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Boxscore Bits: June 27th, 2022

by
June 27, 2022
Jessica Alcheh-USA TODAY Sports

A few thoughts on the pitchers from the weekend’s games:

FOR STARTERS

The Weekend’s SPs
# Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO TBF ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
1 Germán Márquez COL 7.2 3 0 0 0 5 2 29 0.00 1.04 1 96.2 95.1 3%
2 Kyle Hendricks CHC 7.1 5 0 0 0 1 6 27 0.00 0.82 1 86.5 86.4 10%
3 Cristian Javier HOU 7 0 0 0 0 1 13 23 0.00 0.14 1 94.3 17%
4 Spencer Strider ATL 6 5 0 0 0 0 7 23 0.00 0.83 0 98.1 15%
5 Logan Webb SFG 6 2 1 0 0 2 6 23 0.00 0.67 1 92.7 92.6 10%
6 Chris Archer MIN 5 1 0 0 0 1 5 17 0.00 0.40 1 93.6 10%
7 Spenser Watkins BAL 5 5 1 0 0 1 4 21 0.00 1.20 1 90.5 15%
8 MacKenzie Gore SDP 5 3 0 0 0 4 4 22 0.00 1.40 0 93.1 8%
9 Jack Flaherty STL 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 11 0.00 1.50 0 92 90.7 10%
10 Andrew Wantz LAA 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 0.00 0.00 0 93.1 23%
11 Brett Martin TEX 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 5 0.00 3.00 0 94.4 6%
12 Dylan Cease CHW 7 4 1 1 1 1 13 26 1.29 0.71 1 97.9 20%
13 Shane McClanahan TBR 7 4 1 1 0 0 10 25 1.29 0.57 1 96.3 19%
14 Aaron Nola PHI 7 7 1 1 0 2 10 28 1.29 1.29 0 93.2 93.3 16%
15 Gerrit Cole NYY 7 4 1 1 1 2 8 26 1.29 0.86 0 98.5 13%
16 Justin Verlander HOU 7 4 1 1 1 1 3 27 1.29 0.71 1 95.5 11%
17 José Urquidy HOU 7 1 1 1 1 3 3 24 1.29 0.57 0 93.8 8%
18 Julio Urías LAD 6 3 1 1 0 2 9 23 1.50 0.83 1 93.2 19%
19 Miles Mikolas STL 6 4 1 1 0 1 9 23 1.50 0.83 0 93.9 93 8%
20 Rich Hill BOS 6 5 1 1 0 4 5 24 1.50 1.50 1 89.6 7%
21 Dane Dunning TEX 6 7 1 1 0 1 4 25 1.50 1.33 0 89.3 10%
22 Zack Greinke KCR 6 3 1 1 0 0 4 21 1.50 0.50 1 90.2 90.4 8%
23 Jackson Tetreault WSN 6 4 1 1 0 2 4 23 1.50 1.00 1 95.1 7%
24 Dylan Bundy MIN 6 4 1 1 0 2 2 23 1.50 1.00 0 89.1 89.8 8%
25 Tony Gonsolin LAD 5.2 5 1 1 0 2 5 23 1.59 1.24 0 92.7 7%
26 Paolo Espino WSN 5.1 6 1 1 1 1 3 23 1.69 1.31 0 88.5 9%
27 Rony García DET 5.1 3 1 1 0 2 3 21 1.69 0.94 1 92 92 6%
28 Patrick Sandoval LAA 5 8 1 1 1 2 6 25 1.80 2.00 0 93.3 93.7 12%
29 Roansy Contreras PIT 5 4 1 1 0 5 4 23 1.80 1.80 0 95.8 9%
30 Graham Ashcraft CIN 8 6 2 2 1 0 8 30 2.25 0.75 1 97.5 96.4 9%
31 Josiah Gray WSN 7 4 2 2 1 1 9 26 2.57 0.71 0 94.5 18%
32 David Peterson NYM 7 4 2 2 1 0 8 25 2.57 0.57 0 92.7 92.9 12%
33 Daniel Castano MIA 7 5 2 2 1 2 4 28 2.57 1.00 0 90.9 88.5 8%
34 Nick Pivetta BOS 7 9 2 2 1 0 4 29 2.57 1.29 1 94 4%
35 Max Fried ATL 6.2 6 2 2 0 1 9 26 2.70 1.05 0 94.5 93.9 15%
36 Alek Manoah TOR 6.2 5 2 2 1 3 6 27 2.70 1.20 1 94.5 93.7 7%
37 Marco Gonzales SEA 6 5 2 2 1 4 5 27 3.00 1.50 0 88.5 87.6 12%
38 Austin Voth BAL 3 1 1 1 0 2 3 12 3.00 1.00 0 94.1 19%
39 Corey Kluber TBR 5.1 5 2 2 1 0 6 21 3.38 0.94 0 87.2 88.5 16%
40 Josh Winckowski BOS 5.1 6 2 2 0 1 4 22 3.38 1.31 1 94.4 94 7%
41 Corbin Burnes MIL 7.2 5 3 3 2 2 9 30 3.52 0.91 1 96.5 96.8 15%
