Starting Pitcher Chart – April 22nd, 2026
- Daily SP Chart archive
- 2-Start podcast episode
- Preseason SP Rankings (update coming this wk!)
Welcome to the Daily SP Chart.
The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.
I’m going to try the notes up here again instead of in the board. I think I do this once a year and usually end up back with them on the board, but curious where y’all come out. I wish there was more space on the board because sometimes the lengthier comments can really skew the look. It’s a billion percent cleaner w/data only, but I’m open to hearing if any preference exists. I’ll still try to keep these tight… part of the beauty of the board is it forces me to be more concise and as a wordy son of a bitch, it’s not bad to have a guardrail sometimes (as I literally get wordy ahead of the actual commentary):
- I remain firm that using Ohtani at SP has more merit this year, especially if your offense is rolling; he’s simply an ace as his part-time job… he’s just SO damn amazing!
- I’m not gonna pretend I fully stayed the course on Soriano as evidenced by my light share count despite the premium velo and GB foundation that new pitching coach Mike Maddux had to work with Day 1; it’s only 5 starts but hard not to be super excited about this
- Wacha’s K-BB is up 4 pts from last yr, but in line w/2023-24 when he had a 3.29 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and 4.28 SIERA; his 3.90 SIERA is still my guide for him
- First start off the IL for Boyd and everyone has their own rules for those; I start my high-end guys and case-by-case w/mid-tier like him; catching PHI at a good time adds some confidence to start him
- The Leiter-Ashcraft matchup is interesting as both guys have been worse vL this year which is the strength of both lineups. Leiter handled lefties beautifully last year but has a .972 OPS against them this year and the five best Pirates will attack him from the left side w/Oneil, O’Hearn, Lowe, Horwitz, and switch-hitting Reynolds. Ashcraft only has a .612 OPS vL, but that’s 129 pts higher than his vR and four of their five lefties are hitting well this year: Seager, Nimmo, Carter, and Joc. They’re not completely unusable in 10s, but I’d look elsewhere if I can.
- Mize rebounded from two bad IP in MIN with 1 ER in 12.3 IP since including 12 Ks and 2 BB; he’s not too different than Leiter/Ashcraft and gets a similarly difficult matchup, but he’s cooking lefties this year so MIL’s lefty-laden lineup isn’t as scary for him and thus I gave him the 3-x nod as opposed to just 2 for Leiter/Ashcraft.
- Martinez’s skills aren’t supporting his 2.45 ERA but even still this is a good spot against his former mates, who are dead last against righties in wOBA, plus the added benefit of pitching in the Trop.
- Holmes is running a crazy hot .215 BABIP to keep his WHIP in check but that won’t last as he’s more or less the same guy we saw last year. His 3.42 ERA/1.30 WHIP over the last two years will still be my guide for him.
- Patrick and E-Rod have obscene ERAs despite single-digit K-BB rates… the ERAs will rise but so will their K-BB rates
- That .319 BABIP for Buehler terrifies me in Coors but there are some spots I could see taking the shot
- If Lambert can consistently miss bats, there could be something here… but that’s a big IF for the 29-year old
- It’s going to take time for Bassitt to work off his 10 ER in 6.3 IP to start the year but the composite ERA obscures the fact that he’s allowed just 1 ER in 9.7 IP over his last two starts; KCR is a great spot for him to stay hot
- I had some excitement for Williamson coming into the season and he’s been better since 6 ER to open his season with just 4 ER in 16 IP since (and 2 Ws!), but only 9 Ks against 11 BB says he’s been fortunate. With Lodolo lurking, Williamson could be headed to the pen after this start regardless of results.
- Lauer openly came out against getting an opener despite it yielding better results his last time out after some struggles… curious if they get him on board with it or acquiesce to letting him traditionally start.
- Fuentes gets recalled and will start over Martin Perez, I like him a lot in a longer term situation and would consider in 12s and larger for today’s start. It could be a spot start so don’t go crazy acquiring him until we know if it’s a longer term stay. I don’t remake the board on these late changes but consider him in between Holmes & Bibee.
