Projection Busting Research Updated

Over the years, I’ve been working on how to fine-tune my player evaluation process. The following are six datasets that I’ve found useful I’ll not go into detail on any of them since I provide a link to the original article. The following is basically a referenceable data dump.

Note: I know there is a lot of content and when questions arise, make sure the area in question is obvious in the comment. Also, I’ll only answer questions here and not in the original articles.

Voit/Muncy All-Stars (link)

These are older AAA hitters who have shown signs of a breakout.

Voit/Muncy All-Stars
Name Position Age Team PA BB% K% GB% ISO
Adam Engel OF 27 White Sox 277 8% 22% 43% .194
Addison Russell SS 25 Cubs 119 12% 21% 38% .281
Andy Ibanez 2B/3B 26 Rangers 529 10% 17% 37% .197
Austin Dean OF 25 Marlins 282 10% 18% 39% .298
Billy McKinney OF 24 Blue Jays 154 14% 16% 35% .217
Breyvic Valera 2B 27 Yankees 348 10% 10% 34% .200
Bryan Reynolds OF 24 Pirates 57 12% 19% 38% .367
Cavan Biggio 2B 24 Blue Jays 174 20% 16% 30% .203
Chance Sisco C 24 Orioles 196 10% 22% 42% .238
Chas McCormick OF 24 Astros 225 12% 15% 37% .204
Cheslor Cuthbert 3B 26 Royals 219 8% 21% 39% .218
Connor Joe 1B/3B 26 Dodgers 446 16% 18% 42% .203
Cristhian Adames SS 27 Giants 165 12% 19% 42% .234
Daniel Pinero 3B/SS 25 Tigers 110 16% 23% 32% .220
DJ Stewart OF 25 Orioles 277 14% 18% 41% .257
Donnie Dewees OF 25 Cubs 419 10% 15% 41% .207
Esteban Quiroz 2B/SS 27 Padres 366 14% 22% 38% .268
Harrison Bader OF 25 Cardinals 75 11% 21% 26% .381
Jason Vosler 3B 25 Padres 426 11% 24% 37% .232
Jaylin Davis OF 24 Giants 117 12% 24% 40% .353
Jeimer Candelario 3B 25 Tigers 178 12% 20% 42% .268
Johan Camargo SS 25 Braves 64 8% 19% 35% .207
Jonah Heim C 24 Athletics 119 9% 15% 34% .198
Jose Rojas 3B 26 Angels 578 10% 23% 31% .283
Josh VanMeter 2B/3B 24 Reds 211 11% 18% 38% .320
Kevin Cron 1B 26 Diamondbacks 377 16% 20% 26% .446
Mark Payton OF 27 Athletics 447 10% 17% 35% .319
Matt Thaiss 1B 24 Angels 372 16% 17% 42% .203
Michael Brosseau 3B 25 Rays 315 11% 18% 40% .263
Michael Perez C 26 Rays 216 13% 24% 36% .250
Mike Ford 1B 26 Yankees 349 13% 16% 40% .303
Nick Dini C 25 Royals 213 10% 14% 33% .269
Nick Tanielu 2B/3B 26 Astros 503 9% 17% 36% .225
Oscar Mercado SS/OF 24 Indians 140 11% 23% 40% .202
P.J. Higgins C 26 Cubs 140 12% 21% 40% .231
Phillip Ervin OF 26 Reds 172 11% 20% 31% .193
Roberto Pena C 27 Angels 155 11% 19% 32% .196
Ronald Guzman 1B 24 Rangers 135 13% 23% 39% .197
Rowdy Tellez 1B 24 Blue Jays 109 13% 23% 34% .323
Ryan McBroom 1B 27 Yankees 482 12% 21% 38% .259
Ryan O’Hearn 1B 25 Royals 149 11% 21% 39% .302
Taylor Jones 1B 25 Astros 531 13% 21% 37% .210
Taylor Ward C/3B 25 Angels 512 16% 20% 38% .278
Ty France 1B/3B 24 Padres 348 9% 15% 31% .372
Will Smith C 24 Dodgers 270 15% 18% 28% .335
Willie Calhoun 2B/OF 24 Rangers 172 19% 14% 33% .232
Yermin Mercedes C 26 White Sox 220 11% 19% 28% .337

Hitters and Pitch Types (link)

I found three hitter types whose projections are off because of how they handle certain pitches in the strike zone. Two hitter groups that struggle are those who can’t hit slow fastballs down the middle of the plate and those who can’t recognize a changeup. The one group who shows some positive projection are hitters who don’t miss when they swing at non-fastballs.

