Starting Pitcher Chart – August 6th, 2024

August 5, 2024

Daily SP Chart archive
Check out the July SP Rankings (NEWish)

I completely forgot the 2-start chart this morning. I’m sorry about that! As for the remaining 2-steppers who are going today, their ranking on the board is indicative of how I feel for the whole week.

David Festa with a third straight solid start since returning. He should be rostered everywhere right now.

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Starter Notes August 6, 2024

RK	PITCHER	GAME	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK L30/Season	NOTE
1	Dylan Cease	SDP at PIT	x	x	x	136	3.42	0.99	24%	19th/29th
2	Luis Castillo	SEA v DET	x	x	x	136	3.43	1.16	17%	17th/27th
3	Sonny Gray	STL v TBR	x	x	x	118	3.72	1.09	25%	25th/26th
4	Grayson Rodriguez	BAL at TOR	x	x	x	116	3.86	1.24	19%	15th/14th
5	Pablo López	MIN at CHC	x	x	x	124	4.65	1.14	22%	20th/20th
6	Luis Gil	NYY v LAA	x	x	x	112	3.20	1.10	17%	22nd/24th
7	Shota Imanaga	CHC v MIN	x	x	x	116	3.09	1.09	21%	25th/10th
8	Framber Valdez	HOU at TEX	x	x	x	116	3.56	1.25	15%	2nd/15th	Strong July incl. 10 Ks in 3 of his L4 so my confidence has returned
9	Nick Lodolo	CIN at MIA	x	x	x	97	3.99	1.15	18%	17th/30th
10	Seth Lugo	KCR v BOS	x	x	x	150	2.57	1.02	16%	1st/2nd	Tough matchup and they did clip him for 5 in Fenway, but I can’t sit him
11	Cristopher Sánchez	PHI at LAD		x	x	120	3.36	1.28	13%	16th/2nd	Not dying to start Sánchez or Kershaw but I also realize that you just might not have the option to sit ’em 15s and even many 12s
12	Clayton Kershaw	LAD v PHI		x	x	7	5.87	1.96	7%	3rd/1st
13	Ben Lively	CLE v ARI		x	x	105	3.42	1.15	14%	4th/7th	The skills keep him shy of a must-start, but he has been so dang good that he’s a tough sit!
14	Hayden Birdsong	SFG at WSN		x	x	30	2.97	1.22	18%	16th/16th	Fantastic 2-step setup this week with DET visiting this wknd
15	Chris Bassitt	TOR v BAL			x	123	4.02	1.45	12%	10th/3rd	Far from a must start even in 15s
16	Brayan Bello	BOS at KCR			x	107	5.13	1.44	14%	6th/13th	A viable streamer again, but still carries plenty of downside potential w/that 1.4 HR rate
17	Jeffrey Springs	TBR at STL			x	3	4.91	1.91	11%	15th/29th	I’m curious to see how his pitch count goes as the Rays ease him back in
18	Max Meyer	MIA v CIN			x	26	3.81	1.08	17%	5th/17th
19	Colin Rea	MIL at ATL			x	115	3.59	1.20	11%	18th/18th
20	Jonathan Cannon	CHW at OAK			x	70	4.11	1.27	10%	9th/21st	I’d like to believe more in the 3.48 ERA, 1.23 WHIP from July, but it came w/a 2% K-BB, plus OAK isn’t a walkover… be careful
21	Bryce Elder	ATL v MIL			x	46	5.67	1.54	12%	27th/8th	Super risky anytime you use him and it’s at COL on the wknd
22	Luis Severino	NYM at COL				123	3.93	1.24	10%	7th/15th	Not taking him to Coors
23	Bailey Falter	PIT v SDP				95	3.95	1.19	9%	6th/19th	He hasn’t been bad this year, but I just feel like this matchup presents more downside
24	MacKenzie Gore	WSN v SFG				111	4.54	1.50	16%	7th/5th	Hard to feel confident anywhere w/7.84 ERA, 1.84 WHIP, 3% K-BB over his L7
25	Kyle Freeland	COL v NYM				59	5.64	1.51	13%	12th/4th
26	Tyler Mahle	TEX v HOU				#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	26th/10th	Returning from TJ so I want to see something before starting him, but I don’t mind the spec pickup in 15s and maaaybe some 12s
27	Eduardo Rodriguez	ARI at CLE				#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	22nd/8th	Season debut returning from a shoulder issue w/0 rehab starts, like Mahle I’ll pick him up but not starting yet
28	Davis Daniel	LAA at NYY				22	4.91	1.18	19%	2nd/1st
29	Ross Stripling	OAK v CHW				67	5.64	1.52	8%	30th/30th
30	Keider Montero	DET at SEA				43	6.18	1.37	12%	13th/22nd

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th) and over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.