Starting Pitcher Chart – September 29th, 2022

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful. The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Let’s go secure some titles!

Note: Pitchers recommended in 12/15 but not 10 doesn’t mean I wouldn’t start them in 10s, but rather that it’s a more open choice as opposed to a slam dunk.

Thursday’s Starters
Shohei Ohtani LAA OAK R x x x 1.13 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 21% K-BB .309 – 15th Had a 3.99 ERA thru 9 starts; has a 1.79 in 17 starts since (105.7 IP)
Jeffrey Springs TBR at CLE L x x x 1.78 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 18% K-BB .319 – 16th Came out of the bullpen & posted a season to take pride in
Carlos Rodón SFG COL L x x x 4.01 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 27% K-BB .223 – 27th (road only) Modest bookends to his L5, but nothing that’d make me sit him here
Andrew Heaney LAD at SDP L x x x 5.09 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 29% K-BB .310 – 18th Couple bumps in his L5 incl. 6 ER v. SF, but I’m still starting him easily
Braxton Garrett MIA at MIL L x x x 2.67 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 17% K-BB .288 – 23rd Should be good to go at least 5 IP after 80 pitches in his last start
Jon Gray TEX at SEA R x x x 2.08 ERA, 0.62 WHIP, 17% K-BB .327 – 8th Stats are L3 since IL return; has navigated injury-riddled season pretty well
Ranger Suárez PHI at CHC L x x x 3.42 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 9% K-BB .327 – 11th 6+ IP in L3 after a pair of sub-5 IP outings
Cal Quantrill CLE TBR R x x x 3.42 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, 14% K-BB .294 – 23rd 36 H in last 26.3 IP have pushed the WHIP up but still hasn’t allowed >3 ER in any of the L5
Eric Lauer MIL MIA L x x x 6.14 ERA, 1.73 WHIP, 8% K-BB .323 – 14th Anyone v. MIA
Eduardo Rodriguez DET KCR L x x x 5.72 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 12% K-BB .323 – 15th Couple 5 ER duds around 3 QS in L5, I’m starting him here
Nathan Eovaldi BOS BAL R x x 1st start since Aug. 12th .333 – 6th Did get a 3 IP rehab start, but likely capped around 75 pitches
Lucas Giolito CWS at MIN R x x 4.67 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 19% K-BB .300 – 21st He has been showing the downside regularly this yr, but still has real upside
Jonathan Heasley KCR at DET R x x 4.08 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 5% K-BB .275 – 30th Has shown flashes, but the downside is severe incl. a 7 ER dud v. DET
Javier Assad CHC PHI R x 5.01 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 5% K-BB .336 – 3rd We’ve seen a few good starts, but PHI is not who I want to attack outside of desperation
Marco Gonzales SEA TEX L x 4.45 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 9% K-BB .310 – 19th Has a 5.16 ERA/1.35 WHIP in 29.7 IP v. TEX this yr
Cole Irvin OAK at LAA L 8.48 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, 8% K-BB .348 – 6th Spoiled a wonderful season w/5 duds in L8 (6.99 ERA); 2.70 ERA in 20 IP v. LAA
Louie Varland MIN CWS R 5.06 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 13% K-BB .298 – 22nd If something like 5 IP/3 ER/4 Ks helps you, go for it
Sean Manaea SDP LAD L 9.50 ERA, 1.83 WHIP, 13% K-BB .317 – 17th Has season-ending downside (see also: Bradish, Kyle)
Mike Baumann BAL at BOS R 3rd MLB start .341 – 2nd Sox running too hot to take this risk
Ryan Feltner COL at SFG R 6.00 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 13% K-BB .318 – 11th Not even outside of Coors (5.86 road ERA)

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and contributes to ESPN's Daily Notes. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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