42 Adrian Sampson 샘슨 CHC 5 4 2 2 0 2 5 21 3.60 1.20 0 93 92.9 13%
43 Cal Quantrill CLE 5 5 2 2 1 2 4 21 3.60 1.40 0 93.3 93.6 7%
44 Zach Eflin PHI 5 4 2 2 0 2 3 22 3.60 1.20 1 93.1 92.4 8%
45 Zach Davies ARI 5 5 3 2 0 1 2 22 3.60 1.20 0 88.7 8%
46 Chris Bassitt NYM 7 6 3 3 2 0 5 26 3.86 0.86 1 94.3 93.6 7%
47 Shane Bieber CLE 7 6 3 3 1 2 4 27 3.86 1.14 0 91.2 8%
48 Tyler Mahle CIN 6.2 4 3 3 1 1 7 25 4.05 0.75 1 92.7 11%
49 Alex Cobb SFG 4.1 5 3 2 0 1 4 20 4.15 1.38 0 94.8 13%
50 Jeffrey Springs TBR 6 7 3 3 3 0 9 25 4.50 1.17 0 91.2 17%
51 Yu Darvish SDP 6 7 3 3 0 1 9 25 4.50 1.33 0 95.8 95.1 10%
52 Luis Severino NYY 6 5 3 3 1 2 7 25 4.50 1.17 0 95.6 16%
53 JT Brubaker PIT 6 9 3 3 0 0 6 27 4.50 1.50 0 93.4 15%
54 Taijuan Walker NYM 6 8 3 3 0 2 5 26 4.50 1.67 1 94.5 93 13%
55 Andre Pallante STL 6 7 3 3 1 3 2 27 4.50 1.67 0 95.4 94.7 6%
56 Michael Kopech CHW 6 3 3 3 0 4 2 25 4.50 1.17 0 94.5 6%
57 Logan Gilbert SEA 5.2 9 3 3 2 2 7 27 4.76 1.94 1 96.6 10%
58 Cole Irvin OAK 5.1 7 3 3 2 2 4 24 5.06 1.69 0 89.1 88 6%
59 James Kaprielian OAK 5.1 2 3 3 0 4 2 21 5.06 1.13 0 93.9 7%
60 Jordan Lyles BAL 7 6 4 4 1 1 4 28 5.14 1.00 0 91.9 91.3 12%
61 Sandy Alcantara MIA 7 6 5 4 2 0 4 27 5.14 0.86 0 97.8 98 5%
62 Brady Singer KCR 8.1 7 5 5 1 1 5 33 5.40 0.96 0 93.7 5%
63 Nestor Cortes NYY 5 5 3 3 1 2 7 22 5.40 1.40 0 92.1 19%
64 Mitch Keller PIT 5 5 3 3 0 1 5 21 5.40 1.20 0 95.9 94.7 8%
65 Chris Flexen 플렉센 SEA 5 5 3 3 1 2 3 20 5.40 1.40 1 93 7%
66 Joe Ryan MIN 5 8 3 3 1 1 1 25 5.40 1.80 1 90.4 5%
67 Jared Koenig OAK 4.2 5 3 3 1 3 4 23 5.79 1.71 0 88.9 7%
68 Merrill Kelly 켈리 ARI 6 7 4 4 1 1 5 26 6.00 1.33 0 92 91.9 8%
69 Michael Lorenzen LAA 3 4 2 2 0 4 5 18 6.00 2.67 0 94.2 93.2 12%
70 Trevor Rogers MIA 4.1 7 3 3 1 1 5 21 6.23 1.85 0 94.2 9%
71 Blake Snell SDP 5.2 6 4 4 1 2 4 25 6.35 1.41 0 95.4 18%
72 Lance Lynn CHW 6.2 6 6 5 1 1 8 29 6.75 1.05 0 93.3 91.2 21%
73 Alex Faedo DET 4 3 3 3 1 3 4 18 6.75 1.50 0 94.2 9%
74 Mitch White LAD 4 5 3 3 1 2 3 20 6.75 1.75 0 93.6 93.5 11%
75 Chi Chi González MIL 4 4 3 3 1 2 3 17 6.75 1.50 0 92.1 2%
76 Aaron Civale CLE 4 8 3 3 0 3 2 22 6.75 2.75 0 90.7 7%
77 Antonio Senzatela COL 5 8 4 4 0 2 6 25 7.20 2.00 0 94.7 15%
78 Adrian Houser MIL 6 9 5 5 0 1 3 26 7.50 1.67 0 94.6 94.1 3%
79 Dallas Keuchel ARI 4.1 6 4 4 0 3 7 22 8.31 2.08 0 86.9 86.8 15%
80 Ian Anderson ATL 4 6 4 4 1 4 6 22 9.00 2.50 0 93.7 17%
81 Yusei Kikuchi TOR 2 6 5 2 2 1 5 15 9.00 3.50 0 93.7 10%
82 Brad Keller KCR 3.2 8 5 4 0 2 4 21 9.82 2.73 0 94.6 94.3 10%
83 Mike Minor CIN 5 8 6 6 3 2 4 24 10.80 2.00 0 90.4 6%
84 Ryan Feltner COL 4 8 5 5 0 1 2 21 11.25 2.25 0 93.6 92.8 8%
85 Beau Brieske DET 3.2 5 5 5 1 3 2 19 12.27 2.18 0 94.5 94 7%
86 Kyle Gibson PHI 2.2 4 5 5 0 3 2 17 16.88 2.63 0 92.5 92.5 13%
87 Alec Mills CHC 2.2 6 5 5 3 1 1 15 16.88 2.63 0 89.3 89.7 0%
88 Anthony DeSclafani SFG 2.2 7 7 7 0 1 1 16 23.63 3.00 0 93.2 92.4 9%
89 José Berríos TOR 2.2 8 8 8 2 2 1 18 27.00 3.75 0 94.3 93.9 5%
90 Glenn Otto TEX 2 6 6 6 0 3 1 13 27.00 4.50 0 92.4 92.4 8%
Sorted by ERA