Slow Fastball Swinging-Strike Rate
Name Slow FB SwStr%
Abraham Almonte 20.0%
Aristides Aquino 20.3%
Brett Phillips 18.4%
Brian O’Grady 38.9%
Cedric Mullins II 15.9%
Christian Arroyo 22.7%
Daniel Palka 20.0%
Dustin Peterson 18.8%
Eric Stamets 18.8%
Franklin Barreto 19.2%
Jaylin Davis 19.1%
Josh Fuentes 42.9%
Josh Harrison 17.8%
Keon Broxton 16.3%
Kristopher Negron 18.4%
Kyle Lewis 21.2%
Mac Williamson 16.2%
Matt Kemp 25.0%
Michael Brosseau 15.6%
Pablo Sandoval 19.6%
Richard Urena 19.2%
Robel Garcia 16.7%
Scooter Gennett 20.8%
Scott Heineman 18.9%
Scott Schebler 22.2%

 

Changeup Swinging-Strike Rate
Name Change SwStr%
A.J. Reed 33.3%
Aaron Altherr 38.5%
Aaron Hicks 37.0%
Aaron Judge 43.1%
Aramis Garcia 60.0%
Aristides Aquino 30.4%
Avisail Garcia 30.6%
Blake Swihart 31.6%
Braden Bishop 30.0%
Brendan Rodgers 53.9%
Brett Phillips 38.5%
Chad Wallach 60.0%
Chris Davis 31.8%
Delino DeShields 31.0%
Eric Stamets 50.0%
Erik Kratz 50.0%
Guillermo Heredia 46.7%
Jace Peterson 33.3%
John Hicks 36.4%
John Ryan Murphy 66.7%
Jonathan Schoop 29.4%
Kevin Cron 33.3%
Kyle Garlick 42.9%
Kyle Tucker 30.8%
Lewis Brinson 33.3%
Matt Kemp 50.0%
Matt Thaiss 32.6%
Max Stassi 37.5%
Michael Hermosillo 44.4%
Miguel Sano 29.4%
Nick Hundley 50.0%
Nick Solak 31.3%
Nick Williams 30.4%
Peter Bourjos 36.4%
Peter O’Brien 33.3%
Rafael Ortega 37.5%
Robel Garcia 35.7%
Scott Heineman 30.8%
Sean Murphy 41.7%
Seth Brown 33.3%
Sheldon Neuse 35.0%
Steve Pearce 50.0%
Taylor Ward 60.0%
Tim Federowicz 30.8%
Welington Castillo 33.3%

 

