Author Archive

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 820 – Baseball Finally Coming Back?!

06/23/20

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.

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NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS/INJURIES/RUMORS

  • Latest Proposal
    • Owners using March agreement
    • Target of 60 gms, starting 7/24
    • MLBPA likely to agree today by 5 pm CT
    • Universal DH likely for ‘20, uncertain for ‘21
    • No expanded playoffs
    • Dumbass runner on 2nd rule in extras
    • No jersey ads

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SP Handedness Breakdown by Division

If we do in fact get some sort of 50-ish game season, finding any small edge could be the difference between winning and losing your league. One potential edge is platoons. Let’s take a look at the starting pitching handedness breakdown on the assumed rotations for each division. This assumes they stick to this mega-division plan by combining the East, Central, and West division from both leagues.

We’re also going to grade the pitchers using the FIP from their BAT projection. My arbitrary scale is as such: sub-4.00 is good, 4.01-4.70 is solid, and 4.71+ is bad.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 819 – 2020 Buyback Players

06/18/20

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.

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NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS/INJURIES/RUMORS

  • Latest Proposal

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Paul Sporer Baseball Chat – June 17th, 2020

Transcript is below!

1:24

Paul Sporer: Helloooo! What is going on, y’all? Let’s talk some baseball

1:25

Bauer Outage: With the 2020 season very much in question, how would you feel moving Verlander for Bauer in a keeper league? I kind of feel like the loss of a season eats away at alot of the value of guys in their upper 30’s.

1:26

Paul Sporer: I understand it. I’m not the biggest Bauer fan, but the point about missing a season from Verlander and knowing that it can really just go away at any moment for a late-30s pitcher, I totally get it

1:26

Chris: So a 50 game season huh? In a points head to head league would you just play a table with no playoffs?

1:28

Paul Sporer: That’d probably be smartest, but the playoffs are the main reason H2H players like the format so I’m not sure they’re gonna want to do that. It’s just such an f’n mess.

1:31

Bart G: are top tier starters and closers devalued in a more compressed schedule / season… or even more valued? Thanks

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 818 – Draft Review ft. Eric Longenhagen

06/16/20

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.

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DRAFT REVIEW

  • How likely is Spencer Torkelson to debut at 3B?
  • You had Heston Kjerstad as a potential Balt. pick, how much of a “reach” was it?
    • Did they maximize the deal w/their other picks? (Westburg, Haskin)
  • What’s Nick Gonzales’s offensive outlook in PIT?
  • His whole profile made him a potential 1.1, but what kind of fantasy profile did TOR get w/Austin Martin?
  • Best fantasy future of the 3 Ps taken early: Max Meyer, Asa Lacy, Emerson Hancock

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 817 – Rising Hitters (ADP v. AC)

06/11/20

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.

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NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS/INJURIES/RUMORS

  • Latest Proposal
  • Brief Draft Coverage

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Falling Hitters – ADP v. 2019

We know that the previous season has a major impact on the following season’s ADP, but I wanted to take a closer look at a comparison between the two and highlight the hitters who have the biggest difference between their 2019 finish on the Auction Calculator and their 2020 NFBC ADP (you can go to the NFBC website, but it’s also built into the Auction Calculator). I used the top 200 ADP players as the cutoff because that captures the group likely to go in virtually every draft.

Let’s take a deeper look and see if these large disparities between the ’19 finish and ’20 are merited or if there’s some value to be mined here. I’m bypassing those with obvious reasons like injury or in the case of the 2nd-biggest faller – Yasiel Puig – not having a team yet.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 816 – 2016 Retro Draft

06/09/20

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.

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NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS/INJURIES/RUMORS

  • 2020 Season Outlook – Owners say no to 100+ games
  • Chris Archer TOS injury

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 814 – Fireside Chat: Live from PitchCon

05/31/20

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.

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PitchCon Fireside

  • An ace to fade (a top 15 SP you think will be outside the top 45 SPs)
  • Favorite tier 2 riser (someone in SP 25-40 you think will be top 10)
  • Best unproven breakout: Glasnow, Luzardo, Fried, Urias, Gallen

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Paul Sporer Baseball Chat – June 3rd, 2020

Transcript below!

1:07

Paul Sporer: Good afternoon, y’all! Chat will be a little shorter today as I’m doing my livestream of a Pedro Martinez game with Nick Pollack at 2PM Central. But that still gives us plenty of time to answer a bunch of questions!

1:08

Samuel: What’s the biggest change in 50-game season fantasy wise?

1:09

Paul Sporer: Obviously the size of it adds a TOOONNN of volatility. All of sudden, the latter half of your draft has weeks to perform or it’s time to move. Of course your top end guys still get some time to smooth out a bit even with a slow start, but I’d think anyone after about the 13th-14th round is on the clock to be replaced almost immediately

1:10

robert: Hi Paul, I am in a 12-team points league.  I have 5 hitters I’m definitely keeping and must choose 2 out of the following 3 pitchers: (alphabetical order) Kyle Hendricks, James Paxton, or Zack Wheeler.   Which 2?  Thanks

1:14

Paul Sporer: Gimme Paxton & Hendricks, Wheeler is close to Hendricks, but I like the combo of Paxton/Hendricks as their strengths complement one another

1:17

Guest: Is it wrong to want no season at this point and just want to see them come back with a completely normal 2021 season?

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