Starting Pitcher Chart – September 16th, 2022

Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

(Got a little DraftKings game going on Friday if you’re interested)

The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues. These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Let’s go secure some titles!

Friday’s Starters
PITCHER TM OPP THR 10 12 15+ L5 STATS OPP wOBA L30 days NOTE
Justin Verlander HOU OAK R x x x 0.85 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, 28% K-BB .297 – 20th Could be limited off the IL, but I’m still starting him everywhere
Robbie Ray SEA at LAA L x x x 2.05 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 25% K-BB .313 – 15th It’s been an excellent follow up for the reigning Cy Young
Max Fried ATL PHI L x x x 2.03 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, 22% K-BB .347 – 7th Elite season has been somewhat under the radar (SP14 on the yr)
Triston McKenzie CLE MIN R x x x 2.64 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 22% K-BB .300 – 18th The latest CLE gem has allowed >3 ER just 2x in L13 (4 ER both times)
Martín Pérez TEX at TBR L x x x 2.70 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 16% K-BB .328 – 12th I was wrong, the regression never came; missing barrels w/the CT & CH
Corey Kluber TBR TEX R x x x 4.21 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 17% K-BB .304 – 15th 4 bombs (26 ER in 12 IP) have kept it from being a special season
Michael Wacha BOS KCR R x x x 3.34 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 22% K-BB .267 – 29th The .244 BABIP & 81% LOB rate are hard carrying this success
Germán Márquez COL at CHC R x x x 6.00 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 8% K-BB .283 – 26th QS in 5 straight ROAD starts & 8 of 9 (3.58 ERA/1.18 WHIP in 12 road GS this yr)
Lucas Giolito CWS at DET R x x x 6.31 ERA, 1.51 WHIP, 15% K-BB .294 – 22nd This should be a safe start, right… RIGHT???
Dustin May LAD at SFG R x x x 4.29 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 11% K-BB .285 – 25th Pretty patented TJ return w/8 BB in L2 after 2 gems
Blake Snell SDP at ARI L x x x 5.18 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 23% K-BB .264 – 28th Couple duds mixed into L5, but still great skills + a nice matchup
Jack Flaherty STL CIN R x x x 3.60 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, 2% K-BB .302 – 16th Stats are 2 starts since IL return; survived 10 base runners at PIT
Frankie Montas NYY at MIL R x x x 5.08 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 15% K-BB .316 – 11th Solid in his L4 after 6 ER in 2 of his first 3 w/NYY
Taijuan Walker NYM PIT R x x x 3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 12% K-BB .292 – 23rd Schedule reprieve w/at PIT-at MIA-PIT after at ATL-at NYY-LAD combo
Jesús Luzardo MIA at WAS L x x x 3.94 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 13% K-BB .294 – 22nd Blasted by NYM last time out, but 4 GS before that (5 R in 1, but only 3 ER)
Marcus Stroman CHC COL R x x x 3.77 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 6% K-BB .268 – 28th Riding a 2.89 ERA/1.18 WHIP in 12 starts since IL return
Bailey Ober MIN at CLE R x x IL return; out since June 1st .282 – 27th Worked up to 66 pitches in last rehab start (of 3); might still be sub-5 IP here
Ranger Suárez PHI at ATL L x x 4.00 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 12% K-BB .352 – 4th Very scary matchup, but he hasn’t allowed >4 ER in any of L16
Logan Webb SFG LAD R x x 2.25 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 15% K-BB .338 – 4th Absolutely no shame dodging LA if you can’t afford to eat a dud
Josiah Gray WAS MIA R x x 5.61 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 8% K-BB .263 – 30th Has allowed 10 ER in 10.7 IP v. MIA at home; be careful here
Matt Manning DET CWS R x 4.21 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 15% K-BB .302 – 17th 7 ER v. SEA really stung; Hail Mary only for now w/CWS surging
Michael Lorenzen LAA SEA R x Just 1 start since IL return .321 – 9th Back up to 85 pitches in IL return, but be careful using him
Mitch Keller PIT at NYM R 2.92 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 11% K-BB .339 – 3rd Far too much risk to be anything but a true Hail Mary
Adrian Houser MIL NYY R 4.11 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 0% K-BB .296 – 21st Stats are 4 starts since IL return; easy pass even w/NYY struggles
Jonathan Heasley KCR at BOS R 4.85 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 4% K-BB .336 – 5th Every time he shows a little something, he undercuts a start or 2 later
Adrian Martinez OAK at HOU R 5.32 ERA, 1.64 WHIP, 9% K-BB .313 – 12th Nope
Jordan Lyles BAL at TOR R 5.96 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 11% K-BB .321 – 8th Unplayable on the road: 5.38 ERA, 1.44 WHIP
Madison Bumgarner ARI SDP L 8.42 ERA, 1.87 WHIP, 6% K-BB .350 – 6th I still can’t believe he had a 2.76 ERA thru his F9 starts
Thomas Hatch (unconfirmed) TOR BAL R 5.02 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 13% K-BB in MiLB .304 – 14th Might get the spot start
Reiver Sanmartin (unconfirmed) CIN at STL L Primary RP this yr .392 – 2nd It’s a very narrow list of SPs you’d roll v. STL





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and contributes to ESPN's Daily Notes. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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