Starting Pitcher Chart – September 2nd, 2022
by Paul Sporer
September 2, 2022
I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful. The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Let’s go secure some titles!
Friday’s Starters
| PITCHER | TM | OPP | THR | 10 | 12 | 15+ | L5 STATS | OPP wOBA L30 days | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | TOR | at PIT | R | x | x | x | 3.34 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 16% K-BB | .280 – 27th | Hasn’t allowed >4 ER in any start this yr |
| Luis Castillo | SEA | at CLE | R | x | x | x | 2.84 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 25% K-BB | .279 – 28th | 2 tms have gotten 4 ER off him this yr: LAD and…. OAK! |
| Charlie Morton | ATL | MIA | R | x | x | x | 3.26 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 28% K-BB | .277 – 29th | Still has occasional blips, but now at 2.92 ERA & 102 Ks in L80 IP |
| Sandy Alcantara | MIA | at ATL | R | x | x | x | 2.72 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 15% K-BB | .326 – 7th | Schedule on fire lately: at PHI, SD, at LAD, LAD, at ATL |
| Jordan Montgomery | STL | CHC | L | x | x | x | 1.76 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 21% K-BB | .264 – 29th | Has 5% HR/FB w/STL aided by 8 pt. jump in GB to 54% |
| Jeffrey Springs | TBR | NYY | L | x | x | x | 2.93 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 23% K-BB | .300 – 21st | 1 bad inn. at BOS yielded just his 2nd start >3 ER (3.08 SP ERA) |
| David Peterson | NYM | WAS | L | x | x | x | 2.60 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 20% K-BB | .303 – 18th | Carrasco returns Sun., but I’d stash in case another spot opens |
| Yu Darvish | SDP | at LAD | R | x | x | x | 4.05 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 21% K-BB | .356 – 2nd | Too good to sit even at LAD |
| Dustin May | LAD | SDP | R | x | x | x | 1.64 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 24% K-BB | .322 – 8th | Will have post-TJ hiccups, but an easy start right now |
| Domingo Germán | NYY | at TBR | R | x | x | x | 1.82 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 16% K-BB | .330 – 4th | Hasn’t allowed >3 ER in 7 starts since 5 ER debut |
| Sonny Gray | MIN | at CWS | R | x | x | x | 2.03 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 16% K-BB | .305 – 15th | Dominant 2H: 1.91 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 18% K-BB in 37.7 IP |
| Reid Detmers | LAA | HOU | L | x | x | x | 2.51 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 20% K-BB | .368 – 3rd | No shame in passing v. HOU with non-aces down the stretch |
| Dean Kremer | BAL | OAK | R | x | x | x | 2.25 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 15% K-BB | .289 – 24th | 50% GB in L5 (38% seas.) has fueled 0.3 HR (0.8 seas.) |
| Kyle Gibson | PHI | at SFG | R | x | x | x | 2.30 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 18% K-BB | .288 – 25th | Had 4.91 ERA, 1.4 HR/9 in F16; 2.80 ERA, 0.7 HR/9 in L9 |
| Alex Cobb | SFG | PHI | R | x | x | x | 3.10 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 16% K-BB | .328 – 5th | 5.73 ERA/2.62 FIP in F8 screamed regression & it came: 2.82/3.10 in L13 |
| Daniel Lynch | KCR | at DET | L | x | x | x | 4.73 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 6% K-BB | .267 – 28th | There’s risk even w/the matchup due to hitability (10.1 H9) |
| Nick Pivetta | BOS | TEX | R | x | x | 4.08 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 16% K-BB | .311 – 12th | Great v. sub-.500 tms: 2.12 ERA, 0.88 WHIP; 5.61, 1.55 v. =>.500 tms | |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | HOU | at LAA | R | x | x | 1.69 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 4% K-BB | .290 – 22nd | 3+ BB in all 3 starts since returning | |
| Zach Plesac | CLE | SEA | R | x | x | 5.46 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 13% K-BB | .297 – 19th | Solid 3.87 ERA in L15 after 5.40 in F8 | |
| JP Sears | OAK | at BAL | L | x | 2.53 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 4% K-BB | .351 – 6th | BB surge in L3 could be exposed by BAL (13% BB vL in L30) | ||
| Eric Lauer | MIL | at ARI | L | x | 3.00 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 6% K-BB | .301 – 20th | F14 starts: 7% BB, 1.9 HR/9; L11: 11% BB, 1.3 HR/9 | ||
| Josiah Gray | WAS | at NYM | R | 5.47 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 13% K-BB | .344 – 3rd | Has just 3 HR-free outings in 23 starts | |||
| Drew Hutchison | DET | KCR | R | 3.04 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 6% K-BB | .292 – 21st | WHIP & K-BB are buckets of cold water on the ERA | |||
| Johan Oviedo | PIT | TOR | R | PIT Debut | .299 – 18th | Upside arm who could have some Sept. intrigue, but not v. TOR! | |||
| Zach Davies | ARI | MIL | R | 2.39 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 7% K-BB | .313 – 10th | Abandon him on the waiver wire | |||
| Davis Martin | CWS | MIN | R | 4.68 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 5% K-BB | .308 – 14th | Too risky for little upside | |||
| Adrian Sampson 샘슨 | CHC | at STL | R | 4.43 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 11% K-BB | .373 – 1st | I dare you! | |||
| Kyle Freeland | COL | at CIN | L | 5.93 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, 6% | .317 – 14th | CIN is basically Coors Jr. in terms of park factor | |||
| Luis Cessa | CIN | COL | R | 4.50 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 13% K-BB | .290 – 23rd | Has just 2 starts totaling 6 IP | |||
| Dallas Keuchel | TEX | at BOS | L | 10.13 ERA, 1.92 WHIP, 9% K-BB | .328 – 9th | BOS ripped him for 6 ER in 2 IP when they saw him on 5/26 |
