There are a myriad of differences between valuing players and general drafting strategy for a 15-team (or deeper) league versus a 12-team (or shallower) league but I believe the starkest ones lie at reliever. Since this makes doing ‘one-size fits all” rankings particularly difficult, here are a few notes about how I approached them. Read the rest of this entry »
2021 is over and we turn the page to 2022. Here are my current ranks for the first base position for 2022, my second of the offseason. I will post updates as things change with signings, injuries, or news in Major League Baseball. On the Sleeper and the Bust Patreon, you can see the rankings updated live and notes for each player will be added this week.
You can review my ranks for other positions here: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/category/rankings/
Work done by Voros McCracken has shown that a batter’s previous 3-year BABIP is a good predictor for next year’s BABIP, it is known. Here’s a quote from our own glossary:
..changes in BABIP are to be met with caution. If a batter has consistently produced a .310 BABIP and all of a sudden starts a season with a .370 BABIP, you can likely identify this as an instance in which the batter has been lucky unless there has been a significant change in their style of play.
Our next stop on the tour of Ottoneu position rankings is 1B. As a reminder, I am only ranking players where they are likely to be used/most valuable, so players like Josh Bell (OF-eligible), Max Muncy (2B-eligible) and Yasmani Grandal (C-eligible) are not on this list. This is basically a list of anyone who is eligible at 1B, only.
2021 is over and we turn the page to 2022. Here are my current ranks for the first base position for 2022, my second of the offseason. I will post updates as things change with signings, injuries, or news in Major League Baseball.
You can review my ranks for other positions here: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/category/rankings/
Read the rest of this entry »
The first run of ranking is about to done and then I’ll roll out the update at each position with comments added. I’m still reluctant to do a closer ranking at this point, but I know I have to bite the bullet and give y’all something. It is just such a mess at this point. Anyway, that’s later Paul’s problem. Today, it is time for the outfield. It is a really interesting class of outfielders with some really fun pockets of talent going in the mid-to-late rounds of drafts. If you have been reading my Roster Reviews, you will see some Bold Predictions tied to outfielders as I have definitely started to zero on some key guys in my early drafts.
These are for 5×5 15-teamers with a 20-game eligibility threshold.
Let’s discuss in the comments!
1/4/22
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IN FOCUS: SP Ranking Debates Pt. 1
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Almost done with the first set of rankings as I still have OF and RP coming after the SPs today. My rankings with the individual comments will come after the new year, but these will lay the groundwork and show you where I’m at to start. These are for 5×5 15-teamers with a 20-game eligibility threshold.
Let’s discuss in the comments!
One of the greatest fantasy tutorials I’ve ever received came in Jeff Zimmerman and Tanner Bell’s, The Process. In the book, there is a breakdown of two very important valuation systems; standing gains points and z-scores. Our auction calculator, for example, is built around z-scores. For a further dive into both, I highly suggest purchasing a copy of the book. In general, z-scores help us understand how good player A is compared to the rest of the draftable player pool and it can be used as a great jumping-off point for your rankings. I use the word “rankings” because they are not projections and that’s the beauty in z-scores. You are not trying to outsmart projections. Instead, you are using a projection system of your choice to create your rankings. In this post, I’ll be creating z-scores for shortstops in 2022 using Steamer projections.