Archive for Third Base

Third Base 2026 Fantasy Rankings

Credit: Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

Changelog

  • 3/17/2026 – More reranking based on spring training performance and locked down starting roles, updated ADPs
  • 3/6/2026 – A little bit of reranking, updated ADPs
  • 2/25/2026 – More capsules, no reranking this time.
  • 2/17/2026 – Jordan Westburg’s UCL injury 🙁
  • 2/16/2026 – Just a little bit of reranking, more capsules. Updated ADP data from NFBC Draft Champions to NFBC Online Championships.
  • 2/9/2026 – Light reranking, a couple more capsules, some team changes
  • 2/2/2026 – Some reranking based on Suárez signing with the Reds, a few more capsules
  • 1/23/2026 – Moved Arenado to a tier now that we know where he’s playing, some team changes, updated ADPs
  • 1/13/2026 – Updated ADPs, more capsules, reranking with Alex Bregman signing (and some other minor FA deals)
  • 12/31/2025 – Updated ADPs, more capsules, and some reranking.
  • 12/24/2025 – Updated ADPs — rerank and more capsules coming between Christmas and New Year’s!
  • 12/16/2025 – First Release

Ranking Methodology

  • ADP is based on 30-day rolling NFBC Online Championship Leagues.
  • $ Values are based on standard 5×5 12-team league using the FanGraphs Depth Charts and these Auction Calculator settings. They default to a player’s most valuable position, so if the first base list includes a catcher, it will show that player’s value at catcher.
  • ADP and $ Values are updated as of the last update date on this post.
  • 5-game eligibility was used for these lists to cast the widest net.

Hello, and welcome to the 2026 3B rankings! Third base has been a weird position for a while, one that fits a bunch of different types of players; there’s no one archetype that works above all the others. That makes ranking them a little tough, but hey, at least Nos. 1 and 2 were layups (that’s a basketball term).

Hot Ones at the Hot Corner

The best of the best.
Hot Ones at the Hot Corner
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 José Ramírez CLE 3B 6 $30
2 Junior Caminero TBR 3B 17 $28
3 Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY 2B/3B 20 $16
4 Maikel Garcia KCR 2B/3B/SS/OF 66 $15

There’s little that Ramírez is yet to accomplish in MLB, though winning MVP might forever be his white whale. (He’d also love to go 40/40 at least once, I’m sure.) His counting stats at the plate took a little bit of a step back as he had even more wear and tear than usual in 2025, but he’s showing no long-term signs of slowing down and continues to command the zone while not striking out as well as anyone.

At the onset of the 2025 season it looked like Caminero would be missing some valuable plate appearances as he was frequently replaced for defense, but he improved enough at third to actually play full games with the Rays leading as the season went on. The massive homer power is Caminero’s calling card and considering his precocious youth combined with a lack of big swing-and-miss, the sky is the limit. He was weirdly average away from Steinbrenner Field but I don’t have much concern there since his BABIP was a ridiculously low .197 on the road.

Enjoy the 3B eligibility while you can! Jazz won’t be sniffing the hot corner any time soon after couping DJ LeMahieu out of a roster spot so he could move back to second base, and he responded with a career year despite missing time with an oblique strain. Coming off back-to-back almost-fully-healthy seasons in which he proved he’s got star output to go with his star-level skills, here’s hoping we can finally see what 150 games of Jazz looks like.

Are Garcia’s gains at the plate legit? The Royals sure think so, rewarding his breakout with a five-year, $57.5 million extension. He’s got almost three years of service time but is still just 25 years old, so it’s entirely possible we haven’t seen the best of him yet. He’s more of a “jack of all trades, master of none” than a guy who will give you insane production in a particular category, but there’s .300/20/40 potential in there.

Slightly Less Hot

Great players who just missed.
Slightly Less Hot
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
5 Manny Machado SDP 3B 38 $15
6 Austin Riley ATL 3B 62 $16
7 Eugenio Suárez CIN 3B 101 $12
8 Isaac Paredes HOU 3B 237 -$1
9 Max Muncy LAD 3B 244 -$5
10 Alex Bregman CHC 3B 118 $9

The very definition of borderline between the top tier and second tier, Machado continues to perform like a metronome. The only thing that concerns me is Father Time’s undefeated record, and Machado is entering his age-33 season. His bat speed is still excellent but it has been going down each year for the three years it’s been tracked by Statcast, so it’s not as if he’s completely ageless.

I want Riley to go back to being great, and I’ll concede that it’s entirely possible if not likely that injuries are part of the explanation for his wRC+ declining each year since his career-high in 2022. But we can’t just ignore that in 2025 he walked less and whiffed and struck out more. This is about as high as I’m comfortable putting him.

Suárez could not have signed with a better team. He’s familiar with the Reds, he’ll need fewer days off as a DH, and most importantly for fantasy, he’ll absolutely mash at GABP. He couldn’t figure out the Park Formerly Known As Safeco across his two stints in Seattle, and there was a worry in the back of my mind that he’d end up back there anyway. He’ll feature prominently in a Reds lineup that was starved for power all last year with Elly De La Cruz battling a quad injury throughout the second half.

Paredes would be higher on this list if I was fully confident that he’s (a) fully healthy after rushing back from a horrible hamstring strain and (b) definitely an Astro in 2026. So much of Paredes’ value comes from his elite ability to pull the ball in the air, and there’s nowhere better to do that than Daikin Park. But with the Astros probably needing to offload an infielder to open up DH for Yordan Alvarez and Paredes’ name being the most-often mentioned, I’m just wary enough to ding him a bit.

Muncy has been as good as ever on a rate basis in the last two seasons, but I’m conscious of his age (35) and the fact that he’s only played 173 games in the last two seasons. Plus, he had his worst showing ever against lefties, albeit in only 80 plate appearances, and he could continue to be shielded from them by Miguel Rojas and Alex Call.