Read the rest of this entry »


Bullpen Report: June 27, 2022

by
June 27, 2022

The 2022 version of Bullpen Report includes five different sections, as well as the closer chart, which can be found at the bottom of the page.

We will always include a link to the full Closer Depth Chart at the bottom of the Bullpen Report each day. It’s also accessible from the RosterResource drop-down menu and from any RosterResource page. Please let us know what you think.

  1. Notable Workloads: Primary closers or valuable members of a closer committee who have been deemed unavailable or likely unavailable for the current day due to recent workload.
  2. Injury News
  3. Outlier Saves: Explanation for a non-closer earning a save during the previous day.
  4. Committee Clarity: Notes on a closer committee that clarify a pitcher’s standing in the group.
  5. Losing A Grip: Struggling closers who could be on the hot seat.

The “RosterResource” link will take you to the corresponding team’s RosterResource depth chart, which will give you a better picture of the full bullpen and results of the previous six days (pitch count, save, hold, win, loss, blown save).

Click HERE to view the full Closer Depth Chart.

Read the rest of this entry »


Roto Riteup: June 27, 2022

by
June 27, 2022

How did he make that catch?!?

Read the rest of this entry »


Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

by
June 26, 2022
7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Good evening.
7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: First, here are the winning bids in the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues.
7:31
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: As always, I’m going to try to get to all the FAAB and waiver questions before I get to any trade and prospect questions.
7:32
JSayer: Any interest in Maximo Castillo? Deep leagues for sure but looked decent in relief, fanning 7 in 4 innings of relief and might get a start this week
7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Not yet but it wouldn’t take much in the current starting pitcher landscape

Read the rest of this entry »


Waiver Wire Report (Week 12)

by
June 26, 2022

Plenty of hitters are available on the wire, but any decent pitching is scarce.

