I have so many questions:
Just a Captain and his sea men 👨🏻✈️👨🏻✈️👨🏻✈️@SFGiants pic.twitter.com/hXrXzeosM5
— Kevin Gausman (@KevinGausman) September 24, 2021
The Final Week Decisions Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.
League Updates
Strategy Section
Injry Guru’s Trivia of the Week
Waiver Wire
Pitcher Preview
Injury Update – Reuven gives us the injury updates.
Housekeeping
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With the season winding down, I wanted to find something that would be useful for those still contending in their leagues. I decided to do something that isn’t particularly new, but we don’t have it here at the site: a starting pitcher chart for the day’s slate of games. I’ll include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.
Obviously these are general recommendations and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. For the weekend, Justin & I will use the Friday podcast to discuss the relevant weekend streamers. By popular demand, these will start coming out the day before the slate in question.
Starting Monday September 20th, I’m loosening my thresholds for streamer gambles. If you are protecting ratios, you should continue to be careful and manage as you see fit, but these recommendations are catering more to a “go-for-it” attitude over these final two weeks.
After more than two days of pouring over pitcher batted ball data, I better write something before I am fired. In the end, I found nothing groundbreaking. Popups and groundballs good… everything else (i.e. line drives and flyballs) is bad. The change I’d recommend going forward is to move to a more granular grading of batted to bins, like barrels, based on outcomes. Read the rest of this entry »
With the season winding down, I wanted to find something that would be useful for those still contending in their leagues. I decided to do something that isn’t particularly new, but we don’t have it here at the site: a starting pitcher chart for the day’s slate of games. I’ll include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.
Let me know what y’all think about this. Obviously these are general recommendations and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. For the weekend, Justin & I will use the Friday podcast to discuss the relevant weekend streamers. By popular demand, these will start coming out the day before the slate in question.
Starting Monday September 20th, I’m loosening my thresholds for streamer gambles. If you are protecting ratios, you should continue to be careful and manage as you see fit, but these recommendations are catering more to a “go-for-it” attitude over these final two weeks.
Transcript is live!
| 1:00 |
: Wooo, welcome to September 222nd!!! |
| 1:03 |
: September 222nd let’s go! |
| 1:03 |
: I see you’re almost cashing in the overall of the ME, bring it home man! |
| 1:03 |
: Sooo close! Would loooove to do it |
| 1:03 |
: I’m a bit nervous about Rake since he’s playing with the finger fracture…do you think he’s an auto start for the last week or are you open to benching him if you have a slightly worse talent on the bench (like La Stella type) |
| 1:04 |
: Definitely open to sitting him for the final week-plus at this point for the same reason. Not a MUUUST start right now |
NEW FEATURE ALERT! We have added an upgraded version of RosterResource’s Closer Depth Chart to FanGraphs. Read more about it here.
We will always include a link to the full Closer Depth Chart at the bottom of the Bullpen Report each day. It’s also accessible from the RosterResource drop-down menu and from any RosterResource page. Please let us know what you think.
The “RosterResource” link will take you to the corresponding team’s RosterResource depth chart, which will give you a better picture of the full bullpen and results of the previous six days (pitch count, save, hold, win, loss, blown save).
Read the rest of this entry »
On the Agenda:
Closer Chaos
Tyler Rogers threw a scoreless inning and assisted in this fantastic double play to finish off the Padres and register the save on Tuesday night:
UNBELIEVABLE DOUBLE PLAY TO WIN THE GAME pic.twitter.com/bxrESu6LjJ
— SF Giants on NBCS (@NBCSGiants) September 22, 2021
There was some speculation the Giants could turn to Dominc Leone or take a committee approach with Jake McGee on the IL and Rogers struggling a bit lately, but it appears clear that Rogers is the guy while McGee is out.
Quick Hits
Seth Beer will have shoulder surgery that will end his season. Beer is a former top prospect that played well in his five games in the Majors this year. He should be ready for the season next year and should compete for a job at first base or DH if the National league adds the designated hitter position in 2022.
Cody Bellinger was placed on the IL with a rib fracture. He was going to try and play through the injury, but the Dodgers are hoping that he can be ready to play in the last week of the season since the move is retroactive to September 18th.
Dylan Carlson left Tuesday’s game with an unknown injury. Carlson had played well in the game and sat during a double switch, so this may be nothing, but the Cardinals manager Mike Shlidt did not directly answer the question as to if he got hurt. Consider him day-to-day and keep an eye if he is in the lineup tomorrow.
Various News and Notes
Cal Quantrill threw 6.2 innings in the victory over the Royals, allowing one run on seven hits and two walks while striking out six. Quantril has been fantastic in the second half, throwing 83 innings with a 1.73 ERA and 73 strikeouts. He has quietly become the Indians most reliable pitcher and may emerge as a top 30 pitcher coming into 2022.
Nick Gordon went 3-for-5 with a home run and stolen base in the victory over the Cubs on Tuesday.
https://twitter.com/justgroc/status/1440518905844228101?s=20
Gordon has a little bit of pop and some speed but has profiled more as a swiss army knife than a full time regular. The Twins have an opportunity to see what they have in the 25-year-old, so he is an interesting play rest of the season especially with his multi-positional flexibility.
Streaming Pitchers (Under 50% in CBS)
Pitcher for Today: Joe Ryan at CHC
Ryan has pitched well and this is a nice matchup in an NL park.
High Risk Options: Elieser Hernandez vs WAS, Reynaldo Lopez at DET, Merrill Kelly 켈리 vs ATL, Janson Junk vs HOU.
Pitcher for Tomorrow: None
Short slate with no real good options.
High Risk Options: Alex Cobb vs HOU
9/21/21
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INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS
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With the season winding down, I wanted to find something that would be useful for those still contending in their leagues. I decided to do something that isn’t particularly new, but we don’t have it here at the site: a starting pitcher chart for the day’s slate of games. I’ll include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.
Let me know what y’all think about this. Obviously these are general recommendations and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. For the weekend, Justin & I will use the Friday podcast to discuss the relevant weekend streamers. By popular demand, these will start coming out the day before the slate in question.
Starting Monday September 20th, I’m loosening my thresholds for streamer gambles. If you are protecting ratios, you should continue to be careful and manage as you see fit, but these recommendations are catering more to a “go-for-it” attitude over these final two weeks.