I moved Bregman down just a tad because Wrigley isn’t an amazing ballpark fit for him. He’s not as dead-pull as Paredes (nobody is) but he still relies on pulling the ball in the air. Wrigley’s dimensions themselves aren’t a huge needle-mover for me; yes, left field is deep, but Bregman has the pop to hit homers there. The bigger concern is the wind, which will knock down would-be homers for even the most prolific of power hitters — something Bregman isn’t.

2025 Breakouts

If they continue in 2026, they’ll be fantasy stars.
2025 Breakouts
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
11 Addison Barger TOR 3B/OF 197 $2
12 Colson Montgomery CHW 3B/SS 243 $2

With Kazuma Okamoto in the fold, Barger’s going to be spending more time in right field than at third base, so enjoy that 3B eligibility while you can in 2026! The power has always been real, but getting to it in MLB games was a problem in 2024. No longer was that the case in 2025: Barger mashed 21 homers in 135 games followed by another three in 17 postseason games. With a fantastic hard-hit rate above 50%, I’m taking the over on 24 homers if he can get into 152 games this year. The biggest impediment to that will be solving lefties, against whom he had a wRC+ of 69 in 89 plate appearances.

Montgomery burst onto the scene in his rookie half-season last year, with 21 homers and 55 RBI in just 71 games. If you’re a fan of extrapolating stats out to 162 games and dreaming from there, that’s 48 homers and 125 RBI. No, I don’t think he’ll reach those heights in 2026, as his HR/FB was a ridiculous 26% and his hard-hit rate was a very good but not elite 44%. But he’ll be playing every single day at short (again, enjoy that 3B eligibility while it’s there!), and unimpeded playing time is important.

Steady Vets

You basically know what you’re getting here.
Steady Vets
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
13 Matt Chapman SFG 3B 166 $12
14 Alec Bohm PHI 1B/3B 246 $7
15 Carlos Correa HOU 3B/SS 282 $1

He’s streaky within seasons, but you ultimately know what you’re gonna get at the end of the year from Chapman: solidly above-average output and 20+ homers. His hand injury led to a career-low in games but he still got into 128 of them, and it didn’t seem to impact his hitting ability upon his return, unlike many hand injuries. In his age-33 season, we’ve got to be careful when considering the aging curve for Chapman, but he actually cut down the strikeouts in 2025 while continuing to walk a ton. I don’t see big concern here yet, the guy’s a grinder.

Well, Bohm is certainly a Steady Vet, just steady at a lower output than you’d like. But the ballpark he plays in and the lineup around him means he’ll rack up RBI in all likelihood, and his 2025 hard hit rate was his best since 2021. Does that portend better power output or just more frustration?

He’s in this tier because I wanted to rank him right about here, not because he’s actually particularly steady. Correa hasn’t been both healthy and very good at the plate since 2022. 2023 was healthy but below-average, 2024 was excellent over 86 games, and 2025 was 144 games of a 106 wRC+. Maybe a full season at third will keep him a little healthier, and Houston is certainly a better place to hit than Minnesota, but you just don’t know what you’re going to get from him. His mere presence on the roster also means Isaac Paredes may be playing elsewhere this year.

NPB “Rookies”

How they convert to MLB remains to be seen, but there’s plenty of upside here.
NPB “Rookies”
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
16 Munetaka Murakami CHW 1B/3B $9
17 Kazuma Okamoto TOR 1B/3B $6

Murakami could hit 40 homers; he could hit 15. He could strike out a manageable 30% of the time; he could strike out an untenable 40%. There’s no player in the league, at any position, with as much boom-or-bust potential, and I think I’ve ranked him accordingly. Whatever you get from him — good or bad — don’t be surprised.

Okamoto doesn’t posess the upside that Murakami has (almost nobody on the planet does!) but he’s a much safer bet to produce for the Jays than Murakami is for the White Sox. That’s why he signed for $60 million with a contender and Murakami got just $34 million from the White Sox. Okamoto may have to earn time against tough righties but is widely expected to mash lefties, and his versaility — he should get some time at first base and maybe left field, too — will keep him in the lineup along with the bat.

Big Bummer of an Injury

A medium-term injury knocks Westburg down quite a bit.
Big Bummer of an Injury
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
18 Jordan Westburg BAL 2B/3B 522 -$2

I had Westburg pretty aggressively ranked for the first several iterations of the rankings, but I of course had to rerank after learning that his partial UCL tear would lead to a PRP injection and keep him out all of April, at minimum. If there’s more clarity on exactly how long he’ll miss I may move him down even further, but I can’t see him going up at this point.

You Should Be Better Than This!

A guy who hits the ball hard but haven’t put it all together yet.
You Should Be Better Than This!
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
19 Royce Lewis MIN 3B 184 $6

Lewis’ career has been perplexing, to say the least. Much like the recent vintage of Carlos Correa, Lewis has struggled to be simultaneously healthy and good. 2025 was by far his healthiest season as a big-leaguer, but also by far his worst. Despite being around seemingly forever, though, he’s still just in his age-27 season and he’s got all the talent in the world.

Multipositional Studs

Good performance, better multipositional flex.
Multipositional Studs
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
20 Caleb Durbin BOS 2B/3B 224 $4
21 Ernie Clement TOR 1B/2B/3B/SS 340 $6
22 Brett Baty NYM 2B/3B 295 -$6
23 Zach McKinstry DET 2B/3B/SS/OF 487 -$11
24 Colt Keith DET 1B/2B/3B 433 -$2
25 Tommy Edman LAD 2B/3B/OF 722 -$2
26 Josh Smith TEX 1B/3B/SS/OF 496 -$7
27 Gavin Lux TBR 2B/3B/OF 747 -$12
28 José Caballero NYY 2B/3B/SS/OF 205 -$11
29 Miguel Andujar SDP 3B/OF 735 -$11

We don’t know where exactly Durbin will be playing with the Red Sox between second and third, but what we do know is that he’s playing every day, and he may well maintain eligibility at both positions. He’s great at nothing but good at everything and if you’re in an OBP league, you have to love how much he gets drilled by pitches.

I’ll admit it: I love Ernie Clement, and it’s not just because he went nuclear in the playoffs. A solidly average hitter with the potential for more who doesn’t really walk or strike out? That’s the good stuff. He’ll play mostly second base this year but I’d expect cameos at third and short, at least, to continue.

