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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 22nd, 2024

Reggie Hildred-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Check out the May SP Rankings

I wanted to see what kind of pitching has been available on the wire this year so I took a quick look. I used the NFBC’s Rotowire Online Championship which is a 12-team setup with 9 pitcher slots in the starting lineup and just 7 reserves, no IL or minor leaguers. I took the pitchers who were picked up in at least 25% of the 228 leagues in the contest, so 57 or more leagues. From there, I just calculated their results from the time they were picked up through May 21st. I realize that’s not perfect because some guys have definitely been cut so many teams might’ve missed some of the ugliness.

Just a note that the date listed in the chart is the Sunday they were picked up so the data starts the day after which is definitely worth noting because several of these guys threw gems on that Sunday which no doubt raised their bid price that night. Also there are some guys listed twice and that’s not an error, they had more than one period where they met the 57-league threshold. Obviously in comparison to last year’s non-stop rush of pitching prospects who came up and succeeded, this feels light, but even compared to a standard year it feels like we aren’t getting much. Streaming is no doubt a grind in 15-teamers right now and it feels like that is trickling down to 12-teamers, too.

April SP Pickups
PITCHER PICKUP PERIOD IP ERA WHIP K-BB%
Brady Singer 31-Mar 49.2 3.08 1.20 17%
Garrett Crochet 31-Mar 45.2 4.53 1.04 27%
Brady Singer 7-Apr 43.1 3.32 1.30 17%
Graham Ashcraft 7-Apr 42.2 4.43 1.52 9%
Javier Assad 7-Apr 42.1 1.70 1.07 13%
Spencer Turnbull 7-Apr 34.1 2.88 1.06 14%
Ronel Blanco 7-Apr 32.1 3.06 1.34 14%
Steven Matz 7-Apr 17.1 8.83 2.11 3%
Cody Bradford 7-Apr 6.2 0.00 0.97 22%
Javier Assad 14-Apr 31.2 1.14 1.09 11%
Martín Pérez 14-Apr 31 6.68 1.68 11%
Paul Blackburn 14-Apr 26.2 7.09 1.49 13%
Keaton Winn 14-Apr 26.1 6.84 1.38 11%
José Buttó 14-Apr 26 4.15 1.31 5%
Ben Brown 14-Apr 25 2.52 1.16 18%
Steven Matz 14-Apr 12.2 11.37 2.30 2%
Yariel Rodríguez 14-Apr 11.2 4.63 1.88 7%
Mitchell Parker 21-Apr 26 4.15 1.42 11%
José Soriano 21-Apr 25.1 3.20 1.27 9%
José Buttó 21-Apr 21.2 4.15 1.23 6%
Edward Cabrera 21-Apr 10.1 11.32 1.78 8%
Yariel Rodríguez 21-Apr 7.2 5.87 2.36 -5%
Bailey Falter 28-Apr 24 3.75 1.08 5%
Erick Fedde 페디 28-Apr 23.1 3.86 1.13 7%
Jameson Taillon 28-Apr 22 2.45 1.23 6%
Simeon Woods Richardson 28-Apr 19.1 3.26 1.26 12%
Bryce Elder 28-Apr 11.2 11.57 2.68 9%
Pitchers acquired in at least 25% (57 of 228) of leagues in the Rotowire Online Championship which is a 12-team, 5×5 roto setup using a $1000 FAAB

 

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 21st, 2024

Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports

Individual SP comments back tomorrow… but as always, I’ll answer as many comments as I can throughout the day tomorrow so if you have a question about someone, just let me know!