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


Bullpen Report: June 25, 2022

by
June 25, 2022

The 2022 version of Bullpen Report includes five different sections, as well as the closer chart, which can be found at the bottom of the page.

We will always include a link to the full Closer Depth Chart at the bottom of the Bullpen Report each day. It’s also accessible from the RosterResource drop-down menu and from any RosterResource page. Please let us know what you think.

  1. Notable Workloads: Primary closers or valuable members of a closer committee who have been deemed unavailable or likely unavailable for the current day due to recent workload.
  2. Injury News
  3. Outlier Saves: Explanation for a non-closer earning a save during the previous day.
  4. Committee Clarity: Notes on a closer committee that clarify a pitcher’s standing in the group.
  5. Losing A Grip: Struggling closers who could be on the hot seat.

The “RosterResource” link will take you to the corresponding team’s RosterResource depth chart, which will give you a better picture of the full bullpen and results of the previous six days (pitch count, save, hold, win, loss, blown save).

Click HERE to view the full Closer Depth Chart.

Read the rest of this entry »


Lineup Analysis (6/24/22)

by
June 25, 2022

American League

Angels

• Luis Rengifo (.214/.267/.333, 2 HR, 1 SB) is now batting anywhere from third to sixth.

• Matt Duffy (.611 OPS, 0 HR, 0 SB) has started eight of nine games as the third baseman. Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1069 – Surprising Standout Starters

by
June 24, 2022

6/24/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

STANDOUT STARTERS & THEIR FUTURE

BEN CLEMENS INVESTIGATES

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As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment below with fantasy questions.

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Approximately 68 minutes of joyous analysis.

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Boxscore Bits: June 24th, 2022

by
June 24, 2022
Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

A few thoughts on the pitchers from Tuesday’s games:

FOR STARTERS

Thursday’s SPs
# Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO TBF ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
1 Frankie Montas OAK 8 2 0 0 0 2 8 28 0.00 0.50 0 97.2 96.7 11%
2 Devin Smeltzer MIN 6 3 0 0 0 0 3 21 0.00 0.50 1 89.2 8%
3 Dean Kremer BAL 5.2 7 0 0 0 1 4 24 0.00 1.41 1 94.1 12%
4 Clayton Kershaw LAD 6 7 1 1 0 1 7 25 1.50 1.33 1 91 13%
5 Robbie Ray SEA 6 4 1 1 0 2 6 24 1.50 1.00 0 92.8 92.9 14%
6 Zach Plesac CLE 6 3 1 1 1 2 6 23 1.50 0.83 0 92.8 13%
7 Braxton Garrett MIA 4.2 9 2 1 0 1 7 24 1.93 2.14 0 92 91.2 16%
8 Ranger Suárez PHI 7.1 7 2 2 1 2 3 30 2.45 1.23 1 93.2 92.7 5%
9 Kyle Freeland COL 7 7 2 2 0 0 5 29 2.57 1.00 0 90 89.3 11%
10 Jose Quintana PIT 6 6 2 2 0 1 6 23 3.00 1.17 0 91.7 92.4 18%
11 Framber Valdez HOU 6 2 3 3 1 3 7 23 4.50 0.83 0 92.2 93.9 6%
12 Johnny Cueto CHW 5.1 7 3 3 1 1 7 23 5.06 1.50 0 91.7 91.1 14%
13 Jason Alexander MIL 5.2 6 4 4 1 2 5 24 6.35 1.41 1 93.3 92.3 6%
14 Kyle Wright ATL 5.1 10 4 4 1 1 4 25 6.75 2.06 1 94.9 94.1 8%
15 Justin Steele CHC 5.2 7 6 5 2 0 8 26 7.94 1.24 0 92.8 92.2 10%
16 Joe Musgrove SDP 6 7 6 6 2 1 1 25 9.00 1.33 0 92.7 92.1 8%
17 Jameson Taillon NYY 5.2 10 6 6 2 0 3 28 9.53 1.76 0 93.5 93.5 6%
18 Dakota Hudson STL 4.1 7 5 5 2 3 2 21 10.38 2.31 0 91.7 91.6 8%
19 Hunter Greene CIN 5 9 6 6 3 2 3 23 10.80 2.20 0 98.5 8%
20 Alex Wood SFG 1 4 6 6 1 2 1 11 54.00 6.00 0 91 10%
Sorted by ERA

Read the rest of this entry »


