Relief Pitcher 2025 Fantasy Rankings
The reliever landscape has faced some of the biggest changes in recent years as many teams have gone away from anointing a single guy to be their closer, instead embracing committees where they trust a number of relievers to close the game out in the 9th. The committee strategy often includes putting their best guy in a fireman role meaning he could come in for any sticky situation from about the 6th inning on. This is undoubtedly a smart way to run a bullpen from a “real life” standpoint, but it can be rough on us fantasy folks where Saves remain a prominent category.
Changelog
- 1/12/2025
- Jeff Hoffman gets a big bump to Tier Two after signing with the Blue Jays. He is an elite bullpen talent and the team has indicated he’ll close. I may end up bumping even more but I would like to see more team comments confirming his closer role.
- Chris Martin jumps to the 26 slot after landing in Texas. He’s their clear best righty reliever and should get a chance to close games barring further acquisitions. Lefty Robert Garcia could also get some matchup-based opportunities, but Martin looks like a better bet for the primary share of the closing job.
- Jorge López jumps to 36 after signing on with the Nationals. Given his closing experience and decent projections, he is likely the front-runner for saves in D.C..
- 12/29/2024
- The big RP news this week was Robert Garcia getting dealt to the Rangers in exchange for Nathaniel Lowe. The left-handed Garcia looks like a good bet to form a part of the saves committee in Texas barring another acquisition. Derek Law now looks like the front-runner for saves in Washington, perhaps headlining a committee that also features Jose A. Ferrer.
- I added a few fliers to the fourth tier: Justin Anderson and Fraser Ellard should compete with Prelander Berroa for the lone 2025 White Sox save opportunity; Jacob Webb is also in the mix for saves in Texas.
- 12/21/2024
- No major news this week. Kenley Jansen moves to Tier Three and Abner Uribe debuts on Tier Four.
- 12/15/2024
- Jordan Romano gets a bump after signing in Philadelphia. The Phillies say they’ll use him in high leverage situations, but did not commit to him as closer. I also lowered Kerkering a bit reflecting increased role uncertainty, but he is the better reliever here, and the Romano signing could take the Phillies out of the running for someone who’d threaten Kerkering’s closer odds more, like Jeff Hoffman.
- Yimi García gets a big bump after signing in Toronto. I ranked him earlier than Chad Green as the clear superior talent, but Green may have the upper hand on the closer role, at least to start the year. The Jays could also add a more established closing option.
- Luke Weaver takes a tumble after the Yankees acquired Devin Williams. He now moves to a setup role. Expect a lot more movement like this this offseason, with reliever ranks and ADP fluctuating sharply in response to offseason moves.
- Trevor Megill jumps to Tier Two after the Brewers dealt Devin Williams. Megill was excellent in the closer role last year when Williams was hurt, and can be expected to reclaim his job now that Williams is in New York.
- Kirby Yates gets a little bump after being linked to various teams where he’d likely step in as closer.
- I made various additional small tweaks to the ranks and changed the tier names to prioritize substance over alliteration.
- 12/2/2024 – First Release
Ranking Methodology
- ADP is based on 30-day rolling NFBC Draft Champions Leagues.
- $ Values are based on standard 5×5 12-team league using the FanGraphs Depth Charts and these Auction Calculator settings. They default to a player’s most valuable position, so if the first base list includes a catcher, it will show that player’s value at catcher.
- ADP and $ Values are updated as of the last update date on this post.
- 5-game eligibility was used for these lists to cast the widest net.
