Archive for Waiver Wire

Ottoneu Hot Right Now: March 31, 2026

Credit: Steven Bisig-Imagn Images

Hot Right Now (HRN) is a weekly Ottoneu feature focused on popular players currently being auctioned or players who you should think about auctioning in your Ottoneu leagues. Even if you don’t play Ottoneu, we’ll be highlighting players you should be looking at in deeper and keeper formats. In this feature, we will break down players into two sections:

  1. Current Auctions: A closer look at players being auctioned at a high rate.
  2. Hot Performers: Players with a high P/G or P/IP over the last 14 days who are also rostered in 80% of leagues or less. (I won’t include this section until we’re a few weeks into the regular season.)

The RotoGraphs Ottoneu team plans to run this feature weekly, updating fantasy managers on the biggest movers in Ottoneu leagues with an analysis of how these players could or could not help your roster.

Current Auctions

Emerson Hancock — 146 current auctions — 12.8% roster%

Emerson Hancock threw the best start of his career to open the 2026 season, blanking the Guardians over six hitless innings while setting a career high for strikeouts with nine. Despite being the sixth overall pick in the 2020 draft and working his way through Seattle’s vaunted pitching development pipeline, Hancock has struggled across parts of three seasons in the big leagues. Coming into this season, his career FIP was sitting over five with just a 15.6% strikeout rate.

Hancock had a pretty good spring training as he worked on honing his pitch mix; he struck out 21 across 15 innings of work in Arizona. The improvements were evident in his performance on Sunday evening. The biggest difference for him was a four-seamer that featured nearly three inches of added IVB and a sweeper that featured more than an inch and a half of added horizontal break. We don’t have arm angle data yet in this young season, but I suspect that the new movement profile on Hancock’s pitches is thanks to a slightly lower arm slot. He’s lowered his arm angle pretty significantly over the last two years and his release height was a few inches lower in his start on Sunday.

The issue with Hancock is opportunity. He’s getting this shot in the starting rotation because Bryce Miller started the year on the IL with an oblique injury which will keep him sidelined into May. Of course, Hancock made 16 starts last year because four of the five Mariners’ starters spent time on the IL during the season. Hancock looks like he’s finally made the adjustments he needed to to become a successful big league pitcher, and for now, he’ll have a spot in Seattle’s rotation to prove that he can stick.

Cole Sands — 87 current auctions — 21.3% roster%

The first save of the season for the Twins went to Cole Sands on Saturday. He walked one and struck out two en route to closing out a 3-1 win over the Orioles. The ninth inning picture in Minnesota was very unclear this offseason and Sands was one of the primary candidates to pick up saves alongside Taylor Rogers and Justin Topa.

Like I said in this column last week, you don’t have to go chasing saves in Ottoneu leagues (non-5×5 leagues, anyway) which means we’re free to evaluate relief pitchers on their skills rather than their role. For Sands, the 29.1% strikeout rate he ran in 2024 definitely looks like the outlier; the 21.4% mark matched what he ran in 2023 and it was a few points lower than that in his debut year in ‘22. He’s got solid command but doesn’t have the overpowering stuff you’d normally see from a high-leverage reliever. I’m not sure there’s anyone better in the Twins bullpen right now, so Sands could definitely run away with the ninth inning job early this season.

Randy Vásquez — 64 current auctions — 11.7% roster%

The big story for Randy Vásquez this spring was a huge jump in velocity. We saw the effects of that extra oomph in his first start against the Tigers on Saturday; six scoreless innings with eight strikeouts. His fastball averaged 95.0 mph after sitting around 93.5 mph last year, and his sinker, curveball, sweeper, and changeup all saw similar jumps in velocity as well. The only pitch that wasn’t thrown harder was his cutter and that pitch had a completely different movement profile. It was a bit flatter with a couple of inches of added horizontal movement and Vásquez earned three whiffs on seven swings against that pitch (a 43% whiff rate). I’m also encouraged by the added velocity on his breaking balls; he earned a combined four whiffs off his curveball and sweeper.

The extra velocity is great to see, but batters will adjust to the added heat on his fastball. I’m interested to see if his breaking balls have turned into swing-and-miss weapons and if the cutter is going to be more effective now that it’s acting more like a hard slider. We could be witnessing a pretty significant step forward from Vásquez but you might want to wait a week to see if he can prove it against a tough Red Sox lineup this weekend. If you have to make a bid now, bid conservatively and be cautious in using him against Boston.

