Starting Pitcher Chart – June 11th, 2026

by
June 11, 2026
Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

Justin Wrobleski is still running a tightrope with that 11% K-BB rate, but the ratios remain excellent and of course, being a Dodger puts him in line for a Win every time out as he’s racked up seven so far. Pittsburgh is much worse versus lefties with a 27% K rate that sits 2nd to only Colorado, but can Wrobo take advantage? He has just a 16% K rate, the 4th-lowest mark among qualified starters. He is spamming four-seamers this year with a 51% usage rate, 6th-highest in the game, and it’s down 2 mph to 93.9 mph. Last year he threw even more fastballs, but they were split among four-seamers (29%), sinkers (21%), and cutters (14%). The curve and changeup were show-me pitches last year and remain so this year.

You don’t get a 2.62 ERA with these skills without some “run-hot”. He’s 10th in BABIP (.243) and 1st in HR/FB (4%). Now just because someone is running well in those categories doesn’t mean it’s always pure dumb luck happening to them but there are certain thresholds where the combo of stats just can’t hold without something giving. In this case, I do think Wrobo’s ERA will be headed upward, I’m just not sure it starts tomorrow given Pittsburgh’s struggles with southpaws. I have him as a Team Streamer with only scary matchup in the near future. From here, he’s lined up for v. TBR, at MIN, and at ATH. The first two are bottom half wOBAs v. lefties but ATH is 5th overall and 1st at home. I’d strongly consider skipping that one.

  • I’m still not totally sold on Zebby with his 1.5 HR9 but he has 4 QS in 5 starts. The fifth was a 7 ER Dud, though, and that’s my concern with him. It’s a wide range of outcomes, but enough good to start earning a little more trust.
  • I had some interest in Dobbins at times last year with Boston and I’m happy to see him back starting after some strong extended RP outings.
  • Feltner and Cabrera are going to burn me for even looking for upside in Coors. Maybe I’m overreacting to Wednesday’s 3-2 game. By the way, COL is going for the sweep! Feltner has been outright awesome of late with a pair of 6 IP gems since returning while Cabrera had a brutal return off the IL with 8 ER
  • Montero could be making his last start for a bit with Skubal, Mize, and Verlander on the verge of returning.
  • Pérez has bee a revelation for the Braves (3.02 ERA/1.06 WHIP) but this is a risky matchup with the sweet swinging White Sox on tap.
  • Kelly’s full season stats stinks but his 4.18 ERA/1.14 WHIP over the L30 days are more indicative of who we can expect him to be going forward now that he appears fully healthy.
  • Phillips is a pure matchup play if you want to take advantage of ARI. Don’t get enamored with the 2.08 ERA, the 1.36 WHIP will ensure that heads upward.

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Starting Pitcher Chart June 11th
Rk PITCHER Team Opponent T 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K% K-BB OPP K% opp wOBA RK
1 Bryan Woo SEA at BAL R x x x 77 3.74 1.00 25% 20% 23% 6
2 Kyle Bradish BAL v. SEA R x x x 69.1 3.89 1.51 23% 11% 23% 3
3 Justin Wrobleski LAD at PIT L x x x 68.2 2.62 1.00 16% 11% 27% 24
4 Christian Scott NYM v. STL R x x x 36 2.50 1.31 26% 15% 23% 18
5 Michael Wacha KCR v. TEX R x x x 81 3.44 1.14 20% 13% 22% 19
6 Kumar Rocker TEX at KCR R x x 61 3.54 1.33 19% 9% 22% 24
7 Zebby Matthews MIN at DET R x x 30.1 4.15 1.09 21% 15% 23% 23
8 Hunter Dobbins STL at NYM R x x 13 2.77 1.31 26% 13% 22% 29
9 Ryan Feltner COL v. CHC R x x 32 4.22 1.16 18% 10% 21% 9
10 Edward Cabrera CHC at COL R x x 57.2 4.99 1.42 21% 13% 23% 12
11 Keider Montero DET v. MIN R x x 66 3.95 1.03 17% 11% 23% 17
12 Martín Pérez ATL at CHW L x x 56.2 3.02 1.06 21% 12% 24% 3
13 Merrill Kelly ARI at MIA R x x 58.1 5.71 1.49 14% 5% 22% 22
14 Tyler Phillips MIA v. ARI R x 43.1 2.08 1.36 19% 7% 21% 28
15 Mitch Keller PIT v. LAD R 73 4.81 1.23 18% 10% 20% 1
16 Anthony Kay CHW v. ATL L 61.1 4.40 1.45 16% 7% 20% 7
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

Intro

The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

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These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.

Color Coding: 

  • Green – Good Matchup (so lower OPS output by the pitcher’s opponent)
  • Yellow – OK
  • Red – Bad





 

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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AnonMember since 2025
1 month ago

Wind at 10+:

DET – in from R at 10
KCR – out to center at a stout 17, may shift more toward R during the game
Coors – in from R center at 11
CHW – in from R at a stout 20, might shift a bit toward out to L during the game

Rain:

DET – gets up to 20% during the game but single digits both before and after
KCR – 24-31% during the game but single digits before and after
PIT – 26% at the start but decreasing from there
BAL – 30-51% during the game
CHW – storms blow in during the game as it’s 6% just before the game, 59% at 1st pitch, 84% during the game, 41% after the game

5