- Prielipp is an interesting prospect for MIN making his MLB debut today. I know the Mets have been outright awful this year, but I’ll still sit on the sidelines for this one and get a look at Prielipp before making any recos going forward. They also get Soto back in the lineup today so perhaps they’ll actually start playing like a major league team. I’d still view underneath Lauer so ahead of a few others even with 0 MLB experience.
| Rk | PITCHER | Tm | Opp | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | opp wOBA RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shohei Ohtani | LAD | at SFG | x | x | x | 18 | 0.50 | 0.72 | 17% | 28 |
| 2 | José Soriano | LAA | v. TOR | x | x | x | 32.2 | 0.28 | 0.73 | 22% | 24 |
| 3 | Max Fried | NYY | at BOS | x | x | x | 33.1 | 2.97 | 0.81 | 12% | 21 |
| 4 | Ranger Suarez | BOS | v. NYY | x | x | x | 22.1 | 3.22 | 1.07 | 10% | 24 |
| 5 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | v. ATH | x | x | x | 29 | 4.03 | 1.17 | 23% | 18 |
| 6 | Michael Wacha | KCR | v. BAL | x | x | x | 27 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 15% | 19 |
| 7 | Matthew Boyd | CHC | v. PHI | x | x | x | 9.1 | 6.75 | 1.18 | 38% | 27 |
| 8 | Casey Mize | DET | v. MIL | x | x | x | 22.2 | 2.78 | 1.19 | 19% | 3 |
| 9 | Jack Leiter | TEX | v. PIT | x | x | 20.1 | 4.87 | 1.48 | 17% | 7 | |
| 10 | Braxton Ashcraft | PIT | at TEX | x | x | 22.2 | 2.38 | 1.06 | 22% | 5 | |
| 11 | Nick Martinez | TBR | v. CIN | x | x | 22 | 2.45 | 1.23 | 8% | 30 | |
| 12 | Janson Junk | MIA | v. STL | x | x | 22 | 4.50 | 1.32 | 10% | 20 | |
| 13 | Clay Holmes | NYM | v. MIN | x | x | 23 | 1.96 | 1.09 | 8% | 15 | |
| 14 | Tanner Bibee | CLE | v. HOU | x | x | 24.1 | 4.81 | 1.52 | 13% | 4 | |
| 15 | Chad Patrick | MIL | at DET | x | 19 | 0.95 | 1.16 | 3% | 12 | ||
| 16 | Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI | v. CHW | x | 23 | 1.96 | 1.22 | 5% | 16 | ||
| 17 | Chris Bassitt | BAL | at KCR | x | 16 | 6.19 | 2.13 | -5% | 25 | ||
| 18 | Walker Buehler | SDP | at COL | x | 17.2 | 4.58 | 1.25 | 16% | 22 | ||
| 19 | Peter Lambert | HOU | at CLE | x | 5 | 7.20 | 1.60 | 29% | 21 | ||
| 20 | Anthony Kay | CHW | at ARI | x | 17.1 | 2.60 | 1.27 | 4% | 8 | ||
| 21 | Kyle Leahy | STL | at MIA | x | 19 | 5.21 | 1.53 | 6% | 8 | ||
| 22 | Brandon Williamson | CIN | at TBR | x | 20.2 | 4.35 | 1.35 | -1% | 14 | ||
| 23 | Tomoyuki Sugano | COL | v. SDP | 20.2 | 3.92 | 1.16 | 12% | 17 | |||
| 24 | Aaron Civale | ATH | at SEA | 20.1 | 3.54 | 1.33 | 11% | 14 | |||
| 25 | Eric Lauer 라우어 | TOR | at LAA | 17.2 | 7.13 | 1.47 | 8% | 7 | |||
| 26 | Didier Fuentes | ATL | at WSN | x | x | 4 | 2.22 | 0.75 | 20% | 18 | |
| 27 | Tyler Mahle | SFG | v. LAD | 18.2 | 7.23 | 1.93 | 10% | 1 | |||
| 28 | Zack Littell | WSN | v. ATL | 19 | 7.11 | 1.74 | 9% | 2 | |||
| 29 | Taijuan Walker | PHI | at CHC | 18.2 | 9.16 | 2.04 | 6% | 13 | |||
| 30 | Connor Prielipp | MIN | at NYM | His | MLB | Debut | 20 |

Kind of surprised to see the MIN SP ranked last. It’s going to be one of two prospects off to a good start, and the NYM have been doing NYM things all month.