The Mets did a lot this offseason, but they did nothing to displace Baty’s status as a starter. He’s ostensibly the “starting DH,” but what that really means is that he’ll be playing every day against righties, whether it’s at DH or spelling the starters at third, second, first, left, right, and perhaps even shortstop. The gains he made on offense look legit, too.

McKinstry broke out with an All-Star campaign in 2025 as the Tigers’ Swiss Army Knife. Something like the lefty version of Clement, he got way more playing time than was expected and ran with it, hitting 11 triples and 12 homers while playing all over. I’ve got him below Clement because his path to playing time in 2026 is a little murkier with Kevin McGonigle fast approaching.

The same playing time concerns I have with McKinstry apply to Keith, except that Keith is coming off a worse season. He did improve as a sophomore from his down-and-then-up rookie year, and his extension keeping him under contract through at least 2029 and as late as 2032 makes the Tigers committed to him. Here’s hoping he can tap into that pop he showed in the minors.

I moved Edman down because it’s now set in stone that he’ll miss Opening Day. I don’t want to react too much to that because it’s a long season, but I also expect the Dodgers to do plenty of load management with him as they try to have him fully unleashed for a threepeat in the playoffs.

Smith is the odds-on favorite to replace Marcus Semien as the Rangers’ starting second baseman, so it’s unclear how much positional eligibility he’ll maintain beyond that if Josh Jung stays healthy (a massive if). Something of a McKinstry Lite, Smith was bang average with the bat while playing all over last year.

Lux’s one season in Cincinnati didn’t go well, and the Reds gave up Mike Sirota for him, to boot. A 102 wRC+ doesn’t cut it when you’re as rough defensively as he was, especially in left field at third base. Now with the Rays, he’ll be the starting second baseman (at least against righties) and I wouldn’t expect him to get much time anywhere else, though it’s still possible.

Caballero will begin the season filling in for Anthony Volpe while the latter recovers from offseason shoulder surgery and end it as a superutility sparkplug who can play all over. Caballero runs with reckless abandon and if you’re in need of steals, there are few better options across the league.

Andujar picked a good team for playing time. His lefty-mashing ways will guarantee his presence in the lineup against all southpaws, and the Padres haven’t done much of anything to take away playing time from him against righties, either. He could still maintain eligibility at third with Manny Machado likely to get plenty of DH days sprinkled in.

What Even Are You?

These guys have shown flashes, maybe even lots of them, in recent years, but they’re all so inconsistent.
What Even Are You?
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
30 Nolan Arenado ARI 3B 674 $2
31 Connor Norby MIA 3B 731 -$3
32 Josh Jung TEX 3B 631 -$2
33 Nolan Gorman STL 1B/2B/3B 690 -$3
34 Mark Vientos NYM 3B 566 -$4
35 Luis Rengifo MIL 2B/3B/OF 615 -$11
36 Miguel Vargas CHW 1B/3B 295 $1
37 Yoán Moncada LAA 3B 743 -$9
38 Ryan McMahon NYY 3B 731 -$11
39 Noelvi Marte CIN 3B/OF 141 $0
40 Willi Castro COL 2B/3B/SS/OF 259 $1
41 Ke’Bryan Hayes CIN 3B -$7
42 Javier Báez DET 2B/3B/SS/OF 743 -$10
43 Jonathan India KCR 2B/3B/OF 606 -$9

Arenado’s downturn continued in 2025, as he had his worst full-season wRC+ since his rookie year of 2013 with the Rockies. He slugged under .400 for the second straight year, and while I could see an uptick in power assuming he’s fully healthy thanks to Chase Field and a less balky shoulder, I’m not going to count on it for the soon-to-be 35-year-old. This is about as highly as I could justify ranking him.

Norby only got into 88 games last year thanks to a couple IL stints, and while he wasn’t awful, he obviously didn’t take the leap forward the Marlins were expecting him to. That said, he’s still got the leg up for the 3B job and is getting reps at 1B as well, so he shouldn’t have a big problem staying in the lineup if his health allows.

We’ve reached the point in Jung’s career where it’s plausible to say that the idea of Jung is far better than the player. He was at least healthy last year after just 46 games in 2024, but his wRC+ dipped to below-average, and he’s pretty allergic to walks. The Rangers didn’t do much to buttress last year’s struggling offense so they’re hoping for internal gains from players like Jung; he’ll get plenty of runway once again.

The trade of Arenado (and Brendan Donovan) was good news for Gorman, who should get a chance to play every day even if the exact positioning is somewhat up in the air. He’ll make you want to pull your hair out for large chunks of the season but it’s hard to not dream on the raw power even if he continually struggled to get to it in games.

It’s easy to forget how good Vientos was in 2024, though many Mets fans would tell you that Vientos certainly “helped” expedite the memoryholing process by performing poorly outside of a really good August last year. He’s got an uphill battle for playing time but at minimum should play against every lefty.

Rengifo signing with the Brewers got him ranked higher than I expected he would be, as he’s got unimpeded playing time at third base. But it can’t be ignored just how bad he was last year, nor can we brush aside how badly he’s graded out at third base.

Vargas had a solid first full big-league season bouncing between third and first and will now return to his customary third base with Murakami set to take over at first. But he’s a slump away from losing time to Lenyn Sosa.

The thing that gives me pause with Moncada isn’t how he’s performed on the field, but his laundry list of injuries for basically his entire big-league career. He hasn’t gotten into 100+ games since 2022 or 125+ since 2021, and he’s limited to being a strong-side platoon bat who’s almost entirely hidden away from lefty pitching.

McMahon hit worse as a Yankee than as a Rockie but I actually hypothetically like the idea of him at Yankee Stadium more than at Coors. There’s no Coors Effect to make him worse on the road, anymore, and the short porch in YS3 is plenty inviting for a lefty pull hitter like McMahon. It’s just unfortunate that your league probably doesn’t care how great of a fielder he is.