Jordan Romano — 55 current auctions — 42.0% roster%

Everything I said about Sands and high-leverage opportunities above could be copied and pasted here for Jordan Romano. At least with Romano, you have the long history of success in the ninth inning earlier in his career. Injuries derailed his career back in 2024 and he was pretty terrible in 2025 for the Phillies. His fastball velocity is actually a tick lower than it was last year at just 94.6 mph. It’s really early, but that isn’t encouraging. What is encouraging is the amount of carry he’s getting on his heater. The pitch is seeing nearly two inches of added IVB this year and a lot less armside movement. His release height is a few inches higher which seems to have given his four-seamer much purer backspin.

The Angels signed a bunch of veteran relievers this offseason — including Romano, Kirby Yates, and Drew Pomeranz — and that trio should be in the mix for saves until Ben Joyce returns from the IL. If Romano has truly turned back time and figured out how to make his fastball more effective despite his reduced velocity, he could be a solid pick up. The down tick in velocity worries me, however, and I’d want to wait to see if he’s really back to his old self before chasing him.

Luke Raley — 42 current auctions — 11.1% roster%

Luke Raley blasted home runs in three straight games to start the season, a very good sign for his health. An April oblique injury shelved Raley for two months last year and his swing was never right even after returning during the second half of the season. It’s pretty easy to diagnose what the underlying problem was. Even though his contact quality stayed relatively stable, his swing speed dropped from 75.0 mph to 73.8 mph after his injury. Through four games this year — a small sample to be sure — his swing speed is back up to 74.3 mph.

If you remember his breakout season in 2023 or his equally fantastic follow up in ‘24, you know that Raley can be a solid contributor in leagues with deep rosters like Ottoneu. The Mariners will utilize him in a pretty strict platoon so he won’t provide everyday at-bats for your fantasy team. When he’s in the lineup, he’s been productive, and it looks like his swing is back to normal after last year’s disaster.


FAAB Frenzy and Waivers Wild: Week 2

Kansas City Royals pitcher Lucas Erceg (60) pitches against the Atlanta Braves during the ninth inning at Truist Park.
Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images

Every Monday, this column will break down the most popular waiver wire and free agent acquisitions of the weekend.

Fantasy baseball managers know that our game is the ultimate test of grit, grind, tenacity, and patience. Unlike fantasy football, where league titles can be won with minimal in-season activity, fantasy baseball leagues require incessant attention and activity. Particularly when it comes to free agent adds and drops. Real-life baseball managers are constantly adjusting batting orders, players are frequently optioned to and promoted from the Minor Leagues, and injuries occur almost daily. There’s no resting on our laurels. We must always stay vigilant with league news and notes and remain active on the waiver wire if we want to win our leagues.

Every week, I’ll dig into the top adds on the ever-popular Fantrax and in the NFBC Online Championship (OC), a national mid-stakes contest with 240 total leagues of 12 and a six-figure grand prize. Reviewing player adds between the two should provide us with a well-rounded perspective and barometer of the fantasy baseball marketplace.

Week 2 Overview

The 2026 season is only five days old, but we’d be lying if we said we weren’t already on tilt with certain players we love and have drafted. Wyatt Langford and Bo Bichette have started the season off slumping (1-14 each). Paul Skenes, Jesús Luzardo, Nathan Eovaldi, and Logan Webb have already set our ratios back, and I’m sure some would like to forget about what happened to Carlos Estévez on Saturday night (I’ll remind you: six earned runs). For every stud who has scorned us, there is a guy in the free agent pool who earned a save, twirled a gem, or hit two bombs over the weekend. Sometimes, a few of those players end up on our squads for the long haul and provide phenomenal value. Most of the time, though, these are players we’ll be throwing back into the FA pool with no roto life vest after they’ve fooled us and decimated our WHIPs and batting averages. Speaking of, where’s Kyren Paris playing these days?

Fantasy managers in the OC and on Fantrax were mostly in sync with the top targets and acquisitions of this past weekend. Let’s review the groups.

