Author Archive

Paul Sporer Baseball Chat – March 18th, 2026

Thanks for coming out!

1:03

Paul Sporer: Hey y’all!! Thanks for coming out. Last big draft weekend coming up, I’ll have a sizable SP rankings update coming. Likely tomorrow, no later than Friday AM.

1:03

Bria: Do you have any long term health concerns about Crochet?

1:06

Paul Sporer: Not any more than every SP which is to say yes, I do, it’s just not actionable. Knowing that literally every pitcher can and at some point almost certainly WILL break leaves me focused way more on skills over health. Obviously, guys currently dealing with injuries, freshly back them, or with an extensive history of them carry extra risk, but there is no such thing as a safe pitcher, so gimme the best skills. (This doesn’t mean stacking Rodon, Snell, Cole on a team, but rather not eschewing a more talented but higher injury risk guy for a lesser talented guy and the myth of safety)

1:06

Matt: Joined a league with a FAB this year for the first time – I’m usually in Ottoneu/dynasty world. How do you recommend approaching FA? I’m usually VERY active on the wire, so will try as many $0 bids as possible, but how should I think about allocating my dollars? Is it mostly impact call-ups?

1:07

Paul Sporer: Yeah impact call-ups and injury replacements. Spamming the mid and lower tier bids is usually the better option v. the big budget players. Rarely do the triple-digits really deliver. Doesn’t mean you NEVER go for ’em, but be very smart about when to take that shot.

1:07

Chuck: How high would you go on Palencia in a 6×6 format with saves and holds separate cats?

Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1486 – 2026 Starting Pitcher Preview Pt. 4 ft. Eric Samulski

3/17/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow Our Socials

PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

2026 STARTER PREVIEW Pt. 4

As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment below with fantasy questions.

You can show your support to Fangraphs by becoming a member! With a standard $10 ad-free membership or yearlong $60 ad-free membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors while gaining access to dark & classic theme modes, RosterResource Excel exports, and the optional removal of photos on the homepage.

You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes or via the feed. Please rate & review the show in iTunes letting us know what you think!

Approximately 72 minutes of joyous analysis.


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1485 – 2026 Starting Pitcher Preview Pt. 3

3/9/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow Our Socials

PATREON

  • Join our Patreon for live video feeds of each show
  • Watch the video feed replay on YouTube

2026 STARTER PREVIEW Pt. 3

Juice Worth the Squeeze? Pt. 2

Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1483 – 2026 Starting Pitcher Preview Pt. 2

3/5/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow Our Socials

PATREON

2026 STARTER PREVIEW Pt. 2

Not Quite Aces

Read the rest of this entry »


Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – March 4th, 2026

Thanks for coming out!!!

1:08

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!

1:08

Yo, Lertz: Seeing a couple of big bold predictions for Rafaela from your colleagues this season. Do you also think he takes another step forward with the bat?

1:09

Paul Sporer: Aww you only read their BPs? I even used his picture for mine!!! https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/paul-sporers-2026-bold-predictions/

1:10

First pick: 6×6 ops league. Judge or ohtani who ya got for pick 1?

1:10

Paul Sporer: I’m an Ohtani at 1 type of guy, but I don’t think it’s *wrong* to prefer Judge

1:10

Ceddanne’s Agent: You and Zimmerman both on the Ceddanne train!  Feels bankable — you’re a dreamer and Jeff’s stone cold, and you still arrive at the same spot.  Love it.

Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1482 – 2026 Starting Pitcher Preview Pt. 1

3/3/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow Our Socials

PATREON

2026 STARTER PREVIEW

The 1st Rd Kings

  • Do you have an overarching pitching plan that you follow in standard 5×5 waiver wire leagues? 6:55
  • Are there formats where you won’t take one? 10:57
  • Tarik Skubal, Paul Skenes, Garrett Crochet: What’s your order? 13:20

Read the rest of this entry »


Paul Sporer’s 2026 Bold Predictions

Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

I’ve got 10 coming with one per position at C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, RP plus two at both OF and SP. While the first one will be catcher, we’re not going around the horn in that order, rather we’ll get spicier as we go through these in a Hot Ones-esque sort of way. You may have a different spice meter and I’m happy to hear if you think I have one firmly out of place.

C: Will Smith is the #1 Catcher on the Player Rater

How He Gets There: Mostly just by being himself. His career high 153 wRC+ last year came in just 110 games which relegated him to C7. His .345 BABIP seems ripe for regression against a .285 career mark, but he hit the ball much better last year to fuel that surge. It wasn’t just a bunch of bleeders and doinkers driving some extra hits in a sub-500 PA sample. I see him holding at least some of those gains while returning to the >500 PA plateau and easily paying off that C9 pricepoint. The competition is a bigger hurdle for this one than Smith’s skill but that’s also why it’s my opening salvo. They’ll get spicier!

Full Line: .285 AVG-25 HR-78 RBI-84 R-1 SB

Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1481 – 2026 Outfield Preview Pt. 6

2/27/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow Our Socials

PATREON

  • Join our Patreon for live video feeds of each show
  • Watch the video feed replay on YouTube

2026 OUTFIELD PREVIEW

More Power Bats 💪🏻

Volume Plays 🔊

Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1480 – 2026 Outfield Preview Pt. 5

2/26/26

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow Our Socials

PATREON

  • Join our Patreon for live video feeds of each show
  • Watch the video feed replay on YouTube

2026 OUTFIELD PREVIEW

Bankable Boring Bats

Read the rest of this entry »


Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – February 25th, 2026

Thanks for coming out!

1:03

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!! A freshly updated SP rankings just dropped right in time: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/starting-pitcher-2026-fantasy-rankings/

1:06

Jason: How are we feeling about Colt Keith this season?  Quality MI/CI in a 15-team OBP league?

1:06

Datt Mamon: In a vacuum, how would you view J. Duran for Sasaki?

1:07

Paul Sporer: Whoops, hit the button too fast. I’ll answer both, but is that Jhoan Duran v. Sasaki in a pitcher v. pitcher comp or Jarren?

1:11

Paul Sporer: As for Colt Keith, I’m in especially for OBP. He took a step forward last year and could take another this year even if it’s not a leap. There is still developing power and if he jumps to the 20-HR plateau, it’ll be a nice season. Great price, too

1:11

Nick: NL-only dynasty league, 10 teams, standard 5×5…

I have Edwin Diaz at $24, Mason Miller at $16 and Abner Uribe at $10… do I keep Uribe, toss him back, try and trade him? Unsure of how the Brewers pen situation unfolds between now and Opening Day

Read the rest of this entry »