Closers You Can Count On
Rank | Name | Team | Pos | Change | ADP | $ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mason Miller | ATH | RP | – | 45 | $18 |
2 | Edwin Díaz | NYM | RP | – | 41 | $16 |
3 | Emmanuel Clase | CLE | RP | – | 35 | $11 |
4 | Félix Bautista | BAL | RP | – | 57 | $13 |
5 | Andrés Muñoz | SEA | RP | – | 63 | $12 |
6 | Devin Williams | NYY | RP | – | 41 | $9 |
7 | Josh Hader | HOU | RP | – | 42 | $13 |
8 | Ryan Helsley | STL | RP | – | 50 | $13 |
9 | Jhoan Duran | MIN | RP | – | 65 | $11 |
10 | Raisel Iglesias | ATL | RP | – | 52 | $9 |
11 | Ryan Walker | SFG | RP | – | 89 | $12 |
This tier features fantasy baseball’s best relief pitchers, with each arm oozing with plenty of talent and closer job security. Mason Miller makes up for a few less projected saves (per Depth Charts) compared to Emmanuel Clase or Edwin Díaz with a big edge in ERA, WHIP, and strikeouts. If you’re faint of heart when it comes to injury risk, it’s fine to prioritize one of the other top names as all of these arms are stellar. Díaz currently leads the way in projected saves at 36, coming off a 2.20 xFIP and 34.9 K% minus BB% in the second half. Clase doesn’t strike out as many batters as the other names here but he’s elite at preventing runs and fantasy managers love how the Guardians don’t get cute with his role at all—he’s coming off three straight seasons with at least 40 saves. Félix Bautista is returning from Tommy John and expected to be ready for Spring Training. Muñoz dealt with elbow soreness late in 2024 but finished the year strong, alleviating health concerns. The Twins can be a bit annoying with Duran’s role, using him outside of save situations more often than the other names on this list. Nonetheless, he should be expected to receive the vast majority of save opportunities. Now on the Yankees, Devin Williams should continue to perform as one of the game’s top closers. Ryan Helsley has also been featured in trade talks, but currently looks more likely to stay put. Ryan Walker had a breakout season in San Francisco, usurping Camilo Doval to grab sole control of the closer role. Raisel Iglesias fits in near the end of this tier, with a bit weaker rate stat projections compared to the rest of these names, but excellent job security for a championship contender. Josh Hader’s job is secure as anybody’s. He continues to be an elite K% minus BB% machine, even if he is more homer-prone than most of the other names in this group.
Closers, Barring Unforeseen Events
Rank | Name | Team | Pos | Change | ADP | $ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Robert Suarez | SDP | RP | – | 69 | $5 |
13 | Ben Joyce | LAA | RP | – | 173 | $6 |
14 | Trevor Megill | MIL | RP | – | 98 | $7 |
15 | Lucas Erceg | KCR | RP | – | 100 | $7 |
16 | Pete Fairbanks | TBR | RP | – | 158 | $4 |
17 | Jeff Hoffman | PHI | RP | – | 261 | $10 |
The next tier highlights a group of pitchers that could take the next step and join tier one—or find themselves out of a closing role with a couple twists and turns of poor fortune. Planet Earth’s hardest thrower, Ben Joyce, was able to seize the closer role last year before going down with shoulder inflammation in September (his MRI was otherwise clean). Fairbanks has been heavily featured in trade rumors since midway through 2024, and he probably would have been traded already had he not gotten hurt again. He is expected to be recovered from the lat strain by spring training, but could lose the closer job if he gets dealt. Robert Suarez has the most job security on this list—but a not-quite-elite ERA projection, with Jeremiah Estrada on his tail. Lucas Erceg was excellent as closer for Kansas City after they acquired him last year. He should be good to go as long as they don’t make any other major bullpen acquisitions. Trevor Megill looks like the primary guy for saves in Milwaukee now that Devin Williams is in New York. Megill thrived in the role when Williams was hurt in 2024. The Blue Jays have indicated the newly signed Jeff Hoffman will close–he’s an elite relief talent now in a great landing spot.
Probably, Maybe Closers
Rank | Name | Team | Pos | Change | ADP | $ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Justin Martinez | ARI | RP | – | 213 | $5 |
19 | Kirby Yates | TEX | RP | – | 114 | -$3 |
20 | Tanner Scott | SDP | RP | – | 163 | $2 |
21 | Orion Kerkering | PHI | RP | – | 342 | $2 |
22 | David Bednar | PIT | RP | – | 155 | $4 |
23 | Calvin Faucher | MIA | RP | – | 386 | -$1 |
24 | Porter Hodge | CHC | RP | – | 162 | $3 |
25 | Alexis Díaz | CIN | RP | – | 140 | -$2 |
26 | Chris Martin | TEX | RP | – | 688 | $5 |
27 | Michael Kopech | LAD | RP | – | 183 | $0 |
28 | Kenley Jansen | BOS | RP | – | 195 | -$3 |
Job security becomes a real issue in this tier, particularly early on in the offseason, where there are still lots of moves to be made. Orion Kerkering was blocked by Jeff Hoffman, José Alvarado, and Carlos Estévez last year, but Hoffman and Estévez are gone, and Alvarado had a down year. The Phillies did bring in a post-peak Jordan Romano to pitch in high leverage situations, but the time is nigh for the ultra-talented Kerkering to seize the closer role and not look back. Righty Justin Martinez shared saves with lefty A.J. Puk late last year—Martinez looks to have the inside job on a large share of the role entering 2025, although the Diamondbacks are reportedly still looking to sign a more established reliever to pitch the ninth. I worry about Porter Hodge losing his role to big trade or free agency acquisitions, although this is far from a foregone conclusion, particularly as the offseason progresses. Tanner Scott is one of baseball’s best relievers and could easily jump to tier one in the right landing spot—or fall a tier if a contender signs him to pitch in an eight-inning role. Alexis Díaz is the only one in this tier with good job security, but his ERA projection is rough. David Bednar also has decent job security, but took a step back in 2024, with a 5.71 xFIP in the second half. Michael Kopech was excellent after the Dodgers acquired him last year, but Evan Phillips and Blake Treinen are also strong relievers that will compete with Kopech for saves. Calvin Faucher offers decent projections and performed well as closer last year before going down with a shoulder impingement. The Marlins don’t yet have much competition for the role, either. Kirby Yates and Kenley Jansen remain unsigned, but they look more likely than not to step in as closers wherever they end up given their track records. The always-underrated Chris Martin looks like the front-runner for saves after signing in Texas.