NFBC Online Championship – Top Average Winning Bids
Player Team Position % Added AWB
Jordan Romano LAA RP 80% $173
Lucas Erceg KC RP 30% $170
Cole Sands MIN RP 90% $67
Carmen Mlodzinski PIT SP 17% $56
Emerson Hancock SEA SP 77% $42
Dominic Canzone SEA OF 25% $40
Owen Caissie MIA OF 33% $39
Nolan Schanuel LAA 1B 45% $37
Kyle Harrison MIL SP 18% $37
Nasim Nuñez WAS 2B 26% $30
Jordan Walker STL OF 26% $29
Ryne Stanek STL RP 58% $28
Max Scherzer TOR SP 19% $26
Michael Wacha KC SP 32% $26

% Added is the percentage of leagues that added the player; AWB stands for average winning bid

Fantrax – Most Popular Player Adds (+/-)
Player Team Position Roster % +/-
Jordan Romano LAA RP 47% 28%
Jake Bauers MIL 1B,OF 30% 22%
Dominic Canzone SEA OF 63% 21%
Randy Vasquez SD SP 42% 19%
Luke Raley SEA 1B,OF 31% 18%
Ryne Stanek STL RP 20% 16%
Joey Wiemer WSH OF 16% 13%
Chase DeLauter CLE OF 94% 10%
Emerson Hancock SEA SP 26% 10%
Eric Lauer 라우어 TOR SP 43% 10%
Lucas Erceg KC RP 48% 10%

Roster % is the current percentage of leagues rostering the player; +/-  is the percentage of leagues the player was added in the previous week

Closers

There are very few better feelings in fantasy baseball than scooping up a closer off waivers or free agency early in the season. Around this time last year, there were three big pickups – Emilio Pagán, Will Vest, and Luke Jackson. Pagán worked out splendidly, Vest earned 20+ saves. Jackson didn’t pan out, though he was racking up saves in the first month. Jordan Romano, Lucas Erceg and Cole Sands were the big three pickups of Week 2.

The closers job for the Angels was up in the air through most of the offseason. They signed veterans Romano, Kirby Yates, and Drew Pomeranz (a lefty). Robert Stephenson got hurt again, and Ben Joyce wasn’t quite ready, so it seemed like Yates was in the lead. Yates landed on the IL (knee inflammation) two days before the season. Romano took the bull by the horns coming off a strong spring (6 IP – 1 ER – 1 BB – 6 K), earned a clean on save on Thursday and pitched a scoreless ninth in a non-save situation on Friday. Market sentiment has been polarizing on Romano. He was added in 28% of Fantrax leagues and 80% of OCs with an average winning bid of $173, but there are many managers out there who are dubious on his ability to stay healthy. They also can’t forget about last year’s ratio reckoning (8.23 ERA, 1.45 WHIP in 42.2 IP). Will he hold the job all season? Nobody knows. That’s why we play the game. Yates is expected back soon, but isn’t likely to outright steal the job from him, unless it’s the perfect storm of Yates dominating while Romano is faltering. I’d bet on Romano holding the job down for at least the next two months.

The heavy Lucas Erceg waiver/free agent activity is a case of utilizing our fantasy instincts and common sense. Estévez overperformed his underlying metrics last season and was struggling with extreme velocity dips in the spring. Had Erceg not earned a save this weekend, I’m sure he would still be a popular acquisition, considering Estévez’s struggles. Erceg was a dominant high-leverage reliever for the Athletics in 2024 (22.1% K-BB, 13.8% SwStr). He was serviceable last season with the Royals, though his strikeout rate took a massive tumble from the previous season (28.5% to 19.3%), though he wasn’t at full health. Erceg is the top righty in this bullpen and has a good chance to run away with this job. Estévez has been a solid ninth-inning guy over the last few seasons, but is clearly not at full strength and he is now being evaluated for a possible IL stint. Erceg is the priority add in daily leagues with saves.

I can almost assure you that the Case of Who is the Twins Closer is far from being solved. Cole Sands earned the save opportunity on Saturday and closed it out. He walked one, struck out two and didn’t allow a run in their 3-1 win over the Orioles. On Thursday, lefty Taylor Rogers pitched the final inning (eighth) in a non-save opportunity. Rogers has much more closing experience, but his skills have been slowly dissipating over the last couple of seasons. Sands doesn’t have dynamic stuff nor is he a prototypical closer (sub-10% swinging strike rate in 2025), but he has plus control and a low career walk rate (6.9%). Sands could run away with the job, but I believe that new manager Derek Shelton will deploy Sands or Rogers situationally, depending on whether opposing lefties or righties are coming up in the ninth. Justin Topa could earn opportunities as well, but is behind Sands and Rogers in the pecking order for now.

