Chad Young’s C Tiered Rankings for 4×4 Ottoneu

New York Yankees first baseman Ben Rice hits an RBI single in the sixth inning  against the Toronto Blue Jays during game three of the ALDS round for the 2025 MLB playoffs at Yankee Stadium.
Credit: Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images

As we continue our race against time (gotta get these in before you need to make final cut decisions!), Jake and I will turn our attention to catcher today and tomorrow. Catcher has been a weird position the last few years. Traditionally a weak fantasy position, it has gotten a lot stronger. But every year around this time, I feel like it is deeper than ever and every September, I look back at a slew of disappointments. And yes, it is deeper than it used to be, but that doesn’t mean it is all that great.

(If you want, you can skip the intro and my thoughts on the position, and go right to the rankings. As a reminder, my process and a long FAQ on my rankings can be found in my rankings preview.)

I talked about that same phenomenon in last year’s catcher rankings, so this isn’t new, and my strategy hasn’t changed a ton, to be honest. I still want to have a reliable catcher on every roster, but this year my focus will be less on a “top five” type catcher and more on that word “reliable.”

If you look at my top 10 below, you see some names that certainly are reliable (Cal Raleigh at #1 comes to mind), but there are also a lot of catchers who are riskier in that group. Ivan Herrera isn’t all that well established and even Ben Rice has a limited track record, as good as he looks.

As a result, I am considering floor more heavily than ever in terms of finding one of my two catchers. For me, this means that if I go after Rice or Herrera as my planned top catcher, I am more likely to go after someone I am confident will play regularly and be at least somewhat decent with my second spot. Two years ago, I was too willing to trust breakouts and waited on catcher, and it often bit me. Last year, too often I chased upside and so even if I spent on catchers, I had a lot of boom-or-bust, and too often, they busted.

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This year, the plan is to pair upside with floor. If that doesn’t seem like a groundbreaking strategy, that’s because it isn’t. But it hasn’t seemed necessary at catcher, where the perceived depth at the position made it appear you could find catcher production when you needed it.

I shared this in the Ottoneu Slack community a couple of weeks ago, and it is sticking with me as I prep for cuts and auctions. Another member of the community, @Henry, noted that there are 20 catchers projected by Steamer for positive offensive fWAR in 2026. That seems great and suggests that there are catchers out there to be had. But looking back, I found this:

Going into 2025, there were 24 catchers projected for positive offensive fWAR per Steamer. Last year in MLB there were 15 C who posted positive offensive fWAR in 200+ PA. I remember feeling GREAT about catcher at this time last year and thinking things would be awesome and then they weren’t bad, but they weren’t as good as I hoped.

All of this to say – catcher looks deep! Catcher looks like a position you can find production cheaply and easily! But this isn’t new and it hasn’t worked out how we hoped the last couple of years, so be prepared for that probable (or at least possible) outcome again. Attrition at catcher do to injury or exhaustion or just poor performance is high.

Now that I have given my warnings, let’s look at my Ottoneu 4×4 tiered rankings for catcher!

4×4 C Rankings for Ottoneu

 

