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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 692 – FAAB Fallout

5/20/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS, INJURIES, RUMORS

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Who is Being Dropped and Why

With FAAB-ageddon over, it’s time to see who were the most dropped players in the 38 NFBC Main Event leagues.

Injury

Demoted

  • Teoscar Hernandez (22): I was using him as a spot starter on a couple of my teams hoping he’d get hot. It was nice to have the Blue Jays to make the decision to move on for me.
  • Jeimer Candelario (20): Another borderline talent coming into the season who was sent down.

Note: In “The Process”, we wrote: “Any major leaguer with an OPS below .635 looks to be below average and could be replaceable.” Candelario was at .573 and Hernandez was at .562. The current low OPS list (min 100 PA) is littered with hitters who have been demoted (Justin Bour and Mallex Smith) or “injured” (Travis Shaw and Ender Inciarte). Any player under a .635 OPS and especially a .600 OPS could be at risk for losing their job.

Other

  • Francisco Cervelli (17): He’s not hitting (.505) and losing playing time to Elias Diaz (.537 OPS). It’s a pillow fight between these two.
  • Aledmys Diaz (16): He could have been placed under the Injury heading since a hamstring issue may bench him some this week. And Jose Altuve may be back at the week’s end killing all of Diaz’s current fantasy value.
  • Nick Kingham (15): He was demoted mid-week to the bullpen but now he may be starting on Wednesday.
  • Brandon Kintzler (14): This Saves grab didn’t pan out.
  • Derek Holland (14): Moved to the bullpen after struggling (7.36 ERA).
  • Ryan O’Hearn (13): While his .648 OPS is above the demotion line, he’s useless to fantasy owners.
  • Erik Swanson (13): Nine runs in three innings in his last start. He can’t even be streamed at this point.
  • Eric Thames (12): He’s played in 18 games this month and started in only nine of them. The results (.189/.434/.270) are Joey Votto-ish.
  • Austin Hedges (11): There are even a baseline catcher hitting thresholds and a .531 OPS doesn’t cut it.
  • John Means (11): One start this week at Colorado. A reasonable drop but might be a cheap add later if he gets pounded.
  • Julio Urias (11): Administrative leave for domestic battery.
  • Junior Guerra (11):’He’s got a couple of Saves but Josh Hader looks to be the closer.
  • Lou Trivino (11): Some owners were slow at dropping Trivino after picking him up when Blake Treinen had an injury scare.
  • Emilio Pagan (10): Not the official closer but might get 10 Saves with elite counting stats (13.5 K/9, 0.68 WHP, and 0.61 ERA).
  • Ian Kennedy (10): Another potential closer in which some owners were tired of holding on to.
  • Jackie Bradley Jr. (10): A .421 OPS
  • Jeremy Hellickson (10): Owners who took the Hellickson two-step were rewarded with a 4 K’s, 2.13 WHIP, and 9.00 ERA. Congrats.
  • Trevor Cahill (10): I was looking to add Cahill when possible this past FAAB period. While I’m not keen on his matchup this week (home versus Minnesota), he has a nice two-step at Oakland and at Seattle next week.

Here are the players dropped in five or more leagues.