Starter Notes May 21, 2024
RK PITCHER GAME 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK L30/Season
1 Joe Ryan MIN at WSN x x x 53 3.57 1.02 24% 26th/23rd
2 Logan Webb SFG at PIT x x x 59 3.03 1.35 12% 30th/29th
3 Garrett Crochet CHW at TOR x x x 51 4.18 1.01 28% 26th/26th
4 Ranger Suárez PHI v TEX x x x 59 1.37 0.76 22% 18th/6th
5 Kyle Bradish BAL at STL x x x 13 2.63 1.32 18% 8th/10th
6 Yusei Kikuchi TOR v CHW x x x 52 2.60 1.10 22% 28th/30th
7 Clarke Schmidt NYY v SEA x x x 50 2.49 1.13 20% 16th/24th
8 Cristian Javier HOU v LAA x x x 30 3.23 1.24 8% 14th/15th
9 Robert Gasser MIL at MIA x x x 11 0.82 0.82 12% 23rd/25th
10 Jon Gray TEX at PHI x x 52 2.08 1.17 18% 2nd/5th
11 Zack Littell TBR v BOS x x 49 3.44 1.31 19% 5th/9th
12 Casey Mize DET at KCR x x 43 3.50 1.19 12% 19th/12th
13 Joe Musgrove SDP at CIN x x 41 6.37 1.51 13% 28th/28th
14 Gavin Stone LAD v ARI x x 44 3.27 1.27 7% 22nd/27th
15 Andrew Abbott CIN v SDP x x 50 3.06 1.14 13% 29th/4th
16 Alec Marsh KCR v DET x x 37 2.43 1.05 14% 10th/14th
17 Bryan Woo SEA at NYY x x 9 0.93 0.62 17% 1st/1st
18 Javier Assad CHC v ATL x x 48 1.49 1.03 14% 27th/8th
19 Griffin Canning LAA at HOU x 46 5.21 1.35 8% 11th/7th
20 Charlie Morton ATL v CHC x 46 3.52 1.15 15% 20th/16th
21 Cooper Criswell BOS at TBR x 29 2.76 1.09 18% 15th/19th
22 Martín Pérez PIT v SFG x 50 4.86 1.50 12% 16th/11th
23 Cal Quantrill COL at OAK x 51 3.66 1.32 7% 9th/21st
24 Aaron Brooks 브룩스 OAK v COL x 7 3.86 1.14 14% 21st/13th
25 Lance Lynn STL v BAL x 45 4.17 1.48 11% 29th/20th
26 Brandon Pfaadt ARI at LAD 54 4.17 1.11 18% 3rd/3rd
27 Trevor Rogers MIA v MIL 42 5.79 1.76 9% 8th/2nd
28 Carlos Carrasco CLE v NYM 45 5.16 1.46 8% 17th/17th
29 Patrick Corbin WSN v MIN 48 5.59 1.74 5% 5th/18th
30 Adrian Houser NYM at CLE 32 7.44 1.84 -4% 18th/22nd
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

 

The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1299 – Main Event April FAAB Review

5/20/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

APR FAAB REVIEW

31-Mar

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 20th, 2024

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Check out the May SP Rankings

For approximately the 209th straight week, Reynaldo López is set up for a 2-start week. Will this finally be his week?

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2024 In-Season Starting Pitcher Rankings – May

We’re a month and a half into the season so it’s time for a big sweeping update on the SP rankings. See my Daily SP Charts for regular commentary on pitchers. The $ is the earned auction value so far this year.

There are 151 ranked because I left Cole Irvin even with Grayson Rodriguez returning this weekend just because I hadn’t see what they were going to do. I assume it’ll just be Irvin to the bullpen but I left him in the rankings for now removed him after I ran an update to get Scott into the rankings.

May 19th update – Added C.Scott, Removed C.Irvin, A.Houser | shifted some of the tier rankings

May 20th update – Earned Auction $ and ADP values updated for rookies who weren’t populating

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1297 – 2-Start Pitchers for Week 8

5/17/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

2-START FOR WEEK 8

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 17th, 2024

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Scott & Skenes time!

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 16th, 2024

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

What a treat on Thursday night. It’s a short slate, so you can focus all your attention on Jared Jones for the early game and then end the night with Tyler Glasnow’s start against the Reds.

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – May 15th, 2024

Thanks for coming out!

1:03

Paul Sporer: Welcome everyone, thanks for coming out!

1:03

Bob Pollard: Some regression is due, but how real is Ranger Suarez ROS?

