Starting Pitcher Chart – September 15th, 2022

September 14, 2022

The chart will include their performance over the last five starts, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness, and then my start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues. These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Let’s go secure some titles!

Thursday’s Starters

PITCHER	TM	OPP	THR	10	12	15+	L5 STATS	OPP wOBA L30 days	NOTE
Lance Lynn	CWS	at CLE	R	x	x	x	0.85 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, 28% K-BB	.279 – 27th	He’s back with a 28% K-BB in his L10
Kevin Gausman	TOR	TBR	R	x	x	x	3.90 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 28% K-BB	.314 – 11th	Looks like the season might run out before the .371 BABIP regresses
Carlos Carrasco	NYM	PIT	R	x	x	x	3.86 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 19% K-BB	.286 – 25th	Great chance to stay hot after rocking MIA last start
Miles Mikolas	STL	CIN	R	x	x	x	3.38 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 12% K-BB	.302 – 16th	Elite at home: 2.23 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 16% K-BB in 88.7 IP
Lance McCullers Jr.	HOU	OAK	R	x	x	x	2.20 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 9% K-BB	.291 – 22nd	Rough WHIP w/the 13% K-BB, matchup too good to pass
Corey Kluber	TBR	at TOR	R	x	x	x	4.21 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 17% K-BB	.320 – 9th	His L5 #s are impressive given that he allowed 6 ER in 2/3rds of an inn. last start
Pablo López	MIA	LAA	R	x	x	x	6.66 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, 9% K-BB	.295 – 21st	2 gems, 2 duds, 1 meh in L5; starting him despite the ugly 6.52 2H ERA
Noah Syndergaard	LAA	at MIA	R	x	x	x	4.50 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 10% K-BB	.269 – 29th	Matchup drives the interest despite modest work w/PHI (10% K-BB)
Dylan Bundy	MIN	KCR	R		x	x	4.38 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 6% K-BB	.274 – 28th	Allowed 10 ER in 34 IP before 7 ER dud v. CLE; 1st GS v. KC this yr
Sean Manaea	SDP	at ARI	L		x	x	7.77 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 17% K-BB	.263 – 29th	Skipped last time to clear his head a bit; great matchup gives some conidence
Hunter Gaddis	CLE	CWS	R			x	4.15 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 23% K-BB in MiLB	.303 – 14th	Brutal MLB debut (3.3 IP/8 ER v. HOU), but I could see going for this in a Hail Mary scenario
Daniel Lynch	KCR	at MIN	L				7.40 ERA, 1.87 WHIP, 6% K-BB	.318 – 14th	Confidence from summer surge (2.94 ERA, 17% K-BB in 34 IP) has dissipated
James Kaprielian	OAK	at HOU	R				6.46 ERA, 1.94 WHIP, 3% K-BB	.313 – 12th	Ran hot for the summer w/a 2.88 ERA in 11 GS, but 7% K-BB preached caution
JT Brubaker	PIT	at NYM	R				3.90 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 18% K-BB	.333 – 5th	Piching well of late; NYM too scary, though
Chase Anderson	CIN	at STL	R				9.00 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 5% K-BB	.347 – 1st	Stats are 9 IP in MLB, but this an easy no even if they were good
Madison Bumgarner	ARI	SDP	L				8.42 ERA, 1.87 WHIP, 6% K-BB	.345 – 6th	He had a 3.71 ERA thru 20 starts; 7.68 in his L8 (43.3 IP)

ATL	CHC*	ARI
MIA	CIN	COL
WSN	MIL	LAD
NYM*	PIT	SDP*
PHI	STL	SFG