Starting Pitcher Chart – May 14th, 2026

by Paul Sporer

May 14, 2026

Daily SP Chart archive
2-Start podcast episode
SP Rankings (last update: 4/27 | next: wk of 6/1)

Welcome to the Daily SP Chart, click here if you’re new to get an idea of what I’m doing with these rankings.

The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and recently added opponent’s K% (also v. SP handedness), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations for standard 5×5 roto leagues, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. I usually won’t have much to write about aces who are locked into our rotations. If you want to discuss someone further, please feel free to leave a comment. I usually do a few sweeps of the comments before game time in case there are time-sensitive questions.

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I messed around with some color-coding but I can’t promise that it’ll be consistent.

Dollander has got me breaking my “No Rockies Pitchers” credo. He still hasn’t figured out Coors (because no one does), but he’s surviving there enough to pick some selective home starts so far. His worst outing (6 ER v. ATL) was super easy to skip given how well the Braves have hit this year and most didn’t have him for his 4 IP/4 ER debut so those on the Dollander Train could reasonably have a 1.60 ERA and 39 Ks in 33.7 IP. Even if you got cute and ran the ATL outing, you’re still likely doing fine with him. He has a standout swing-and-miss profile with a 106 STF+ (17th in MLB), running the same 4 pitches to both sides at varying frequencies: four-seamer 37% total, sinker 24%, slider 15%, and changeup 11% (that’s the hierarchy v. both sides, too) and a show-me curve at 8%. It’s fueled a 26% K rate which helps him survive his 9% BB rate.

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Before digging in, I wondered if maybe his BB rate trended higher at home with the idea being that he has to nibble more given how dangerous it is to pitch in Coors, but that isn’t happening at all. He’s toting just a 7% mark at home and an 11% on the road. Walks have always been part of his game as he’s never had a stop below 9% and was at 11% during his 98 IP debut last year, equal home and away, meaning I don’t think he has earned the 7% at home as a skill change and if/when it moves back to 9%+, it will likely cut him down to half a starter as primarily a road-only guy. I’m happy to run him at PIT even with them doing very well versus righties this year, but I’m a little skeptical on slamming his 2-step v. TEX/at ARI next week. He runs worse versus lefties (4% K-BB) and TEX will likely bring at least 5 to Coors. That start could really go south. The upshot is that the Rockies have shown that they’ll let him go when he’s rolling so he could drop the hammer on ARI with a 6-7 IP gem. If you can’t afford a likely 1-up, 1-down where the latter could smother former, then don’t chase this. The downside is something like a 10 IP week with poor ratios and 8-10 Ks and then upside is a potential gem week of 12+ IP with great ratios and 12+ Ks.

Prielipp out, Zebby in — not starting him anywhere until we see any advancement on his HR issues
Luzardo has been so frustratingly inconsistent this year with 4 Duds, 3 excellent outings, and 1 best described as “meh” (4.7 IP/1 ER at CHC). He’s had a heavy home/road split with all 4 Duds at home, but so is his best start of the year (7 scoreless v. SFG) so I wouldn’t read into that as a start/sit mechanic. Despite the overwhelming frustration from him this year, I just can’t see sitting him with that 24% K-BB. Since 2015, there 65 instances of a 24% K-BB in at least 130 IP and there were only 4 seasons with a 4.00+ ERA and only 2 topped a 1.20 WHIP. He just can’t stay this bad with these skills.
Griffin has been excellent in his return to the States and catches the Reds at a low point – they’re 30th vL in the last 2 weeks.
I bumped Montero to a 3-x when updating the MIN SP change. I do have some concerns about his 13% K-BB, but that NYM lineup has been so bad and is without Lindor, Alvarez, Polanco, and Robert, too.
We’ve seen 1 good, 1 bad from Canning so while I am a fan, I’m being careful against MIL here. I miiight run him in 12s.
Avoiding ATL as much as I can but I was encouraged by Brown’s 4 no-hit innings in his first start of the year.

Starting Pitcher Chart May 14th

Rk	PITCHER	Team	Opponent	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K%	OPP K%	opp wOBA RK
1	Nolan McLean	NYM	v. DET	x	x	x	45.1	2.78	0.90	33%	22%	12
2	Chris Sale	ATL	v. CHC	x	x	x	49	2.20	0.88	29%	21%	1
3	Kyle Harrison	MIL	v. SDP	x	x	x	33.2	2.41	1.22	29%	23%	27
4	Chase Burns	CIN	v. WSN	x	x	x	47	2.11	1.04	26%	21%	15
5	Jesús Luzardo	PHI	at BOS	x	x	x	43.2	5.98	1.40	30%	22%	8
6	Emmet Sheehan	LAD	v. SFG	x	x	x	35.2	4.79	1.35	28%	21%	28
7	Kris Bubic	KCR	at CHW	x	x	x	46.1	3.50	1.17	25%	24%	4
8	Ranger Suarez	BOS	v. PHI	x	x	x	39	2.77	0.95	22%	22%	21
9	Foster Griffin	WSN	at CIN	x	x	x	46.2	2.12	1.03	22%	27%	20
11	Chase Dollander	COL	at PIT	x	x	x	43	3.35	1.19	26%	22%	4
12	Landen Roupp	SFG	at LAD		x	x	43.2	3.09	1.10	29%	21%	2
12	Carmen Mlodzinski	PIT	v. COL		x	x	40	4.50	1.45	23%	25%	9
10	~~Connor Prielipp~~ Zebby Matthews	MIN	v. MIA				19	3.32	1.00	27%	23%	16
14	Keider Montero	DET	at NYM	x	x	x	39.2	3.18	0.96	19%	21%	30
15	Griffin Canning	SDP	at MIL			x	9.1	6.75	1.61	29%	20%	11
16	Mike Burrows	HOU	v. SEA			x	44.2	5.04	1.48	22%	24%	7
17	Ben Brown	CHC	at ATL				29.2	1.82	0.91	24%	21%	1
18	Michael McGreevy	STL	at ATH				45.1	2.18	0.86	20%	21%	6
19	Anthony Kay	CHW	v. KCR				35	4.89	1.57	15%	22%	15
20	Braxton Garrett	MIA	at MIN								21%	11
21	Luis Castillo	SEA	at HOU				38.1	6.57	1.62	21%	22%	5
22	Jacob Lopez	ATH	v. STL				35.1	6.11	1.75	17%	18%	14

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

Intro

The chart includes their performance for 2026, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues – essentially a shallow, medium, deep league setup – and then a note about some, most, or all depending on the day. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.