FAAB Projections (9/14/19)
Compared to last week when nothing happened, a few interesting names popped up this week for those still with FAAB left to spend.
The projection guidelines:
- The ownership rates are from CBS since they have some quickdraw waiver wire leagues where players can be picked up at any time.
- The FAAB estimates are based on the 2018 15-team mixed NFBC leagues which used a $1000 FAAB budget. Owners are going to need to convert these values to their own league.
- The ownership values were taken from Saturday and lots can happen in between when they publish and FAAB bids run.
- Only players owned in 50% or fewer of CBS leagues are examined.
Projected FAAB For Hitters
| Name | Previous Ownership% | Current Ownership% | Change% | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory Spangenberg 2B | MIL | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1 |
| Ryan McBroom 1B | KC | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1 |
| Cornelius Randolph LF | PHI | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1 |
| Tyler Wade 2B | NYY | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1 |
| Jose Trevino C | TEX | 1% | 2% | 1% | $1 |
| Reese McGuire C | TOR | 1% | 2% | 1% | $1 |
| Dylan Moore SS | SEA | 2% | 3% | 1% | $1 |
| Cedric Mullins CF | BAL | 2% | 3% | 1% | $1 |
| Austin Romine C | NYY | 4% | 6% | 2% | $1 |
| Martin Maldonado C | HOU | 4% | 5% | 1% | $1 |
| Kyle Lewis CF | SEA | 5% | 14% | 9% | $4 |
| Mauricio Dubon SS | SF | 6% | 8% | 2% | $1 |
| Nico Hoerner SS | CHC | 7% | 15% | 8% | $3 |
| Victor Reyes LF | DET | 8% | 11% | 3% | $1 |
| Aledmys Diaz SS | HOU | 8% | 9% | 1% | $1 |
| Sean Murphy C | OAK | 11% | 17% | 6% | $2 |
| Joey Wendle 2B | TB | 13% | 15% | 2% | $1 |
| Austin Nola SS | SEA | 17% | 21% | 4% | $2 |
| Christin Stewart LF | DET | 17% | 18% | 1% | $1 |
| Eric Thames RF | MIL | 18% | 21% | 3% | $2 |
| Nick Solak 2B | TEX | 19% | 26% | 7% | $7 |
| Trent Grisham RF | MIL | 19% | 23% | 4% | $3 |
| Garrett Cooper LF | MIA | 25% | 27% | 2% | $5 |
| Adam Frazier 2B | PIT | 26% | 33% | 7% | $12 |
| Tommy Edman SS | STL | 34% | 46% | 12% | $30 |
| Starlin Castro 2B | MIA | 38% | 48% | 10% | $29 |
| Robinson Cano 2B | NYM | 43% | 49% | 6% | $26 |
| Jorge Alfaro C | MIA | 43% | 44% | 1% | $18 |
| Wil Myers LF | SD | 48% | 66% | 18% | $68 |
| Mike Yastrzemski RF | SF | 49% | 52% | 3% | $28 |
- Kyle Lewis: For any owner needing outfield help, he’s a must-add. The highly-touted prospect is hitting .400/.375/1.067 with three homers in his first four games. If anyone has money left, it’s going towards Lewis.
- Nico Hoerner and Mauricio Dubon: Both are regulars with Hoerner starting five straight and Dubon nine straight. They both are the same skill-set of a great eye for contact with some speed and power.
- Nick Solak: A 26% ownership rate is criminally low for someone hitting .342/.453/.570. He’s started 10 straight games while batting cleanup in all but one of those games.
- Adam Frazier, Tommy Edman, Starlin Castro, and Robinson Cano: While not the sexy options like Hoerner and Dubon, they’re comparable hitters.
- Wil Myers: A huge jump in ownership, but he should have been owned in deeper leagues since the Franmil Reyes was traded to the Indians.
- Sean Murphy: Since being called up, Muphy is hitting .409/.458/1.091 in eight games with four homers.
Projected FAAB For Pitchers
| Name | Previous Ownership% | Current Ownership% | Change% | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Bolanos SP | SD | 0% | 2% | 2% | $1 |
| Seung-Hwan Oh RP | COL | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1 |
| James Karinchak RP | CLE | 1% | 3% | 2% | $1 |
| Jorge Lopez RP | KC | 2% | 5% | 3% | $1 |
| Jairo Diaz RP | COL | 3% | 7% | 4% | $1 |
| Nick Wittgren RP | CLE | 3% | 4% | 1% | $1 |
| Chad Green RP | NYY | 4% | 5% | 1% | $1 |
| Anthony Kay SP | TOR | 7% | 9% | 2% | $1 |
| Yusmeiro Petit RP | OAK | 7% | 8% | 1% | $1 |
| Will Harris RP | HOU | 8% | 9% | 1% | $1 |
| Trevor May RP | MIN | 9% | 10% | 1% | $1 |
| Arodys Vizcaino RP | SEA | 10% | 11% | 1% | $1 |
| Trent Thornton RP | TOR | 11% | 13% | 2% | $1 |
| Drew Smyly SP | PHI | 14% | 16% | 2% | $1 |
| Johnny Cueto SP | SF | 21% | 46% | 25% | $21 |
| Justus Sheffield RP | SEA | 27% | 35% | 8% | $1 |
| Dylan Bundy SP | BAL | 28% | 30% | 2% | $1 |
| Michael Wacha SP | STL | 33% | 37% | 4% | $1 |
| Gio Gonzalez SP | MIL | 34% | 38% | 4% | $1 |
| Ross Stripling SP | LAD | 38% | 40% | 2% | $1 |
| Seth Lugo RP | NYM | 42% | 45% | 3% | $1 |
| Zach Eflin SP | PHI | 43% | 45% | 2% | $1 |
| Alex Young SP | ARI | 45% | 56% | 11% | $6 |
| Nathan Eovaldi SP | BOS | 45% | 52% | 7% | $2 |
| Sandy Alcantara SP | MIA | 46% | 49% | 3% | $0 |
| Merrill Kelly SP | ARI | 47% | 54% | 7% | $3 |
| Chase Anderson SP | MIL | 47% | 50% | 3% | $0 |
| Reynaldo Lopez SP | CHW | 48% | 56% | 8% | $4 |
| Martin Perez SP | MIN | 50% | 55% | 5% | $2 |
- Johnny Cueto: He’s back and threw five shutout innings. His fastball sat at 91.3 mph which is at his preinjury level. I am a little worried he posted just a 6% SwStr% on the game.
