Starting Pitcher Chart – April 15th, 2026
- Daily SP Chart archive
- 2-Start podcast episode
- Preseason SP Rankings (update coming soon!)
Welcome to the Daily SP Chart.
Note: 2026 data is now featured in the chart as of April 13th! We’re still dealing with small samples, but I’ve taken out the 2025 data and you will now see the pitcher’s current numbers and the wOBA rank for their opponent this year so far!
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations, you don’t really need a shiny stat to be convinced on starting guys like that. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment and I’ll get you an answer when I can. I try to do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
| Rk | PITCHER | Tm | Opp | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | opp wOBA RK | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shohei Ohtani | LAD | v. NYM | x | x | x | 12 | 0.75 | 9% | 26 | Another wave of SP injuries has me wondering how many tms are better off w/him at SP (obv depends if they’re losing these studs) | |
| 2 | Jesús Luzardo | PHI | v. CHC | x | x | x | 17.1 | 6.23 | 1.15 | 31% | 16 | 2 Duds already but also 26 Ks and 4 BB w/a 53% GB |
| 3 | Dylan Cease | TOR | at MIL | x | x | x | 14.2 | 2.45 | 1.43 | 25% | 5 | |
| 4 | Shota Imanaga | CHC | at PHI | x | x | x | 16 | 2.81 | 0.81 | 27% | 29 | Velo up but how long can he run a 6% HR/FB |
| 5 | Randy Vásquez | SDP | v. SEA | x | x | x | 17.2 | 1.02 | 1.08 | 22% | 16 | The 14% SwStr gives his 28% K some real juice; 97% LOB will no doubt regress, but I’m eager to see where this goes |
| 6 | Emerson Hancock | SEA | at SDP | x | x | x | 17.2 | 2.04 | 0.74 | 26% | 13 | Ks holding up since the 9 K opening gem (23%) and his 107 Pitching+ is 5th in MLB |
| 7 | Kyle Bradish | BAL | v. ARI | x | x | x | 13.2 | 5.27 | 1.68 | 13% | 28 | Just not locating like we saw in his brief return last year; still starting thru next wk’s 2-step & we’ll reassess after that |
| 8 | Connelly Early | BOS | at MIN | x | x | x | 13.2 | 2.63 | 1.54 | 11% | 10 | 5% BB in MLB sample (19 IP) stood out against 9-10% rates all the way up so the 13% isn’t a total shock; check back in after next wk’s 2-step |
| 9 | Seth Lugo | KCR | at DET | x | x | x | 17.2 | 1.53 | 1.08 | 12% | 15 | He won’t stay this hot, but he’s the super streamer we’ve come to love the last several yrs |
| 10 | Carmen Mlodzinski | PIT | v. WSN | x | x | x | 14.1 | 2.51 | 1.60 | 14% | 11 | Needs to improve 7% SwStr, but another one I’d like to see through next wk’s 2-step bc if he can stop walking guys (6 in L2), there’s some upside |
| 11 | Jack Flaherty | DET | v. KCR | x | x | 14 | 5.14 | 1.64 | 5% | 21 | Better last time out and he’s done enough to hold longer than 3 starts | |
| 12 | Sean Burke | CHW | v. TBR | x | x | 15 | 3.60 | 1.07 | 19% | 7 | Not sure the Ks will hold w/just an 8% SwStr, but the 5% BB can help keep a low-20% K palatable | |
| 13 | Bryce Elder | ATL | v. MIA | x | 17.2 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 16% | 4 | Absolutely stretching every inch out of his 10% SwStr to get his 24% K but I don’t see it holding up | ||
| 14 | Tyler Mahle | SFG | at CIN | x | 14.2 | 4.30 | 1.57 | 13% | 27 | Tepid here w/the SwStr decline and 88 STF+; LAD/MIA 2-step next wk isn’t particularly appealing even at home | ||
| 15 | Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI | at BAL | x | 18 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 8% | 4 | Held up well at LAD/v. ATL/at NYM to open the yr but a .222 BABIP did most of the work; it’ll go south fast w/out sharp improvement on his 8% K-BB | ||
| 16 | Slade Cecconi | CLE | at STL | x | 15.2 | 5.74 | 1.21 | 13% | 25 | HR problems remain prominent but there aren’t many threats outside of Walker so he just needs to avoid him | ||
| 17 | Rhett Lowder | CIN | v. SFG | x | 16.1 | 3.31 | 1.22 | 7% | 29 | Eager to see how he rebounds from a tough outing at MIA but the lack of whiffs mitigate his upside | ||
| 18 | Chad Patrick | MIL | v. TOR | x | 12.1 | 0.73 | 1.38 | 4% | 22 | Looking a lot more like Tobias Myers 2.0 than I thought he’d be but it hasn’t hurt yet w/that insane ERA… it can’t last like this | ||
| 19 | Kumar Rocker | TEX | at ATH | x | 10 | 4.50 | 1.40 | 11% | 14 | I’m nervous about this in Sacramento, but I’m holding for PIT/ATH both at home next wk | ||
| 20 | Jesse Scholtens | TBR | at CHW | x | 4.2 | 1.07 | 18% | 30 | Great matchup and the chance to follow could yield a Win | |||
| 21 | Spencer Arrighetti | HOU | v. COL | x | 20 | Could be some tasty Rockie Road (shouts to Nick!) but also a season debut for a high BB guy so not a must start by any stretch | ||||||
| 22 | Jake Irvin | WSN | at PIT | 14 | 7.07 | 1.50 | 13% | 8 | ||||
| 23 | J.T. Ginn | ATH | v. TEX | 11 | 3.27 | 0.91 | 12% | 9 | Just can’t run him at home w/any confidence | |||
| 24 | Simeon Woods Richardson | MIN | v. BOS | 15.2 | 4.60 | 1.28 | 6% | 24 | 6% BB, 6% SwStr, 6% K-BB | |||
| 25 | Clay Holmes | NYM | at LAD | 18 | 1.50 | 1.11 | 6% | 1 | Dodgers feel like the perfect Regression Monster to eat up these ratios | |||
| 26 | Dustin May | STL | v. CLE | 13.1 | 9.45 | 1.80 | 13% | 18 | ||||
| 27 | Jack Kochanowicz | LAA | at NYY | 16.2 | 3.24 | 1.26 | 1% | 10 | ||||
| 28 | Luis Gil | NYY | v. LAA | 4 | 6.75 | 1.50 | -5% | 23 | ||||
| 29 | Chris Paddack | MIA | at ATL | 14.2 | 6.14 | 1.57 | 13% | 3 | No… stop it. | |||
| 30 | Jose Quintana | COL | at HOU | 4.1 | 4.15 | 1.85 | -11% | 3 |