Starting Pitcher Chart – April 16th, 2026

by
April 16, 2026

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart.

Note: 2026 data is now featured in the chart as of April 13th! We’re still dealing with small samples, but I’ve taken out the 2025 data and you will now see the pitcher’s current numbers and the wOBA rank for their opponent this year so far!

The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations, you don’t really need a shiny stat to be convinced on starting guys like that. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment and I’ll get you an answer when I can. I try to do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.

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SP Chart for April 16th, 2026
Rk PITCHER Tm Opp 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB opp wOBA RK Commentary
1 Max Fried NYY v. LAA x x x 28 1.93 0.75 14% 3 Ks have been a little light but nothing to worry about
2 Kris Bubic KCR at DET x x x 18 2.50 0.83 24% 24 It would be so fun to see him stay healthy all year
3 Chase Burns CIN v. SFG x x x 16.1 3.31 1.29 14% 29 Hit for the first time in his last start but he’s a rotation lock for least ~10 starts barring inj. or extreme skill change
4 Braxton Ashcraft PIT v. WSN x x x 17 2.12 1.00 23% 12 Electric start incl. 17 Ks and just 1 BB in his L2; WSN hitting well, too, so not a walkover matchup
5 Parker Messick CLE v. BAL x x x 17.2 0.51 0.91 17% 5 There’ll be regression – will it be gradual or a hit parade where the .227 BABIP shoots up?
6 Shane Baz BAL at CLE x x x 16 4.50 1.56 11% 20 He hasn’t been great but he’s made it 5+ in all 3 starts and hasn’t been bad; it’s gotta get better soon, though
7 Landen Roupp SFG at CIN x x x 16.2 3.24 1.14 19% 28 Love the BB gains (7%) but he’s squeezing every ounce out of that 10% SwStr to get a 26% K
8 Steven Matz TBR at CHW x x 16 3.94 0.94 19% 20 Quietly pitching very well incl. 15 Ks in his L2 after just 4 in his season debut
9 Jack Leiter TEX at ATH x x 14.2 4.91 1.36 24% 21 LAD jumped him in the 1st inn. and he couldn’t get it on track; I’m a little nervous in Sacramento
10 Luis Castillo SEA at SDP x x 13 6.92 1.77 16% 15 B2B sub-4 IP outings was rough, espec. after the gem v. NYY to open the yr; not cutting, but not a must-start
11 Keider Montero DET v. KCR x 10.1 1.74 0.68 21% 23 Running hot right now, expectations should be his career ratios: 4.42 ERA/1.32 WHIP; decent matchup, but high risk
12 Ryan Weiss 와이스 HOU v. COL x 11 7.36 2.09 16% 22 It’s been a rough 11 IP but he still has a 16% K-BB and the Rockies are always a spot to consider
13 Brandon Sproat MIL v. TOR 10.1 10.45 2.32 19 Not out overall, but need to see something before placing him back in the lineup
14 Foster Griffin WSN at PIT 15.1 1.76 1.11 10% 18 I want to be excited for his return to MLB, but a 10% K-BB and 8% SwStr are rough; 99% LOB doing most of the work
15 Anthony Kay CHW v. TBR 14.2 2.45 1.16 5% 14 Similar to Griffin w/the huge ERA-SIERA split and I don’t want to be around for come down
16 Walker Buehler SDP v. SEA 12.2 4.97 1.26 11% 17 I’m just going to be terrified every time I start him and I’m not sure the upside is worth that headache
17 Jacob Lopez ATH v. TEX 13.1 7.43 2.18 -3% 29
18 Tomoyuki Sugano COL at HOU 16.2 2.16 0.78 14% 2 He’s somehow survived a 2.2 HR9 but HOU give him the Regression Special here
19 Patrick Corbin TOR at MIL 4 9.00 1.75 10% 22
20 Walbert Urena LAA at NYY 1.2 4.80 -7% 7
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues





 

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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AnonMember since 2025
2 days ago

Wind 10+:

PIT – across from R to L at 13
CIN – across from R to L at 10
DET – in from R at 12
NYY – out to L at 10
CHW – out to L at 13
ATH – in from L at 18 in a minor league park with no 2nd deck and no tall buildings around it at all
CLE – out to R at 10

Rain at 20+% (highest in-game #):

PIT – 20% at the end of the game
CIN – 39%
DET – 56%
CHW – 32%
CLE – 43%

6
AnonMember since 2025
2 days ago
Reply to  Anon

The wind in Sacramento just played a major factor. Kurtz just hit what should have been a pretty routine 250 foot fly ball down the left field line. However, the wind blew it back to 196 feet (per Statcast) and also sideways a bit back toward center and Langford couldn’t get there. Bases-clearing, 3-run double.

I watched some A’s games last year and wind is going to be a major factor in Sacramento for sure.

0