Starting Pitcher Chart – September 16th, 2022

September 16, 2022

(Got a little DraftKings game going on Friday if you’re interested)

The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues. These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Let’s go secure some titles!

Friday’s Starters

PITCHER	TM	OPP	THR	10	12	15+	L5 STATS	OPP wOBA L30 days	NOTE
Justin Verlander	HOU	OAK	R	x	x	x	0.85 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, 28% K-BB	.297 – 20th	Could be limited off the IL, but I’m still starting him everywhere
Robbie Ray	SEA	at LAA	L	x	x	x	2.05 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 25% K-BB	.313 – 15th	It’s been an excellent follow up for the reigning Cy Young
Max Fried	ATL	PHI	L	x	x	x	2.03 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, 22% K-BB	.347 – 7th	Elite season has been somewhat under the radar (SP14 on the yr)
Triston McKenzie	CLE	MIN	R	x	x	x	2.64 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 22% K-BB	.300 – 18th	The latest CLE gem has allowed >3 ER just 2x in L13 (4 ER both times)
Martín Pérez	TEX	at TBR	L	x	x	x	2.70 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 16% K-BB	.328 – 12th	I was wrong, the regression never came; missing barrels w/the CT & CH
Corey Kluber	TBR	TEX	R	x	x	x	4.21 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 17% K-BB	.304 – 15th	4 bombs (26 ER in 12 IP) have kept it from being a special season
Michael Wacha	BOS	KCR	R	x	x	x	3.34 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 22% K-BB	.267 – 29th	The .244 BABIP & 81% LOB rate are hard carrying this success
Germán Márquez	COL	at CHC	R	x	x	x	6.00 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 8% K-BB	.283 – 26th	QS in 5 straight ROAD starts & 8 of 9 (3.58 ERA/1.18 WHIP in 12 road GS this yr)
Lucas Giolito	CWS	at DET	R	x	x	x	6.31 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.294 – 22nd	This should be a safe start, right… RIGHT???
Dustin May	LAD	at SFG	R	x	x	x	4.29 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 11% K-BB	.285 – 25th	Pretty patented TJ return w/8 BB in L2 after 2 gems
Blake Snell	SDP	at ARI	L	x	x	x	5.18 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 23% K-BB	.264 – 28th	Couple duds mixed into L5, but still great skills + a nice matchup
Jack Flaherty	STL	CIN	R	x	x	x	3.60 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, 2% K-BB	.302 – 16th	Stats are 2 starts since IL return; survived 10 base runners at PIT
Frankie Montas	NYY	at MIL	R	x	x	x	5.08 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.316 – 11th	Solid in his L4 after 6 ER in 2 of his first 3 w/NYY
Taijuan Walker	NYM	PIT	R	x	x	x	3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 12% K-BB	.292 – 23rd	Schedule reprieve w/at PIT-at MIA-PIT after at ATL-at NYY-LAD combo
Jesús Luzardo	MIA	at WAS	L	x	x	x	3.94 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 13% K-BB	.294 – 22nd	Blasted by NYM last time out, but 4 GS before that (5 R in 1, but only 3 ER)
Marcus Stroman	CHC	COL	R	x	x	x	3.77 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 6% K-BB	.268 – 28th	Riding a 2.89 ERA/1.18 WHIP in 12 starts since IL return
Bailey Ober	MIN	at CLE	R		x	x	IL return; out since June 1st	.282 – 27th	Worked up to 66 pitches in last rehab start (of 3); might still be sub-5 IP here
Ranger Suárez	PHI	at ATL	L		x	x	4.00 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 12% K-BB	.352 – 4th	Very scary matchup, but he hasn’t allowed >4 ER in any of L16
Logan Webb	SFG	LAD	R		x	x	2.25 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.338 – 4th	Absolutely no shame dodging LA if you can’t afford to eat a dud
Josiah Gray	WAS	MIA	R		x	x	5.61 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 8% K-BB	.263 – 30th	Has allowed 10 ER in 10.7 IP v. MIA at home; be careful here
Matt Manning	DET	CWS	R			x	4.21 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 15% K-BB	.302 – 17th	7 ER v. SEA really stung; Hail Mary only for now w/CWS surging
Michael Lorenzen	LAA	SEA	R			x	Just 1 start since IL return	.321 – 9th	Back up to 85 pitches in IL return, but be careful using him
Mitch Keller	PIT	at NYM	R				2.92 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 11% K-BB	.339 – 3rd	Far too much risk to be anything but a true Hail Mary
Adrian Houser	MIL	NYY	R				4.11 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 0% K-BB	.296 – 21st	Stats are 4 starts since IL return; easy pass even w/NYY struggles
Jonathan Heasley	KCR	at BOS	R				4.85 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 4% K-BB	.336 – 5th	Every time he shows a little something, he undercuts a start or 2 later
Adrian Martinez	OAK	at HOU	R				5.32 ERA, 1.64 WHIP, 9% K-BB	.313 – 12th	Nope
Jordan Lyles	BAL	at TOR	R				5.96 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 11% K-BB	.321 – 8th	Unplayable on the road: 5.38 ERA, 1.44 WHIP
Madison Bumgarner	ARI	SDP	L				8.42 ERA, 1.87 WHIP, 6% K-BB	.350 – 6th	I still can’t believe he had a 2.76 ERA thru his F9 starts
Thomas Hatch (unconfirmed)	TOR	BAL	R				5.02 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 13% K-BB in MiLB	.304 – 14th	Might get the spot start
Reiver Sanmartin (unconfirmed)	CIN	at STL	L				Primary RP this yr	.392 – 2nd	It’s a very narrow list of SPs you’d roll v. STL