Non-Fastball Swinging-Strike Rate
Name Non-Fastball SwStr%
Magneuris Sierra 0.0%
Jake Elmore 0.0%
Jose Rondon 0.0%
Danny Mendick 0.0%
Terrance Gore 0.0%
Tim Locastro 0.9%
Austin Dean 1.0%
Willians Astudillo 1.5%
Myles Straw 1.5%
Nick Markakis 1.7%
Nathaniel Lowe 1.8%
Wilfredo Tovar 2.2%
Daniel Murphy 2.2%
Nick Hundley 2.3%
Michael Brantley 2.5%
Jack Mayfield 2.6%
Mookie Betts 2.8%
Nico Hoerner 2.9%
Mac Williamson 2.9%
Franklin Barreto 3.1%
Corban Joseph 3.1%
DJ LeMahieu 3.2%
Aledmys Diaz 3.4%
Tommy La Stella 3.4%
Mark Zagunis 3.5%
Greg Garcia 3.5%
Jose Peraza 3.5%
Greg Bird 3.6%
Michael A. Taylor 3.7%
Charlie Tilson 3.7%
Brian O’Grady 3.7%
Alex Verdugo 3.7%
Matt Beaty 3.8%
Joe Panik 3.8%
Nick Martini 3.9%
Mike Tauchman 4.0%
David Fletcher 4.0%
Sam Hilliard 4.1%
Brett Gardner 4.1%
Jason Kipnis 4.2%
Willi Castro 4.2%
Alex Blandino 4.2%
Adeiny Hechavarria 4.3%
Jason Martin 4.4%
Austin Nola 4.4%
Breyvic Valera 4.6%
Dee Gordon 4.6%
Hanser Alberto 4.6%
Martin Prado 4.7%
Humberto Arteaga 4.7%
Jon Jay 4.8%
Luis Urias 4.8%
Zack Cozart 4.8%
Bryan Holaday 4.8%
Anthony Rendon 4.9%
Austin Romine 5.0%
Jonathan Lucroy 5.0%

Limited Arsenals (link)

Pitchers who have a more diverse arsenal have historically beaten their projections than those pitchers with just one or two pitches. From the article, there are four pitcher groups (Note: four-seam, two-seam, and sinkers are combined into one fastball group).

Two Pitches at 85% or More, Greater Than 60% Fastball
Name IP FB% CH% CU% CT% SL% Top 2 % Pitches > 12%
Clayton Richard 45.1 72% 3% 0% 0% 25% 97% 2
Lance Lynn 208.1 71% 3% 10% 16% 0% 88% 2
Jefry Rodriguez 46.2 70% 7% 23% 0% 0% 93% 2
J.A. Happ 161.1 68% 13% 1% 0% 17% 86% 3
Tyler Glasnow 60.2 68% 3% 29% 0% 0% 97% 2
Dario Agrazal 73.1 67% 14% 0% 0% 19% 86% 3
Trevor Williams 145.2 67% 12% 1% 0% 20% 87% 3
Brad Keller 165.1 67% 2% 0% 0% 31% 98% 2
Vince Velasquez 117.1 67% 1% 12% 0% 20% 86% 3
Joey Lucchesi 163.2 65% 34% 1% 0% 0% 99% 2
Steven Brault 113.1 64% 14% 1% 0% 21% 85% 3
Mike Soroka 174.2 63% 12% 0% 0% 24% 88% 3
Jose Urena 84.2 63% 11% 0% 0% 26% 89% 2
Kyle Hendricks 177 62% 28% 10% 0% 0% 90% 2
Jose Quintana 171 62% 11% 27% 0% 0% 89% 2
Dakota Hudson 174.2 62% 3% 0% 26% 10% 87% 2
Chris Paddack 140.2 61% 28% 10% 0% 0% 89% 2

 

Two Pitches at 85% or More, Less Than 60% Fastball
Name IP FB% CH% CU% CT% SL% Top 2 % Pitches > 12%
Jeff Hoffman 70 59% 11% 29% 0% 1% 88% 2
Brad Peacock 91.2 59% 6% 7% 0% 29% 87% 2
Shaun Anderson 96 59% 8% 3% 0% 30% 88% 2
Jack Flaherty 196.1 58% 3% 12% 0% 28% 85% 2
Kevin Gausman 102.1 56% 42% 0% 0% 2% 98% 2
Zach Eflin 163.1 56% 8% 5% 0% 31% 86% 2
Elieser Hernandez 82.1 55% 11% 0% 0% 33% 89% 2
Dinelson Lamet 73 55% 1% 0% 0% 44% 99% 2
Matthew Boyd 185.1 54% 6% 5% 0% 35% 89% 2
Caleb Smith 153.1 54% 15% 0% 0% 32% 85% 3
Patrick Corbin 202 54% 6% 4% 0% 37% 91% 2
Jon Gray 150 53% 3% 11% 0% 33% 86% 2
Rich Hill 58.2 53% 1% 46% 0% 0% 98% 2
Jakob Junis 175.1 51% 5% 0% 0% 44% 95% 2
Chris Archer 119.2 50% 12% 2% 0% 36% 86% 2
Charlie Morton 194.2 49% 3% 37% 1% 9% 86% 2
Jhoulys Chacin 103.1 44% 6% 1% 1% 49% 93% 2