Marte probably loses 3B eligibility this year, as he’s expected to continue to start in right field, a position he took to very well in his first action last year. He was essentially average at the plate and there’s certainly room for growth for Marte, who’s still just 24.

Castro nosedived after a trade to the Cubs, putting a sour pall over his free agency. Still, he was able to secure a multi-year deal with the Rockies and ought to continue to play all over just about every day. His value is in his versatility and availability.

If your league doesn’t care how well McMahon fields, it really doesn’t care how well Hayes fields. But, the elite glove will keep him in the lineup on a daily basis, and he went from 43% below-average as a Pirate last year to 18% below-average as a Red. Progress!

Báez making the All-Star team as the starting center fielder was a great story, to be sure, but it hid how mediocre his season turned out to be overall. The versatility will help him play pretty often but with Kevin McGonigle fast approaching, it’s unclear how long even semi-regular playing time will last.

India was awful in 2025. He took horribly to both third base and left field, and he’ll be back at his customary second base and DH this season. That he was tendered a contract at all qualified as a surprise to me, but the strong strikeout and walk ratios are at least very Royals-y.

Unproven Youngsters

This collection has shown a little bit in relatively limited MLB time.
Unproven Youngsters
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
44 Marcelo Mayer BOS 2B/3B 621 -$10
45 Blaze Alexander BAL 2B/3B/OF 747 -$22
46 Gabriel Arias CLE 2B/3B/SS 747 -$10
47 Casey Schmitt SFG 1B/2B/3B -$24
48 Matt Shaw CHC 3B 336 -$16
49 Jordan Lawlar ARI 2B/3B 275 -$5
50 Brady House WSN 3B ▲14 727 -$4
51 Max Muncy ATH 3B ▲16 726 -$10
52 Brooks Lee MIN 2B/3B/SS ▲10 518 -$1

Mayer looks likely to get significant playing time, at least against righties, even with Durbin, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, and Andruw Monasterio in the fold. The pop is legit, the question is how much the hit tool will be able to keep up.

Alexander was set to be a super-utilityman for the Orioles until Westburg and Jackson Holliday’s injuries, and now should get significant regular time on the infield while still getting some run in the outfield, too. He’s got a good power/speed combo at an affordable price.

Arias swings way, way too often; his hit tool might be the worst of any non-catching regular in the sport. But he’s still a regular at least until Travis Bazzana is ready, and will run into some homers.

Schmitt has been quietly solid when he’s gotten into games the last couple years, and although the signing of Luis Arraez complicates his playing time, he’s just an injury away from significant plate appearance totals.

Shaw had an extremely streaky rookie year that ultimately mathed out to being slightly below-average at the plate. With Bregman in the fold, he’ll take on a superutility role and seems likeliest to gain eligibility in the outfield

Lawlar’s star has faded dramatically, but perhaps a position change to the outfield will do him some good. He lines up to be the Snakes’ starting CF and has been hitting well thus far in Spring Training.

House has been excellent in Spring Training so he moves up two tiers with the third base job unquestionably his.

Muncy shoots up the list thanks to a great spring training that has him running away with the starting 3B job, but I’ll need more than this small sample to think he’s legit.

Lee will be the starting shortstop this year despite being bad on both sides of the ball in 2025, so his 3B eligibility is waning. There’s not much to like about his profile, either.

Good Bench Guys

They won’t play too much, but production will be good when they do.
Good Bench Guys
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
53 Mauricio Dubón ATL 2B/3B/SS/OF ▼3 747 -$11
54 Edmundo Sosa PHI 2B/3B/SS ▼3 -$18
55 Amed Rosario NYY 2B/3B/OF ▼3 -$22
56 Otto Kemp PHI 1B/3B/OF ▼3 -$20
57 Miguel Rojas LAD 2B/3B/SS ▼3 -$24
58 Javier Sanoja MIA 2B/3B/SS/OF ▼2 -$21
59 Isiah Kiner-Falefa BOS 2B/3B/SS ▼2 747 -$24
60 Oswaldo Cabrera NYY 3B ▼5 -$27

Will They Even Be on the Roster?

There’s potential here, but also potential to start in Triple-A.
Will They Even Be on the Roster?
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
61 Ben Williamson TBR 3B ▼2 -$22
62 Alex Freeland LAD 2B/3B ▼4 -$33
63 Kyle Karros COL 3B ▼3 -$22
64 Nacho Alvarez Jr. ATL 3B ▼3 -$34
65 Ronny Mauricio NYM 2B/3B/SS ▼2 -$25

Less Interesting Bench Guys

Versatility here, but not a whole lot else.
Less Interesting Bench Guys
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
66 Jared Triolo PIT 1B/2B/3B/SS ▼1 735 -$6
67 Daniel Schneemann CLE 2B/3B/SS/OF ▼1 -$24
68 Graham Pauley MIA 1B/2B/3B -$20
69 Ramón Urías STL 2B/3B -$18
70 Curtis Mead CHW 1B/2B/3B -$33
71 Andy Ibáñez ATH 2B/3B -$23
72 Enrique Hernández LAD 1B/2B/3B/OF -$26

How Deep Is Your League?

How Deep Is Your League?
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
73 Oswald Peraza LAA 1B/2B/3B/SS -$19
74 Jace Jung DET 3B -$33
75 José Tena WSN 2B/3B -$23
76 Josh Rojas KCR 2B/3B/OF -$35
77 Darell Hernaiz ATH 2B/3B/SS -$24
78 Paul DeJong NYY 2B/3B/SS -$32

Free Agent Limbo

Free Agent Limbo
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
79 Jon Berti FA 2B/3B -$27

