Angels
Astros
Today, I am going through some fantasy-relevant information which could change several player projections.
• Dan Hayes of The Athletic ($$) stated the following on Martín Pérez.
The Twins believe the keys to Pérez’s great early performance this season were working with increased velocity and filling up the strike zone. For the past few weeks, Twins pitching coaches have encouraged Pérez not to worry about conserving energy in order to pitch deep into games.
Air it out. Let them worry about the late innings. And on the days when the velo isn’t there, locate and attack.
The heck with the intro, I’ll go straight to the players being dropped in six to nine NFBC Main Event (15-team, 23-man rosters) leagues.
If there is a weekend to take off, it’s this one. Kyle Seager and Adam Plutko are the hot commodities. Not good.
The projection guidelines:
| Name | Previous Ownership% | Current Ownership% | Change% | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Lopes SS | SEA | 0% | 2% | 2% | $3 |
| Abraham Toro-Hernandez 3B | HOU | 2% | 6% | 4% | $4 |
| Jake Fraley RF | SEA | 2% | 6% | 4% | $4 |
| Nick Solak 2B | TEX | 3% | 9% | 6% | $6 |
| Wilmer Flores 1B | ARI | 3% | 9% | 6% | $6 |
| Matt Beaty 1B | LAD | 3% | 6% | 3% | $4 |
| Tom Murphy C | SEA | 4% | 13% | 9% | $10 |
| Tommy Edman SS | STL | 6% | 15% | 9% | $11 |
| Dexter Fowler RF | STL | 7% | 12% | 5% | $6 |
| Delino DeShields CF | TEX | 8% | 14% | 6% | $8 |
| Austin Nola SS | SEA | 9% | 18% | 9% | $12 |
| Harrison Bader CF | STL | 9% | 11% | 2% | $4 |
| Jose Iglesias SS | CIN | 9% | 11% | 2% | $4 |
| Matt Adams 1B | WAS | 10% | 12% | 2% | $5 |
| Raimel Tapia CF | COL | 11% | 14% | 3% | $6 |
| Hanser Alberto SS | BAL | 14% | 19% | 5% | $9 |
| Mark Canha CF | OAK | 15% | 19% | 4% | $8 |
| Tucker Barnhart C | CIN | 20% | 23% | 3% | $9 |
| Albert Pujols 1B | LAA | 25% | 27% | 2% | $11 |
| Evan Longoria 3B | SF | 25% | 27% | 2% | $11 |
| Chris Taylor SS | LAD | 26% | 29% | 3% | $13 |
| Willy Adames SS | TB | 27% | 29% | 2% | $13 |
| Luis Arraez 2B | MIN | 33% | 53% | 20% | $62 |
| Kyle Seager 3B | SEA | 34% | 54% | 20% | $63 |
| Marwin Gonzalez LF | MIN | 36% | 52% | 16% | $51 |
| Freddy Galvis SS | CIN | 36% | 40% | 4% | $22 |
| Kevin Pillar CF | SF | 38% | 53% | 15% | $50 |
| Mike Yastrzemski RF | SF | 39% | 55% | 16% | $55 |
| Francisco Mejia C | SD | 42% | 47% | 5% | $30 |
| Nick Ahmed SS | ARI | 43% | 58% | 15% | $56 |
| Kolten Wong 2B | STL | 43% | 45% | 2% | $26 |
| Kyle Tucker LF | HOU | 44% | 46% | 2% | $27 |
| Randal Grichuk RF | TOR | 48% | 51% | 3% | $33 |
| Asdrubal Cabrera 2B | WAS | 49% | 52% | 3% | $34 |
| Name | Previous Ownership% | Current Ownership% | Change% | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Magill RP | SEA | 0% | 7% | 7% | $2 |
| Carlos Estevez RP | COL | 0% | 5% | 5% | $1 |
| Brock Burke SP | TEX | 1% | 7% | 6% | $2 |
| Rowan Wick RP | CHC | 1% | 3% | 2% | $0 |
| Matt Albers RP | MIL | 2% | 4% | 2% | $0 |
| Daniel Hudson RP | WAS | 4% | 14% | 10% | $4 |
| Logan Webb SP | SF | 6% | 18% | 12% | $6 |
| Steven Brault RP | PIT | 6% | 10% | 4% | $1 |
| Felix Hernandez SP | SEA | 6% | 8% | 2% | $1 |
| Tony Gonsolin SP | LAD | 8% | 15% | 7% | $3 |
| Dereck Rodriguez SP | SF | 8% | 12% | 4% | $1 |
| Jacob Waguespack SP | TOR | 9% | 16% | 7% | $3 |
| Jalen Beeks RP | TB | 9% | 12% | 3% | $1 |
| Adrian Houser RP | MIL | 12% | 37% | 25% | $26 |
| Nick Anderson RP | TB | 13% | 17% | 4% | $2 |
| Johnny Cueto SP | SF | 14% | 18% | 4% | $2 |
| Mike Montgomery RP | KC | 15% | 37% | 22% | $21 |