Ya but I can’t rank on pure spec. I at least have to know who it is and I couldn’t find anything at the outlets I check for SPs.
MLB officially has Connor Prielipp listed as the Twins starter today. Also Soto is returning to the Mets lineup today.
Yes I see Rotowire’s board now has that, too. Ours still running TBD but I trust it’s Prielipp.
Big fan of the notes above the charts, since you asked. I feel like I get all your thoughts on pitchers, without a chance of you subconsciously editing yourself simply to fit in the chart. The “Leiter-Ashcraft” blurb is a perfect example of the uncut Sporer I’m here for. Great stuff as usual, Paul!
I personally like the notes because you can write more about the pitchers. Maybe move the board up top though and then the notes. Either way, thank you!
Agree with all this. Like the longer notes, maybe try them below the chart just to set them apart a little.
I also like the longer notes. I actually kind of like them before the chart, but could go either way. Because we know there will be a chart you can read the notes and then keep scrolling, but with the notes afterwards, depending on the medium (e.g. phone vs pc) if there is a gap they could be missed.
Didier Fuentes is now replacing Perez for the Braves vWSN. Where would you put him? Not sure WSNs wOBA rank vs righties, but it must be worse than against lefties?
My guess is right around the 12/15 teams split near Chad Patrick.
You about nailed it. I was a touch higher, but same general range
WSN is acquitting themselves well this year, but doing their best vL (3rd in wOBA) while sitting 18th in wOBA vR so I don’t think they’re a huge threat on Didier. I’d give him a 2-x and place him between Holmes & Bibee
Wind at 10+:
KC – out to L at 11
LAA – out to center at 10
Coors – out to R at a stout 19 – unseasonably warm too at 77* at 1st pitch
BOS is the only rain “threat” and low at that at 26%
Buehler has a career 5.65 ERA at Coors over 10 starts, 2 relief appearances and 57.1 IP. Other stats at Coors – 280/332/484 triple slash, 1.395 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, 2.67 BB/9, 1.26 HR/9.
Interesting fact I learned looking that up: there are only 7 ballparks where Buehler has started more than 3 games – the 5 NL West parks, Fenway, and Philly. He’s been around long enough that I would have expected that number to be higher.
The more I see to talk me out of Buehler, the better, lol. I was such a fan of him at his best that I’ve struggled to fully transition him into a 4th-5th SP type who simply doesn’t have the massive ceiling we saw in his sticky-stuff days
Trying to think what it would take for me to start Sugano today. Low-K guy with a below average fastball and HR issues and the wind blowing out at 19 at Coors.
Fun day if you’re a monster fan. Could watch games for literally 12 hours from noon Eastern until midnight if you wanted to. Basically a game starting every hour with a small gap from 4:10 to 6:40 Eastern.
I’m a fan of the wording above the chart – easier to read and cleaner FWIW.
If you were able to trade for Emerson Hancock (24th rnd keeper) or Brandon Woodruff (not really keepable), who would you prefer? I lean Woodruff, but what are your alls thoughts?
If you’re competing, I’d take Woodruff. I still like him more rest of season over Hancock. While I do believe MORE in Hancock w/the skills improvement, I can’t ignore what he’s done before so he’s still someone straddling that line between team streamer and a standard start-n-cut type guy. Definitely running him regularly right now, but too early to declare him a fully changed man