Full Rankings Without Tiers

No tiers. Just the rankings.
Full Rankings Without Tiers
Rank Name Team Pos Change ADP $
1 José Ramírez CLE 3B 6 $30
2 Junior Caminero TBR 3B 17 $28
3 Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY 2B/3B 20 $16
4 Maikel Garcia KCR 2B/3B/SS/OF 66 $15
5 Manny Machado SDP 3B 38 $15
6 Austin Riley ATL 3B 62 $16
7 Eugenio Suárez CIN 3B 101 $12
8 Isaac Paredes HOU 3B 237 -$1
9 Max Muncy LAD 3B 244 -$5
10 Alex Bregman CHC 3B 118 $9
11 Addison Barger TOR 3B/OF 197 $2
12 Colson Montgomery CHW 3B/SS 243 $2
13 Matt Chapman SFG 3B 166 $12
14 Alec Bohm PHI 1B/3B 246 $7
15 Carlos Correa HOU 3B/SS 282 $1
16 Munetaka Murakami CHW 1B/3B $9
17 Kazuma Okamoto TOR 1B/3B $6
18 Jordan Westburg BAL 2B/3B 522 -$2
19 Royce Lewis MIN 3B 184 $6
20 Caleb Durbin BOS 2B/3B 224 $4
21 Ernie Clement TOR 1B/2B/3B/SS 340 $6
22 Brett Baty NYM 2B/3B 295 -$6
23 Zach McKinstry DET 2B/3B/SS/OF 487 -$11
24 Colt Keith DET 1B/2B/3B 433 -$2
25 Tommy Edman LAD 2B/3B/OF 722 -$2
26 Josh Smith TEX 1B/3B/SS/OF 496 -$7
27 Gavin Lux TBR 2B/3B/OF 747 -$12
28 José Caballero NYY 2B/3B/SS/OF 205 -$11
29 Miguel Andujar SDP 3B/OF 735 -$11
30 Nolan Arenado ARI 3B 674 $2
31 Connor Norby MIA 3B 731 -$3
32 Josh Jung TEX 3B 631 -$2
33 Nolan Gorman STL 1B/2B/3B 690 -$3
34 Mark Vientos NYM 3B 566 -$4
35 Luis Rengifo MIL 2B/3B/OF 615 -$11
36 Miguel Vargas CHW 1B/3B 295 $1
37 Yoán Moncada LAA 3B 743 -$9
38 Ryan McMahon NYY 3B 731 -$11
39 Noelvi Marte CIN 3B/OF 141 $0
40 Willi Castro COL 2B/3B/SS/OF 259 $1
41 Ke’Bryan Hayes CIN 3B -$7
42 Javier Báez DET 2B/3B/SS/OF 743 -$10
43 Jonathan India KCR 2B/3B/OF 606 -$9
44 Marcelo Mayer BOS 2B/3B 621 -$10
45 Blaze Alexander BAL 2B/3B/OF 747 -$22
46 Gabriel Arias CLE 2B/3B/SS 747 -$10
47 Casey Schmitt SFG 1B/2B/3B -$24
48 Matt Shaw CHC 3B 336 -$16
49 Jordan Lawlar ARI 2B/3B 275 -$5
50 Brady House WSN 3B ▲14 727 -$4
51 Max Muncy ATH 3B ▲16 726 -$10
52 Brooks Lee MIN 2B/3B/SS ▲10 518 -$1
53 Mauricio Dubón ATL 2B/3B/SS/OF ▼3 747 -$11
54 Edmundo Sosa PHI 2B/3B/SS ▼3 -$18
55 Amed Rosario NYY 2B/3B/OF ▼3 -$22
56 Otto Kemp PHI 1B/3B/OF ▼3 -$20
57 Miguel Rojas LAD 2B/3B/SS ▼3 -$24
58 Javier Sanoja MIA 2B/3B/SS/OF ▼2 -$21
59 Isiah Kiner-Falefa BOS 2B/3B/SS ▼2 747 -$24
60 Oswaldo Cabrera NYY 3B ▼5 -$27
61 Ben Williamson TBR 3B ▼2 -$22
62 Alex Freeland LAD 2B/3B ▼4 -$33
63 Kyle Karros COL 3B ▼3 -$22
64 Nacho Alvarez Jr. ATL 3B ▼3 -$34
65 Ronny Mauricio NYM 2B/3B/SS ▼2 -$25
66 Jared Triolo PIT 1B/2B/3B/SS ▼1 735 -$6
67 Daniel Schneemann CLE 2B/3B/SS/OF ▼1 -$24
68 Graham Pauley MIA 1B/2B/3B -$20
69 Ramón Urías STL 2B/3B -$18
70 Curtis Mead CHW 1B/2B/3B -$33
71 Andy Ibáñez ATH 2B/3B -$23
72 Enrique Hernández LAD 1B/2B/3B/OF -$26
73 Oswald Peraza LAA 1B/2B/3B/SS -$19
74 Jace Jung DET 3B -$33
75 José Tena WSN 2B/3B -$23
76 Josh Rojas KCR 2B/3B/OF -$35
77 Darell Hernaiz ATH 2B/3B/SS -$24
78 Paul DeJong NYY 2B/3B/SS -$32
79 Jon Berti FA 2B/3B -$27

Jake Mailhot’s 2026 Tiered Rankings for Ottoneu Points: Third Base

Credit: Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images

The Ottoneu rankings push continues this week with a look at the hot corner. You can find all the information about the format and methodology for these rankings in Chad’s introduction.

Changelog

  • 2/18/2026: Updated projections w/ ZiPS and OOPSY. Added player notes for all players in tier $1-$2 and above. Updated tier placement for five players (green = moved up, red = moved down).
  • 3/18/2026: Updated tier placement for three players based on 2026 draft results.

 


Jake Mailhot’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for Points Leagues: C | 1B | MI | 3B |OF | SP | RP
Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered Rankings for 4×4: C | 1B | MI | 3B | OF | SP | RP


Here are few more notes about my process:

  • Projected points. I’ve been building my own homebrewed projections for the past decade plus, ever since I started playing Ottoneu, and they form the basis for the rankings below. They’re nothing overly complicated; essentially just a MARCEL-esque projection using three years of historical data filtered through a rough aging curve and adjusted for the current run environment. I also include a collection of up to five public projection systems (ZiPS, Steamer, OOPSY, THE BAT, and PECOTA) to provide some additional context. That gives each player a wealth of data sources to form their projection. Currently, the projections below only include Steamer and THE BAT projections. I will update the rankings in February once ZiPS, OOPSY, and PECOTA are released.
  • P/G vs P/PA. Points per game played is the gold standard by which you should be evaluating players in Ottoneu. I won’t argue with that. That measure does have some drawbacks, particularly for players who pinch hit, pinch run, or are used as defensive substitutions often. Those limited appearances can skew a player’s P/G lower than what they’re producing when they’re getting three or four plate appearances when they start a game. To provide a little more context for these kinds of players, I’m projecting players using points per plate appearance. That measure should give us a better idea of how a player produces no matter how he’s used by his team.

