Starting Pitcher Chart – September 20th, 2022

Syndication: The Enquirer

I started this in early-September last year and it seemed to be useful. The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Let’s go secure some titles!

Tuesday’s Starters
PITCHER TM OPP THR 10 12 15+ L5 STATS OPP wOBA L30 days NOTE
Luis Castillo SEA at OAK R x x x 2.51 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 26% K-BB .286 – 24th His 25% K-BB rate since joining SEA is 11th among SPs
Nestor Cortes NYY PIT L x x x 3.21 ERA, 0.68 WHIP, 23% K-BB .277 – 24th Now has 233 IP of 2.78 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 20% K-BB since ’21
Dylan Cease CWS CLE R x x x 2.43 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 21% K-BB .280 – 28th CLE at just 3.5 R/G in Sept.
Shane McClanahan TBR HOU L x x x 1.50 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 19% K-BB .359 – 4th Sharp in his return from IL
Nick Lodolo CIN BOS L x x x 3.31 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, 30% K-BB .338 – 7th His 31 Ks in Sept. are tied for 3rd-most w/Bieber, deGrom
Pablo López MIA CHC R x x x 4.78 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 13% K-BB .286 – 21st Bounced back from the 8 ER meltdown v. NYM 2 starts ago
Patrick Sandoval LAA at TEX L x x x 1.67 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 20% K-BB .328 – 13th Hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER in any of his L8
Adam Wainwright STL at SDP R x x x 4.23 ERA, 1.73 WHIP, 5% K-BB .292 – 20th A couple 4 ER bumps, but still an easy start
Cristian Javier HOU at TBR R x x x 2.49 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 28% K-BB .319 – 11th 3.07 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 23% K-BB in 22 starts (117.3 IP)
Charlie Morton ATL WAS R x x x 4.76 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 19% K-BB .339 – 3rd 3 starts w/4 ER in L5, but still 34 Ks in 28.3 IP
Austin Voth BAL DET R x x x 2.16 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 10% K-BB .286 – 23rd DET still worth picking on even after Wells destruction on Mon.
Carlos Carrasco NYM at MIL R x x x 3.09 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 23% K-BB .324 – 10th B2B 6 IP outings afte just 2.7 IP in IL return
Ross Stripling TOR at PHI R x x x 2.97 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 19% K-BB .334 – 5th Summer Savior w/a 2.47 ERA in 16 starts since June 6th
Tyler Anderson LAD ARI L x x x 1.89 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 8% K-BB .265 – 27th 14.1 CH pitch value is 2nd (Alcantara 20.8); 5th-best secondary pitch in MLB
Adrian Sampson 샘슨 CHC at MIA R x x x 3.42 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 3% K-BB .272 – 30th Shiny 1.59 ERA in Sept. countered by 3% K-BB, but MIA is so bad
Aaron Civale CLE at CWS R x x x 3.27 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 21% K-BB .310 – 14th Not an easy matchup, but has looked good this summer
Kyle Gibson PHI TOR R x x 5.25 ERA, 1.79 WHIP, 13% K-BB .329 – 6th I took the plunge on this 2-step, but I’m not very excited (ATL this wknd)
Aaron Ashby MIL NYM L x 4.61 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 19% K-BB .312 – 16th 1st start off IL w/a brutal matchup; you have to be desperate
Mike Clevinger SDP STL R x 7.03 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 9% K-BB .324 – 9th Has allowed 4+ ER In all 3 Sept. starts
Brayan Bello BOS at CIN R x 2.84 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 16% K-BB .297 – 19th A bit sharper since recall w/9% BB (13% in 1st go)
Joey Wentz DET at BAL L x 1.69 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, 20% K-BB .265 – 28th Stats are 2 Sept. GS; not a bad Hail Mary option
Patrick Corbin WAS at ATL L x 2.90 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 12% K-BB .333 – 10th Solid down the stretch, but the bad one was a major bomb.. so you know the risk
Kyle Freeland COL SFG L 2.73 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 11% K-BB .274 – 26th L5 built off 3 roadies; home was 1 up, 1 down (5 ER)… feeling lucky?
Michael Grove LAD ARI R Has 3 MLB spot starts .329 – 7th Solid at ARI last time (5 IP/2 ER/4 K), but it’s too risky for me
Zack Greinke KCR MIN R 2.39 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 9% K-BB .286 – 22nd Heed that WHIP
JP Sears OAK SEA L 6.65 ERA, 1.87 WHIP, 8% K-BB .300 – 20th Just a 7% K-BB in 33.3 IP w/OAK
Drey Jameson ARI at LAD R 2nd MLB Start .343 – 1st Interesting arm, terrifying matchup
Dylan Bundy MIN at KCR R 5.01 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 7% K-BB .280 – 27th The downside is so severe
Cole Ragans TEX LAA L 7.08 ERA, 1.64 WHIP, 4% K-BB .330 – 12th Hasn’t shown nearly enough upside to take this risk
Zach Davies ARI at LAD R 4.32 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 9% K-BB .343 – 1st No.
Luis Ortiz PIT at NYY R 2nd MLB Start .318 – 12th Nice skills in breakout AA season (+10 IP in AAA): 20% K-BB
Rodón fill-in SFG at COL L .426 – 3rd (at Coors) Rodón pushed out to Fri. w/blister





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and contributes to ESPN's Daily Notes. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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Will Price
16 days ago

Thank you so much for this! If you do this every day for the next couple of weeks, you have no idea how helpful that would be.