Chad Young’s Ottoneu 4×4 C Tiers
Tier Rank Player Pos Notes
$28-$35 1 Cal Raleigh C I have Cal as my C1 but I think I’m likely low on him relative to the market. But not low enough for him not to be the obvious #1.
$21-$27 2 Ben Rice C/1B In other Ottoneu points formats, projections favor Rice over Raleigh, but he’s not close in 4×4. Rice belongs in this tier, but Raleigh could almost be another tier up. Almost.
$15-$20 3 William Contreras C Didn’t lose much in terms of HH% or EV but barrel way down. Closed his stance, caught the ball a little later, seems to have helped vs offspeed stuff but cost him his power.
$15-$20 4 Shea Langeliers C Love what Shea did and I really wrestled with him vs Contreras before deciding Contreras could fix his issues. Plus, Contreras is the best option if you want OBP; Langeliers is more like a mini-Raleigh/Rice.
$15-$20 5 Hunter Goodman C I had him below Smith and a tier down in an early draft but literally every projection I look at wants me to push him up higher, so, fine. Computers, you win. Happy now? Of course not, you are a computer.
$15-$20 6 Will Smith C Does this feel low? This feels low. The projection says it’s not low but it feels low.
$10-$14 7 Iván Herrera C By projections, he could be C3 or at least in that third tier. I am not ready to fully buy-in to that, but he is an OBP machine for the position.
$10-$14 8 Alejandro Kirk C Kirk is a safer bet than Baldwin or Alvarez if you’re playing in this tier, but I don’t think he has the same upside.
$10-$14 9 Drake Baldwin C Promise me enough PA and I’ll move him up, but I think he’ll still be in a pretty heavy timeshare.
$10-$14 10 Adley Rutschman C He projects right around here, maybe a little lower. We know what he is capable of, and that is keeping me from dropping him a tier, but the projections are pretty optimistic vs. his last two seasons.
$6-$9 11 Agustín Ramírez C For all the excitement around him, he was more potential than production in 2025.
$6-$9 12 Francisco Alvarez C Catchers sometimes develop slowly and he’s now 24, coming off an excellent (if short) season, and has elite offensive pedigree.
$6-$9 13 Samuel Basallo C/1B I am sure I will take some flak for putting him behind Alvarez and Agustin, but track record and clarity on their roles keep them up a bit.
$6-$9 14 Salvador Perez C/1B Someone will eventually get stuck holding the bag on Salvy, but his bat speed is still steady. If you are only concerned with 2026, he can move up into the top 10, maybe even top 7 or so, but the age risk and lack of long-term upside matter to me here.
$6-$9 15 Gabriel Moreno C Four years of pretty steady wOBA, but his low power output and general lack of counting stats hurts him more here than in FGPTs.
$6-$9 16 Yainer Diaz C I wrestled with him vs. Moreno for a long time – it comes down to whether you want OBP from Moreno or little more pop from Diaz.
$3-$5 17 Carter Jensen C Playing time will be a question as long as Salvy is around, but double-digit walk rates with 20 HR power from a C is pretty fun to dream on.
$3-$5 18 Ryan Jeffers C He’s been consistently solid, but the power outage last year is at least a little concerning. He projects up a tier from here, but that is with 18 HR.
$3-$5 19 Moisés Ballesteros C Ballesteros didn’t get a ton of run in 2025, but he demonstrated good command of the zone and solid contact quality for a catcher.
$3-$5 20 Kyle Teel C The BABIP is going to come down and he will need to show more power to make up for that and remain a viable starting C in fantasy.
$3-$5 21 Austin Wells C The highs were high, but the lows were low. I still like his upside enough to hve debated moving him further up this tier.
$1-$2 22 Sean Murphy C How much has that hip issue been bothering him? If that was really what hurt his offense, and he is healthy in 2026, this ranking will be too low and Baldwin’s will be too high. He’s also the rare catcher this far down who doesn’t hurt you in any of the four categories.
$1-$2 23 J.T. Realmuto C He’ll be 35 by Opening Day, really struggled in 2025, and saw a big drop in bat speed. Plus, the park and lineup may take a big hit.
$1-$2 24 Dillon Dingler C His glove will keep him in the lineup and his xwOBA in 2025 was even stronger than his (not-bad-at-all) wOBA, but the park won’t help and he’s very reliant on BABIP as he doesn’t walk much and doesn’t have much power.