Players Dropped in the NFBC Main Event
Name Drops (38 leagues)
Jonathan Loaisiga 32
Miguel Andujar 29
Teoscar Hernandez 22
Jeimer Candelario 20
Anibal Sanchez 18
David Robertson 18
Francisco Cervelli 17
Jed Lowrie 17
Aledmys Diaz 16
Nick Margevicius 16
Nick Kingham 15
Brandon Kintzler 14
Delino DeShields 14
Derek Holland 14
Garrett Hampson 14
A.J. Minter 13
Erik Swanson 13
Ryan O’Hearn 13
Eric Thames 12
Austin Hedges 11
John Means 11
Julio Urias 11
Junior Guerra 11
Kelvin Gutierrez 11
Lou Trivino 11
Emilio Pagan 10
Ian Kennedy 10
Jackie Bradley Jr. 10
Jeremy Hellickson 10
Trevor Cahill 10
Brad Keller 9
Chris Martin 9
Christin Stewart 9
David Bote 9
Freddy Peralta 9
Manuel Margot 9
Renato Nunez 9
Reyes Moronta 9
Seranthony Dominguez 9
Stephen Vogt 9
Carlos Gonzalez 8
Harold Ramirez 8
Homer Bailey 8
Justin Bour 8
Mike Fiers 8
Ryan Brasier 8
Starlin Castro 8
Anthony Swarzak 7
Charlie Tilson 7
Hernan Perez 7
Ivan Nova 7
J.P. Crawford 7
Jakob Junis 7
John Gant 7
Ryan Cordell 7
Tim Beckham 7
Tony Wolters 7
Wilmer Font 7
Archie Bradley 6
Brian Anderson 6
Chris Iannetta 6
Cody Allen 6
Cole Tucker 6
Ender Inciarte 6
Jefry Rodriguez 6
Jon Duplantier 6
Mac Williamson 6
Merrill Kelly 6
Mitch Garver 6
Orlando Arcia 6
Rowdy Tellez 6
Ty France 6
Tyler Beede 6
Vince Velasquez 6
Aaron Sanchez 5
Albert Pujols 5
Andrew Miller 5
Austin Barnes 5
Blake Swihart 5
Brett Anderson 5
Chad Pinder 5
Chris Davis 5
Dereck Rodriguez 5
Drew Pomeranz 5
Grayson Greiner 5
Jason Heyward 5
Jeff Samardzija 5
Jeremy Jeffress 5
Johan Camargo 5
John Hicks 5
Josh Harrison 5
Jung Ho Kang 5
Luis Rengifo 5
Mike Zunino 5
Nick Anderson 5
Trent Thornton 5
Willy Adames 5
Yonder Alonso 5

Prospect Stock Watch: Hjelle, Breaux, Jeffers, and others

With the MLB amateur draft just over two weeks away, the Prospect Stock Watch is checking in on some 2018 draft picks. A lot of attention is always paid on first-round picks so let’s have a look at some of the players that slipped out of the first round last year and landed in the second round. The players listed below have all had strong starts to their pro career and are great reminders that you can find strong prospect values in other rounds. All the players listed below should be monitored for future value in dynasty leagues and, eventually, redraft leagues.

Sean Hjelle, RHP, Giants: Hjelle has a massive frame at 6-foot-11 but he’s not a power pitcher. Still, low-A ball hitters have struggled to handle him. He’s struck out 44 batters in 40.2 innings while inducing ground balls at a high rate of two-to-one. It’s time for the Giants to challenge the right-hander with a promotion to high-A ball as he should be overpowering these young hitters after a three-year college career. He’s a name to file away and monitor over the next couple of years.

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Roto Riteup: May 20, 2019

This is a lesson from the FAAB Master Class:


https://twitter.com/JonHegglund/status/1130304111088291840

Always go YOLO +1

On the Agenda:
1. Various News and Notes
2. Streaming Pitching Options

Various News and Notes
Javy Baez left Sunday’s game with a heel injury. Baez injured the heel on a awkward play in the field, but played through the issue for a while before being removed. After the game he stated that the issue is not serious, so it looks like he will avoid the IL. Consider him day-to-day for now.

Wilmer Flores left Sunday’s game against the Giants with a foot injury. Flores injured the foot when he was hit by a pitch from Drew Pomeranz. X-rays on the foot came back negative and the injury is being characterized as a contusion. Consider him day-to-day at this time.

Gio Urshela left Sunday’s game after fouling off a pitch that hit him in the groin. Manager Aaron Boone said that the removal was precautionary and that he is expected to be fine.

George Springer left Sunday’s with lower back stiffness. Manager AJ Hinch stated after the game that Springer never got stiff and that he will not play on Monday. Consider him day-to-day until we have morte information.

