Author: Paul Sporer | Page 89 | RotoGraphs Fantasy Baseball

Sorry for the lack of BB this week, some time constraints were the primary culprit, but I’m back with a few thoughts on the pitchers from Wednesday’s games:

FOR STARTERS

Wednesday’s Starters

#	Name	Team	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	TBF	ERA	WHIP	W	vFA (pi)	vSI (pi)	SwStr%
1	Corbin Burnes	MIL	7	3	0	0	0	1	10	24	0.00	0.57	0		96.8	25%
2	Shohei Ohtani	LAA	7	2	1	0	0	3	10	27	0.00	0.71	1	97.8	99.5	20%
3	Corey Kluber	TBR	6	3	0	0	0	0	5	22	0.00	0.50	1		88.7	13%
4	Max Fried	ATL	6	5	0	0	0	1	4	23	0.00	1.00	1	94.4	94	10%
5	Luis Severino	NYY	6	4	0	0	0	0	3	22	0.00	0.67	1	95.6	95.9	6%
6	Mitch White	LAD	5.2	1	1	0	0	4	6	22	0.00	0.88	0	94.3	94.6	9%
7	Spenser Watkins	BAL	6.2	4	1	1	0	1	3	25	1.35	0.75	1	90.7		11%
8	José Ureña	COL	6.2	5	1	1	0	3	2	26	1.35	1.20	0	97.1	96.3	5%
9	José Berríos	TOR	6	4	1	1	1	1	6	23	1.50	0.83	0	93.6	93.1	9%
10	James Kaprielian	OAK	6	5	1	1	1	4	1	25	1.50	1.50	0	93.7		5%
11	Adrian Sampson 샘슨	CHC	5.2	4	1	1	1	0	5	20	1.59	0.71	0	92.6	92.3	7%
12	Glenn Otto	TEX	5	3	2	1	0	3	5	20	1.80	1.20	0	93.1	93.5	10%
13	Merrill Kelly 켈리	ARI	6.1	2	2	2	0	3	6	24	2.84	0.79	0	91.9	92.1	16%
14	Josiah Gray	WSN	6	4	2	2	2	1	11	23	3.00	0.83	1	95.1		21%
15	Graham Ashcraft	CIN	6	10	2	2	0	0	1	28	3.00	1.67	0	97.8	95.8	5%
16	Aaron Nola	PHI	7.2	7	3	3	0	1	3	29	3.52	1.04	0	92.8	92.3	8%
17	Michael Pineda	DET	5	5	2	2	1	2	2	20	3.60	1.40	1	90		5%
18	Miles Mikolas	STL	6	5	3	3	2	1	4	24	4.50	1.00	0	93.3	93.3	11%
19	Joe Ryan	MIN	4	5	3	2	1	2	3	19	4.50	1.75	0	90.8		7%
20	Trevor Rogers	MIA	4.2	4	3	3	0	2	5	21	5.79	1.29	0	95.4		12%
21	Mitch Keller	PIT	6	10	4	4	2	1	7	26	6.00	1.83	0	96	94.8	14%
22	Alex Cobb	SFG	6	7	4	4	0	1	3	26	6.00	1.33	0		94.7	8%
23	Brad Keller	KCR	5.2	5	4	4	1	3	3	24	6.35	1.41	1	94.9	93.3	11%
24	David Peterson	NYM	3.2	4	3	3	1	5	7	19	7.36	2.45	0	93.4	92.6	13%
25	Shane Bieber	CLE	5.2	7	5	5	0	3	6	27	7.94	1.76	0	91.4		15%
26	Cristian Javier	HOU	5	4	5	5	3	3	7	22	9.00	1.40	0	94.2		13%
27	Lance Lynn	CHW	5	6	5	5	1	2	4	23	9.00	1.60	0	92.5	91.1	12%
28	Brayan Bello	BOS	4	6	4	4	0	3	2	21	9.00	2.25	0	97.2	96.8	8%

Sorted by ERA

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Paul Sporer’s Weekly Chat – July 6th, 2022

by Paul Sporer

July 6, 2022

Transcript is available below!

1:02	Paul Sporer: Hello everyone! Thanks for coming to my chat!!

1:03	gerg: weekly skubal check in??

1:04

Paul Sporer: It’s not good. I was not concerned after the first 3 with only Texas really standing out as problematic, but the other 2 v. BOS & TOR. Felt like standard regression. Now we’re at 5 starts w/a 2.0 HR9, soaring walk rate, and big velo dip last time out v. KC. I’m not yet cutting him in most lgs (maybe a 10) but I’m benching him

1:04	Dylan: Who is to blame for the white sox

1:06

Paul Sporer: Everyone wants it to all be TLR, but that’s not really the case. Mgrs. rarely have THAT much overall impact. I do think he is a net negative for sure and the hiring NEVER made sense (unless you know the personal friendships of TLR & Reinsdorf, but certainly no baseball sense). They’ve also been ravaged by injuries which isn’t an excuse as all teams get hit, but it can be a reason for a team’s shortcomings in a given season. Kopech looks off completely right now, too. I still can’t rule them out of the Central bc of their core of talent, but they are far from the favorites

1:06	Holy Cannoli: Where do yo think Isaac Paredes’s talent stabilizes? I know Statcast hates him. Can he be a 25 HR .800 OPS guy?

