Archive for Relief Pitchers

Ottoneu Drip: Finding Under-rostered Pitchers: May 13, 2025

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The search for pitching help is never ending. Between injuries and ineffectiveness, fantasy players are always on the lookout for pitchers who are performing well who can provide some reinforcements. Right now, there’s an absolute dearth of starting pitching available on the waiver wire. I’ve scraped the bottom of the barrel for these nine under-rostered pitchers — four starters and five relievers.

Under-rostered Starters, Last 30 Days
Player Team IP FIP K-BB% Stuff+ Pts/IP Roster%
Colin Rea CHC 31 3.44 13.5% 95 4.51 40.4%
Tyler Anderson LAA 35.1 3.82 13.3% 96 4.99 20.8%
Chad Patrick MIL 31.1 3.05 12.4% 103 4.83 11.6%
Chris Paddack MIN 32.1 4.04 14.7% 95 4.77 7.6%

I covered Colin Rea the last time I ran this column and I still think he’s one of the more interesting starting pitchers out there. The wide pitch mix, arm angle change, and an improved fastball all make him a pretty interesting pick up.

Tyler Anderson isn’t flashy or fancy but he’s a veteran starter with one elite pitch, his changeup. When that pitch is working for him, he can have stretches like this where he’s able to limit hard contact and generate just enough swings and misses. He probably won’t reach the ceiling of his breakout season with the Dodgers back in 2022, but he’s a solid enough starter that can be counted on in the right matchups.

Chad Patrick has filled in capably for the Brewers as they work through all their early season injuries. He’s survived by inducing a ton of weak contact in the air, which has served him well so far, but it’s also the same reasony why his xFIP is 4.42, more than a run higher than his ERA. Still, over his last three starts, his strikeout-to-walk ratio is a very good 4.67 and he’s improved as he’s adjusted to pitching in the big leagues for the first time.

Chris Paddack started off the season with two absolute stinkers, allowing 13 runs in 7.1 innings with more walks than strikeouts. In his six starts since then, he’s allowed just 10 runs in 32.1 innings with a 2.60 strikeout-to-walk ratio. His last start against the Giants was his best of the year; he pitched into the eighth inning, allowing just three hits while striking out six. He’s always been a bit home run prone and he’s been pretty lucky in that regard during this stretch. Still, it seems like he has his signature fastball-changeup combo working for him right now.

Under-rostered Relievers, Last 30 Days
Player Team IP FIP K-BB% gmLI Stuff+ Pts/IP Roster%
Brendon Little TOR 11.2 2.09 22.0% 1.40 116 7.69 36.7%
Mason Fluharty TOR 13.1 2.29 20.5% 0.95 117 8.65 0.9%
Danny Coulombe MIN 11.1 0.47 38.5% 1.34 104 9.96 28.4%
Nick Mears MIL 13 1.89 20.5% 2.13 98 9.17 21.4%
Ryan Borucki PIT 10.2 1.90 20.0% 0.93 115 8.83 8.6%

The Blue Jays have quietly put together one of the best relief corps in baseball and that’s largely thanks to breakout seasons from guys like Brendon Little and Mason Fluharty. Among all pitchers who have thrown at least 10 innings this season, Little leads all of baseball in swinging strike rate. His sinker has been devastating thanks to some mechanical deception and a ton of drop on the pitch. Fluharty might be even more interesting. As a lefty, he’s yet to allow a hit to a right-handed batter this year. Like Little, he’s got some mechanical deception aiding him and a hard cutter that has given right-handed batters fits when it’s located on the inside half of the plate. Little is a little higher on Toronto’s bullpen pecking order, but Fluharty should be seeing some high leverage work soon too.

Danny Coulombe hasn’t allowed a run in almost a full calendar year. Of course, a lot of his 2024 season was spent on the IL, but he’s now run his scoreless streak to 27 games and 26.1 innings. It took a while for the Twins to start giving him high leverage work but he’s finally working the seventh and eighth innings regularly.