Yasiel Puig left Sunday’s game with a shoulder injury after injuring himself on this awesome catch:

https://twitter.com/RedLegsZone/status/1130190870689603584

Puig is expected to undergo testing on Monday to reveal the extent of the injury, but the initial diagnosis is that it shouldn’t be a serious issue.

Yandy Diaz left Sunday’s game with a hand injury after being hit by a pitch. The injury was diagnosed as a contusion after x-rays came back negative for any fractures. He is considered day-to-day at this time.

Scott Kingery was activated from the 10-Day IL. Kingery is recovered from the hamstring injury that sent him to the IL. Kingery was on fire before getting hurt, hitting .406/.457/.719 with two home runs and a stolen base. He will likely start off in a reserve role, but should see at bats at multiple positions which will give him enough at bats to be worthy of a pick up in most formats.

Streaming Pitching Options (Less than 50% owned)
Pitcher for Today: None

High Risk Options: Mike Leake at TEX
The Rangers offense is overlooked too often since it is actually pretty good, but Leake has been pitching well as of late. This feels like a trap…

Pitcher for Tomorrow: None

High Risk Options: Lance Lynn vs SEA
Lynn gets has been hit or miss this season and gets a Mariners team that isn’t playing nearly as well as it was a few weeks ago.


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 691 – The Return of J and J

5/19/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

Follow us on Twitter

GET THE SLEEPER & THE BUST T-SHIRT FROM ROTOWEAR!

NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS, INJURIES, RUMORS

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Sunday Night FAAB & Waiver Wire Chat

7:27
Jeff Zimmerman: I’ll go ahead and get started.

7:29
Jeff Zimmerman: As usual, I will answer all the FAAB and waiver wire questions first. Also, I’m going to try to group the “rank these X players” into one huge ranking. Maybe.

7:29
Jeff Zimmerman: First off, here are the Tout Wars 15-team mixed league results.

7:29
Jeff Zimmerman: Auction

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: ARiley: 384
WCalhoun: 311
BRodgers: 232
NLopez: 177
OMercado: 134
BDozier: 57
JLuplow: 44
SAnderson: 37
RElias: 33
FGalvis: 27
TCahill: 26
SKingery: 25
HBader: 22
RHealy: 18
JDDavis: 16
AOttavino: 15
MKeller: 13
CQuantrill: 12
LMartin: 12
ASenzatela: 7
KMorales: 7
TWolters: 6
DMengden: 3
ELauer: 3
AAlmora: 3
GCooper: 3
PNeshek: 2
MCabrera: 1
PSandoval: 0
BBrennan: 0

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Draft

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Week 9 FAAB Projections

This week’s mixed league FAAB run, especially in The NFBC where Corbin Martin is still available, will have the most money spent that I can ever remember. It reminds of an Only league at the trade deadline. There are just so many moving parts. I’m going to try to cover it all but let me know if any questions come up and I’ll try to answer them.

The guidelines:

  • The ownership rates are from CBS since they have some quickdraw waiver wire leagues where players can be picked up at any time.
  • The FAAB estimates are based on the 2018 15-team mixed NFBC leagues which used a $1000 FAAB budget. Owners are going to need to convert these values to their own league.
  • The ownership values were taken from Saturday and lots can happen in between when they publish and FAAB bids run.
  • Only players owned in 50% or fewer of CBS leagues are examined.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 690 – Fireside on Nola & Bauer

5/17/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

Follow us on Twitter

GET THE SLEEPER & THE BUST T-SHIRT FROM ROTOWEAR!

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 689 – Breakout Hitters (ft. Alex Fast)

5/17/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 20, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER20!

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GET THE SLEEPER & THE BUST T-SHIRT FROM ROTOWEAR!

**JOIN THE NFBC MEMORIAL DAY 2ND CHANCE LEAGUES**

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 688 – Prospect FAABstravaganza

5/16/19

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 20, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER20!

Follow us on Twitter

GET THE SLEEPER & THE BUST T-SHIRT FROM ROTOWEAR!

NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS/INJURIES/RUMORS (8:42)

**JOIN THE NFBC MEMORIAL DAY 2ND CHANCE LEAGUES**

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