- Alex Young: Young finally pushed his ownership over the 50% mark. He’s been one of the few decent starting options on the waiver wire.
- Michael Wacha: I noticed while going over the Vegas lines, Michael Wacha had stepped up his game in the second half with a 3.86 ERA and a 4.14 xFIP.
- Nathan Eovaldi: Why? Let me look. A two-step against the Giants and at the Rays. It’s tough to trust a 5.00 to 5.50 ERA talent pitcher.
Closer Rankings (Saves focused)
- Seth Lugo
- Nick Wittgren
- James Karinchak
- Trevor May
- Will Harris
- Chad Green
- Jairo Díaz
- Seung-Hwan Oh
- Yusmeiro Petit
- Arodys Vizcaíno
Week 25 FAAB Bids in 2019 NFBC Main Event
| Add | Avg Bid | Leagues (38) |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Lux | $11 | 35 |
| Kyle Gibson | $9 | 9 |
| Zach Eflin | $8 | 5 |
| Johnny Cueto | $8 | 5 |
| Robinson Cano | $7 | 9 |
| Rich Hill | $6 | 23 |
| Brandon Nimmo | $6 | 10 |
| Dylan Moore | $6 | 23 |
| Tyler Glasnow | $6 | 14 |
| Justus Sheffield | $5 | 17 |
| Patrick Sandoval | $5 | 6 |
| Raimel Tapia | $5 | 6 |
| Seth Brown | $5 | 6 |
| Adam Haseley | $4 | 5 |
| Ross Stripling | $4 | 8 |
| Brendan McKay | $4 | 14 |
| Jairo Diaz | $4 | 8 |
| Joey Wendle | $3 | 11 |
| Dawel Lugo | $3 | 9 |
| Josh James | $3 | 6 |
| Harold Castro | $3 | 5 |
| Drew Smyly | $3 | 5 |
| Josh Rojas | $2 | 17 |
| Mauricio Dubon | $2 | 10 |
| Robert Dugger | $2 | 13 |
| Austin Pruitt | $2 | 6 |
| Matt Beaty | $2 | 8 |
| Tyler Beede | $2 | 5 |
| Garrett Hampson | $2 | 5 |
| Tyler Mahle | $2 | 13 |
| Dereck Rodriguez | $2 | 10 |
| Phillip Ervin | $2 | 5 |
| Ben Zobrist | $2 | 10 |
| Anthony Kay | $1 | 7 |
| Austin Voth | $1 | 5 |
| Julio Urias | $1 | 6 |
| Austin Hedges | $1 | 6 |
Week 26 FAAB Bids in 2018 NFBC Main Event
| Add | Avg Bid | Leagues (34) |
|---|---|---|
| Yairo Munoz | $16 | 6 |
| Ross Stripling | $16 | 5 |
| Sandy Alcantara | $14 | 12 |
| Daniel Mengden | $14 | 7 |
| Brandon Lowe | $13 | 6 |
| Terrance Gore | $11 | 9 |
| Jose Fernandez | $10 | 11 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano | $10 | 21 |
| Ryan Borucki | $10 | 12 |
| Delino DeShields | $9 | 5 |
| Erick Fedde | $7 | 24 |
| Ty Buttrey | $7 | 20 |
| Jose Alvarado | $6 | 9 |
| Chris Stratton | $6 | 6 |
| Ji-Man Choi | $5 | 14 |
| Willians Astudillo | $5 | 19 |
| Sean Reid-Foley | $5 | 9 |
| Joe Ross | $5 | 10 |
| Steve Cishek | $4 | 10 |
| Cody Reed | $4 | 7 |
| Nate Jones | $4 | 6 |
| Jorge Bonifacio | $4 | 6 |
| Tyler Skaggs | $3 | 5 |
| Brett Anderson | $3 | 6 |
| Jason Vargas | $3 | 7 |
| Daniel Norris | $3 | 8 |
| Christin Stewart | $3 | 10 |
| Jake Bauers | $3 | 7 |
| Wilmer Difo | $3 | 6 |
| Jake Cave | $2 | 7 |
| Aaron Altherr | $2 | 5 |
| Joe Mauer | $1 | 5 |
| Robbie Erlin | $1 | 7 |
| Victor Caratini | $1 | 9 |