The Brewers bullpen has been a bit of a work-in-progress this year after they moved on from their closer Devin Williams in the offseason. Trevor Megill has a tight hold on the ninth inning, but Nick Mears has worked his way into the high leverage mix in the seventh and eighth innings.

Ryan Borucki isn’t seeing that much high leverage work yet, but the guys in front of him in the Pirates bullpen aren’t all that impressive. The biggest difference for him this year are a new splitter and sweeper that are both returning above average whiff rates. Those two pitches have pushed his Stuff+ from merely average up to 109 on the season.


Pitcher Playing Time Changes: May 9, 2025

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Below are the latest significant playing time projection changes for pitchers, with a couple of Cades leading the list for biggest gainers amongst SP.

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Ottoneu Drip: Finding Under-rostered Pitchers: April 29, 2025

Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images

The search for pitching help is never ending. Between injuries and ineffectiveness, fantasy players are always on the lookout for pitchers who are performing well who can provide some reinforcements. Hopefully, these six under-rostered pitchers — three starters and three relievers — can help.

Under-rostered Starters
Player Team IP FIP K-BB% Stuff+ Pts/IP Roster%
Ryan Gusto HOU 22.2 2.70 21.1% 106 5.36 29.4%
Jose Quintana MIL 23.2 3.35 7.5% 82 5.00 19.6%
Colin Rea CHC 18.2 1.50 21.1% 98 6.84 13.2%

Chad covered Ryan Gusto in his Hot Right Now column yesterday. I mostly agree with his assessment:

“So yes, he has looked good so far. But with only 22.2 IP so far this year, I am more inclined to bet on his track record than his early performance with Houston. Double his walks, double his HR, and how are you feeling? There’s nothing wrong with riding the hot streak. That could both net you some short-term gains and give you time to see if that control and HR suppression are legit. But there are other SP out there I am more interested in right now.”

One thing I’d like to add is that Stuff+ really likes Gusto. All three of his fastballs are above league average by that metric and so is his slider. Stuff+ isn’t as enamored with his changeup but that pitch is returning a 37.5% whiff rate which is above average for the pitch type. Sure, the minor league track record isn’t there, but it’s possible Gusto has taken a pretty significant step forward in his development.

I do need to advise some caution because of the contact quality issues Chad mentioned and also because the Astros will likely activate Lance McCullers Jr. from the IL within a few weeks and possibly Spencer Arrighetti a few more weeks after that. It’s very likely Gusto will be relegated to the bullpen once Houston’s starting rotation gets a little more healthy. So, yes, ride the hot hand while you can, but don’t expect Gusto to be a long-term solution for your pitching staff.

I recommended Jose Quintana in my last Ottoneu Drip and I’m honestly shocked he hasn’t been rostered more. All he’s done since that write up is make three fantastic starts, allowing just three runs total. His strikeout-to-walk ratio isn’t great and it seems like he’s relying on a lot of guile to get by, but the results speak for themselves.

The injury to Justin Steele forced the Cubs to add Colin Rea to their starting rotation a few weeks ago. Rea muddled through the last two years as an innings eating member of the Brewers rotation, but he has made three solid starts for the Cubs against some really impressive opponents. Against the Dodgers, Diamondbacks, and Phillies, he’s allowed just two runs in 13.1 innings while striking out 17. That’s enough for me to take notice.

The biggest difference is a four-seam that he’s throwing more than half the time at the expense of his sinker. His repertoire is still deep — six pitches strong — but he’s really emphasized the heater. He’s throwing it about a tick harder than last year with a little more rise and a little more cut and it’s returning a 25% whiff rate and a .334 xwOBA, both above average marks for a four-seamer. He’s also dropped his arm angle by about five degrees which has had a positive effect on the horizontal movement of all of his pitches. The wide pitch mix, arm angle change, and an improved fastball makes him a pretty interesting pick up, though I might wait to see how he does in a few more starts before rushing out to add him.