Starting Pitchers

Emerson Hancock snuck up on the fantasy world with an impeccable outing on Sunday night – nine punchouts and no hits allowed over six innings. Social media was raving over his new sweeper and pitch mix changes as fantasy managers ran to their waivers to acquire and to increase their free agent bid amounts. Hancock had been inconsistent across 28 starts over the last two seasons, including several ERA-damaging outings of 5+ earned runs or more. Hancock certainly looked like a different guy on Sunday night. Will he be a top 20 SP? Probably not. Could this be his breakout season? Very possible. Bryce Miller is no lock to take Hancock’s rotation spot, let alone remain healthy for the season. If Hancock is pitching well when Miller returns, it’s likely that Miller is moved to the bullpen in a multi-inning capacity. One start is far too small of a sample to base strong stands around, but I’m happy to give a talented arm in Seattle the benefit of the doubt.

Kyle Harrison is rostered in most 15-team leagues. His roster rate in OCs was raised from 77% to 99% with a two-start week on tap against the Rays (home) and Royals (road). Harrison had a 20:4 K:BB with nine earned runs allowed in 14 spring innings. He developed a blister before the season started, but is ready to go for his Brewers’ debut. If this week goes poorly, expect to see him back in the free agent pool next weekend. I will be paying close attention to the details instead of just combing the box scores. Harrison and new teammate Brandon Sproat (disaster start on Sunday) are talented pitchers in a good organization and we shouldn’t judge them too harshly on small samples. On the flip side, they’ll have to earn their keep because Logan Henderson (in Triple-A) and Quinn Priester (expected to return in late-April) will be lurking.

Padres righty Randy Vásquez was a popular pickup on Fantrax after his strong outing against the Tigers on Saturday: 6 IP  – 2 H – 0 ER – 3 BB – 8 K. Vásquez posted a 3.84 ERA (5.51 xFIP, 5.43 SIERA) in 133.2 innings last season, most of them as a starter. He hasn’t been helpful in strikeouts (14% K rate since 2024), but his velocity uptick on Saturday’s start was significant (FB up from 93.4 to 95 mph). Fantasy managers with deep rotations should consider alternatives for this week since he faces the Red Sox in Fenway. We can start him  with confidence for his Week 3 start, at home against the Rockies.

Pirates RHP Carmen Mlodzinski is a guy to monitor in public and home leagues across the world of Fantrax, RT Sports, ESPN, CBS, and Yahoo. He opened last season in the rotation, but it was a rough run — a 5.67 ERA and 1.61 WHIP over nine starts. He was converted to a relief role, and excelled in it — 2.12 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 25.5% K, 6.3% BB in 59.1 IP. He punched out eight Mets in 4.1 innings on Sunday and lines up to face the Orioles at home this weekend.

Hitters

Guardians rookie Chase DeLauter is the hottest hitter in the Majors in the first half-week with four home runs in 17 plate appearances. His roster percentage is up to 94 on Fantrax and 78% on Yahoo. He is locked into the two-hole between Steven Kwan and José Ramírez for the foreseeable future.

Joey Wiemer has appeared in only 48 games since his 2023 rookie season with the Brewers when he hit 13 homers with 11 steals and a .204 average in 410 plate appearances. He earned a job in the Nationals outfield as a short side platoon bat. Wiemer has yet to record an out – six hits and two walks in eight plate appearances. Wiemer likely won’t start against righties often, though he earned one on Monday. Nevertheless, he feels like a flavor of the week we shouldn’t be prioritizing unless it’s a deep 18-teamer or NL-Only league.

Some hot pickups with potential staying power in 12-team leagues and higher are Nasim Nuñez (2B/WAS), Jordan Walker (OF/STL), Dominic Canzone (OF/SEA), and Owen Caissie (OF/MIA). Nuñez popped as a 25+ stolen base guy in projection models this season. Walker worked hard this offseason at Driveline to retool his approach at the plate, had a mediocre spring training, but is off to a strong start through his first three games – .400/.500/.900 with six runs scored and a 100.4 mph average exit velocity (albeit, a tiny sample). Canzone and Caissie are strong side platoon bats for their respective teams. Canzone smashed two dingers in Seattle’s first game. Caissie is 5-10 with a homer and a 25% barrel rate through his first three games. Daily leaguers can optimize matchups this week, but folks in weekly or half-weekly leagues should consider benching them. The Marlins are slated to face 2-of-6 southpaws and the Mariners 3-of-6, which projects their max games played this week at four (Caissie) and three (Canzone). Our shallower leagues should have a better outfielder to start this week.

