Archive for Prospects

The Stash List – Mixed Bag Edition

Hey y’all!  This week’s stash list has a little bit of everything.  A son of a hall of famer killing AAA, a righty blowing away the competition in AAA, a base stealing machine in A ball, and a catcher with the appeal of Willians Astudillo.  Interested? I thought you were. Let’s get into this week’s Stash List.

Cavan Biggio – (TOR 2B) ETA 2019 – The Blue Jays drafted Biggio in the fifth round of the 2016 draft.  The Jays also picked up Bo Bichette the second round of 2016 and Vladimir Guerrero Jr in the July 2 signing period the year prior.  Signing these three sons of major leaguers seems like it is going to pay huge dividends for the Jays. Coming into the year, I had Biggio a bit lower than some other analysts.  His numbers in AA were great but I wanted to see more.

The Eastern League last year was not scary and he should have dominated. Well…Biggio is out to prove me wrong as he is killing AAA Buffalo.  As of this post, he is slashing .361/.495/.625 with 5 home runs and 3 steals. He is also walking more than he is striking out, 21 BB% to 17 K%, which is great to see. In the future, I see Biggio hitting around .250-.260 with about 10 steals and 15 to 20 home runs and contributing in RBIs, especially hitting behind Guerrero, Bichette, and Randal Grichuk.  If you are able to stash minor leaguers in you redraft league, I would pick up Biggio right now. I see the Jays calling him up by the summertime, if not sooner, and I cannot wait.

Dylan Cease – (CWS RHP) ETA 2019 – With Carlos Rodon headed to the Injured List with a forearm injury, we  might see Dylan Cease sooner rather than later. Cease, though, was making his case for the White Sox rotation before the injury.  Cease was drafted by the White Sox in the sixth round of the 2014 draft. He fell due to injury concerns and had TJS soon after signing.  

The 6’2” righty has slowly been working back and took a huge step forward in 2018. His control increased as his BB% decreased from about 12 BB% to around 10 BB% and his SwStk% increased from around 13% to  around 15%. So far this season, he has held the gains he made. When called up, he should be a must add for all redraft leagues.

However, I would hold off the lofty expectations in a dynasty league. Prior to 2018, scouts had Cease pegged for a bullpen role due to being basically a two pitch guy (fastball/curveball).  If he does end up in the pen, he might be a interesting eighth inning or closer.

Adam Hall – (BAL SS) ETA 2022 All fantasy league owners are searching for speed.  It is why the Billy Hamilton’s of the world were fantasy league relevant. If you want to get ahead of your other dynasty league mate, maybe take a chance on Adam Hall. The Baltimore Orioles drafted Adam Hall in the second round of the 2017 draft out of a Canadian high school.  

The O’s assigned him to low A Aberdeen to begin the 2018 season and to say it was slow going is an understatement. By the end of his first two months, he slashed .235/.318/.288 with 6 stolen bases with 3 caught steals. After that, Hall could not be stopped. In the final two months he slashed .378/.441/.500 with 16 swipes and 2 caught steals.  He was assigned to A ball and has kept up his blazing second half. As of this post, Hall is slashing .354/.453/.456 with 1 home run and 11 stolen bases in 21 games. That is right, 11 swipes in 21 games.

Hall will never contribute in power but he makes up for hit with a average hit tool and 60 grade speed. He his good eye at the plate, he would either hit lead off or second, which could lead to huge stolen base and runs numbers.

Alejandro Kirk – (TOR C) ETA 2022 – This one is just for fun. Would you be interested in a Willians Astudillo-shaped player that walks more than Astudillo and has the same low strikeout rate? Well…let me introduce you to Alejandro Kirk. Kirk is a 5’9”, 220lb catcher.  You read that right, 220 pounds.

Even with his size, Kirk is pretty agile behind the plate. In fact, Kirk has one stolen base this year in the Midwest League. In all seriousness, the thing that makes Kirk interesting is his eye at the plate. As of this post, Kirk is slashing .339/.468/.581 with a 20 BB% and 6 K%.  He also has some interesting pop, knocking 3 balls out of the park and smacking 6 doubles as of this post. The increase in power could be due to the increase in his flyball%, which has increased to 43% up from the 27% last year.