Under-rostered Relievers
Player Team IP FIP K-BB% gmLI Stuff+ Pts/IP Roster%
Will Vest DET 12 2.80 23.3% 0.83 103 8.64 53.2%
Reed Garrett NYM 11.2 2.02 17.4% 1.74 112 9.83 51.1%
Shelby Miller ARI 11.2 1.94 23.3% 1.93 97 9.29 14.4%

Chad also covered Will Vest in his article yesterday and I don’t really have much more to add. If you’re speculating on saves in Detroit’s bullpen, Vest is as good an investment as any other high leverage option in that ‘pen.

Reed Garrett had a mini-little breakout last summer before burning out in August. He’s still making high-leverage appearances for the Mets this year and he’s been pretty good. The strikeout rate isn’t as lofty as it was last year, but his walk rate is down and he’s only allowed a single unearned run.

Shelby Miller was finally healthy last year but his stint in Detroit’s bullpen of death could have gone better. He latched on with the Diamondbacks this year and is throwing a little harder and added a sweeper to his repertoire. He, too, has only allowed a single unearned run in 11 appearances for the Snakes and he’s already beginning to work some high leverage opportunities for them.


Pitcher Playing Time Changes: April 18, 2025

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Below are the latest pitcher playing time projection changes since last Friday, headlined by Justin Steele’s season-ending elbow surgery:

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Ottoneu Drip: Finding Under-rostered Pitchers: April 16, 2025

Credit: Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images

The wave of early season injuries has hit hard and your fantasy baseball team is more than likely feeling the effects. One of my Ottoneu teams has eight pitchers currently on the IL and I dropped two other injured pitchers in my desperate search for reinforcements. Hopefully, these eight under-rostered pitchers — four starters and four relievers — can help you in your own search for pitching help.

Under-rostered Starters
Player Team IP FIP K-BB% Stuff+ Pts/IP Roster%
Tyler Mahle TEX 13.2 2.81 9.4% 90 6.64 48.9%
Andrew Heaney PIT 18 2.75 20.0% 100 5.98 35.5%
Matthew Liberatore STL 18.1 1.94 23.9% 105 6.10 22.3%
Jose Quintana MIL 7 2.46 9.1% 83 6.49 9.5%

Tyler Mahle is finally healthy after working back from Tommy John surgery in 2023 and a shoulder injury last year. At his peak, he was a strikeout generating machine, producing a 27.1% strikeout rate across three seasons from 2020–22. He hasn’t reached that same level of effectiveness yet, but his first four starts this year have been promising. So far, he’s allowed just two earned runs and eight hits across 19.2 innings, and it seems like the command issues that limited him to just 1.2 innings in his first start are behind him. The velocity on his four-seamer hasn’t returned all the way — and it might not — but he’s getting more induced vertical movement on the pitch than ever before. Opposing batters aren’t swinging and missing against his secondary pitches yet, but the whiff rate on his heater 36.2% of the time! He’s gotten a bit lucky in the batted ball department so I’m sure some regression is coming, but as long as he’s healthy, he looks like he can be a useful starter in all fantasy formats.

Andrew Heaney has been a frequent recommendation in this column over the last few years. He’s the type of pitcher who has hot streaks where he looks incredibly impressive for a time but he isn’t consistent enough to deserve a high roster rate. He’s started off this year on a heater, allowing six runs across 18 innings in his first three starts with a phenomenal 20.0% K-BB%. He’s adjusted his repertoire to feature three different variations of his sweeping breaking ball — Statcast classifies them as a curveball, slider, and slow curve but they’re all generally the same shape with different velocities. He’s also added a sinker to his mix which gives him another weapon to keep batters off his four-seamer. These adjustments to his arsenal have my attention and I’m interested to see if they can help him reduce the amount of hard contact he allows off his heater.

