Author Archive

2024 In-Season Starting Pitcher Rankings – May

We’re a month and a half into the season so it’s time for a big sweeping update on the SP rankings. See my Daily SP Charts for regular commentary on pitchers. The $ is the earned auction value so far this year.

There are 151 ranked because I left Cole Irvin even with Grayson Rodriguez returning this weekend just because I hadn’t see what they were going to do. I assume it’ll just be Irvin to the bullpen but I left him in the rankings for now removed him after I ran an update to get Scott into the rankings.

May 19th update – Added C.Scott, Removed C.Irvin, A.Houser | shifted some of the tier rankings

May 20th update – Earned Auction $ and ADP values updated for rookies who weren’t populating

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1297 – 2-Start Pitchers for Week 8

5/17/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

2-START FOR WEEK 8

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 17th, 2024

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Scott & Skenes time!

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 16th, 2024

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

What a treat on Thursday night. It’s a short slate, so you can focus all your attention on Jared Jones for the early game and then end the night with Tyler Glasnow’s start against the Reds.

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – May 15th, 2024

Thanks for coming out!

1:03

Paul Sporer: Welcome everyone, thanks for coming out!

1:03

Bob Pollard: Some regression is due, but how real is Ranger Suarez ROS?

1:05

Paul Sporer: I think it’s more “the best of what his profile can do” than “tangible changes suggesting he’s in line for a Cy Young-worthy season”. The key to just how good the season will be is that BB rate. If he holds some of these gains all year, he can make a soft regression and then actually wind up as a downballot candidate, but if it’s back to 8-9%, he’ll likely spend the 2nd half in his familiar Team Streamer role

1:05

Paul Sporer: BTW, I owe y’all the SP rankings still. Couldn’t get em 100% locked up before my trip last weekend so I’m reworking some guys (wait a day and things change, let alone 3-4) and will get ’em up this week. Sorry about that!

1:05

Guest: Bryan Woo or Brayan Bello?

1:06

Paul Sporer: They aren’t too far apart at all in terms of talent. Woo has shown more swing-and-miss upside which gives him a slight edge in fantasy, but I’d probably just play the immediate schedules b/w those 2

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 15th, 2024

Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Please pardon the Wednesday morning posting, I won’t name names but someone fell asleep.

“Hey Paul, you’re the only one who works on this piece, so if someone falling asleep prevented it from being posted, it can only be YOU.”

Oh… right. Well, I guess we’ll never get to the bottom of why it was posted late, but here it is nonetheless!

Deep board on Wednesday with all 11 of the 2-x guys being viable for 10-teamers but none being must starts in those shallower formats. Eager to see how Bradley and Gasser follow up their strong season debuts (MLB debut in the case of Gasser). I know Rogers gets the Tigers, but I just don’t trust him much anywhere at this point so even the 1-x reco is tepid. Let me know if you have questions on anyone else here in the post or later today in my chat!

Starter Notes May 15, 2024
RK PITCHER GAME 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK
1 Framber Valdez HOU v OAK x x x 29 3.64 1.35 11% 16th
2 Ranger Suárez PHI at NYM x x x 54 1.50 0.72 24% 24th
3 Garrett Crochet CHW v WSN x x x 46 4.63 0.99 29% 25th
4 Tanner Houck BOS v TBR x x x 52 2.24 0.97 20% 18th
5 Kyle Bradish BAL v TOR x x x 9 1.86 1.24 23% 22nd
6 Pablo López MIN v NYY x x x 44 3.89 0.98 27% 3rd
7 Michael King SDP v COL x x x 49 3.67 1.31 14% 19th
8 Logan Webb SFG v LAD x x x 53 3.38 1.39 12% 1st
9 Casey Mize DET v MIA x x x 37 3.58 1.30 10% 27th
10 Robert Gasser MIL v PIT x x 6 0.00 0.33 20% 10th
11 Taj Bradley TBR at BOS x x 6 1.50 1.00 21% 10th
12 Chris Bassitt TOR at BAL x x 42 5.06 1.55 11% 12th
13 Brandon Pfaadt ARI v CIN x x 47 4.60 1.19 17% 28th
14 Andrew Abbott CIN at ARI x x 43 3.35 1.19 14% 1st
15 Charlie Morton ATL v CHC x x 43 3.14 1.05 15% 15th
16 Jon Gray TEX v CLE x x 45 2.36 1.20 19% 20th
17 Griffin Canning LAA v STL x x 40 5.75 1.35 8% 24th
18 Marcus Stroman NYY at MIN x x 42 3.80 1.50 10% 8th
19 Alec Marsh KCR at SEA x x 32 2.53 1.03 12% 25th
20 Bryan Woo SEA v KCR x x 4 0.00 0.46 13% 11th
21 Lance Lynn STL at LAA x 40 3.79 1.41 11% 17th
22 Martín Pérez PIT at MIL x 45 3.60 1.40 12% 27th
23 Trevor Rogers MIA at DET x 37 6.57 1.86 8% 19th
24 Ryan Yarbrough LAD at SFG x 31 2.56 0.73 8% 20th
25 Joey Lucchesi NYM v PHI #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 6th
26 Javier Assad CHC at ATL 42 1.70 1.06 12% 7th
27 Austin Gomber COL at SDP 44 3.43 1.25 8% 26th
28 Carlos Carrasco CLE at TEX 40 5.36 1.49 8% 5th
29 Patrick Corbin WSN at CHW 42 5.91 1.78 7% 30th
30 Aaron Brooks 브룩스 OAK at HOU #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 9th
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.


