Starting Pitcher Chart – September 21st, 2022

I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful. The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Let’s go secure some titles!

Wednesday’s Starters
PITCHER TM OPP THR 10 12 15+ L5 STATS OPP wOBA L30 days NOTE
Lance Lynn CWS CLE R x x x 1.11 ERA, 0.72 WHIP, 27% K-BB .294 – 22nd Rewarding those who stuck it out
Triston McKenzie CLE at CWS R x x x 2.93 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 17% K-BB .311 – 12th ERA jumped over 4 on 6/27 and since then has been 2.25 in 92 IP
Roansy Contreras PIT at NYY R x x x 1.65 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 11% K-BB .325 – 9th Just don’t pitch to Judge, Roansy!
Robbie Ray SEA at OAK L x x x 3.03 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 21% K-BB .256 – 28th 9 ER, 16 H in his L2, but no shot you’d sit him here
Kevin Gausman TOR at PHI R x x x 5.40 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 27% K-BB .339 – 3rd Ugly 2.1 HR/9 in L5 doing most of the damage
Marcus Stroman CHC at MIA R x x x 3.54 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 8% K-BB .281 – 30th Riding a 2.95 ERA in the 2H
Jesús Luzardo MIA CHC L x x x 4.30 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 13% K-BB .285 – 23rd Has gone 6+ IP 5 of his L6
Bailey Ober MIN at KCR R x x x 2nd start since June 1st .295 – 21st Threw 5 great IP (1 H, 1 BB, 5 Ks) upon return
Luis Severino NYY PIT R x x x 1st start since mid-July .292 – 25th Got 3 rehab starts prior to this return (13 Ks, 1 BB in 10.3 IP)
Lance McCullers Jr. HOU at TBR R x x x 2.83 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 14% K-BB .313 – 11th 3+ BB in 4 of L5 push the WHIP, but his 26% K rate definitely plays
Blake Snell SDP STL L x x x 4.44 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 24% K-BB .372 – 3rd L5 highlights his volatility: 0, 2, 6, 0, 1, 5, 1 ER in L7
Matt Manning DET at BAL R x x x 3.86 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 15% K-BB .301 – 18th Has rebounded since 7 ER dud v. SEA w/a 2.08 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 12% K-BB in L3
Miles Mikolas STL at SDP R x x x 4.20 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 10% K-BB .294 – 23rd Has allowed 3-4 ER in 4 of L5, still a pretty easy start for me
Corey Kluber TBR HOU R x x 4.97 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 16% K-BB .311 – 13th Can only imagine how many tms were crushed by that 8 ER at NYY
Zack Wheeler PHI TOR R x x 4.02 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 18% K-BB .341 – 2nd Will be limited so it’s a not a must-start if you need W/QS chances
Dustin May LAD ARI R x x 3.46 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 12% K-BB .330 – 7th Rebounded after a couple duds v. SD
Taijuan Walker NYM at MIL R x x 3.64 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 16% K-BB .321 – 10th Coming off B2B 7 IP gems
Logan Webb SFG at COL R x 2.63 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 18% K-BB .349 – 5th (at Coors) Solid in his 1 Coors start this yr (7 IP/3 ER), but I’m not averse to sitting
Bryce Elder ATL WAS R x Only has 2 MLB GS since May 1st .333 – 5th 2 gems v. MIA since returning; could be a useful gamble, but WAS isn’t easy
Dane Dunning TEX LAA R x 6.66 ERA, 1.91 WHIP, 9% K-BB .303 – 17th Has allowed a HR in 6 straight
Jordan Lyles BAL DET R x 5.81 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 9% K-BB .292 – 24th Does have a 3.77 ERA at home, but w/a 1.49 WHIP so be careful!
Daniel Lynch KCR MIN L 7.71 ERA, 2.08 WHIP, 11% K-BB .306 – 18th Ran a 3.18 ERA for 8 GS (Jun-Aug) before falling apart in L5
James Kaprielian OAK SEA R 5.84 ERA, 1.86 WHIP, 0% K-BB .310 – 15th Four 2 ER outings in L4, but 8 ER in the other… so the downside is sharp
Josiah Gray WAS at ATL R 6.66 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, 4% K-BB .337 – 4th Has a 3.0 HR/9 in his L13 starts
Adrian Houser MIL NYM R 5.40 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, -4% K-BB .327 – 8th Just too much downside to take on this risk
Germán Márquez COL SFG R 5.52 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 9% K-BB .298 – 20th 3 gems, 2 duds in L5… guess where the 2 duds occurred?
Chase Anderson CIN BOS R 2.31 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 7% K-BB .342 – 1st Just 2 H in 3 Sept. starts, but I’m betting against the .048 BABIP
Tucker Davidson LAA at TEX L 6.17 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 4% K-BB .324 – 13th It just hasn’t gone all that well w/LAA
Madison Bumgarner ARI at LAD L 8.28 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, 5% K-BB .387 – 1st No
Connor Seabold BOS at CIN R 1st MLB work since mid-July .292 – 16th Longshot to reach 5 IP





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and contributes to ESPN's Daily Notes. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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the ghost of tyler chatwoods controlmember
15 days ago

The Roansy ranking is bold.