron Misner OF 285.7 0.92
$0 174 Tyrone Taylor OF 279.4 0.90
$0 175 Jose Siri OF 342.9 0.90
$0 176 Kyle Isbel OF 368.7 0.90
$0 177 Bryce Johnson OF 194.1 0.89
$0 178 Drew Waters OF 302.5 0.89
$0 179 Marco Luciano OF 364.2 0.88
$0 180 Myles Straw OF 277.0 0.87
$0 181 Victor Scott II OF 398.7 0.87
$0 182 Johan Rojas OF 250.1 0.86
$0 183 Dylan Carlson OF 230.4 0.85
$0 184 Jacob Young OF 340.1 0.84
$0 185 Robert Hassell III OF 279.1 0.83

Chad Young’s OF Tiered Rankings for 4×4 Ottoneu

Athletics designated hitter Brent Rooker (25) hits a single against the Pittsburgh Pirates during the first inning at PNC Park.
Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images

After getting started with middle infield last week, this week we move on to outfield. Why start with those two spots? Because they are huge lists and I want to get them done. Rock solid logic, there. Outfield is also an interesting position over the years, as it has varied between feeling deep and feeling shallow. This year, between the emergence of guys like Kyle Stowers, Tyler Soderstrom, Roman Anthony, and James Wood and the re-emergence of guys like George Springer and Cody Bellinger, it feels like it is trending back towards “deep” and that makes it a fun position to think about for auctions.

Read the rest of this entry »


Jake Mailhot’s 2026 Tiered Rankings for Ottoneu Points: Middle Infield

Credit: Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images

 

Chad started off the Ottoneu rankings push with his 4×4 middle infield rankings yesterday and I’m following up with my rankings for Ottoneu points leagues. You can find all the information about the format and methodology for these rankings in Chad’s introduction.

Changelog

  • 2/19/2026: Updated projections w/ ZiPS and OOPSY. Added player notes for all players in tier $1-$2 and above. Updated tier placement for 11 players (green = moved up, red = moved down). Added Sung-Mun Song.

 


Jake Mailhot’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B |OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for 4×4: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP


Here are few more notes about my process:

  • Projected points. I’ve been building my own homebrewed projections for the past decade plus, ever since I started playing Ottoneu, and they form the basis for the rankings below. They’re nothing overly complicated; essentially just a MARCEL-esque projection using three years of historical data filtered through a rough aging curve and adjusted for the current run environment. I also include a collection of up to five public projection systems (ZiPS, Steamer, OOPSY, THE BAT, and PECOTA) to provide some additional context. That gives each player a wealth of data sources to form their projection. Currently, the projections below only include Steamer and THE BAT projections. I will update the rankings in February once ZiPS, OOPSY, and PECOTA are released.
  • P/G vs P/PA. Points per game played is the gold standard by which you should be evaluating players in Ottoneu. I won’t argue with that. That measure does have some drawbacks, particularly for players who pinch hit, pinch run, or are used as defensive substitutions often. Those limited appearances can skew a player’s P/G lower than what they’re producing when they’re getting three or four plate appearances when they start a game. To provide a little more context for these kinds of players, I’m projecting players using points per plate appearance. That measure should give us a better idea of how a player produces no matter how he’s used by his team.

Just to reiterate a point that Chad makes in his introduction: yes, these rankings are presented ordinally, but the tier a player appears in is much more important than if they’re ranked 16th or 28th. Within tiers, players are generally ranked by their projected Pts/PA but that doesn’t necessarily mean I think one player is significantly more valuable than another in the same tier. I’ve got notes on the top 50-ish players below and I’ll add more notes when I update the rankings next month. Let’s get into it.