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1073 – NFBC Key FAAB Hitters Review

by Paul Sporer

July 5, 2022

7/5/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

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KEY FAAB HITTERS FROM THE MAIN EVENT

Steven Kwan – [Apr. 3rd-13 leagues] (4:50)
Jurickson Profar – [Apr. 10th-37] (7:24)
Taylor Ward – [Apr. 17th-47] (11:49)
Owen Miller – [Apr. 17th-46] (15:52)
Santiago Espinal – [Apr. 17th-37] (18:42)
Daniel Vogelbach – [Apr. 24th-36] (20:37)
Josh Naylor – [Apr. 24th-22] / Juan Yepez – [May 8th-47] (22:22)

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1072 – Surprise Hitters ROS Outlook: National League Edition

by Paul Sporer

July 1, 2022

7/1/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

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STANDOUT HITTERS & THEIR FUTURE – NL EDITION

Jeff McNeil (1:45)
William Contreras (3:40)
Jon Berti (9:06)
Luis Garcia (12:04)
Rowdy Tellez (15:15)
Brendan Donovan (17:38)

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1071 – Surprise Hitters ROS Outlook: American League Edition

by Paul Sporer

June 30, 2022

6/30/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

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STANDOUT HITTERS & THEIR FUTURE – AL EDITION

Jose Trevino (2:01)
Santiago Espinal (6:19)
Franchy Cordero (8:47)
Isaac Paredes (11:26)
Luis Arraez (15:57)
Josh Naylor (21:15)

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Paul Sporer’s Weekly Chat – June 29th, 2022

by Paul Sporer

June 29, 2022

Transcript is below!

1:03	Paul Sporer: Hello everyone! Let’s talk some baseball!!

1:03	Mac: Strider or Roansy long-term?

1:04	Paul Sporer: Strider for me! He looks every bit like a legit SP

1:05	Jake: think snell figures it out this year? under the hood doesn’t look that far off from career numbers but he’s been tough even in shallow leagues

1:05	Paul Sporer: The tough part is when command goes in and out, he can be great for 3-4 IP and then off for 1-2 and those 1-2 can be killer

1:06	Slurve: Hi Paul! Would you rather start Gonsolin vs SD or Javier vs LAA?

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1070 – Reviewing Justin’s SP Rankings

by Paul Sporer

June 28, 2022

6/28/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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@justinmasonfwfb – Co-Host/Producer

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Watch the video feed replay on YouTube

STANDOUT STARTERS & THEIR FUTURE

High End Differences

Kevin Gausman 13 spots (21 v. 8) | [2:10]
Shane Bieber 20 (33 v. 13) | [8:50]
Tarik Skubal 15 (29 v. 14) | [13:45]
Frankie Montas 15 (30 v. 15) | [16:21]
Logan Gilbert 7 (17 v. 24) | [19:19]

Justin Loves

Shane Baz 38 (36 v. 74) | [22:25]
Martín Pérez 34 (56 v. 90) | [26:05]
Tyler Mahle 29 (44 v. 73) | [29:49]
José Berríos 22 (43 v. 65) | [34:00]
Framber Valdez 20 (23 v. 43) | [40:15]

Justin Hates

Drew Rasmussen 45 (104 v. 59) | [43:52]
Noah Syndergaard 39 (106 v. 66) | [47:15]
Spencer Strider 38 (95 v. 57) | [49:40]
Zach Eflin (99 v. 71) | [53:20]
Merrill Kelly 켈리 (102 v. 78) | [54:30]

—

As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment below with fantasy questions.

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Approximately 60 minutes of joyous analysis.

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Boxscore Bits: June 28th, 2022

by Paul Sporer

June 28, 2022

A few thoughts on the pitchers from Monday’s games:

FOR STARTERS

Monday’s Starters

#	Name	Team	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	TBF	ERA	WHIP	W	vFA (pi)	vSI (pi)	SwStr%
1	Chad Kuhl	COL	9	3	0	0	0	0	5	29	0.00	0.33	1		92.6	7%
2	Kevin Gausman	TOR	7	4	0	0	0	2	10	27	0.00	0.86	1	94.9		15%
3	Adam Wainwright	STL	7	7	0	0	0	1	9	27	0.00	1.14	1		89.2	13%
4	Sonny Gray	MIN	7	3	0	0	0	1	3	23	0.00	0.57	1	92.5	92.1	5%
5	Miguel Yajure	PIT	4	4	0	0	0	3	0	18	0.00	1.75	0	92.6		5%
6	Tyler Wells	BAL	5	1	1	1	1	0	3	17	1.80	0.20	1	94.4		18%
7	Lucas Giolito	CHW	6	6	2	2	0	1	6	24	3.00	1.17	0	93		16%
8	Erick Fedde	WSN	5	3	2	2	1	2	4	20	3.60	1.00	0		92.9	4%
9	Noah Syndergaard	LAA	7	6	3	3	0	1	7	27	3.86	1.00	1	94.7	94.3	22%
10	Paul Blackburn	OAK	5	5	3	3	2	2	7	21	5.40	1.40	0	91.3	92	9%
11	Martín Pérez	TEX	6	7	4	4	0	2	6	27	6.00	1.50	1	93.4	92.9	7%
12	Tyler Anderson	LAD	6	10	4	4	1	1	2	27	6.00	1.83	0	91.1	90.3	9%
13	Jordan Montgomery	NYY	6.2	6	5	5	0	1	6	29	6.75	1.05	0	92.3	92.7	13%
14	Pablo López	MIA	5	6	5	5	2	1	5	22	9.00	1.40	0	92.2	91.8	12%
15	Kris Bubic	KCR	4.2	9	7	5	1	3	2	25	9.64	2.57	0	90.8		7%
16	Triston McKenzie	CLE	6	8	7	7	2	1	7	27	10.50	1.50	0	93.7		14%
17	Connor Seabold	BOS	4.2	9	7	7	3	1	7	25	13.50	2.14	0	92		20%
18	George Kirby	SEA	4	9	7	7	4	1	2	23	15.75	2.50	0	95.9		11%

Sorted by ERA

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High End Differences

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