Archive for May, 2016

Bullpen Report: May 31, 2016

A few quick notes from Memorial Day:

• It wouldn’t be an authentic Bullpen Report without bad news out of Cincinnati’s bullpen as Tony Cingrani blew his fourth save last night. Cingrani entered the ninth like a regular old closer but was unable to finish the inning after allowing four baseruners and three earned runs. Ross Ohlendorf threw a perfect eighth and JC Ramirez was able to get the final out for his first big league save. As usual this situation is ridiculously fluid with Ohlendorf and Cingrani likely still in some sort of job-share for the moment.

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MASH Report (5/31/16)

Troy Tulowitzki looks to miss the minimum DL time with a strained quadriceps.

The veteran shortstop underwent an MRI on Saturday morning, with the results showing a low-grade strain, and Tulowitzki believes he will be back in the lineup after the mandatory 15-day period.

I am not 100% sure Tulo has an injury, but he could definitely use the break to get himself back together.

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How Good is Kenta Maeda?

Originally, I intended on identifying pitchers who are worth buying based on their SwStr% for this article. And then I got hung up on Kenta Maeda’s work this year and couldn’t pull myself away. Alas, as the title of this article suggests, you won’t be getting a piece about trade/free agent targets based on SwStr%, but you will get a full-blown endorsement of acquiring the services of Maeda. Read the rest of this entry »

Brad Johnson RotoGraphs Chat – 5/31

Here’s the transcript from today’s chat.


Brad Johnson: Hey everyone, I’m running just a couple minutes behind. We’ll get started soon.


Brad Johnson: Ok, let’s rumble. I have much need calories to consume.


Brad Johnson: needed*


John Sterling: Hi Brad! 10 team 6×6 league OPS & QS being the added categories, was offered my Rich Hill and Oddball Herrera for his Jeff Samardzija, Adrian Gonzalez, and Colby Rasmus? Do I pull the trigger on this one or are Hill and Herrera for real?


Brad Johnson: Was this counting Hill’s supposedly minor injury? It’s tempting to take the more established guys to ensure a higher floor. With it being a fairly shallow league, it’s always best to focus on the best player. Which, honestly, could be any of the five. I’m a big Herrera fan, but his supporting cast limits his ceiling


Hooha: do you think the Astros will call up Bregman or Reed this summer?

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NL Outfield Rankings: June

Previous rankings:
March/April (Preseason)

* * *

The more I do this, the harder it gets. Each month I struggle with shedding my preconceived notions of a player’s value and coming to grips with the performance we have actually observed. And then there’s the additional element of teasing out what’s real and what’s not. Occasionally, there’s no change. That makes it easy. But for the guys who have made strides or taken big steps back — that makes it a bit harder. And then there’s accounting for over- and under-performance. Trying to anticipate when regression will occur, if at all, makes my head hur.

Also, there are just so many outfielders. And so many of them seem to be performing at a high level this season. It can be excruciatingly difficult to tease them apart. At a certain point, we’re splitting the microscopic hairs that grows on regular hairs. Full tiers become indecipherable blobs.

You know the rules, but if you don’t: hitters are pretty fluid within tiers. It’s not feasible to talk about every single guy, so feel free to ask questions (or leave criticisms) in the comments. (I know I left off a lot of hitters who make up the shallow side of a platoon or ride the pine. ) If I omitted a legitimate someone, let me know; unless it’s a part-time guy or a prospect, I probably just forgot. It happens from time to time.

I love Bob’s Burgers, so I’m going to name the tiers by my favorite episodes of all time. Because I can! This is off the top of my head, though, so I’ll probably screw up my own list. Oh well. Fight me!

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The Daily Grind: DFS, Streaming, and More for May 31


  1. Fun with Leaderboards
  2. The Daily Grind Invitational and Leaderboard
  3. Daily DFS
  4. SaberSim Observations
  5. Tomorrow’s Targets
  6. Factor Grid

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Field of Streams: Episode 168 – He Must Have Heard The Podcast

Episode 168 – He Must Have Heard The Podcast

The latest episode of “Field of Streams” is live!

In this episode, Dylan Higgins and Matthew Dewoskin discuss how nice it is to do nothing, the White Sox helping Matt Harvey turn things around, Jeff Locke’s response to Monday’s podcast, arguing about where players are listed, Jonathan Villar’s relative excellence, Justin Upton being terrible, getting to mention the Braves outfield as a stack option for the first time, completely misunderstanding how to count Adam Duvall’s home run total, and how to deal with a Jose Fernandez vs. Gerrit Cole duel (or don’t).

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Kim and Parker: Deep League Waiver Wire

Hyun-Soo Kim (3% Yahoo, 2.4% ESPN, 8% CBS): Kim’s comic book plate discipline numbers in Korea made him a favorite of mine entering the season. I wrote about him here during the pre-season and in following my own advice, drafted him in multiple leagues. Even when writing about Joey Rickard’s hot start, I couldn’t help but lament that it came at the expense of Kim’s ABs and that my endorsement of Rickard was contingent upon his benching. Well, there’s a lesson to be learned here: just hit .400 long enough and you’ll get your shot.

Kim has now started six straight for the Orioles, batting 2nd in each of the last 4. His walk rate on the year is a shiny 12% and his strikeout rate just marginally higher at 14%. Kim has certainly benefitted from his share of good fortune over the 58 plate appearances he’s amassed so far but that’s hardly the point here. Aside from the sample size, most of those 58 plate appearances came in piecemeal playing time so it’s quite difficult to take anything away from his stat line, especially batted balls.

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OttoGraphs Episode 12: Early Ottoneu Prospect Standouts

In this episode of OttoGraphs, Tom and Justin highlight some prospects who are gaining value this spring, with a specific eye towards ottoneu’s unique prospect landscape. We also give a brief pitch for ottoneu football, the brand new ottoneu format that recently wrapped up a successful first season. If you’re interested, you can find out more about ottoneu football by checking out OttoGraph’s sibling podcast, Gridiron Geeks, also hosted by Tom and Justin.

Feel free to comment with any questions or suggestions you may have about this episode or future topics. We can be reached individually on Twitter:





Lastly, special thanks to Treemen who provided our intro and outro music. If you like what you hear, please check out their other work at

Hitter xBABIP Underperformers

It’s hard to believe that we’re now about two months into the season and this has been my first post on xBABIP all year. Well, here it is. While I developed my own xBABIP equation back in early 2015, the availability of new data since my formula was published allowed Alex Chamberlain to create an equation I prefer and use instead. Not only is the r-squared slightly better, but all the metrics are available here on FanGraphs. When I’m looking to buy low, the most attractive targets are hitters whose power is fine, but are simply suffering from an unfortunate BABIP. Below is that list of hitters.

For the first time, I have included all the components of the xBABIP equation so we can get a better sense of which component(s) each hitter is excelling in and where he could improve.

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