Starting Pitcher Chart – June 16th, 2026
- Daily SP Chart archive
- 2-Start podcast episode
- SP Rankings (last update: 6/5 | next: July)
Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.
Afternoon updates:
- Senga coming off the IL and Scott headed on it (hip). Don’t start Senga until we see something and probably 2-3 good starts worth of that “something”
- Rasmussen isn’t risk-free at LAD but he’s just too good for me to be concerned by his matchups
- Commenter TJ brought up some King concerns for 10-teamers and it’s not completely unfounded with a 6.45 ERA/1.39 WHIP in his L4 starts but I’m not totally off him based on this run. ATH and WAS got to him the most, allowing 9 ER in 9.3 IP. ATH beat him straight up, but 4 of the 5 at WAS came in the 7th inning of what had been a solid start to that point (outside of the meager 2 Ks). He went 6 IP/4 ER v. NYM which falls shy of a QS but certainly isn’t a terrible outing. And then his most recent was 6.7 IP/3 ER v. CIN. Despite the ERA, I love that he’s gone 6+ in 3 of the 4. I will concede he’s not a must-start in 10s given the lighter skills (12% K-BB) compared to his recent years and a .246 BABIP that is rife for some more regression, but he remains startable against an OK Cardinals lineup. I do think 10-team managers have to think deeply about the ATL/LAD 2-step he’s set up for next week as they could get that BABIP regression going in earnest. Coming back around on this to say I’m convinced to drop King a bit after another “bleh” outing (4.3 IP/3 ER/8 BR/1 K)… in fact “bleh” is taking him off the hook a bit, it was bad. He’ll now be in the 1-2x range depending on matchup and that 2-step next week now becomes a potential cut point for 10-teamers since I can’t imagine you’d want to use it. Good call, TJ!
- Holmes is more of a Wins chase and with SFG’s recent offensive surge, I downgraded him to 1-x.
- I want to love Perkins and even picked him up in my Main Event league on June 7th but it’s been tough to confidently start him. I didn’t even consider Vegas last week and then labored on this week’s 2-step — both at home — before eventually slotting him in. I’d likely skip this in daily moves leagues before jumping in this weekend against LAA.
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Starting Pitcher Chart June 16th
| Rk | PITCHER | Team | Opponent | T | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K% | K-BB | OPP K% | opp wOBA RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drew Rasmussen | TBR | at LAD | R | x | x | x | 73 | 2.71 | 0.88 | 27% | 23% | 20% | 1 |
| 2 | Dylan Cease | TOR | at BOS | R | x | x | x | 68 | 2.91 | 1.16 | 37% | 27% | 23% | 27 |
| 3 | Jesús Luzardo | PHI | v. MIA | L | x | x | x | 78.2 | 4.35 | 1.33 | 26% | 19% | 24% | 14 |
| 4 | Gerrit Cole | NYY | v. CHW | R | x | x | x | 22 | 2.45 | 1.05 | 20% | 13% | 24% | 11 |
| 5 | Payton Tolle | BOS | v. TOR | L | x | x | x | 53.1 | 2.70 | 1.05 | 25% | 19% | 21% | 26 |
| 6 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | v. BAL | R | x | x | x | 79.2 | 3.62 | 1.08 | 26% | 20% | 23% | 7 |
| 7 | Michael King | SDP | at STL | R | x | x | x | 80.2 | 3.46 | 1.15 | 22% | 12% | 23% | 16 |
| 8 | Framber Valdez | DET | at HOU | L | x | x | x | 77.2 | 4.40 | 1.34 | 18% | 9% | 20% | 7 |
| 9 | Justin Wrobleski | LAD | v. TBR | L | x | x | x | 73.1 | 2.95 | 1.05 | 15% | 10% | 18% | 20 |
