3/25/16
The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!
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A week ago, I participated in a new Tout Wars league which is called the Head-to-Head league, but it has a roto component. It was interesting to prepare for a highly competitive league with no previous similar leagues to reference. With the new format, first I had to decide how I would approach the league and second how my opponents would approach it, and how to find some advantages. Today, I will go over the rules and then ask you, our readers, about how you would approach the league. Later, I will go over my approach.
Here are the simplified rules with the full set being available at the Tout Wars website.
3/24/16
The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!
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As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment with fantasy questions.
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Approximately 80 minutes of joyous analysis.
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I’ve been thinking about Wade Davis and Joe Kelly lately. Davis started 29 games in back to back seasons for the Rays in 2010 and 2011, striking out fewer than six batters per nine and putting up FIPs and xFIPs in the neighborhood of 4.70. The next season, the Rays moved Davis to the bullpen where he struck out more than 11 batters per nine and produced a 2.78 FIP. After trading for Davis that offseason, the Royals tried Davis at starter again for much of the 2013 season with poor results, and they’ve put him the bullpen ever since, where he’s again become dominant.
Davis and Kelly aren’t the same pitcher. Kelly throws much harder than Davis did as a starter and has a four-pitch repertoire that includes a change-up. However, both pitchers use a four-seamer, a slider or cutter, and a curveball and have most of their success with their fastballs. Meanwhile, Kelly shows similar and similarly underwhelming strikeout rates as Davis did as a starter. Kelly has had FIPs and xFIPs over 4.00 in each of his four seasons. That’s 461.2 innings of mediocre results, but the Red Sox seem to be planning to rely on Kelly as a starter again in 2016.
Let’s go picking and panning once again, this time at the second base position. The updated RotoGraphs consensus rankings, from which I am comparing mine to the rest of the gang’s, are here.
For the second base position, my Picks will only include those in my top 20 and my Pans will only include those in the Consensus top 20.
3/23/16
The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!
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Here we go! It is time for the first installment of America’s favorite game: AL Outfielder Tiers! This is my first attempt at doing this, so while I don’t expect any sympathy, please don’t crush my hopes and spirit if I forget a name. Remember, ranks and tiers tend to be subjective and we are in this together for the next six to seven months. Read the rest of this entry »
It’s another day of picking and panning, and today we move onto the shortstop position. A discrepancy in ranking could really only be for one of two reasons (or both) — either a difference in projected performance or a difference in converting that projected performance into a ranking or dollar value. It’s not always easy to figure out what is causing the gap, but it is always interesting to discover who I am more bullish and bearish on than the gang.
For the shortstop position, my Picks will only include those in my top 20 and my Pans will only include those in the Consensus top 20.
Last week, I brought back the Pod’s Picks series, though renamed it this time since not every player was technically a “pick”. Pod’s Picks and Pans compares my ranking to the consensus (excluding my rank) at each position to determine who I am most bullish and bearish on relative to the rest of the rankers. Thanks to commenter bubba munga, I have calculated the rankings difference using a new method, involving the LN function on Excel. This properly weighs the more significant difference between picks five and 10 versus 35 and 41, despite the latter pair being six picks apart, as opposed to just give in the former.
For those of you that don’t know me, I am one of the newest writers to Rotographs and I was bestowed the honor of being the fill-in for this marvelous series. If you have read my work, whether here or on my other site, I will attempt to offer some of my usual flair while obviously being a tad bit more serious here than I am in the intros on my weekly pieces or podcast. Big thanks to Eno and Paul for bringing me aboard, Zach for tolerating me, and to David Wiers for vacating his parking spot. Read the rest of this entry »