Kirk does have a pull heavy approach which teams could exploit by shifting on him and is something I will be watching closely. I think Kirk is someone you need to keep on your Watch List, especially if the power and  batting eye hold when he moves up through the Jays minor league system. Did someone say Baby Willians Astudillo who walks?


Brendan Rodgers and Other Rockies Infield Prospects

The Colorado Rockies are swimming in infield depth.

Leaving the first base position to discuss another day, the Rockies are stacked with options at the other three infield positions. Obviously, Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story are entrenched at their respective positions of third base and shortstop.

Then we have promising young players Ryan McMahon and Garrett Hampson, who have both graduated to the big league roster. McMahon has been given everyday reps at second base in 2019, while Hampson’s slow start has relegated him to more of a utility player – although he possesses the tools to be an everyday guy.

Looking further down the depth chart, we can find interesting names at each of the full-season affiliates for the Rockies.

Triple-A: Brendan Rodgers, 2B/SS/3B

Rodgers is the player that most prospect watchers and Rockies fans are already aware of given his previous first-round selection, and subsequent minor league successes. In fact, Rockies fans are already expressing their frustrations to me that he’s still in the minor leagues and not helping the big league club solidify a more favorable spot in the NL West standings.

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The Stash List – Early Season Hot Performers

Hey y’all!  Happy Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Carter Kieboom Day!  In celebration of some fun call ups, I thought I write up some guys who are having a great start to the MiLB season.  Some of the guys success can be attributed to a swing adjustment while others are building on a already great minor league career.  All these guys deserve to be on your watch list and some deserve to be rostered on your minor league roster. Alrighty, let’s go!

Oscar Mercado OF (CLE) – Oscar Mercado was a second round draft pick of the Cardinals in 2012 out of a Florida high school.  He was traded to the Indians last season for outfield prospects Conner Capel and Jhon Torres. I liked the trade for both sides at the time.  The Indians needed an outfielder closer to the Show and the Cardinals were able to get a bit younger while moving depth. When he came over, Mercado underperformed, especially in the power arena.  His ISO dipped to a career low 0.068. As reported by Jim Ingraham of Baseball America, Mercado went to work in the offseason on his swing. The swing adjustment appears to be working as well.  

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Prospect Stock Watch: Bukauskas, and Padres Shortstops

The Houston Astros do a lot of things very well.

Drafting pitchers in the first round is not really one of them. Over the past 10 years, the Astros have selected hurlers four times. Brady Aiken and Mark Appel were huge misses as first-overall selections. Forrest Whitley, taken 17th, looks like a future top-of-the-rotation arm.

And then there is J.B. Bukauskas. The right-hander was a polarizing pick but the Astros bought into his college success — despite the question marks surrounding his transition to pro ball — and selected him 15th overall in 2017. Three years into his pro career, those questions are only getting louder.

Bukauskas made just three pro appearances in 2017. His 2018 season was stunted by injury. He played at five levels, including his rehab appearances, and topped out at Double-A (one game). In total, there was nothing alarming about his numbers. In fact, overall, he had a 2.14 ERA and struck out 71 batters in 59 innings while also showing some solid ground-ball rates.

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Ottoneu Most Wanted: April 20, 2019

Ottoneu Most Wanted 7 Days
PLAYER NAME OWNED % ADD % CHANGE (7 DAYS)
Daniel Vogelbach 84.72% 42.36%
Jason Heyward 78.82% 38.54%
Richard Lovelady 38.19% 37.50%
Nick Anderson 59.03% 37.15%
Freddy Galvis 59.38% 34.72%
Alex Gordon 47.22% 30.21%
J.D. Davis 68.4% 28.47%
J.B. Wendelken 46.53% 27.43%
Nick Margevicius 36.11% 23.26%
Brandon Brennan 25.35% 21.53%
Top 10 players added in Ottoneu leagues over the past seven days.

