Starting Pitcher Chart – July 1st, 2026

by
July 1, 2026
Lon Horwedel-Imagn Images

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

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Starting Pitcher Chart July 1st
Rk PITCHER Team Opponent T 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K% K-BB OPP K% opp wOBA RK
1 Zack Wheeler PHI v. PIT R x x x 75.1 2.03 0.86 26% 19% 23% 2
2 Paul Skenes PIT at PHI R x x x 93 3.10 0.97 31% 25% 23% 24
3 Payton Tolle BOS v. WSN L x x x 71.1 2.78 1.02 24% 17% 23% 1
4 Shane McClanahan TBR at KCR L x x x 73.2 3.30 1.22 23% 14% 20% 14
5 Troy Melton DET at NYY R x x x 37.2 2.39 0.85 17% 11% 23% 3
6 Shane Drohan MIL v. CIN L x x x 52 3.12 1.23 24% 16% 25% 4
7 Will Warren NYY v. DET R x x x 84 3.75 1.36 23% 15% 23% 23
8 Max Meyer MIA at COL R x x x 97 2.60 1.11 27% 18% 22% 4
9 MacKenzie Gore TEX at CLE L x x x 91 4.05 1.25 25% 15% 22% 27
10 Taj Bradley MIN at HOU R x x 83.2 3.98 1.28 25% 16% 22% 14
11 Freddy Peralta NYM at TOR R x x 91.1 4.53 1.37 22% 13% 19% 16
12 Tatsuya Imai HOU v. MIN R x x 47 5.36 1.32 29% 16% 22% 6
13 Trevor McDonald SFG at ARI R x x 51 4.94 1.35 20% 11% 21% 28
14 Seth Lugo KCR v. TBR R x x 90.1 4.18 1.37 18% 10% 20% 7
15 Reynaldo López ATL v. STL R x x 46.2 3.47 1.37 20% 9% 22% 11
16 Andrew Abbott CIN at MIL L x x 90 3.90 1.41 18% 8% 22% 22
17 Andrew Alvarez WSN at BOS L x x 36.2 3.44 1.47 27% 17% 21% 6
18 Dean Kremer BAL v. CHW R x x 11 4.09 0.91 37% 33% 24% 21
19 Joey Cantillo CLE v. TEX L x 86 3.87 1.35 24% 13% 25% 10
20 Michael McGreevy STL at ATL R x 89.1 3.12 1.14 16% 10% 21% 13
21 Colin Rea CHC v. SDP R x 84.1 4.80 1.41 17% 9% 23% 30
22 Walker Buehler SDP at CHC R x 78 3.81 1.31 21% 13% 21% 9
23 Spencer Miles TOR v. NYM R 51 3.00 1.06 24% 17% 22% 29
24 J.T. Ginn ATH v. LAD R 88.2 3.15 1.22 21% 11% 21% 1
25 Noah Schultz CHW at BAL L 38.2 5.82 1.34 20% 7% 25% 26
26 Kyle Freeland COL v. MIA L 72 7.50 1.61 18% 13% 24% 11
27 Zac Gallen ARI v. SFG R 86.1 6.15 1.58 13% 6% 20% 15
28 Will Klein LAD at ATH R 31.1 2.59 1.40 25% 16% 21% 8
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

Intro

The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.

Color Coding:

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  • Green – Good Matchup (so lower OPS output by the pitcher’s opponent)
  • Yellow – OK
  • Red – Bad





 

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

4 Comments
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Newest Most Voted
AnonMember since 2025
30 days ago

Wind out in Fenway and KC and Sacramento

Wind in at Coors but Denver is still a mile above sea level so that hasn’t changed

Very slight chances of rain pretty much everywhere. A touch higher in Boston

Hot and over 90 pretty much everywhere

5
Dr. FunkMember since 2025
30 days ago

Is it Rogers not Kremer for BAL today?

0
Paul SporerFanGraphs Staff
30 days ago
Reply to  Dr. Funk

I’m still showing Kremer and then Rogers Friday (off tomorrow). Happy to change if it’s wrong, just goin off our Probables Grid

1
ballparknerd40Member since 2024
30 days ago

Cantillo recommendation based on Rangers?

0