 

65% to 70% are 2 pitches
Name IP FB% CH% CU% CT% SL% Top 2 % Pitches > 12%
Zack Greinke 208.2 48% 23% 14% 1% 15% 70% 4
Marcus Stroman 184.1 39% 4% 1% 25% 31% 70% 3
Mike Minor 208.1 45% 25% 11% 0% 19% 69% 3
Dereck Rodriguez 99 49% 21% 17% 0% 14% 69% 4
Mike Fiers 184.2 52% 12% 18% 16% 3% 69% 4
Wade Miley 167.1 22% 21% 9% 47% 1% 69% 3
Jeff Samardzija 181.1 46% 8% 2% 23% 20% 69% 3
Cole Hamels 141.2 48% 21% 12% 19% 0% 69% 4
Kenta Maeda 153.2 37% 24% 7% 0% 32% 69% 3
Zac Gallen 80 50% 16% 19% 0% 15% 69% 4
Max Scherzer 172.1 48% 14% 9% 8% 20% 69% 3
Brett Anderson 176 50% 14% 6% 12% 19% 68% 4
Ross Detwiler 69.2 52% 16% 15% 17% 1% 68% 4
Hyun-Jin Ryu 182.2 41% 27% 12% 19% 0% 68% 4
Jordan Yamamoto 78.2 50% 3% 14% 18% 15% 68% 4
Merrill Kelly 183.1 46% 13% 21% 19% 0% 68% 4
Aaron Civale 57.2 39% 7% 11% 29% 15% 67% 3
Masahiro Tanaka 182 31% 28% 3% 2% 36% 67% 3
Daniel Mengden 59.2 53% 11% 10% 12% 14% 67% 3
Nathan Eovaldi 67.2 43% 14% 18% 22% 3% 66% 4
Edwin Jackson 67.2 39% 7% 3% 27% 25% 65% 3

 

<65% are Two Pitches
Name IP FB% CH% CU% CT% SL% Top 2 % Pitches > 12%
Marco Gonzales 203 40% 24% 16% 20% 0% 64% 4
Anibal Sanchez 166 35% 28% 6% 28% 3% 63% 3
Clay Buchholz 59 35% 20% 17% 28% 0% 63% 4
Trent Thornton 154.1 47% 9% 13% 16% 16% 63% 4
Trevor Bauer 213 42% 8% 20% 16% 14% 62% 4
Ryan Yarbrough 141.2 24% 26% 0% 37% 13% 61% 4
Alex Young 83.1 36% 20% 20% 23% 0% 59% 4
Mike Leake 197 32% 21% 4% 26% 16% 58% 4
CC Sabathia 107.1 15% 12% 0% 43% 30% 58% 4

Pull Hitters (link)

These are left-handed batters who pull the ball more than 45% of time and projections seem to not take the production drop from being shifted into account.

High Pull Left-Handed Hitters
Name PA Pull%
Jared Walsh 87 56.8%
Rafael Ortega 96 54.5%
Sam Hilliard 87 53.7%
Max Kepler 596 53.4%
Joey Gallo 297 52.7%
D.J. Stewart 142 52.5%
Willie Calhoun 337 51.9%
Matt Olson 547 51.7%
Matt Thaiss 164 51.6%
Matt Adams 333 51.5%
Kole Calhoun 632 50.5%
J.T. Riddle 139 50.0%
Billy McKinney 276 49.5%
Cavan Biggio 430 49.4%
Tony Kemp 279 49.3%
Brian McCann 316 49.1%
Joc Pederson 514 49.0%
Eddie Rosario 590 48.8%
Cory Spangenberg 102 48.3%
Derek Dietrich 306 48.3%
Cody Bellinger 660 47.9%
Rougned Odor 581 47.4%
Mitch Moreland 335 47.3%
Gregory Polanco 167 47.1%
Alex Avila 201 46.9%
Kyle Tucker 72 46.8%
Yonder Alonso 335 46.4%
Matt Carpenter 492 46.4%
Jeff McNeil 567 46.3%
Scott Schebler 95 46.3%
Brett Gardner 550 46.2%
Curtis Granderson 363 46.2%
Odubel Herrera 139 45.7%
Austin Allen 71 45.5%
Matt Beaty 268 45.4%
Chance Sisco 198 45.3%
Matt Joyce 238 45.2%
Austin Meadows 591 45.1%
Josh VanMeter 260 45.1%