Fastball Velocity Detection: Looking Back

by
June 24, 2022

Last week I wrote about how tracking fastball velocity increases may allow fantasy managers to decide when to sit/start/stream starting pitchers (try saying that three times fast…). Seeking to take research done by others and make it fantasy actionable, I analyzed baseball savant batted ball data to find the pitchers who have steadily increased their fastball velocity, four-seamers in this case, in their most recent outings. You can do this by simply going to a player page and using our pitch info velocity graphs to visualize velocity trends. But you would have to already have pitchers in mind and then go to their pages to check in on their velocities. In my case, I’m analyzing larger datasets and flagging pitchers who have continued to increase game average fastball velocity in three or four games. I provided a table of starting pitchers who were flagged prior to June 16th in last week’s post. Now, let’s check-in and see how these pitchers did in their first outing following my analysis:

 

Post Analysis Performances
Name Date Opp W L IP TBF H R ER HR BB SO GSv2
Miles Mikolas 2022-06-20 @MIL 0 1 6.1 26 4 2 2 1 2 3 56
Taijuan Walker 2022-06-18 MIA 1 0 6.2 23 2 1 1 0 1 9 79
Taylor Hearn 2022-06-18 @DET 0 1 3.2 21 10 8 8 2 0 4 9
Sandy Alcantara 2022-06-19 @NYM 1 0 8.0 30 6 2 2 0 1 8 75
Ian Anderson 2022-06-19 @CHC 1 0 6.2 24 3 0 0 0 2 6 75
Nick Pivetta 2022-06-19 STL 1 0 7.0 28 4 1 1 0 4 10 72
José Quintana 2022-06-18 SFG 0 0 5.1 23 5 3 3 2 2 5 41
Patrick Corbin 2022-06-22 @BAL 0 1 4.0 20 7 3 3 2 1 6 32
Jon Gray 2022-06-22 PHI 1 0 5.2 23 4 2 2 1 1 5 56
Germán Márquez 2022-06-18 SDP 0 0 5.0 25 8 4 4 1 2 7 38
Shohei Ohtani 2022-06-16 @SEA 1 0 6.0 23 3 0 0 0 2 6 71
Joan Adon 2022-06-17 PHI 0 1 5.0 23 7 4 4 0 1 6 48
Josiah Gray 2022-06-18 PHI 0 0 6.0 25 1 0 0 0 3 4 72

Let’s segment out these performances with a real sophisticated classification system called, “Gem, Decent, and Stinker”:

Gem, GSV2 above 60: Taijuan Walker, Sandy Alcantara, Ian Anderson, Nick Pivetta, Shohei Ohtani, Josiah Gray.

Taijuan Walker threw a real gem with only one hit, one walk, and nine strikeouts. While his fastball velocity did not continue to increase in this most recent start, he had something going that led to a great performance. We can’t expect fastball velocity to just increase all season long. But Walker’s post-analysis performance is a good example of a pitcher showing signs of a hot streak.

Decent, GSV2 between 45 and 60: Miles Mikolas, Jon Gray, Joan Adon.

Jon Gray may be falling into a weird category here. My guess is that he is still ramping up from injury and getting into a rhythm on the season. It was certainly a decent start and I’m liking what I’m seeing from him lately.

Stinker, GSV2 below 40: Taylor Hearn, Patrick Corbin, Germán Márquez,

Four-seam fastball velocity increase isn’t everything. These pitchers are perfect examples of how a larger picture is necessary to determine whether or not they would be a good fantasy add. While a few of these pitchers showcased some promise or sign of improving, home runs, hits, and walks brought them down into the stinker category.

–

I’m still working on improving the flow of the python code I use to detect possible hot streak pitchers using four-seam fastball velocity, but once I have it “production-ready” I’m happy to share. Here is a fresh list of qualified pitchers who have gained a few ticks on four-seam fastball velocity (as compared to their in-season average) and may be worth taking a closer look at before their next start:

Starters With Game-By-Game Pitch Velocity Increases
Name Season Average Second Most Recent Most Recent
Madison Bumgarner 91.1 91.9 92.2
Patrick Corbin 91.7 92.3 92.8
Kevin Gausman 94.7 95.6 96.5
Frankie Montas 96.1 96.3 96.8
Eric Lauer 93.5 92.4 93.9
Zach Plesac 91.9 92.6 92.7

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