Ottoneu Points MI Tiered Rankings
Tier Rank Player Position Projected Pts Pts/PA Notes
$45-$54 1 Bobby Witt Jr. SS 1040.4 1.55 Clearly the best MI in baseball with just six hitters projected to outproduce him.
$36-$44 2 Ketel Marte 2B 857.8 1.47 The best 2B in baseball, trade rumors shouldn’t affect production.
$36-$44 3 Corey Seager SS 732.4 1.45 Productive when on the field but injury concerns will always be a factor.
$36-$44 4 Gunnar Henderson SS 941.6 1.43 Took a step back in 2025 but the ceiling is still very high.
$28-$35 5 Francisco Lindor SS 920.6 1.35 Consistent production means he’s a little overlooked in favor of flashier MI, but he’s been very good for four years straight.
$28-$35 6 Elly De La Cruz SS 885.2 1.34 Quad injury clearly held him back in 2025, but the ceiling is sky high. Considered ranking him a tier higher, but needs to prove it first.
$28-$35 7 Mookie Betts SS 800.3 1.31 Lost positional flexibility and spring illness negatively affected his entire 2025. Should bounce back in 2026, but how high?
$21-$27 8 Trea Turner SS 798.6 1.30 The power is probably on the downswing, but contact ability is still excellent. Steals are a bonus in FGpts.
$21-$27 9 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B/3B 721.2 1.29 Huge power explosion in first full season in New York raises his ceiling significantly.
$21-$27 10 Geraldo Perdomo SS 784.6 1.29 Big breakout in 2025 and all the underlying metrics look sustainable. Still worried about some power regression.
$21-$27 11 Zach Neto SS 747.8 1.27 The ceiling is a 30/30 season. Batted ball metrics all point to significant breakout potential.
$21-$27 12 Bo Bichette SS 746.4 1.27 Posted his best offensive season in 2025 after a down year in ’24. Any potential landing spot shouldn’t affect his production too much.
$15-$20 13 Jordan Westburg 2B/3B 593.6 1.23 Solid player across the board with no weaknesses, but no standout skills either. Needs to stay healthy.
$15-$20 14 Jose Altuve 2B/OF 745.4 1.21 Approaching the age cliff at 36 years old. Still possesses solid skills, but how long will they last?
$15-$20 15 Jeremy Peña SS 714.8 1.19 Came back down to earth after rib injury (143 wRC+ in 1H, 120 in 2H), but 2025 represented a big step forward for him.
$10-$14 16 Jacob Wilson SS 623.8 1.22 Idealized version of Luis Arraez with a touch more power. Still pretty BABIP dependent which leads to low lows.
$10-$14 17 Brandon Lowe 2B 615.9 1.21 Move to Pittsburgh shouldn’t hurt too much. 2025 was his first (mostly) healthy season since 2021.
$10-$14 18 Luke Keaschall 2B 512.7 1.20 Looked like a big leaguer in his cup of coffee in 2025. Batted ball peripherals are a bit concerning, but the contact skill is real.
$10-$14 19 Jorge Polanco 2B/3B 586.7 1.20 Swing change allowed him to thrive despite battling nagging injuries. Probably won’t be MI eligible next year.
$10-$14 20 CJ Abrams SS 730.9 1.19 Has developed into a good player, though the promise of a power breakout is probably fleeting unless he makes some serious contact quality gains.
$10-$14 21 Willy Adames SS 774.9 1.17 The power is real but playing in SF hurt his overall offensive production.
$10-$14 22 Brendan Donovan 2B/SS/OF 645.7 1.17 Solid player across the board with no weaknesses. Multi-positional eligibility helps his value.
$10-$14 23 Carlos Correa SS/3B 608.6 1.15 Has a history of quality production but health will determine if he can reach his previous highs.
$10-$14 24 Gleyber Torres 2B 734.2 1.15 Played through injury during the second half but still put up a solid season in Detroit.