Highly-Touted Hitting Prospects (link)

These are the highly touted hitters from our top-100 prospect ranking and are being drafted in NFBC leagues (Note: Both rankings may be off as the lists are in constant flux right now). I found basic projections underestimate the top prospects.

Highly Touted Hitting Prospects
Name Team Position Future Value Ranke Min ADP Avg ADP Max ADP Projected OPS
Luis Robert CHW CF 55 18 78 109 139 .802
Gavin Lux LAD 2B 60 9 121 158 206 .761
Jo Adell LAA RF 65 3 134 190 240 .700
Sean Murphy OAK C 55 29 200 239 281 .746
Nick Madrigal CHW 2B 55 25 212 277 371 .734
Carter Kieboom WSN SS 60 12 212 289 330 .753
Dylan Carlson STL LF 50 40 220 293 373 .744
Nico Hoerner CHC 2B 50 49 244 348 428 .733
Ryan Mountcastle BAL LF 50 99 315 393 456 .768
Brendan Rodgers COL SS 55 16 333 404 471 .778
Evan White SEA 1B 50 77 253 438 672 .734
Joey Bart SFG C 55 17 343 456 583 .670
Alec Bohm PHI 3B 50 41 345 468 591 .776
Wander Franco TBR SS 70 1 307 486 688 .656
Alex Kirilloff MIN RF 50 48 385 488 562 .751
Ke’Bryan Hayes PIT 3B 60 14 381 500 584 .695
Royce Lewis MIN SS 65 2 382 541 689 .654
Cristian Pache ATL CF 60 13 360 545 604 .689
Daulton Varsho ARI C 50 62 415 569 612 .764
Monte Harrison MIA CF 50 98 364 583 702 .657
Drew Waters ATL CF 55 21 400 601 695 .697
Adley Rutschman BAL C 60 6 455 618 688 .516
Jarred Kelenic SEA CF 55 32 546 647 730 .720
Vidal Brujan TBR 2B 55 15 281 651 737 .656
Jesus Sanchez MIA RF 50 47 541 667 731 .666
Keibert Ruiz LAD C 60 11 546 671 724 .669
Nolan Jones CLE 3B 50 46 534 673 734 .736
Tyler Stephenson CIN C 50 53 588 702 731 .677
Taylor Trammell SDP LF 55 27 552 716 746 .646
Jazz Chisholm MIA SS 55 28 505 722 748 .639
Andres Gimenez NYM SS 50 76 556 726 747 .615
Yusniel Diaz BAL RF 50 88 637 727 747 .727
Julio Rodriguez SEA RF 50 44 576 731 735 .628
Andrew Vaughn CHW 1B 50 39 592 732 686 .609
Isaac Paredes DET 3B 50 81 640 737 749 .733
Brandon Marsh LAA CF 50 74 693 744 746 .672
Jonathan India CIN 3B 50 51 662 745 747 .682
Trevor Larnach MIN RF 50 54 650 747 731 .737
Nolan Gorman STL 3B 55 33 684 748 734 .588
Heliot Ramos SFG RF 50 52 719 749 742 .677

Hitters Running Faster (link)

Batters who see a bump in their sprint speed outperform their projections and those who have a large drop underperform them.