| Adam Plutko SP | CLE | 15% | 32% | 17% | $13 |
| Hunter Strickland RP | WAS | 17% | 19% | 2% | $1 |
| Kolby Allard RP | TEX | 19% | 27% | 8% | $4 |
| A.J. Puk SP | OAK | 21% | 27% | 6% | $3 |
| Justus Sheffield RP | SEA | 22% | 30% | 8% | $5 |
| Sandy Alcantara SP | MIA | 24% | 27% | 3% | $3 |
| Dylan Bundy SP | BAL | 26% | 29% | 3% | $3 |
| Michael Wacha SP | STL | 28% | 31% | 3% | $3 |
| Homer Bailey SP | OAK | 30% | 40% | 10% | $8 |
| Joe Jimenez RP | DET | 32% | 34% | 2% | $3 |
| Dillon Peters SP | LAA | 34% | 36% | 2% | $4 |
| Sergio Romo RP | MIN | 39% | 43% | 4% | $6 |
| Joe Ross SP | WAS | 40% | 53% | 13% | $14 |
| Adam Wainwright SP | STL | 40% | 50% | 10% | $11 |
| Mark Melancon RP | ATL | 44% | 57% | 13% | $15 |
| Ivan Nova SP | CHW | 44% | 57% | 13% | $15 |
| Cal Quantrill SP | SD | 48% | 65% | 17% | $22 |
Reliever Rankings (Saves focused)
| Add | Avg Bid | Leagues (38) |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Melancon | $20 | 8 |
| Joe Ross | $17 | 5 |
| Luke Voit | $15 | 5 |
| Carlos Estevez | $11 | 6 |
| Sergio Romo | $9 | 6 |
| Matt Beaty | $9 | 17 |
| Mike Montgomery | $9 | 12 |
| Ivan Nova | $9 | 10 |
| Wade Davis | $9 | 13 |
| Daniel Hudson | $8 | 27 |
| Adam Plutko | $8 | 6 |
| Kolby Allard | $8 | 16 |
| Josh Rojas | $7 | 35 |
| Tommy Edman | $7 | 11 |
| Corban Joseph | $7 | 11 |
| Asdrubal Cabrera | $7 | 5 |
| Evan Longoria | $7 | 10 |
| Jesus Luzardo | $7 | 6 |
| Tony Gonsolin | $6 | 21 |
| Logan Webb | $5 | 25 |
| Sean Manaea | $5 | 7 |
| Jalen Beeks | $5 | 9 |
| Zach Eflin | $5 | 10 |
| Kike Hernandez | $4 | 5 |
| Martin Perez | $4 | 5 |
| Hanser Alberto | $4 | 8 |
| Johnny Cueto | $4 | 8 |
| Joe Palumbo | $4 | 17 |
| Ty France | $4 | 16 |
| Greg Allen | $4 | 22 |
| Zach Davies | $4 | 6 |
| Wilmer Flores | $3 | 20 |
| Tim Lopes | $3 | 7 |
| Jose Iglesias | $3 | 6 |
| Trevor Richards | $3 | 6 |
| Matt Albers | $3 | 13 |
| Dillon Peters | $3 | 6 |
| Brandon Drury | $3 | 11 |
| Welington Castillo | $3 | 12 |
| Steven Brault | $3 | 12 |
| Matt Magill | $2 | 10 |
| Josh Naylor | $2 | 7 |
| Michael Wacha | $2 | 7 |
| Tucker Barnhart | $2 | 5 |
| CC Sabathia | $2 | 6 |
| Dereck Rodriguez | $2 | 8 |
| Brett Phillips | $2 | 7 |
| Rowdy Tellez | $2 | 6 |
| Kyle Freeland | $2 | 5 |
| Hunter Strickland | $2 | 7 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | $2 | 6 |
| Tommy Milone | $1 | 6 |
| Add | Avg Bid | Leagues (34) |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Kopech | $85 | 5 |
| Koda Glover | $22 | 16 |
| Touki Toussaint | $17 | 20 |
| Brad Keller | $16 | 6 |
| Trevor Hildenberger | $15 | 15 |
| Robert Gsellman | $14 | 7 |
| Taylor Ward | $14 | 32 |
| Danny Jansen | $13 | 27 |
| Austin Gomber | $12 | 17 |
| Rafael Ortega | $12 | 25 |
| Jake Junis | $11 | 8 |
| Freddy Galvis | $11 | 7 |
| Greg Allen | $10 | 21 |
| Brett Anderson | $10 | 25 |
| Tyler Austin | $9 | 16 |
| Alex Cobb | $9 | 10 |
| Kelvin Herrera | $9 | 9 |
| Welington Castillo | $8 | 20 |
| Matt Wieters | $7 | 5 |
| Wei-Yin Chen | $7 | 6 |
| Daniel Poncedeleon | $7 | 21 |
| Charlie Culberson | $7 | 6 |
| Cedric Mullins | $7 | 14 |
| Adam Plutko | $6 | 14 |
| Nicky Delmonico | $6 | 8 |
| Jalen Beeks | $5 | 10 |
| Lucas Giolito | $5 | 6 |
| Melky Cabrera | $5 | 18 |
| Hunter Strickland | $5 | 5 |
| Austin Jackson | $4 | 8 |
| Neil Walker | $4 | 7 |
| Felix Pena | $3 | 11 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | $3 | 8 |
| Phillip Ervin | $3 | 6 |
| Erasmo Ramirez | $3 | 13 |
| Kevin Plawecki | $3 | 9 |