Just to reiterate a point that Chad makes in his introduction: yes, these rankings are presented ordinally, but the tier a player appears in is much more important than if they’re ranked 16th or 28th. Within tiers, players are generally ranked by their projected Pts/PA but that doesn’t necessarily mean I think one player is significantly more valuable than another in the same tier. I’ve got notes on the top 15-ish players below and I’ll add more notes when I update the rankings next month. Let’s get into it.

Ottoneu Points 3B Tiered Rankings
Tier Rank Player Position Projected Pts Pts/PA Notes
$36-$44 1 José Ramírez 3B 954.8 1.46 133 wRC+ in 2025 was a “down” year for him. Contact quality slipped a bit too.
$28-$35 2 Junior Caminero 3B 848.1 1.42 Blasted 45 home runs in his first full year in the big leagues. Move back to Tropicana Field won’t help but has enough power that it won’t matter much.
$21-$27 3 Max Muncy (LAD) 3B 528.6 1.31 Muncy’s wRC+ after he started wearing glasses on April 30: 166. Contact quality improved and strikeout rate dropped by 5 points.
$21-$27 4 Austin Riley 3B 713.2 1.28 Four straight years of declining production is a big concern. Contact quality looks fantastic but plate discipline deteriorated in 2025.
$21-$27 5 Manny Machado 3B 803.1 1.26 A useful accumulator with good skills across the board. Always plays — two seasons in his entire career w/ less than 150 games played.
$15-$20 6 Munetaka Murakami 3B 710.7 1.29 The power is definitely real but there’s huge risk in his contact rate. The projections look decent, but the adjustment period could hurt.
$15-$20 7 Matt Chapman 3B 719.7 1.21 Pretty reliable contributor across the board. No weaknesses, but no standout skills either.
$15-$20 8 Alex Bregman 3B 726.6 1.20 New home in Wrigley Field shouldn’t hurt his pull-heavy approach too much and he had his best contact quality of his career in 2025.
$10-$14 9 Kazuma Okamoto 1B/3B 636.2 1.22 Much more stable profile than Murakami without the high ceiling. Will probably end up getting 3B eligibility.
$10-$14 10 Isaac Paredes 3B 612.8 1.22 Hamstring injury derailed a very good first year in Houston. Some concerns about playing time in a crowded lineup.
$10-$14 11 Eugenio Suárez 3B 750.7 1.20 Couldn’t keep his offensive resurgence going after re-joining Seattle. Ceiling might come down to where he signs.
$10-$14 12 Sal Stewart 1B/3B 570.8 1.19 Solid debut late last year with impressive contact quality. Needs to earn a spot in a crowded lineup.
$6-$9 13 Alec Bohm 1B/3B 645.6 1.16 Career-high contact rate in 2025, but still pounds the ball into the ground too often.
$6-$9 14 Addison Barger 3B/OF 531.6 1.15 1H breakout (125 wRC+) slowed way down in 2H (87) and then starred in the postseason (188). Great contact quality, needs to hone plate approach.
$3-$5 15 Mark Vientos 3B 526.3 1.16 Couldn’t repeat his breakout from 2024, rebounded a bit in 2H ’25. Contact quality looks good and strikeout rate dropped 5 points.
$3-$5 16 Yoán Moncada 3B 393.3 1.13 Big contact quality improvements in 2025 came at the cost of a slightly lower contact rate. The big question is if he can stay healthy.
$3-$5 17 Royce Lewis 3B 490.2 1.12 Is he healthy? If he is, is he the guy who posted a 152 wRC+ in 2023 or an 85 wRC+ in ’25?
$3-$5 18 Noelvi Marte 3B/OF 475.3 1.09 Looked pretty good after returning from PED suspension in July. Plate approach leaves a lot to be desired.
$3-$5 19 Miguel Vargas 1B/3B 558.6 1.07 Earned a shot at full-time at-bats and delivered a solid season with a good plate approach and decent contact quality.
$1-$2 20 Miguel Andujar 3B/OF 399.6 1.13 What a weird career arc. Huge 2H in 2025 was likely BABIP fueled (.413 BABIP w/ Cincinnati) but that comes with his aggressive, contact-oriented approach.
$1-$2 21 Matt Shaw 3B 438.1 1.08 Up-and-down rookie season in 2025 and now it doesn’t look like he has a spot in the starting lineup with Bregman in town.
$1-$2 22 Otto Kemp 1B/3B/OF 365.8 1.08 Really solid contact quality, really poor plate approach. Also on the short side of a platoon in Philadelphia.
$1-$2 23 Connor Norby 3B 439.4 1.03 Injuries took a toll on him in 2025, but had a really intriguing debut back in ’24. Contact rate needs to improve to maintain any sort of success.
$1-$2 24 Nolan Arenado 3B 538.6 1.01 Offense cratered in 2025. Too much elevated contact without enough quality to do real damage. Maybe we’ll see a dead cat bounce now that he’s been traded to Arizona.
$1-$2 25 Josh Jung 3B 485.0 1.01 Injuries have derailed what had been a promising start to his career. Contact quality improved in 2025 and the contact rate jumped nearly 6 points, but still too aggressive with his approach.
$1-$2 26 Ryan McMahon 3B 560.0 1.01 Contact quality has been excellent but it’s really hard to survive with a strikeout rate over 30%. Probably on the strong side of a platoon in New York.
$0-$1 27 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 1B/3B 272.4 1.03
$0-$1 28 Nate Eaton 3B/OF 297.6 1.02
$0 29 Justin Turner 1B/3B 405.4 1.06
$0 30 Kyle Karros 3B 315.5 0.98
$0 31 Jeimer Candelario 1B/3B 351.6 0.95
$0 32 Will Wagner 1B/3B 221.0 0.94
$0 33 Jose Miranda 3B 346.7 0.94
$0 34 Abraham Toro 1B/3B 325.5 0.92
$0 35 Oswaldo Cabrera 3B 220.4 0.89
$0 36 Brady House 3B 393.8 0.88
$0 37 Gio Urshela 3B 258.1 0.88
$0 38 Deyvison De Los Santos 1B/3B 336.0 0.87
$0 39 Ke’Bryan Hayes 3B 443.1 0.85
$0 40 Nacho Alvarez Jr. 3B 258.4 0.84
$0 41 Ben Williamson 3B 314.0 0.83