Hitters Who Gained Spring Speed
Name 2018 Sprint Speed 2019 Spring Speed Difference
Erik Gonzalez 27.4 28.6 1.2
Jay Bruce 25.5 26.7 1.2
Christian Arroyo 26.6 27.7 1.1
Mark Reynolds 24.4 25.3 0.9
Corey Seager 26.0 26.9 0.9
Alex Avila 23.8 24.6 0.8
Bryce Harper 27.5 28.3 0.8
Adam Eaton 27.5 28.3 0.8
Jesus Sucre 22.9 23.6 0.7
Kyle Farmer 26.6 27.3 0.7
Curt Casali 24.5 25.2 0.7
Yangervis Solarte 24.7 25.4 0.7
George Springer 27.7 28.4 0.7
Adam Duvall 28.0 28.7 0.7
Eduardo Nunez 27.5 28.1 0.6
Kyle Seager 25.9 26.5 0.6
Jorge Alfaro 28.2 28.8 0.6
Max Stassi 25.7 26.3 0.6
Shin-Soo Choo 26.0 26.6 0.6
Tomas Nido 25.1 25.7 0.6
Blake Swihart 27.1 27.7 0.6
Kevin Kiermaier 28.9 29.4 0.5
Ryan McMahon 25.9 26.4 0.5
Luke Maile 25.9 26.4 0.5
Anthony Santander 27.0 27.5 0.5
Jose Altuve 28.1 28.6 0.5
Teoscar Hernandez 28.6 29.1 0.5
Albert Almora Jr. 27.9 28.4 0.5

 