$10-$14 25 Maikel Garcia 2B/SS/3B/OF 719.3 1.14 Huge breakout in 2025 doesn’t look like a mirage. Positional flexibility a big bonus.
$10-$14 26 Brice Turang 2B 706.7 1.14 Another big breakout from 2025 that looks like it’s going to stick. Might have the highest ceiling of any player in this tier.
$6-$9 27 Colt Keith 1B/2B/3B 559.7 1.13 Quietly put together a great season in his second year in the big leagues. Projections really like him in 2026.
$6-$9 28 Trevor Story SS 643.4 1.13 First healthy year since 2021 led to significant improvements in contact quality. Poor plate discipline holds him back.
$6-$9 29 Luis García Jr. 2B 576.8 1.13 Still only 26, he’s improved signifcantly over the last few years. Added a bit of power in 2024, needs to put it all together to really take step forward.
$6-$9 30 Ezequiel Tovar SS 649.4 1.12 Extremely streaky hitter who had a big step backwards in 2025. Uncertain future, but Coors effect should be a benefit.
$6-$9 31 Nico Hoerner 2B 704.6 1.11 All hit, no power profile works when he’s making contact 90% of the time.
$6-$9 32 Xander Bogaerts SS 600.9 1.11 Probably won’t reach his previous highs, but still a useful accumulator with decent skills across the board.
$3-$5 33 Romy Gonzalez 1B/2B 396.9 1.21 Significant improvement in contact quality in 2025, but still might only be the short side of a 2B platoon.
$3-$5 34 Kevin McGonigle SS 360.2 1.19 Top prospect who could make his debut sometime in 2026.
$3-$5 35 Konnor Griffin SS 550.0 1.12 Top prospect who could make his debut sometime in 2026.
$3-$5 36 Brett Baty 2B/3B 461.9 1.12 Excellent 2H (135 wRC+) gives him something to build off of. Excellent contact quality but needs to elevate more often. Could have a path to playing time at DH in a crowded infield in New York.
$3-$5 37 Jeff McNeil 2B/OF 557.5 1.10 New ballpark in Sacramento should help, but health uncertain after offseason thoracic outlet surgery.
$3-$5 38 Bryson Stott 2B/SS 623.8 1.10 Swing change helped him improve contact quality in 2H. Breakout candidate if the swing change sticks.
$3-$5 39 Luis Arraez 1B/2B 696.9 1.10 Contact rate king, but too much weak contact to make the most of all those balls in play.
$3-$5 40 Colson Montgomery SS/3B 533.1 1.09 A lot of home runs make up for a really poor approach at the plate.
$3-$5 41 Dansby Swanson SS 663.9 1.08 Still has some pop but poor plate approach caps his ceiling as an average MI.
$3-$5 42 Zach McKinstry SS/3B/OF 472.7 1.08 Came back down to earth after All-Star break (132 wRC+ in 1H, 81 in 2H). He really leaned into his pull side to outperform xwOBA. Positional flexibility is an asset.
$3-$5 43 JJ Wetherholt 2B/SS 448.4 1.08 Probably closer to the big leagues than the other two top prospects in this tier but lower ceiling than Griffin and McGonigle.
$3-$5 44 Xavier Edwards 2B/SS 594.3 1.07 BABIP fell by 68 points and walk rate dropped by 3 points in 2025. High-contact approach will always be dependent on batted ball luck.
$3-$5 45 Ozzie Albies 2B 636.6 1.07 He’s fallen pretty far from his peak but still only 29 years old. The power has completely evaporated and it doesn’t look like it’s coming back.
$3-$5 46 Jackson Holliday 2B/SS 613.2 1.06 Slower development than expected from a former top prospect. Ceiling is still high and only 22 years old.
$3-$5 47 Jake Cronenworth 1B/2B/SS 594.0 1.05 Put together his best season in 2025 since breakout in 2021.
$3-$5 48 Marcus Semien 2B 657.1 1.04 Another veteran who has fallen far from his peak. Solid 2H gives some hope he’s still got something in the tank.
$1-$2 49 Kody Clemens 1B/2B/OF 332.3 1.07 Earned consistent playing time after joining Minnesota in late April and contact quality significantly improved. Doesn’t have a path to full-time at-bats right now, but should be first man off the bench.