Starting Pitcher Chart – May 14th, 2024

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Everyone gets a comment today!

As we were talking through FAAB on Sunday night, my friend Gregg astutely pointed out that Oakland’s Win potential for their SPs is a lot higher than it was at the start of season. They now flaunt the best closer in baseball to maintain any leads they do get and they’re slugging the ball around a decent bit to obtain said leads. Mason Miller simply has a negative FIP!!! That’s right, FIP goes into the negative. He snatches runs off the board when he comes out of the pen. It probably goes without saying, but yes, his -0.17 FIP is the best in baseball. That tends to happen when you strike out more than half your batters (55% K rate).

On the offensive side, Brent Rooker is showing that last year was no fluke with a 1.021 OPS and 10 HR, good for 3rd and t-4th, respectively. He’s not the only one hitting, though, as their 55 HRs rank 4th in the league aiding them to a palatable 102 wRC+. In addition to Rooker’s 187 wRC+, they are getting big contributions from Abraham Toro (137), JJ Bleday (122), Tyler Nevin (116), and Shea Langeliers (114) as well as small sample gods Kyle McCann (211 in 39 PA), Brett Harris (126 in 42), and Esteury Ruiz (112 in 58) making the most of their time so far.

Unfortunately one of the prime beneficiaries of this improved outlook for Oakland, Paul Blackburn, hit the IL today with a broken foot. However, it does bring Joey Estes back up which is a full circle moment because that’s who Gregg and I were discussing on Sunday when he pointed out Oakland’s newly improved outlook. Estes has a HR issue that will make him risky even in the best setups, but a shiny season debut on Saturday (5 IP/1 ER/0 BB/5 Ks) plus this opportunity does at least put him on the deep league radar. He gets a trip to Houston this week which I’d pass on, but if you’re a fan in a daily moves league you might consider stashing before that start because if he surprises me and does do well against the Astros, there’ll be a lot of attention for his Colorado start at home.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1296 – Sputtering Top 100ish Hitters

5/13/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

SPUTTERING TOP 100ish HITTERS

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 13th, 2024

Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Spicy 2-start week with lots of studs going!

  • 2-start chart updated at 1:02 PM CT on Monday
2-Start Rankings for the Week
RANK TYPE PITCHER MATCHUPS
1 1 Corbin Burnes TOR/SEA
2 1 Shota Imanaga at ATL/PIT
3 1 Yoshinobu Yamamoto at SFG/CIN
4 1 George Kirby KCR/at BAL
5 1 Zach Eflin at BOS/at TOR
6 1 Aaron Nola at NYM/WSN
7 2 Reynaldo López CHC/SDP
8 2 Kutter Crawford TBR/at STL
9 2 Hunter Greene at ARI/at LAD
10 2 Ronel Blanco OAK/MIL
11 2 Jordan Montgomery CIN/DET
12 2 Carlos Rodón at MIN/CHW
13 3 Tanner Bibee at TEX/MIN
14 3 Brady Singer at SEA/OAK
15 3 Matt Manning MIA/at ARI
16 3 Cristopher Sánchez at NYM/WSN
17 3 Jordan Hicks LAD/COL
18 3 Nick Pivetta TBR/at STL
19 3 José Berríos at BAL/TBR
20 3 Aaron Civale at BOS/at TOR
21 4 Chris Flexen 플렉센 WSN/at NYY
22 4 JP Sears at HOU/at KCR
23 4 Trevor Williams at CHW/at PHI
24 4 Colin Rea PIT/at HOU
25 4 José Soriano STL/at TEX
26 4 Jameson Taillon at ATL/PIT
27 4 Mitch Keller at MIL/at CHC
28 4 Chris Paddack NYY/at CLE
29 4 Sean Manaea PHI/at MIA
30 4 Michael Lorenzen CLE/LAA
31 4 Matthew Liberatore at LAA/BOS
32 4 Randy Vásquez COL/at ATL
33 5 Graham Ashcraft at ARI/at LAD
34 5 Ross Stripling at HOU/at KCR
35 5 Sixto Sánchez at DET/NYM
36 6 Spencer Arrighetti OAK/MIL
37 6 Dakota Hudson at SDP/at SFG
TYPE Key:
1 – Auto-Start | 2- All Formats | 3 – Most Formats |
4 – Some Formats | 5 – YOLO | 6 – Hard Pass

 

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1295 – 2-Start Pitchers for Week 7

5/10/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

2-START FOR WEEK 7

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