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The Stash List – AAA edition

Hey y’all! Happy Michael Chavis Day!  I was planning on writing up Chavis for my post on Monday but with this news, I knew it could not wait.  I’ve put together some guys tearing it up in AAA who might be on the verge of a call up. If these guys are still available in your dynasty league, go and get them now.  The following guys could pick you up some steals later in the year or be an upgrade at the catcher position in the second half of the season. All right…let’s go!

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The Stash List 1.0

Hey y’all! With this weekly post, I’m going to give you a couple of guys that have piqued my interest.  I will give you two guys for deep fantasy league and two guys for shallow and/or re-draft leagues.  Ready or not, here we go!

Chris Seise SS – (TEX)   Seise missed all of 2018 has he recovered from shoulder surgery.  However, the 29th overall pick in 2017 has been lighting up A ball of the Hickory Crawdads. As of this writing, he is hitting .342/.390/.500, walking 5% and striking out 25% of the time.  While he still has not hit anything over the fence, he has smacked 4 doubles. Most scouts think he will eventually move off short due to his size, he is 6”2’ and 175 lbs.

Eric and Kiley had Seise 12th on the Rangers list. I could see him move over to third, where his power profile fits more.  Even with the great numbers, Seise has struggled against the southpaws, with a .143 AVG and OBP and with an alarming 42% K rate. In deep leagues, Seise is the type of player you need to jump on. He will probably be available in most leagues and since he missed all of last year due to injury, he should be off most owner’s radars.

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It’s Time to Get Excited About Julio Rodriguez

You know about Fernando Tatis Jr. of the San Diego Padres. You also know about Vladimir Guerrero Jr. of the Toronto Blue Jays. And Wander Franco of the Tampa Bay Rays, who just turned 18 in March, is starting to garner the attention that he deserves.

Clearly, FanGraphs alumni have also been paying attention. Dave Cameron jumped on the Tatis gravy train in San Diego… while Carson Cistulli did the same in Toronto… and Jeff Sullivan skipped off to Tampa Bay. No doubt there is a FanGraphs writer about to head west to Seattle.

Why? Because of 18-year-old outfielder Julio Rodriguez, who happens to be the focus of this piece. And it’s not my first time talking about this budding star. In early March, during the Mariners 2018 season in review piece, I wrote:

The 2019 Lottery Ticket: Julio Rodriguez, OF: There are a few low-level minor league players that possess the ability to burst onto the scene like Vlad Guerrero Jr. and Fernando Tatis Jr. have in recent years. Wander Franco in Tampa Bay is one and Rodriguez could be another, although he’s not quite as advanced with the bat at this point. He has immense power potential but he doesn’t sell out for home runs and focuses on hitting the ball hard and using the whole field. He has a patient approach but also has swing-and-miss to his game due to a lack of experience as opposed to any major mechanical flaws. Rodriguez reportedly has solid makeup and is a hard worker, all things that can help a prospect maximize their tools.

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Trade Reviews: Early April Edition (2019)

Last season I kicked off April with some early trade reviews from the Ottoneu community, and today I’ll do the same, hoping to peek under the hood of some early player perceptions as transactions start to take shape across the fantasy baseball world.

As a quick reminder, Ottoneu is a keeper system by design that shifts the balance just short of traditional dynasty leagues, and offers a variety of scoring systems (including H2H).

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Prospect Risers and Fallers

Hey y’all!

With minor league baseball back in full swing, I thought it would be fun to give my risers and fallers.  Time to plant my flag! I decided to give a riser and faller for each position. Feel free to chime in the comments with your own riser and fallers!  

Catcher

Riser – William Contreras (ATL) – Atlanta dabbled in the Realmuto trade talks this offseason but decided the price was too high but maybe they knew William Contreras is on his way.  Contreras is an athletic catcher with an above average arm and he has improved behind the dish. What really stands out for Contreras is his above average hit tool for the position that sprays the ball to all fields.

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