Chad Young’s 3B Tiered Rankings for 4×4 Ottoneu

Tampa Bay Rays third baseman <a href=

This list might have caused me more consternation than any other (important note: I haven’t looked at SP yet and that one is always painful). There are question marks up and down the rankings and the number of players who look like they could be sure-fire, high-quality starters but could also be high-risk busts is really high. Is the position deep? Is it shallow? Is it going to be easy to find a third basemen or will we all be dreading lineup decisions by May?

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Third Base ADP Market Report: 1/31/2026

As we hit the beginning of draft season, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can read all the Market Reports here.

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Corner Infield Episode w/ Mike Gianella

The Corner Infield episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Mike Gianella

Strategy Section

  • Multi-positional eligible players
    • Importance & use
    • Should you make a “do not draft” list?
    • Target multi-positional players? Or is it simply a tie-breaker?
    • How to value players who are expected to gain additional positional eligibility early on in the season?
  • Colorado Rockies nostalgia
  • Shallow vs. Deep positions
    • What is the weakest position this draft season?
  • Narrow vs. Wide positions
  • Corner Infielders
    • General player pool observations
    • Which statistics should you look to draft from the CI position?

ATC Undervalued Corner Infielders

Injury Update

 

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Chad Young’s Ottoneu Tiered 3B Rankings Follow Up

Jose Ramirez (11) hits a RBI single in the fourth inning against the Detroit Tigers during game three of the Wildcard round for the 2025 MLB playoffs at Progressive Field.
Credit: Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

Long weekends are great for quick family trips, maybe some skiing, perhaps just a little extra rest, or the rare Sunday night out. But they are not great for keeping up the pace of rankings articles! Nothing on Monday! Short week! The deadline is coming! But never fear, we are still on track, and today I follow up my third base rankings for 4×4 with a look at all the other Ottoneu formats.

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Third Base ADP Market Report: 12/27/2025

As we hit the beginning of draft season, it is important to monitor where players are being drafted on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day. You can read all the Market Reports here.

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Ottoneu: Jake’s 2026 Keep or Cut Decisions at CI and C

Credit: Eric Hartline-Imagn Images

The Ottoneu keeper deadline is quickly approaching. There’s about a month and a half left to make your roster decisions before the January 31 cut deadline. Over the next few weeks, I’ll be going through a handful of difficult keep or cut decisions at every position group. I’ll start with the four infield positions this week and move on to the outfield and pitchers next week.

Bryce Harper, 1B
Salary: $49, $42
Average Salary: $45
2025 P/G: 6.25
Projected 2026 P/G: 6.45

While Bryce Harper probably isn’t going to hit like he’s one of the top 5 batters in baseball again, he’s still extremely productive as he enters his age-33 season in 2026. A wrist injury in June cost him about a month of the ‘25 season and he’s averaged a little under 130 games played per season over the last five years. While he might not be an iron man, he’s been productive while he’s on the field, putting up a 146 wRC+ during that same five year period. His batted ball peripherals all looked in line with his career norms; his 47.5% hard hit rate and 12.3% barrel rate both look good and his .368 xwOBA was right in line with his actual results on the field.

While his strikeout and walk rates look good on the surface, there are a few yellow flags in his underlying plate discipline stats. His chase rate has significantly jumped over the last few years and it was up to 36.0% in 2025, the second highest mark of his career. He’s being forced to hunt for pitches out of the zone because pitchers simply refuse to give him anything to hit. Since winning his MVP award in 2021, he’s seen the fewest pitches in the strike zone of any batter in baseball by a pretty wide margin. This year, his zone rate was just 42.9%, the lowest in the majors and three points lower than the guy right ahead of him.

Steamer is predicting a bit of a bounce back season for Harper in 2026, though it’s mostly fueled by a jump in BABIP. He’s at the age where power starts waning a bit and the projections see him essentially holding his power numbers steady next year. I guess that’s what worries me. Harper has already slipped a bit from his peak and he’s not getting any younger (no matter how many weird blood procedures he wants to try). If you’re paying a premium in the hopes that he’ll get back to his MVP caliber seasons, you’re likely going to be disappointed.

Keep or cut?

I think Harper’s current average salary of $45 is reasonable for the projected production you’re hoping to get from him in 2026. Like with any aging slugger, there’s some risk involved in paying that much for the downslope of a career. I’m keeping at $42 and I’m shopping my $49 Harper, hoping to pass the buck for that decision to someone else.

Willson Contreras, 1B
Salary: $15, $14
Average Salary: $14
2025 P/G: 5.24
Projected 2026 P/G: 5.14

Now that Willson Contreras finally lost his catcher eligibility, he’s lost a ton of his fantasy value. A catcher who can put up 5.2 P/G is quite useful — just six other catchers surpassed that mark in 2025 — but a 5.2 P/G first baseman is quite another matter. Fifteen other first basemen surpassed that mark this year and eighteen are projected to be better than that in 2026. Instead of being a top tier option at catcher, Contreras is now a third or fourth tier option at first base.

To be fair, his batted ball peripherals all looked good during his first full season out from behind the plate. The biggest reason why his overall value took a hit in 2025 was because his walk rate dropped nearly five points, down to 7.8%. There was nothing amiss in his underlying plate discipline metrics; his chase rate, contact rate, and swing rates all looked normal. The biggest difference, then, was a higher rate of pitches seen in the zone — the highest zone rate of his career — and a corresponding increase in called strikes seen.