| Logan Forsythe | $3 | 14 |
| David Fletcher | $3 | 5 |
| Ty Blach | $3 | 6 |
| Joe Mauer | $2 | 5 |
| Kolten Wong | $2 | 6 |
| James Shields | $2 | 11 |
| Jordan Hicks | $2 | 5 |
| Pablo Lopez | $1 | 7 |
| Robbie Erlin | $1 | 6 |
| Jose Bautista | $1 | 6 |
Last week, I tried to find any positive mid-season changes a pitcher has implemented to improve their fantasy stock for the final few weeks. I started with pitchers owned in 16% to 30% of Fantrax leagues and will now be digging even deeper after Mike Montgomery popped up on my radar as someone making positive skill changes.
A pitcher I targetted this FAAB period was the Royals Mike Montgomery. With the Royals, he's improved his ERA, K's, BB's, and GB% by changing his pitch mix
He's increased his cutter (12% SwStr%) usage from 4% to 20% and dropped his sinker (6% SwStr%) usage from 35% to 22%
— Jeff Zimmerman (@jeffwzimmerman) August 19, 2019
Jordan Zimmermann (16%): Whoa, he’s changed his arsenal around with a mid-season introduction of a sinker (11% SwStr%, 69% GB%). It’s tough to buy too much of the change since he has a 6.29 ERA in the season’s first half and 7.31 ERA in the second half. It wasn’t until the last four starts when he started using his sinker even more (14% usage) and therefore has a 4.35 ERA, 7.4 K/9, and 0.9 BB/9.
Also, August was the first month he threw his slider (40%) more than his four-seamer (36%). He pulling out all the stops to remain relevant. Even with the changes, he’s likely a 4.25 ERA pitcher at best but in some leagues, that production level is useful.
Read the rest of this entry »
I find this week’s drops sort of useless. The hitters being dropped are below-average performers in part-time roles. The pitchers are home run prone. Maybe owners should check over the list to make sure none of these has-beens are filling up a roster spot. So, here are the players being dropped in six to nine leagues.
| 7:35 |
: Hello everyone
|
| 7:35 |
: Here are this week’s Tout Wars mixed league FAAB results
|
| 7:36 |
: Auction
|
| 7:36 |
: NAhmed: 113
JRojas: 57 AHouser: 44 KAllard: 35 SReidFoley: 29 BDrury: 27 WFlores: 26 LWebb: 23 TFrance: 22 TGonsolin: 21 DHudson: 14 RGrossman: 14 YKikuchi: 13 RTellez: 10 ASlater: 2 TThornton: 1 GAllen: 1 LSims: 0 ZEflin: 0 |
| 7:36 |
: Draft
|
| 7:36 |
: JRojas: 89
MAlbers: 51 ERios: 32 ZEflin: 23 LWebb: 13 ASlater: 11 INova: 8 BDrury: 8 KAllard: 8 JPalumbo: 8 RTellez: 7 MMagill: 5 MPerez: 4 LArraez: 4 DHudson: 4 TFrance: 3 MDuffy: 3 GAllen: 2 RMartin: 0 EEncarnacion: 0 MJoyce: 0 TKahnle: 0 |
With no big wallet busters this week, some owners may slack on their adds but several players could provide nice value. Nothing sexy, just useful.
The projection guidelines:
Angels
Astros
Every week for Sportsline, I write an article on available starting pitching and I lucked into a nice find. Using the criteria of owned in 60% or fewer leagues, increasing ownership, and they’ve never been profiled, Joe Ross met the criteria. I noticed Joe Ross reinvented himself as noted here by MLBDream.
Joe Ross throwing a curveball [h/t @jeffwzimmerman] and upping his sinker usage
👀 @JSpauny 👀 pic.twitter.com/LtkrEQc1CI
— MLBdream (@MLBdream) August 14, 2019
Today, I going to go through some lowly owned starters (in the majors and not on the IL) and see if any have made any positive or negative changes to their repertoire to utilize for the final quarter or the season. I’m going to look at pitchers owned in 16% to 30% of Fantrax leagues (Joe Ross was at 31% ownership).