Needles in a Haystack
Rank | Name | Team | Pos | Change | ADP | $ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Aroldis Chapman | BOS | RP | – | 303 | $4 |
30 | Jordan Romano | PHI | RP | – | 188 | $1 |
31 | Ryan Pressly | HOU | RP | – | 550 | -$2 |
32 | Liam Hendriks | BOS | RP | – | 249 | $4 |
33 | Evan Phillips | LAD | RP | – | 352 | $1 |
34 | Yimi García | TOR | RP | – | 398 | $0 |
35 | Griffin Jax | MIN | RP | – | 269 | $5 |
36 | Jorge López | WAS | RP | – | -$4 | |
37 | Robert Garcia | TEX | RP | – | 494 | $1 |
38 | A.J. Puk | ARI | RP | – | 281 | $4 |
39 | Blake Treinen | LAD | RP | – | 310 | $2 |
40 | Jason Foley | DET | RP | – | 331 | -$3 |
41 | José Alvarado | PHI | RP | – | 651 | -$1 |
42 | Beau Brieske | DET | RP | – | 478 | -$1 |
43 | Edwin Uceta | TBR | RP | – | 322 | -$2 |
44 | Camilo Doval | SFG | RP | – | 369 | $1 |
45 | Jeremiah Estrada | SDP | RP | – | 446 | $2 |
46 | Cade Smith | CLE | RP | – | 373 | $4 |
47 | Carlos Estévez | PHI | RP | – | 251 | -$5 |
48 | Justin Anderson | CHW | RP | – | 734 | -$6 |
49 | Prelander Berroa | CHW | RP | – | 546 | -$6 |
50 | Seth Halvorsen | COL | RP | – | 386 | -$11 |
51 | Tyler Kinley | COL | RP | – | 633 | -$5 |
52 | Abner Uribe | MIL | RP | – | 614 | -$5 |
53 | Jacob Webb | TEX | RP | – | 668 | -$9 |
54 | Derek Law | WSN | RP | – | 655 | -$2 |
55 | Jose A. Ferrer | WSN | RP | – | 592 | -$4 |
56 | Tyler Holton | DET | RP | – | 480 | -$1 |
57 | Matt Strahm | PHI | RP | – | 506 | $4 |
58 | Josh Sborz | TEX | RP | – | ||
59 | Fraser Ellard | CHW | RP | – | -$9 |
My final reliever tier includes the rest of the names that tend to be drafted in most leagues. As a rule, I won’t fight you on any particular placement within this very fluid tier. A few of these guys will surely rack up a bunch of saves this year, winning a bunch of fantasy leagues—it’s very difficult to say which ones in advance, however. Other bullpen pundits have Aroldis Chapman in a fierce competition for the closer job with Liam Hendriks and Justin Slaten—Chapman is likely the most effective of the bunch. The Astros are looking to trade Ryan Pressly, who could find himself back in his beloved closing job, depending on where he lands. The same goes for Camilo Doval. Carlos Estévez has a shot to close wherever he signs. Liam Hendriks, Evan Phillips, Robert Garcia, Blake Treinen, and A.J. Puk are each a decent bet to form at least some part of the closing committee on their respective squads, at least barring big relief pitcher acquisitions. Somebody has to close games for the White Sox and the Rockies this year, although it is difficult to get too excited about the current options. The Tigers look like a good bet to make an additional bullpen splash in free agency. Cade Smith and Griffin Jax likely won’t contribute many saves, but as two of the best relievers in baseball, they should be elite ratio plays. Jorge López looks like a good bet to close after signing with the Nationals.