Drop of the Week

Sadly, it’s Andrew Vaughn of the Brewers. He suffered a hamate fracture in his left hand is expected to miss 4-6 weeks. Vaughn is worth stashing on your IL, or on the bench of 15-team leagues with a bench of eight or more. Otherwise, feel free to cut him and keep abreast of his return to pick him up in about a month or so.


Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:29

Jeff Zimmerman: I’ll go ahead and get started.

7:30

Jeff Zimmerman:

7:30

Jeff Zimmerman: There are the winning bids from the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues.

7:31

Catcher Dilemna: 14 team / one catcher mixed league…Rutschman , F Alvarez or Badilo ?

7:31

Jeff Zimmerman: Alvarez for me

7:31

Beavers Potting: Is it too early to give up on Beavers in a 12 team roto (5 OF/OBP)? Because I did already.

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FAAB & Waiver Wire Report (Week 1)


Kyle Ross-Imagn Images

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now, while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. I start players being added at CBS who started the week on less than 40% of rosters.

The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference, grouped by hitters, starters, and relievers.

Read the rest of this entry »


An Ottoneu Pickup at Each Position

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With the first games underway, we are going to be flooded with new information. All the spring lineup speculation will give way to actual lineups. The dream that someone might not be stuck in a platoon will die. The hope that a player’s newfound spring plate discipline is a game changer will be dashed. And before too long, you will learn where your roster is deep enough to withstand those losses, plus injuries, and where you aren’t.

You will also potentially have some open roster spots. Maybe you roster Justin Steele and now he is on the 60-day IL. Maybe one of those guys you were dreaming on turns into a cut by April. The good news is, sudden roster needs and suddenly available roster spots go together like a hot dog and a beer – the existence of the former means you probably need the latter, and the latter is just so much better when you pair it with the former.

So let’s try to find readily available players to fill those needs on your open roster. Here is one guy at each position who is currently <50% rostered in Ottoneu who you can go out and pick up if you find yourself in need.N

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Big Kid Adds (Preseason)


Matt Marton-Imagn Images

Historically, when I’ve done the Big Kid Adds, I looked at the players added in about half of the Elite Leagues (previously named High Stakes). Most of the leagues had just drafted, so there weren’t many moves. This week, I decided to dive into the guys added in two leagues or those that warranted double-digit bids.

Hitters

Moisés Ballesteros: Ballesteros can hit, but it might be hard for the 22-year-old to get full-time at-bats at DH. A solid 20 HR and .275 AVG bat.

Carson Williams: With an injury to Taylor Walls, Williams is now the Rays’ starting shortstop. I think the idea of Carson Williams might be better than the actual player. While he has shown the ability to hit for power and steal bases in AAA, he has major contact issues. In 466 AAA plate appearances, he has a 34% K%. In 106 PA last year in the majors, he posted a 42% K%. And he showed no improvement this Spring Training, with his Contact% dropping from 74% last year to 69%. He’s a broke man’s Oneil Cruz.

Jake Meyers: I’d not be surprised if Meyers ends up being one of the most added and dropped players this year. There will be weeks when he’ll be needed because of an injury replacement.

Starters

Carmen Mlodzinski (2): Lots of preseason talk revolved around Mlodzinski going to the bullpen. Now he’s in the rotation, and I’m interested. Last season, he posted a 3.60 xFIP (8.1 K/9, 48% GB%). And he went off this spring with a 10.2 K/9, 1.5 BB/9, and 57% GB%. He’s changed his pitch mix by leaning into his sinker (67% GB%), splitter (23% SwStr%, 50% GB%), and curve (12% SwStr%, 68% GB%). A must add to see where this goes.

Sean Burke (2): He’s in the White Sox rotation, but has been struggling. The biggest key for him is throwing strikes, as seen by his 4.2 BB/9 last season. His walk rate is down to 3.1 BB/9 in Spring Training. The only change is that he’s not throwing his subpar curveball (9% SwStr%, 42% GB%) as much.