$1-$2 25 Harry Ford C I am not sure there is enough pop in the bat, but he’ll get a real shot this year, so we’ll find out.
$0-$1 26 Logan O’Hoppe C It won’t be as bad as last year, but even a bounce back to around his career numbers isn’t worth much and only really provides value with HR.
$0-$1 27 Josue Briceño C/1B Really borders on a “must-roster” for me, as the tools are all there, but wasn’t as good in AA and catcher isn’t a big need in Detroit.
$0-$1 28 Tyler Stephenson C Some of his projections are below replacement level, but he was excellent in 2024 and part of me thinks we should just throw out 2025. But only a small part of me.
$0-$1 29 Bo Naylor C Second half he pulled the ball more, made more hard contact, K’d less, and almost got to a 100 wRC+ despite a still very low BABIP. Team says September was a swing change finally bearing fruit.
$0-$1 30 Dalton Rushing C Give him 100 games and 15ish HR with his projected rates, and you have a $2 catcher, which isn’t THAT exciting and is also probably 2-3x more than we should expect from him.
$0-$1 31 Alfredo Duno C Potentially special bat who is still too far away for me to feel like I HAVE to roster him.
$0-$1 32 Carson Kelly C I think he will still be useful vs. LHP but that profile has limited value in 4×4.
$0-$1 33 Edgar Quero C There has been some chatter about Quero (or Teel) playing another spot to stay in the lineup, but is the bat so good that the Sox need to do that?
$0-$1 34 Luis Campusano C He had that one good year and late breakouts from catchers aren’t unheard of!
$0-$1 35 Henry Davis C I am at least a little curious to see what he looks like given some real playing time.
$0-$1 36 Carlos Nárvaez C It will only take a small amount of regression in a few areas (batted ball results, K-rate stand out) for him to fall below replacement level.
$0-$1 37 Joey Bart C His 2025 doesn’t look super sustainable to me, and the Pirates have options to replace him.
$0 38 Victor Caratini C/1B Seems to hit whenever he plays, but where/when will that be?
$0 39 Gary Sánchez C Seems to hit whenever he plays, but where/when will that be?
$0 40 Patrick Bailey C He will play, which means he will get PA, and that is the nicest thing I can say about his offense.
$0 41 Danny Jansen C Jansen will probably be about replacement level when he plays, but how many games are you counting on?
$0 42 Mitch Garver C Just don’t think he has it anymore.
$0 43 Keibert Ruiz C It’s just not gonna happen, is it?
$0 44 Jeferson Quero C He should be ready and he is potentially interesting but there is no space for him and catcher prospects are always iffy.
$0 45 Ike Irish Util Reports are it’s a legitimately interesting bat, but far less so if he doesn’t stick behind the plate.
$0 46 Pedro Pagés C He’s on the roster so Ivan Herrera can focus on hitting.
$0 47 Endy Rodriguez C/1B Let’s see how he looks in February and March.
$0 48 Ethan Salas Util He still hasn’t hit above A-ball (not even High-A) and while he is still young enough to maybe look past that, injuries are becoming a concern, as well.
$0 49 Miguel Amaya C Curious what his time-share with Kelly looks like; I think Kelly vs. LHP is more interesting/valuable than Amaya.
$0 50 Connor Wong C I don’t think his 2025 was a huge surprise.
$0 51 Rainiel Rodriguez C Too far away, even having hit pretty well. Would be too young at almost any position but especially at C.
$0 52 Eduardo Tait C Really young still, and hasn’t demonstrated the kind of elite upside bat I would want to see to buy into a catcher prospect this early.
$0 53 Diego Cartaya C He could easily be lower but I still recognize the name so I am keeping him up here.
$0 54 Travis d’Arnaud C I am not into 37 year old catchers.
$0 55 Jonah Heim C Hasn’t produced and isn’t signed.
$0 56 Yohel Pozo C If he makes the roster, it will just be so that Herrera can DH and be the backup catcher – which means his biggest fantasy impact might be costing Herrera eligibility.
$0 57 Freddy Fermin C Just a glove.





A long-time fantasy baseball veteran and one of the creators of ottoneu, Chad Young's writes for RotoGraphs and PitcherList, and can be heard on the ottobot podcast. You can follow him on Twitter @chadyoung.

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