Full Rankings Without Tiers
Rank | Name | Team | Pos | Change | ADP | $ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mason Miller | ATH | RP | – | 45 | $18 |
2 | Edwin Díaz | NYM | RP | – | 41 | $16 |
3 | Emmanuel Clase | CLE | RP | – | 35 | $11 |
4 | Félix Bautista | BAL | RP | – | 57 | $13 |
5 | Andrés Muñoz | SEA | RP | – | 63 | $12 |
6 | Devin Williams | NYY | RP | – | 41 | $9 |
7 | Josh Hader | HOU | RP | – | 42 | $13 |
8 | Ryan Helsley | STL | RP | – | 50 | $13 |
9 | Jhoan Duran | MIN | RP | – | 65 | $11 |
10 | Raisel Iglesias | ATL | RP | – | 52 | $9 |
11 | Ryan Walker | SFG | RP | – | 89 | $12 |
12 | Robert Suarez | SDP | RP | – | 69 | $5 |
13 | Ben Joyce | LAA | RP | – | 173 | $6 |
14 | Trevor Megill | MIL | RP | – | 98 | $7 |
15 | Lucas Erceg | KCR | RP | – | 100 | $7 |
16 | Pete Fairbanks | TBR | RP | – | 158 | $4 |
17 | Jeff Hoffman | PHI | RP | – | 261 | $10 |
18 | Justin Martinez | ARI | RP | – | 213 | $5 |
19 | Kirby Yates | TEX | RP | – | 114 | -$3 |
20 | Tanner Scott | SDP | RP | – | 163 | $2 |
21 | Orion Kerkering | PHI | RP | – | 342 | $2 |
22 | David Bednar | PIT | RP | – | 155 | $4 |
23 | Calvin Faucher | MIA | RP | – | 386 | -$1 |
24 | Porter Hodge | CHC | RP | – | 162 | $3 |
25 | Alexis Díaz | CIN | RP | – | 140 | -$2 |
26 | Chris Martin | TEX | RP | – | 688 | $5 |
27 | Michael Kopech | LAD | RP | – | 183 | $0 |
28 | Kenley Jansen | BOS | RP | – | 195 | -$3 |
29 | Aroldis Chapman | BOS | RP | – | 303 | $4 |
30 | Jordan Romano | PHI | RP | – | 188 | $1 |
31 | Ryan Pressly | HOU | RP | – | 550 | -$2 |
32 | Liam Hendriks | BOS | RP | – | 249 | $4 |
33 | Evan Phillips | LAD | RP | – | 352 | $1 |
34 | Yimi García | TOR | RP | – | 398 | $0 |
35 | Griffin Jax | MIN | RP | – | 269 | $5 |
36 | Jorge López | WAS | RP | – | -$4 | |
37 | Robert Garcia | TEX | RP | – | 494 | $1 |
38 | A.J. Puk | ARI | RP | – | 281 | $4 |
39 | Blake Treinen | LAD | RP | – | 310 | $2 |
40 | Jason Foley | DET | RP | – | 331 | -$3 |
41 | José Alvarado | PHI | RP | – | 651 | -$1 |
42 | Beau Brieske | DET | RP | – | 478 | -$1 |
43 | Edwin Uceta | TBR | RP | – | 322 | -$2 |
44 | Camilo Doval | SFG | RP | – | 369 | $1 |
45 | Jeremiah Estrada | SDP | RP | – | 446 | $2 |
46 | Cade Smith | CLE | RP | – | 373 | $4 |
47 | Carlos Estévez | PHI | RP | – | 251 | -$5 |
48 | Justin Anderson | CHW | RP | – | 734 | -$6 |
49 | Prelander Berroa | CHW | RP | – | 546 | -$6 |
50 | Seth Halvorsen | COL | RP | – | 386 | -$11 |
51 | Tyler Kinley | COL | RP | – | 633 | -$5 |
52 | Abner Uribe | MIL | RP | – | 614 | -$5 |
53 | Jacob Webb | TEX | RP | – | 668 | -$9 |
54 | Derek Law | WSN | RP | – | 655 | -$2 |
55 | Jose A. Ferrer | WSN | RP | – | 592 | -$4 |
56 | Tyler Holton | DET | RP | – | 480 | -$1 |
57 | Matt Strahm | PHI | RP | – | 506 | $4 |
58 | Josh Sborz | TEX | RP | – | ||
59 | Fraser Ellard | CHW | RP | – | -$9 |
Man, Suarez scares me. He was great for the first 2/3 or so of the season and finished poorly in the second half. Of course, his first half had some pretty strong indications of luck, with a .227 babip and 91.5% LOB rate. His luck went the opposite way in the second half, and his performance wasn’t quite as bad as the era, but I could see him losing the job quickly if he doesn’t come out on fire.