1:05

Paul Sporer: I think it’s more “the best of what his profile can do” than “tangible changes suggesting he’s in line for a Cy Young-worthy season”. The key to just how good the season will be is that BB rate. If he holds some of these gains all year, he can make a soft regression and then actually wind up as a downballot candidate, but if it’s back to 8-9%, he’ll likely spend the 2nd half in his familiar Team Streamer role

1:05

Paul Sporer: BTW, I owe y’all the SP rankings still. Couldn’t get em 100% locked up before my trip last weekend so I’m reworking some guys (wait a day and things change, let alone 3-4) and will get ’em up this week. Sorry about that!

1:05

Guest: Bryan Woo or Brayan Bello?

1:06

Paul Sporer: They aren’t too far apart at all in terms of talent. Woo has shown more swing-and-miss upside which gives him a slight edge in fantasy, but I’d probably just play the immediate schedules b/w those 2

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 15th, 2024

Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Please pardon the Wednesday morning posting, I won’t name names but someone fell asleep.

“Hey Paul, you’re the only one who works on this piece, so if someone falling asleep prevented it from being posted, it can only be YOU.”

Oh… right. Well, I guess we’ll never get to the bottom of why it was posted late, but here it is nonetheless!

Deep board on Wednesday with all 11 of the 2-x guys being viable for 10-teamers but none being must starts in those shallower formats. Eager to see how Bradley and Gasser follow up their strong season debuts (MLB debut in the case of Gasser). I know Rogers gets the Tigers, but I just don’t trust him much anywhere at this point so even the 1-x reco is tepid. Let me know if you have questions on anyone else here in the post or later today in my chat!

Starter Notes May 15, 2024
RK PITCHER GAME 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK
1 Framber Valdez HOU v OAK x x x 29 3.64 1.35 11% 16th
2 Ranger Suárez PHI at NYM x x x 54 1.50 0.72 24% 24th
3 Garrett Crochet CHW v WSN x x x 46 4.63 0.99 29% 25th
4 Tanner Houck BOS v TBR x x x 52 2.24 0.97 20% 18th
5 Kyle Bradish BAL v TOR x x x 9 1.86 1.24 23% 22nd
6 Pablo López MIN v NYY x x x 44 3.89 0.98 27% 3rd
7 Michael King SDP v COL x x x 49 3.67 1.31 14% 19th
8 Logan Webb SFG v LAD x x x 53 3.38 1.39 12% 1st
9 Casey Mize DET v MIA x x x 37 3.58 1.30 10% 27th
10 Robert Gasser MIL v PIT x x 6 0.00 0.33 20% 10th
11 Taj Bradley TBR at BOS x x 6 1.50 1.00 21% 10th
12 Chris Bassitt TOR at BAL x x 42 5.06 1.55 11% 12th
13 Brandon Pfaadt ARI v CIN x x 47 4.60 1.19 17% 28th
14 Andrew Abbott CIN at ARI x x 43 3.35 1.19 14% 1st
15 Charlie Morton ATL v CHC x x 43 3.14 1.05 15% 15th
16 Jon Gray TEX v CLE x x 45 2.36 1.20 19% 20th
17 Griffin Canning LAA v STL x x 40 5.75 1.35 8% 24th
18 Marcus Stroman NYY at MIN x x 42 3.80 1.50 10% 8th
19 Alec Marsh KCR at SEA x x 32 2.53 1.03 12% 25th
20 Bryan Woo SEA v KCR x x 4 0.00 0.46 13% 11th
21 Lance Lynn STL at LAA x 40 3.79 1.41 11% 17th
22 Martín Pérez PIT at MIL x 45 3.60 1.40 12% 27th
23 Trevor Rogers MIA at DET x 37 6.57 1.86 8% 19th
24 Ryan Yarbrough LAD at SFG x 31 2.56 0.73 8% 20th
25 Joey Lucchesi NYM v PHI #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 6th
26 Javier Assad CHC at ATL 42 1.70 1.06 12% 7th
27 Austin Gomber COL at SDP 44 3.43 1.25 8% 26th
28 Carlos Carrasco CLE at TEX 40 5.36 1.49 8% 5th
29 Patrick Corbin WSN at CHW 42 5.91 1.78 7% 30th
30 Aaron Brooks 브룩스 OAK at HOU #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 9th
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.