Ryan Johnson (2): Johnson made the Angels rotation. He got hit around last year with a 2.5 HR/9 and .426 BABIP, but posted a 3.97 xFIP. This spring, he focused on his sinker (67% GB%) and splitter (67% GB%), and his groundball rate increased to 57%. He might have similar results to his teammate, José Soriano.

Brandon Sproat: Made the Brewers rotation after a solid 9 IP (2.51 xFIP) this spring. All his pitch velocities increased by 1-2 mph. He threw five pitches between 34% and 14% last season and continued those rates this Spring Training. The four-seamer and change stink, and he might have some upside if he cut down or eliminated their usage.

Landen Roupp: I was hoping he would improve his control after a 3.8 BB/9 last season. Nope, his walk rate jumped to 4.9 BB/9 this spring. He can miss bats and keep the ball on the ground, but he just walks too many batters.

Walker Buehler: By default, he’s in the Padres rotation. He’s been horrible over the last two seasons (5.10 ERA, 4.86 xFIP, 1.53 WHIP) and lost almost 2 mph on his pitches this spring. There are so many better options.

Rhett Lowder: While Lowder’s ERA is all over the place, one item remains constant: he walks a ton of batters (4.5 BB/9 this spring). He destroys a team’s WHIP. In deep leagues, he might be worth adding-and-benching to see if he can start throwing strikes, but be ready to move on once a better option materializes.

Eduardo Rodriguez: In the WBC, he threw over four innings of shutout ball against the USA team. He’s had good starts before, never sticking.  Over 10 seasons, his talent has varied from streamable to unplayable. I don’t expect that to change this year.

Relievers

Jordan Romano (2): Possibly in the mix for Saves with the Angels.

Didier Fuentes: After a great spring (0.22 WHIP, 0.66 ERA), the 20-year-old will be used out of the bullpen as a long reliever.

JoJo Romero: Possibly in the mix for Saves with the Cardinals.


Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: No FAAB bids from Tout Wars because their FAAB runs on Tuesday night this week.

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: As for refreshments, I’m enjoying a New Riff single barrel.

7:32
Rhys Hoskins: What are you spending on him in deep AL only?  Is $5 too much?

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Min bid. No need to spend resources on him.

7:32
Guest: What’s the best 2 save specs out of: Grant Taylor, Cole Sands, JJ Romero, Matt Strahm, Jordan Romano? Or should I just ignore them all?

Read the rest of this entry »


FAAB & Waiver Wire Report (Preseason)


Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images

Normally, I rank players using CBS’s rostership rate changes. The values are off this week because many drafts are still going on. Guys like Shohei Otani and Aaron Judge are the most added players (who knew?). So for this week, I took the players who saw their ADP jump the most in NFBC draft-and-hold leagues, with the start of Spring Training being the cutoff point. Read the rest of this entry »


Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome and congrats for making it through the season.

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the few adds in the two 15-team redraft Tout Wars league.

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: FYI, I’m watching the Chefs game, so I might get distracted.

7:32
Jed Stone: K. Harrison or A. Blubaugh in deep AL only roto?

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Harrison for this year. I’m worried Blubaugh won’t go deep into his game.

Read the rest of this entry »


FAAB & Waiver Wire Report (Week 26)


Denny Medley-Imagn Images

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now, while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference, grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters.

Batters

Sal Stewart: He hit 4 HR in 48 PA since being promoted and started in eight of the last 10 games.

Harrison Bader: Leading off every day for the Phillies.

Daylen Lile: Batting cleanup every game with 6 HR, 8 SB, and .286 AVG in 326 PA.

Austin Martin: Starting and batting second.  He has a .295 AVG and 9 SB in 151 PA.

Caleb Durbin: Started in 14 straight games with a .741 OPS on the season.

Romy Gonzalez: Starting some against righties with seven starts in the last 10 games. A .749 OPS in August.

Jake Burger: Started only three times in the last five games. Batting .229/.255/.521 since coming off the IL.

Zach Cole: Six starts in the last seven games. Batting .273/.360/.545 with 2 HR (36% K%, .364 BABIP).

J.P. Crawford: Batting ninth but playing every game. Normal season for him with a .268 AVG, 11 HR, and 8 SB.

Jared Triolo: Qualified at all four infield positions while batting .226/.318/.351 with 6 HR and 12 SB in 340 PA.

Ha-Seong Kim 김하성: Since joining the Braves, he has been productive (.316/.375/.439) but with 0 SB.

