Archive for Projections

Beat the Shift Podcast – Frustration Episode w/ Howard Bender

The Frustration Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Howard Bender

TGFBI Update

Strategy Section

  • When do you look at where you are in the individual category standings?
  • When do you look at where you are in the overall standings?
  • Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week
  • Unorthodox Strategies
  • Is it too early now to punt categories?
  • Trading desperation
  • The risk of Byron Buxton
  • Frustrating fantasy baseball situations
    • Injured players
    • Overbidding / underbidding on FAAB
    • Sitting a player who has a good week
      • Shohei Ohtani’s excellent pitching performances in weekly leagues
    • Starting a player who has a bad week
  • Balancing being a fantasy expert and succeeding in fantasy leagues

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Waiver Wire Episode w/ Vlad Sedler

The Waiver Wire Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Vlad Sedler

Strategy Section

  • When to sit cold players, and when to cut them?
    • Does it differ for Hitters vs. Pitchers?
  • Cutting injured players in non-IL slot leagues
    • Eloy Jimenez
    • How much FAAB should one spend on an injury stash?
  • FAAB
    • Going with your gut.
    • When should you overspend on FAAB?
    • Being in tune with how the rest of the league is spending FAAB dollars.
    • FAAB from a Return on Investment perspective.
    • FAAB pricing also depends on the avaialble player pool.
    • Looking at other team’s positional and categorical needs before setting FAAB bids.
  • General FAAB bidding guidelines
    • Streaming options
    • Hot players
    • Speed
    • Closers and speculative closers

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Early Season Episode w/ Ian Kahn

The Early Season Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Ian Kahn

Strategy Section

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Predictions Episode w/ Scott Pianowski

The Predictions Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Scott Pianowski

Strategy Section

  • 2022 Draft Season Wrap-Up
    • Younger players over boring vets
    • Reliable pitching
    • It’s less about the player information advantages, and more about the game play.
  • What do you look for / watch closely for early in the season?
    • Roles
    • Manegerial tendencies
      • Lineup
      • Bullpen
      • Stolen base attempts
      • Platoon splits
    • Pitchers
      • Velocity
      • Walk and strikeout rates
      • Don’t look at pitch count
    • Which baseball is the MLB using?
  • How quickly can you trust the hot/cold player starts?

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Jolt’s Opening Day Hit Predictions

One of my favorite Topps baseball card series is the Gypsy Queen collection. Typically released at the beginning of the season, this series has special inserts, such as the Crystal Gazing Die-Cuts, that serve as the Topps version of a bold prediction. I like to think of myself as a machine learning, gypsy fortune telling, bold predictor. I’ve created a model, one that I’m still partially developing, named Jolt after Joe “Joltin’ Joe” DiMaggio himself. Read the rest of this entry »


Beat the Shift Podcast – Pre-Season Injury Episode

The Pre-Season Injury Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Injury Update – Reuven gives us the injury updates.

Hitters

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Mock Draft Episode w/ Chris Welsh

The Mock Draft Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Chris Welsh

Tout Wars Head to Head Recap

Strategy Section

  • General Draft Strategy
    • Push up saves/steals/starters? What is the right time to roster them?
  • KDS Selection for 2022
  • What is the best time to reach for your “favorites,” “targets” or “upside players?
  • Should you draft prospects in redraft leagues?

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2022 Pod Projections: Josiah Gray

The 2022 Pod Projections are now available and include over 550 player forecasts! As usual in my Pod Projection posts, I’ll dive into my projection methodology (detailed in Projecting X 2.0) by sharing my process on several hitters and pitchers.

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Spring Training Episode w/ Matt Williams – Part II

The Spring Training Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Matt Williams

Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week

Strategy Section

  • What can we learn from this year’s Spring training?
    • How will 2022 be different?
  • How will the start of the 2022 season differ from a typical season?
  • Using middle relievers in fantasy baseball early on in the 2022 season.
  • The return of 9-inning doubleheaders.
  • Fantasy leagues – Drafting in 2022
    • Should we push off drafting our 2022 fantasy teams until after the season starts?
    • Drafting early in the morning.

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Expert League Recap Episode w/ Matt Williams – Part I

The Expert League Recap Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Matt Williams

LABR Reacap

  • Overall thoughts
  • Closer strategy
  • When to drop out of bidding wars
    • How much is too much to pay?
    • The economincs of waiting to nominate desired players in the auction
  • Nomination strategy
    • Nominate players that you want to buy or players that you don’t?
  • Franmil Reyes
  • Catcher strategy
  • Draft regrets

TGFBI Recap

  • Noticeable trends
  • Grabbing players earlier than ADP
  • Big decisions

 

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