$1-$2 50 Ceddanne Rafaela 2B/OF 602.8 1.07 Managed to cut strikeout rate by 6.5 points in 2025, but underlying plate discipline metrics aren’t pretty. Chases and whiffs too much to support a K% below 20%.
$1-$2 51 Caleb Durbin 2B/3B 553.9 1.07 High-contact, pull-oriented approach should play well in Boston.
$1-$2 52 Tyler Freeman 2B/OF 397.8 1.06 Claimed full-time at-bats by June but limped through the end of the season (66 wRC+ in 2H)
$1-$2 53 Marcelo Mayer 2B/SS/3B 424.9 1.06 Has had trouble staying healthy (wrist surgery derailed his rookie season) and might not start against LHP. Has the pedigree and skill set to be successful, but needs to put it all together first.
$1-$2 54 Willi Castro 2B/3B/OF 547.3 1.06 Absolutely tanked after joining Chicago last summer but he was a useful utility guy in Minnesota for three years. New home in Colorado should help.
$1-$2 55 Jonathan India 2B/3B/OF 587.9 1.05 Suffered through his worst season of his career in 2025. Too much elevated contact without enough quality to do real damage.
$1-$2 56 Gavin Lux 2B/3B/OF 487.8 1.05 Patient enough to have a solid floor but not enough power to have a high ceiling. Decent bat with flexible positiion eligibilty.
$1-$2 57 Josh Smith 1B/SS/3B/OF 541.8 1.05 Plate discipline improved in 2025 but contact quality slid backwards. Decent bat with flexible positiion eligibilty.
$1-$2 58 Matt McLain 2B 568.5 1.04 His breakout in 2023 seems like eons ago. Was the shoulder injury still affecting him or did we see the real McLain in ’25?
$1-$2 59 Jett Williams 2B/SS/OF 481.3 1.04 Trade to Milwaukee opens up a path to a major league debut in 2026. Power/speed combo is enticing, but questions about his hit tool remain.
$1-$2 60 J.P. Crawford SS 600.3 1.02 Excellent plate discipline gives him a solid floor but power dried up in 2025.
$1-$2 61 Masyn Winn SS 600.0 1.02 Played through knee injury in 2025 which could explain the dip in power output. Elite defense will keep him on the field, helping him accumulate points.
$1-$2 62 Kristian Campbell 1B/2B/OF 374.7 1.02 Disaster of a rookie campaign and now it doesn’t look like he has a path to a full-time role in the majors. Needs to bounce back in Triple-A first and force his way into the lineup.
$1-$2 63 Jordan Lawlar 2B/SS/3B 279.8 1.01 Arizona continues to find excuses to bury Lawlar on the depth chart. Now he’s learning center field this spring but still might be sharing time anyway.
$1-$2 64 Leo De Vries SS 427.4 0.93 Top prospect who might be a year or two away from making his debut. Very high ceiling, but still very young.
$1-$2 65 Colt Emerson SS 381.5 0.88 Top prospect who could make his debut sometime in 2026. Solid skills across the board, but doesn’t have the elite carrying tool like other top prospects ranked above.
$0-$1 66 Jesús Made SS #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 67 Sebastian Walcott SS 376.2 0.81
$0-$1 68 Luis Peña 2B/SS #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 69 Ethan Holliday Util #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 70 George Lombard Jr. SS #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 71 Eli Willits Util #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 72 Travis Bazzana 2B 306.8 0.95
$0-$1 73 Franklin Arias SS #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 74 Aidan Miller SS 450.3 0.98