After struggling in the starting rotation for a season and half, Matthew Liberatore found some success pitching out of the bullpen late last year. The Cardinals moved him back to the rotation to start this year and his first three starts of the season have been fantastic from a peripherals standpoint even if the actual run prevention hasn’t been up to snuff. He’s struck out 18 and walked just one in 18.1 innings and he’s managed to work around the platoon issues that have been a problem for him throughout his career. You can chalk that up to a greater emphasis on his changeup and cutter and better command of his entire repertoire.

After signing late in the spring, the Brewers called up Jose Quintana to make his season debut last week and he held the potent Diamondbacks offense scoreless over seven innings. At 36 years old, his best years are probably behind him, but he’s been a useful innings eater for a few years now. One thing to note: he threw his sinker more than half the time in his first start and more than half the balls in play off him were on the ground. Something to keep an eye on if you’re looking to add him.

Under-rostered Relievers
Player Team IP FIP K-BB% gmLI Stuff+ Pts/IP Roster%
Randy Rodríguez SFG 8.1 -0.09 41.9% 1.73 117 9.67 47.7%
Bryan King HOU 7.1 0.71 39.3% 0.97 98 10.75 26.3%
Phil Maton STL 8.1 0.99 33.3% 1.21 101 10.31 16.5%
Gabe Speier SEA 6.2 0.63 36.4% 1.32 123 10.43 4.9%

Many teams are still sorting through the pecking order in their bullpens as they figure out which guys they can trust with high leverage opportunities. The four relievers listed above aren’t necessarily pitching in the ninth or eighth inning, but their peripherals are so good that they could find themselves in those spots sooner rather than later.

Randy Rodríguez has struck out more than 40% of the batters he’s faced so far this season and the Giants are starting to give him more and more high leverage work as a result. Tyler Rogers has been their long-time setup man but Rodríguez’s high-octane stuff fits the role a lot better.

After the Astros traded away Ryan Pressley this offseason, a spot towards the back of their bullpen opened up. Bryan King has quickly filled that opening by also striking out more than 40% of the batters he’s faced. As a left-hander, he’ll likely get high-leverage work when facing pockets of left-handed batters in the late innings, giving him some specific usage patterns.

The Cardinals didn’t really have many good setup options in front of their All-Star closer Ryan Helsley. In steps Phil Maton. He quickly grabbed the eighth inning role in St. Louis and doesn’t really have many competitors for the role.

Injuries wrecked Gabe Speier’s season last year but he’s healthy and firing bullets at the back of the Mariners’ ‘pen. Like King, Speier should see some specific usage patterns as a left-handed reliever and the impending return of Matt Brash could see him pushed down the pecking order in a few weeks.


Pitcher Playing Time Changes: April 11, 2025

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Here are the latest pitcher playing time changes since last Friday, when I first took a look at playing time changes for the regular season.

SP % of Team GS Changes Since April 4
Pitcher Team Old % of Team’s Remaining Starts New % of Team’s Remaining Starts PT Change Reason
Kyle Gibson BAL 12% 15% +3% Already pitching in minors, should be up soon
Osvaldo Bido ATH 10% 13% +3% Strong start, stronger hold on SP spot
J.T. Ginn ATH 8% 11% +3% Likely Estes replacement
Justin Steele CHC 18% 15% -3% IL’d with elbow tendonitis
Nestor Cortes MIL 13% 10% -3% IL’d with flexor strain
Spencer Arrighetti HOU 16% 12% -4% IL’d with fractured thumb
Blake Snell LAD 18% 14% -4% IL’d with shoulder inflammation
Joey Estes ATH 12% 7% -5% Got hit around, demoted
Reynaldo López ATL 11% 3% -8% Shoulder cleanup, August return seems like best-case scenario

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Pitcher Playing Time Changes: April 4, 2025

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Welcome to the first Pitcher Playing Time Changes rundown of the regular season! As with position players, the methodology is a little different in the regular season.