| 10 | Reid Detmers | LAA | at ARI | L | x | x | x | 81 | 4.00 | 1.05 | 29% | 22% | 17% | 5 |
| 11 | Davis Martin | CHW | at NYY | R | x | x | x | 78.1 | 2.41 | 1.10 | 25% | 20% | 23% | 6 |
| 12 | Foster Griffin | WSN | v. KCR | L | x | x | x | 78 | 3.46 | 1.09 | 23% | 17% | 20% | 23 |
| 13 | Hunter Brown | HOU | v. DET | R | x | x | x | 10.2 | 0.84 | 1.03 | 40% | 26% | 23% | 17 |
| 14 | NYM | at CIN | R | 40.2 | 3.10 | 1.35 | 26% | 16% | 24% | 23 | ||||
| 15 | Brandon Young | BAL | at SEA | R | x | x | x | 56.1 | 3.04 | 1.24 | 18% | 10% | 23% | 4 |
| 16 | Zebby Matthews | MIN | at TEX | R | x | x | x | 36.1 | 5.20 | 1.18 | 20% | 14% | 22% | 20 |
| 17 | Merrill Kelly | ARI | v. LAA | R | x | x | x | 64.1 | 5.46 | 1.45 | 13% | 4% | 25% | 22 |
| 18 | Michael Wacha | KCR | at WSN | R | x | x | 88 | 3.58 | 1.16 | 19% | 12% | 21% | 13 | |
| 19 | Kumar Rocker | TEX | v. MIN | R | x | x | 65.2 | 3.56 | 1.34 | 18% | 9% | 23% | 19 | |
| 20 | Grant Holmes | ATL | v. SFG | R | x | 66.2 | 4.05 | 1.34 | 21% | 10% | 20% | 14 | ||
| 21 | Andre Pallante | STL | v. SDP | R | x | 69.2 | 3.88 | 1.26 | 19% | 10% | 23% | 30 | ||
| 22 | Robert Gasser | MIL | v. CLE | L | x | 18.1 | 6.38 | 1.58 | 22% | 11% | 21% | 15 | ||
| 23 | Edward Cabrera | CHC | v. COL | R | x | 63 | 4.86 | 1.41 | 22% | 13% | 23% | 8 | ||
| 24 | Jack Perkins | ATH | v. PIT | R | x | 36 | 6.25 | 1.36 | 26% | 19% | 22% | 2 | ||
| 25 | Mitch Keller | PIT | at ATH | R | 77 | 5.14 | 1.31 | 18% | 9% | 21% | 12 | |||
| 26 | Brady Singer | CIN | v. NYM | R | 61 | 5.61 | 1.64 | 17% | 10% | 22% | 29 | |||
| 27 | Slade Cecconi | CLE | at MIL | R | 72.2 | 4.83 | 1.44 | 19% | 12% | 21% | 3 | |||
| 28 | Ryan Feltner | COL | at CHC | R | 36.1 | 5.20 | 1.21 | 17% | 9% | 21% | 10 | |||
| 29 | Tyler Phillips | MIA | at PHI | R | 48.1 | 1.86 | 1.30 | 20% | 8% | 23% | 26 | |||
| 30 | Adrian Houser | SFG | at ATL | R | 65 | 5.54 | 1.54 | 16% | 7% | 21% | 5 |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
Intro
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
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Color Coding:
- Green – Good Matchup (so lower OPS output by the pitcher’s opponent)
- Yellow – OK
- Red – Bad
Scott was placed on the IL yesterday, I’m not sure who’s starting for NYM today.
Senga is coming off the IL
Excellent, will fix when I’m home in about 2 hours!
Wind at 10+:
Wrigley – out to R at 16, bump to bats
Sacramento – Out to L center at 10, warm too (86*), good luck Mitch
Rain:
CIN – 19% at 1st pitch, 47% by game’s end, 55% after the game
ATL – 40-60% before, during and after the game
thats some zebby faith! his era estimators are wild
It is and I’m definitely nervous but Texas is a great matchup so I think he’s a good stream today
Been playing with the Baseball Sim in FG Labs (the Lab dropdown above) since discovering it the last few days. At default settings, it has Zebby going 5.72 IP with 5.07 K and 2.57 ER for a 4.05 ERA with a 38% chance of getting the W.
For Zebulon!! 🖖🏻
Hope you’re enjoying Houston!
Had a great time, thanks!!
I think King is a bench in 10T now. Horrible last four weeks aligns with expected regression associated with his low BABIP abs 4+ ERA estimators
Good call! Definitely think he needs to be reassessed and moved down the rankings a bit.