Hitters Who Lost Spring Speed
Name 2018 Sprint Speed 2019 Spring Speed Difference
David Dahl 28.6 28.1 -0.5
Aaron Hicks 28.1 27.6 -0.5
Evan Longoria 26.9 26.4 -0.5
Ehire Adrianza 26.9 26.4 -0.5
Phillip Ervin 28.0 27.5 -0.5
David Fletcher 28.1 27.6 -0.5
Brian McCann 22.7 22.2 -0.5
Eric Hosmer 26.3 25.8 -0.5
Matt Wieters 24.2 23.7 -0.5
Harrison Bader 30.0 29.5 -0.5
Delino DeShields 30.0 29.5 -0.5
Tim Beckham 27.2 26.7 -0.5
Juan Lagares 28.5 28.0 -0.5
Luke Voit 26.3 25.8 -0.5
Tyler Austin 27.2 26.7 -0.5
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 28.0 27.5 -0.5
Starlin Castro 27.4 26.9 -0.5
Carlos Gonzalez 27.5 27.0 -0.5
Ryan Zimmerman 26.7 26.2 -0.5
Chris Iannetta 25.3 24.8 -0.5
Yadiel Rivera 29.2 28.7 -0.5
Tyler Naquin 27.5 27.0 -0.5
Tyler White 25.7 25.2 -0.5
Matt Carpenter 26.5 26.0 -0.5
Elias Diaz 26.6 26.1 -0.5
Kevin Newman 29.0 28.5 -0.5
Justin Turner 26.6 26.1 -0.5
Rafael Ortega 27.9 27.4 -0.5
Ramon Laureano 29.0 28.5 -0.5
Daniel Descalso 26.8 26.3 -0.5
Dee Gordon 29.0 28.5 -0.5
Khris Davis 26.2 25.6 -0.6
Danny Jansen 27.9 27.3 -0.6
Marwin Gonzalez 26.4 25.8 -0.6
Austin Romine 26.4 25.8 -0.6
Andrew Benintendi 27.7 27.1 -0.6
Paul DeJong 28.2 27.6 -0.6
Austin Meadows 28.7 28.1 -0.6
Omar Narvaez 25.2 24.6 -0.6
Bobby Wilson 23.8 23.2 -0.6
Anthony Rendon 27.3 26.7 -0.6
Miguel Cabrera 24.1 23.5 -0.6
Ronny Rodriguez 28.0 27.4 -0.6
Ian Desmond 28.1 27.5 -0.6
Buster Posey 24.8 24.2 -0.6
Jeff McNeil 27.8 27.2 -0.6
Jarrod Dyson 29.0 28.4 -0.6
Billy Hamilton 30.1 29.5 -0.6
Francisco Cervelli 25.8 25.2 -0.6
J.P. Crawford 28.0 27.4 -0.6
Gleyber Torres 27.1 26.5 -0.6
JB Shuck 29.5 28.9 -0.6
Nick Williams 28.4 27.7 -0.7
Dansby Swanson 29.4 28.7 -0.7
Johan Camargo 26.3 25.6 -0.7
Mitch Haniger 27.8 27.1 -0.7
Daniel Robertson 27.7 27.0 -0.7
Pablo Sandoval 25.0 24.3 -0.7
Steven Duggar 28.9 28.2 -0.7
Giancarlo Stanton 27.8 27.1 -0.7
Stephen Piscotty 26.7 26.0 -0.7
Chris Davis 25.5 24.8 -0.7
Victor Caratini 25.7 25.0 -0.7
Zack Cozart 26.6 25.9 -0.7
Tyler Saladino 28.6 27.9 -0.7
Lucas Duda 24.9 24.1 -0.8
Scooter Gennett 26.4 25.6 -0.8
Lorenzo Cain 28.6 27.8 -0.8
Wilmer Difo 28.6 27.8 -0.8
Luis Urias 28.0 27.2 -0.8
Ketel Marte 28.7 27.9 -0.8
JaCoby Jones 29.1 28.3 -0.8
Jose Peraza 28.8 28.0 -0.8
Andrelton Simmons 27.1 26.3 -0.8
Tucker Barnhart 25.0 24.1 -0.9
Jose Iglesias 28.0 27.1 -0.9
David Freese 26.5 25.6 -0.9
Hernan Perez 28.0 27.1 -0.9
Neil Walker 26.5 25.6 -0.9
Eddie Rosario 28.0 27.1 -0.9
Francisco Lindor 28.4 27.5 -0.9
Matt Kemp 26.3 25.4 -0.9
Jurickson Profar 27.6 26.7 -0.9
Charlie Blackmon 27.6 26.7 -0.9
Freddy Galvis 26.8 25.9 -0.9
Tommy La Stella 26.6 25.7 -0.9
Josh Reddick 27.7 26.7 -1.0
Brett Phillips 29.0 28.0 -1.0
Chance Sisco 25.5 24.5 -1.0
Yoan Moncada 28.8 27.8 -1.0
Gregory Polanco 27.8 26.8 -1.0
Dawel Lugo 28.5 27.5 -1.0
Mike Tauchman 28.9 27.9 -1.0
Howie Kendrick 26.3 25.3 -1.0
Justin Upton 27.8 26.8 -1.0
Ender Inciarte 27.9 26.8 -1.1
Brandon Belt 25.9 24.8 -1.1
Matt Duffy 27.7 26.6 -1.1
Travis Shaw 26.7 25.6 -1.1
Yandy Diaz 27.6 26.5 -1.1
Jesus Aguilar 24.7 23.5 -1.2
Jorge Soler 28.2 27.0 -1.2
Jon Jay 26.0 24.8 -1.2
Tony Kemp 27.6 26.4 -1.2
Jordy Mercer 27.6 26.4 -1.2
Austin Hedges 25.9 24.6 -1.3
Nick Martini 27.1 25.8 -1.3
Jedd Gyorko 25.2 23.8 -1.4
Daniel Vogelbach 25.8 24.1 -1.7
Tom Murphy 28.0 26.2 -1.8

 

While some “beat your favorite author” leagues will be starting soon, head over to the NFBC and sign up for their Draft or Online Championships. Also, for those with deeper pocketbooks, the NFBC Main Events are quickly filling up.

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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won three FSWA Awards including on for his MASH series. In his first two seasons in Tout Wars, he's won the H2H league and mixed auction league. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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Brad Lipton
Member
Brad Lipton

There is a lot of useful information here. But there are a ton of typos that make it hard to read/understand what is meant in some places. Please spend ten minutes re-reading this and making the needed edits.

LenFuego
Member
LenFuego

Jeff puts out as much useful information as anyone, but yeah, his self-editing skills could be a lot better. It would be great if FG had someone to proofread Jeff’s pieces before publishing.