Steamer sees a bounce back in walk rate next year, but his BABIP takes a hit, leading to an overall projection a little worse than what he accomplished in 2025. I don’t have any qualms with the projection — it seems like it’s pretty reasonable — so my issue is with his positional eligibility. Right now, I’ve got him ranked in the same tier as Kyle Manzardo, Spencer Torkelson, and Christian Walker. Each of those players is useful in their own way, but I wouldn’t be comfortable with any of them as my primary first baseman in 2026.

Keep or cut?

I’m cutting both of my shares of Contreras. Paying up to $10 for him in next year’s auction is probably reasonable, but getting up to the mid-teens seems like an overpay.

Alec Bohm, 1B/3B
Salary: $11, $9
Average Salary: $11
2025 P/G: 4.66
Projected 2026 P/G: 4.90

An abysmal first month of the season is bringing down Alec Bohm’s overall numbers from 2025. From May 1 through the end of the season, he posted a .308/.356/.453 slash line, good for a 124 wRC+ and 5.4 P/G.

That’s the kind of production we’ve been expecting to see from Bohm since his exciting debut back in 2020. The unfortunate thing about his excellent finish to the season is that it wasn’t really fueled by a change in any underlying batted ball metrics. He was the same hitter he’s always been, just really unlucky for the first month of the season and then a little luckier than normal over the next five months.

So which version of Bohm can we count on in 2026? Probably the same one we’ve come to know over the last few years — the same one who posted around 5.0 P/G in 2023 and ‘24. That’s a useful corner infielder, but not necessarily a high quality starting option. That’s what Steamer sees as the most likely outcome. If there’s one thing to latch onto as a source of hope, it’s that he ran the highest contact rate of his career this year. With his above average hard hit rate, putting the ball in play more often should lead to more positive results. Unfortunately, his ceiling is capped by how often he puts the ball on the ground and his correspondingly low barrel rate. Unless he can make a significant adjustment to start lofting the ball more often, his hot streak from the second half of this season will likely be the best version of Bohm we’ll see.

Keep or cut?

I’m really on the fence about Bohm. He fits better as a third baseman where the pool is a lot shallower than at first base but the roster where I have him rostered for $9 already has third base covered by José Ramírez. I’m not sure I want to keep him at $11 either, but that’s probably about what he’s going to be auctioned for if I end up cutting him. I think it’ll ultimately come down to my salary cap situation on both teams — if there’s room to roster a premium bench CI, then Bohm seems keepable. If not, he’ll end up a casualty of being good enough without a high potential ceiling to boost his value.

Adley Rutschman, C
Salary: $30
Average Salary: $21
2025 P/G: 3.79
Projected 2026 P/G: 5.03

I have no idea what to do with Adley Rutschman. To be fair, I don’t think the Orioles know what to do with him either. He had such a promising start to his career and then suddenly collapsed partway through the 2024 season. There was some hope that an offseason would help him get healthy for this year and he’d find a way to bounce back. That obviously didn’t happen. He suffered through two separate oblique strains, and even when he was healthy, he wasn’t producing at the plate.

The weird thing is that his underlying batted ball metrics aren’t out of whack, his plate discipline is still excellent, but he simply isn’t seeing the results that he enjoyed during his first two seasons in the big leagues. Some of that is a dramatic drop from his BABIP but it’s also a deterioration of his plate approach. His strikeout and walk rates aren’t affected, but his ability to hunt for pitches to do damage against has diminished over the last two years — his SEAGER dropped from 21.1 during his rookie campaign to 11.6 in 2025.

Steamer sees a pretty significant bounce back from Rutschman in 2026, but the projection has hedged against his ceiling based on his struggles these past two years. Like I mentioned with Contreras above, just seven catchers crossed the 5.0 P/G threshold this year. If Rutschman can get back to that level of production, he’ll be one of the best hitting catchers in baseball. There’s so much risk in paying for that projection knowing that he’s been a below average catcher for a season and a half now.

Keep or cut?

I’m obviously cutting at $30. That’s simply far too expensive for any catcher unless his name is Cal Raleigh. I’d be open to keeping Rutschman around $15, but even at that high a salary, you really need him to figure things out next year and hit his projection.


Welcome To the Bigs, Matt Shaw

Matt Shaw throws a baseball from third base.
Credit: Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images

Three nights before the first game of the 2025 MLB season in Tokyo, the Cubs played the Angels in a Spring Breakout game in Arizona. Those in attendance got to see Angels top pitching prospect Caden Dana struggle to make it out of the first inning, Cubs outfield hopeful Kevin Alcántara slug a home run, and 21-year-old catcher Moises Ballesteros leg out a double. Matt Shaw was not there.

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The Market and Me 2025: Comparing My 3B Ranks to ADP

An image of Jace Jung sliding on a baseball field holding his hand out
Credit: Peter Aiken-Imagn Images

Two things can happen when your opinions differ from the fantasy baseball internet majority. One, you prove to be right and get to “Nah-nah, nah-nah, boo-boo!” all over the place. Or two, you look foolish in front of all your computer friends and have to live with them, not being mad, just disappointed. This time last year I wrote the first episode of The Market and Me and will forever have to live with being higher on Patrick Wisdom than most. He finished 2024 as the 75th-best third baseman at -$32.40. Wisdom wasn’t the only one. Anthony Rendon finished even worse at -$35.40, the 88th-best third baseman in 2024. I was “higher” on both of those players than the market, but the market didn’t have to “rank” 40+ third basemen. I wasn’t necessarily high on Wisdom and Rendon, they were at the very bottom of my ranks. Still, they fell far outside of the imaginary line you can draw through the blue points that make up the relationship between ADP and my rank order, like the way Matt Shaw and Justin Turner do below. The “Market and Me” is an exercise in analyzing my own rankings, looking for where I may need to correct, where I may need to erase and re-order, and where I may plant my flag in the ground.

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