Chase Meidroth: In the second half, he’s batting .306/.363/.414 with just 2 SB.

Dominic Canzone: Strong-side platoon bat who is hitting .400/.441/.733 in September.

Jake Mangum: Only three starts in the last seven games, but a nice source of stolen bases (26 SB).

Mickey Moniak: Colorado will be on the road next week (at SEA, at SF). Hopefully, there are better options.

Brandon Marsh: Eight starts in the last 10 games with middling overall numbers (11 HR, 6 SB, .283 AVG).

Carlos Cortes: Just four starts in seven games, but 4 HR in 82 PA.

Kody Clemens: Even with a September .923 OPS, he started seven of the last 10 games.

Josh Bell: Just seven starts in the last 10 games. Not good enough to be fantasy relevant if not playing.

Thomas Saggese: Starting every game at shortstop but not much else (2 HR, 3 SB, .266 AVG in 261 PA).

Bryce Eldridge: Strong-side platoon bat with major contact issues (50% K%, 54% Contact%). Of the 626 batters with 10 PA, Eldridge’s Contact% is the fourth lowest.

Otto Kemp: Now irrelevant with Alec Bohm off the IL.

Catchers

Carter Jensen: Six straight starts with three of the games coming as the DH. So far, he has a 1.135 OPS with 2 HR.

Gabriel Moreno: Solid source of batting average (.285 AVG) with a little more power and contact this season.

Moisés Ballesteros: Started at DH in seven of the last eight games. Solid bat with 2 HR and a .286 AVG.

Tyler Stephenson: While he provides some power (11 HR), an increase in his strikeout rate means a .223 AVG.

Patrick Bailey: Started hitting for power in September (4 HR, .255 ISO). His season-long stats are almost identical for previous seasons.

 

CBS Hitter Rostership Rates
Name Previous Roster% Current Roster% Change
Mickey Moniak RF  COL 40% 47% 7%
Caleb Durbin 3B  MIL 39% 45% 6%
Jake Burger 1B  TEX 38% 41% 3%
J.P. Crawford SS  SEA 36% 38% 2%
Gabriel Moreno C  ARI 34% 40% 6%
Tyler Stephenson C  CIN 34% 35% 1%
Harrison Bader CF  PHI 30% 40% 10%
Sal Stewart 1B  CIN 25% 31% 6%
Daylen Lile RF  WAS 23% 32% 9%
Bryce Eldridge 1B  SF 23% 27% 4%
Romy Gonzalez 1B  BOS 22% 23% 1%
Ha-seong Kim SS  ATL 19% 22% 3%
Jake Mangum LF  TB 19% 20% 1%
Jared Triolo SS  PIT 18% 19% 1%
Chase Meidroth SS  CHW 16% 18% 2%
Josh Bell DH  WAS 15% 17% 2%
Brandon Marsh CF  PHI 13% 17% 4%
Moises Ballesteros DH  CHC 12% 15% 3%
Patrick Bailey C  SF 10% 14% 4%
Kody Clemens 1B  MIN 9% 13% 4%
Carter Jensen DH  KC 6% 8% 2%
Otto Kemp 3B  PHI 5% 9% 4%
Dominic Canzone RF  SEA 4% 6% 2%
Thomas Saggese 2B  STL 4% 6% 2%
Austin Martin LF  MIN 3% 5% 2%
Zach Cole RF  HOU 2% 6% 4%
Carlos Cortes RF  ATH 0% 2% 2%

 

Starters (Team and day of expected start in parentheses)

Trey Yesavage (vs TB, TB): Besides going deep into the game (69 pitches last game), he needs to be added to see if he can repeat his debut (9 K, 2 BB, 1 ER, 5 IP), which was also against the Rays.

Connelly Early (vs DET, Fri): My only worry is that he won’t go five innings for a Win; otherwise, solid add.

Michael McGreevy (at SF, at CHC, Mon, Sun): The two starts are going to get everyone’s attention. While he won’t get many strikeouts, he’s a solid add.

Jason Alexander (at LAA, Friday): Anybody against the Angels is a must start, especially a 4.00 ERA talent.

Ryan Weathers (at PHI, vs NYM, Tues, Sun): Since coming off the IL, he has a 3.68 xFIP while facing the Rockies and Nationals. A chance some fantasy managers need to take, but it could be a ratios explosion.