For starting pitchers, instead of displaying raw games started projections like I did during Spring Training, I’m switching to percentage of a team’s remaining starts. When looking at this on a weekly basis, pitchers who are closer to coming back from injury will have their percentage go up, since they’re projected to miss less of the remaining season. Pitchers who were injured since the last update will, of course, have their percentage go down.

Relievers are going to be more streamlined, in that I’m not going to actually show projected innings pitched, because the way we project them internally always show as full-season innings, even if there’s only 50% of the season left. For example, a relief pitcher who started with 70 projected innings pitched and had his projections unchanged will still show as 70 innings pitched after 81 games. So, instead, I’ll just be showing percent change for notable relievers and we won’t be focusing on the actual innings they’re projected for when we’re only talking about a week of difference. That allows me to zero in on pitchers who’ve gotten injured or demoted.

Away we go:

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Relief Pitcher 2025 Fantasy Rankings

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The reliever landscape has faced some of the biggest changes in recent years as many teams have gone away from anointing a single guy to be their closer, instead embracing committees where they trust a number of relievers to close the game out in the 9th. The committee strategy often includes putting their best guy in a fireman role meaning he could come in for any sticky situation from about the 6th inning on. This is undoubtedly a smart way to run a bullpen from a “real life” standpoint, but it can be rough on us fantasy folks where Saves remain a prominent category.

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Pitcher Playing Time Changes: March 19, 2025

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Below are the latest playing time changes for pitchers since Monday, with the Patrick Corbin signing further reshuffling projected starts for the Rangers.

SP Projected GS Changes, 3/17 to 3/19
Player Team Old GS New GS GS Change Reason
Patrick Corbin TEX FA 16 3 Will help cover starts, especially in the first half
Stephen Kolek SDP 8 11 3 Darvish injury opens up more starts
Adrian Houser TEX 5 2 -3 Corbin signings eats into PT
Yu Darvish SDP 29 26 -3 Elbow inflammation, hard to see him ready for Opening Day
Jack Leiter TEX 23 19 -4 Corbin signings eats into PT; maybe some RP innings later on?
Cody Bradford TEX 8 3 -5 Corbin signings eats into PT; could relieve when healthy

 

RP Projected IP Changes, 3/17 to 3/19
Player Team Old IP New IP IP Change Reason
Richard Lovelady TOR 26 55 29 Contract selected; not guaranteed to make roster but he’s out of options os he’s got a good shot
Anderson Pilar ATL 8 35 27 Perdomo trade, Farmer reassignment makes bullpen spot more plausible for the R5 pick
Luis Garcia LAD 16 33 17 Contract selected for Tokyo Series, would be odd to DFA him before Opening Day
Nick Hernandez HOU 44 28 -16 Optioned to minors after bad Spring Training
Blake Walston ARI 32 0 -32 Tommy John surgery

Pitcher Playing Time Changes: March 13, 2025

Rick Scuteri-Imagn Images

Below are the notable pitcher playing time changes in the last 48 hours or so. For further detail on the methodology and more recent changes, my first rundown from Tuesday is here.

Starting Pitchers
Pitcher Team 3/11 GS 3/13 GS GS Change Reason
Stephen Kolek SDP 3 8 5 Taking to the rotation very well, might have a leg up on Hart
Zebby Matthews MIN 11 15 4 Could build on brilliant Spring Training and take starts from Paddack or SWR down the line
Landen Roupp SFG 8 11 3 Separating himself from Kyle Harrison for SP5 (keep an eye on Birdsong, too)
Michael McGreevy STL 2 5 3 Pitching great, but when will a spot open up for him?
Kyle Hart 하트 SDP 15 11 -4 Could start in bullpen; rainout knocked him out of his first start after 2 IP and he might not have enough time

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