Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.
Forgot we have the 2 DHs after yesterday’s rainouts so it’s Webb/Sanchez (both easy must starts, of course) followed by Painter/Houser and then McCullers/Bassitt lead off the HOU/BAL one with yesterday’s matchup, Lambert (2-x yesterday)/Young, in the nightcap. Sanchez is 2nd to Skenes, Webb is between Woodruff & Valdez.
Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.
I moved the intro down to the bottom so daily readers don’t have to wade through it. Going forward, I’m going to start cutting myself off on notes around 11:30 CT, aiming for a midnight first run deadline and then updates in the AM if I have more to add (sometimes I can’t even start until 11p, so those would likely be light on notes until the morning). I will still always stay in the comments if y’all have questions. I know some of y’all use this for overnight waivers in daily moves leagues so a more regular post time will help that contingent, too.
Ace day with several studs lined up to go, including five toting sub-3.00 ERAs.
Webb’s looking better in his last 2, not that I’d be sitting him if they weren’t that great… he’s just not someone I’m going to overreact with even the early skills degradation. It’s not stubborn for stubborn sake, it’s trusting the lengthy track record over 6 starts.
In fact, Eovaldi is a good example of a stud who has poor results but isn’t going anywhere for me. Maybe for someone with his injury history, I might sit him more aggressively if the velo was cratered and spin off kilter, but that isn’t the case (velo’s actually up .5 mph which isn’t meaningful, just pointing out that isn’t not even down at all, let alone alarmingly). His 16% K-BB is a little light but still 14% SwStr and 6% BB… the Ks will come, they’re just clocking him before he can get there and the 26% HR/FB rate will subside.
Williams has a crazy line. He’s still walking the yard, more so in fact (13% BB) and his HRs are worse than last year (1.5 HR9) but they’re counterbalanced by a .192 BABIP/85% LOB rate. He’s like the inverse of Eovaldi. As he regresses, his good numbers will funnel over to Eovaldi, who deserves them. That’s just how it works! (I’m half-joking… of course, their performances are independent of each other, but I do believe in those trajectories.)
The sinker effectiveness has notably declined for Sandy in his last three starts after dominating in the first three. Is that just seasonal ebbs and flows that looks worse because it’s three up and then three down or is it indicative of pending trouble? I don’t have an answer just yet, but I’m seeing him through this start and next week’s 2-step before altering his status. If the sinker from his first three doesn’t show up in any of the next three, he might dip toward a Team Streamer.
Don’t fumble this, Cavalli… just 3 ER in his last two (9 IP) with 15 Ks against 0 BB and a chance to stay hot against one of the coldest teams going in the Mets.
Lambert’s got 8 punchies in each of his first two starts since returning stateside and now gets a tough test in Baltimore that I’m really eager to watch and see how he handles it. He was one of those prospects I first wished could get out of Colorado and then just wished he could stay healthy. If this goes well, I might get silly with his LAD/at CIN 2-step next week… miiiight.
BTW, I’m now tracking wOBA over the last 14 days on my little sheet where I put everything together each night (I’ll eventually expand to L30 when we get more sample going) to get an idea of who is running hot/cold off their season mark. Nothing that really moves the needle today… Sproat and Sugano getting a bit spicier versions of ARI and CIN, respectively, and four guys getting worse performing offenses but none of them actionable with two Aces (Glasnow/Webb) we were already starting everywhere and two non-factors (Pallante/Peterson) who aren’t elevated enough by improved matchups.
Elmer Rodríguez is an interesting prospect for the Yankees, slotting 53rd in the Top 100, so I’m definitely watching him but I want to see one before slotting him in anywhere.
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions. Read the rest of this entry »
I’ll be in the comments answering questions and discussing changes!
Focus more on tier differences that rankings differences within a given tier. Sure, the top and bottom of a tier can be discussed, but 7-10 rankings within the same tier isn’t a huge split to me and comparing them would likely come down to short-term matchups.
Changes (won’t appear on the boards below):
Peter Lambert – HOU – Team Streamer #91 – got knocked off during an edit when I was digging in a previous version on Sheets, thinking I was only changing some of the header text. I’ve got him at the very end of the Team Streamer tier, ranking 91st. Let’s see how this trip to Baltimore goes this week but then a LAD/at CIN 2-step next week is scary for pitchers way better than Lambert so it’s far from a must-start. If we see another 8 punchies, I might mess around and run him in my Main Event but I would at least keep him even though benching a 2-step is usually grounds for roster removal (the idea being “if you’re not going to use them in a 2-step, are they really worth it?” but there are exceptions, IMO). He lines up for TEX and at MIN the following weeks after the 2-step.
Ace
The cream of the crop. The pitchers who never come out of the rotation regardless of matchup.
These guys are essentially fantasy aces in their own right. Cutting them would take months (barring injury) and benching would be remarkably rare (waning skills for multiple starts + inj. concern could result in skipping a start)
Splitting hairs a bit here, but this is a smaller group between must starts and team streamers. You’re looking for reasons to start them and need a very strong reason to bench them.
These are elevated streamers where you don’t necessarily run every start, but they hit the bench when they’re not playing because they’re too talented to throw back on the wire.
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions. Read the rest of this entry »
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
Note: 2026 data is now featured in the chart as of April 13th! We’re still dealing with small samples, but I’ve taken out the 2025 data and you will now see the pitcher’s current numbers and the wOBA rank for their opponent this year so far!
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations, you don’t really need a shiny stat to be convinced on starting guys like that. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment and I’ll get you an answer when I can. I try to do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
Note: 2026 data is now featured in the chart as of April 13th! We’re still dealing with small samples, but I’ve taken out the 2025 data and you will now see the pitcher’s current numbers and the wOBA rank for their opponent this year so far!
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations, you don’t really need a shiny stat to be convinced on starting guys like that. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment and I’ll get you an answer when I can. I try to do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