Stephen Kolek (at LAA, Wed): Easy matchup and has seen his groundballs up and strikeouts down since joining the Royals.

Simeon Woods Richardson (at PHI, Sat): Since being recalled, he upped his splitter (18% SwStr%, 46% GB%) usage to 24% after not throwing the pitch to start the season. Putting a value on him is tough with Sunday’s start (vs CLE) determining his value and/or cost. He could easily be three spots higher or lower, depending on how I feel at the moment.

Chad Patrick (vs CIN, Sat): Solid matchup for a solid arm.

Patrick Corbin (at CLE, Fri): I could see adding the low-4.00’s ERA talent.

Tyler Wells (vs TB, Wed): One of several 4.00 ERA talents with reasonable matchups.

Joey Cantillo (vs TEX, Sat): He has his place in bid lists, but he won’t be the top choice. A fallback option for teams low on FAAB. His 1.30 WHIP (4.2 BB/9) could be a determinant for teams fighting in the category.

Eduardo Rodriguez (at SD, Fri): He’s struggled with walks and hits this season, posting a 1.56 WHIP with no late season changes. Stay away.

 

CBS Starting Pitcher Rostership Rates
Name Previous Roster% Current Roster% Change
Eduardo Rodriguez SP  ARI 35% 37% 2%
Patrick Corbin SP  TEX 34% 35% 1%
Connelly Early SP  BOS 30% 50% 20%
Michael McGreevy SP  STL 27% 30% 3%
Jason Alexander SP  HOU 26% 32% 6%
Ryan Weathers SP  MIA 26% 27% 1%
Joey Cantillo RP  CLE 19% 29% 10%
Chad Patrick SP  MIL 14% 15% 1%
Trey Yesavage SP  TOR 13% 33% 20%
Simeon Woods Richardson SP  MIN 12% 15% 3%
Tyler Wells SP  BAL 11% 17% 6%
Stephen Kolek SP  KC 9% 11% 2%

 

Small Sample Starting Pitcher Stats
Name IP BotERA Pitching+ERA SwStr% ERA FBv ERA SIERA xFIP AVG
Connelly Early 10.1 2.90 3.19 2.35 4.06 1.59 1.44 2.59
Trey Yesavage 5.0 4.08 3.94 0.21 3.94 2.17 1.36 2.62
Simeon Woods Richardson 11.0 4.29 4.75 3.09 4.14 2.57 2.54 3.56
Ryan Weathers 9.0 3.92 3.83 3.56 3.73 3.97 3.68 3.78
Patrick Corbin 11.0 3.66 4.13 3.39 4.22 3.93 3.55 3.81
Chad Patrick 6.1 5.27 4.41 4.70 3.98 2.76 2.38 3.92
Tyler Wells 12.2 4.29 4.23 3.41 4.17 3.62 3.87 3.93
Stephen Kolek 21.0 4.22 4.35 4.49 4.03 3.56 3.22 3.98
Joey Cantillo 13.0 3.85 4.08 3.97 4.21 4.39 4.03 4.09
Eduardo Rodriguez 11.1 3.79 4.09 4.10 4.29 4.48 4.02 4.13
Michael McGreevy 13.0 4.51 4.01 4.98 4.20 3.86 3.72 4.21
Jason Alexander 11.2 4.46 4.67 4.47 4.49 3.94 3.61 4.27

 

Relievers: Saves-based ranks

Shawn Armstrong: Good reliever who is the closer.

Jordan Leasure: Good reliever, but may be now sharing the closer’s role.

Keegan Akin: Average reliever who is the closer (last three Saves).

Riley O’Brien: Good reliever who might be the closer (last two Saves).

Andrew Kittredge: Good reliever who is sharing the closer duties.

Brad Keller: Good reliever who is sharing the closer duties.

Phil Maton: Good reliever who is a step or two from closing.

 

CBS Relief Pitcher Rostership Rates
Name Previous Roster% Current Roster% Change
Shawn Armstrong RP  TEX 23% 31% 8%
Andrew Kittredge RP  CHC 12% 25% 13%
Jordan Leasure RP  CHW 12% 13% 1%
Keegan Akin RP  BAL 11% 12% 1%
Phil Maton RP  TEX 10% 11% 1%
Riley O’Brien RP  STL 6% 7% 1%
Brad Keller RP CHC NA 19% NA