$0-$1 75 Bryce Rainer SS #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 76 Aiva Arquette SS #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 77 Angel Genao SS #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 78 JoJo Parker Util #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 79 Arjun Nimmala SS #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 80 Kaelen Culpepper SS #N/A #N/A
$0-$1 81 Edmundo Sosa 2B/SS/3B 276.9 1.11
$0-$1 82 Alex Freeland 2B/SS/3B 475.6 1.09
$0-$1 83 Davis Schneider 2B/OF 376.6 1.08
$0-$1 84 Ha-Seong Kim 김하성 2B/SS 419.5 1.07
$0-$1 85 Tyler Fitzgerald 2B 336.0 1.05
$0-$1 86 Brooks Baldwin 2B/SS/3B/OF 374.2 1.05
$0-$1 87 Adael Amador 2B 393.2 1.04
$0-$1 88 David Hamilton 2B/SS 270.3 1.03
$0-$1 89 Nolan Gorman 2B/3B 456.2 1.02
$0-$1 90 Weston Wilson 2B/OF 255.1 1.02
$0-$1 91 Jeremiah Jackson SS/3B/OF 341.9 1.02
$0-$1 92 Otto Lopez 2B/SS 548.4 1.01
$0-$1 93 Jose Caballero 2B/SS/3B/OF 376.0 1.01
$0-$1 94 Edouard Julien 1B/2B 336.6 1.01
$0-$1 95 Lenyn Sosa 1B/2B 453.0 1.00
$0-$1 96 Casey Schmitt 1B/2B/3B 357.4 1.00
$0-$1 97 Ernie Clement 1B/2B/SS/3B 536.2 1.00
$0-$1 98 Nick Gonzales 2B/SS 412.1 0.99
$0-$1 99 Vaughn Grissom 2B/SS 328.3 0.99
$0-$1 100 Ronny Mauricio 2B/3B 288.6 0.99
$0-$1 101 Tommy Edman 2B/3B/OF 417.3 0.99
$0-$1 102 Carson Williams SS 404.4 0.98
$0-$1 103 Andrés Giménez 2B/SS 517.4 0.98
$0-$1 104 Chase Meidroth 2B/SS 505.6 0.98
$0-$1 105 Anthony Volpe SS 557.7 0.97
$0-$1 106 Christian Moore 2B 385.6 0.97
$0-$1 107 Jared Triolo 1B/2B/SS/3B 439.4 0.97
$0-$1 108 Sung-Mun Song 송성문 2B/3B 450.8 0.95
$0-$1 109 Leo Jiménez 2B 230.9 0.94
$0-$1 110 Cole Young 2B/SS 358.4 0.92
$0 111 Jace Jung 2B/3B 399.2 1.04
$0 112 Dylan Moore 1B/2B/3B/OF 319.5 1.03
$0 113 Ramón Urías 2B/3B 336.5 1.02
$0 114 Miguel Rojas 2B/SS/3B 297.2 1.01
$0 115 José Fermín 2B 207.5 1.01
$0 116 Zack Gelof 2B 386.2 1.00
$0 117 Amed Rosario 2B/3B 313.1 0.98
$0 118 Blaze Alexander 2B/3B 350.7 0.97
$0 119 Hyeseong Kim 김혜성 2B/SS/OF 224.9 0.97
$0 120 José Tena 2B/3B 299.4 0.97
$0 121 Brendan Rodgers 2B 329.2 0.96
$0 122 Andy Ibáñez 2B/3B 243.7 0.96
$0 123 Max Muncy (ATH) 2B/SS/3B 329.5 0.96
$0 124 Brooks Lee 2B/SS/3B 472.1 0.95
$0 125 Joey Ortiz SS 480.1 0.94
$0 126 Thairo Estrada 2B 323.8 0.94
$0 127 Michael Massey 2B/OF 319.2 0.93
$0 128 Luis Rengifo 2B/3B/OF 415.9 0.93
$0 129 Luis Urías 2B/3B 265.6 0.93
$0 130 Leo Rivas 2B/SS 226.1 0.93
$0 131 Jon Berti 2B/3B 211.5 0.93
$0 132 Paul DeJong 2B/SS/3B 306.2 0.92
$0 133 Thomas Saggese 2B/SS/3B 353.3 0.92
$0 134 Christian Koss 2B/3B 208.8 0.92
$0 135 Nick Yorke 2B/OF 324.9 0.91
$0 136 Jorge Mateo 2B/SS/OF 188.6 0.91
$0 137 Nick Loftin 2B/3B/OF 233.1 0.91
$0 138 Darell Hernaiz 2B/SS/3B 314.5 0.91
$0 139 Mauricio Dubón 2B/SS/3B/OF 345.1 0.90
$0 140 Gabriel Arias 2B/SS 370.0 0.90
$0 141 Ezequiel Duran 1B/2B/SS/3B/OF 270.8 0.90
$0 142 Brayan Rocchio 2B/SS 412.2 0.90
$0 143 Curtis Mead 1B/2B/3B 258.6 0.90
$0 144 Kyle Farmer 1B/2B/SS/3B 239.3 0.89
$0 145 Daniel Schneemann 2B/SS/3B/OF 306.1 0.89
$0 146 Chris Taylor 2B/OF 216.6 0.88
$0 147 Max Schuemann 2B/SS/3B/OF 279.7 0.88
$0 148 Michael Helman SS/OF 215.6 0.87
$0 149 Jose Iglesias 2B/SS/3B 254.5 0.87
$0 150 Luisangel Acuña 2B 344.0 0.87
$0 151 Nasim Nuñez 2B/SS 267.9 0.86
$0 152 Tim Tawa 1B/2B/OF 260.2 0.86
$0 153 Enrique Hernández 1B/2B/3B/OF/RP 281.9 0.86
$0 154 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B/SS/3B 355.8 0.86
$0 155 Adam Frazier 2B/OF 330.1 0.86
$0 156 Javier Báez 2B/SS/3B/OF 329.0 0.86
$0 157 Angel Martínez 2B/OF 347.5 0.86
$0 158 Taylor Walls SS 255.4 0.82
$0 159 Ildemaro Vargas 1B/2B/3B 197.1 0.82
$0 160 Orlando Arcia 1B/2B/SS/3B 324.8 0.81
$0 161 Josh Rojas 2B/3B 274.4 0.81
$0 162 Trey Sweeney SS 266.9 0.81
$0 163 Santiago Espinal 2B/3B/OF 238.3 0.78
$0 164 Oswald Peraza 1B/2B/SS/3B 200.6 0.71